DePaul
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +4.9 #102
Expected Predictive Rating +5.6 #94
Pace 68.1 #216
Improvement +4.5 #13

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #186 C+ C C C+ C
Defense #48 B+ C+ B+ C B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #189 1.17 #155 +0.0 #182
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #143 0.83 #83 +1.4 #99
Three Pointers 40% #197 1.03 #167 -0.2 #185
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #146 +1.2 #145
Freethrows 18.8 #105 70% #256 13.2 #144
Second Chance 28.0% #259 1.12 #96 0.31 #194
Turnovers 16.4% #160
Total Offense -0.6 #186

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #221 0.97 #16 +4.3 #56
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #39 0.72 #133 -1.8 #304
Three Pointers 36% #299 1.03 #213 +2.0 #109
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #53 +4.4 #54
Freethrows 18.2 #229 69% #52 12.5 #169
Second Chance 32.2% #238 0.93 #52 0.30 #135
Turnovers 19.4% #52
Total Defense +5.4 #48

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.4% #222 -1.7% #57
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 2.9% #137 -7.2% #64
Possession Length 18.0 #248 17.5 #222
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #139 0.12 #29
Improvement +0.9 #119 +3.6 #20

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 4.3% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 3.5% 0.6%
Average Seed 10.7 10.2 10.8
.500 or above 37.4% 63.5% 36.5%
.500 or above in Conference 11.2% 27.8% 10.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 17.4% 4.3% 17.8%
First Four0.4% 2.2% 0.4%
First Round0.7% 2.7% 0.6%
Second Round0.2% 1.0% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Connecticut (Away) - 3.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 9
Quad 24 - 65 - 15
Quad 34 - 29 - 17
Quad 46 - 115 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 353 Chicago St. W 92 - 62 96%  +13  1 - 0 +14 +8 C- A- C- +5 A- D+ A+
 Fri, Nov 7 340 Stonehill W 72 - 64 95%  +8  2 - 0 -7 -10 F D+ B +3 C+ D+ B-
 Tue, Nov 11 179 Buffalo L 53 - 66 81%  -12  2 - 1 -17 -23 F F F +5 A+ C- C
 Fri, Nov 14 60 Northwestern L 79 - 81 45%  -3  2 - 2 +4 +10 B- A+ D+ -6 F A+ A-
 Tue, Nov 18 363 Gardner-Webb W 93 - 62 98%  +16  3 - 2 +12 -0 B F F +8 B+ C A+
 Sun, Nov 23 281 Detroit Mercy W 95 - 75 91%  +6  4 - 2 +10 +20 A+ A+ A- -9 F B- A-
 Fri, Nov 28 114 Georgia Tech W 75 - 61 55%  +1  5 - 2 +18 +10 A+ B- C+ +8 A+ D+ D-
 Sat, Nov 29 42 LSU L 63 - 96 25%  -23  5 - 3 -21 -4 C F F -17 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 327 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76 - 72 95%  -1  6 - 3 -9 -9 F C+ A+ -1 F A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 9 362 Morgan St. W 92 - 49 98%  +24  7 - 3 +24 +13 A+ C B +12 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 104 @Wichita St. W 61 - 58 39%  +1  8 - 3 +11 -2 A+ F F +13 B+ A+ B+
 Tue, Dec 16 21 @St. John's L 66 - 79 10%  -4  8 - 4 0 - 1 +6 +3 D+ B- A+ +4 B- A+ C
 Sun, Dec 21 5 Connecticut L 54 - 72 11%  -5  8 - 5 0 - 2 +1 -8 C D+ C- +8 A+ C A+
 Wed, Dec 31 31 @Villanova L 66 - 71 13%  +2  8 - 6 0 - 3 +12 +4 C B D+ +8 A+ A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 3 97 Xavier W 86 - 77 60%  +3  9 - 6 1 - 3 +11 +16 A A- A -5 D+ C C
 Tue, Jan 6 103 Georgetown W 56 - 50 62%  +2  10 - 6 2 - 3 +8 -13 F D F +22 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 5 @Connecticut L 58 - 78 3% 
 Fri, Jan 16 110 Marquette W 73 - 69 62% 
 Tue, Jan 20 57 @Butler L 70 - 77 24% 
 Sat, Jan 24 53 Seton Hall L 64 - 66 42% 
 Wed, Jan 28 103 @Georgetown L 70 - 73 39% 
 Sat, Jan 31 97 @Xavier L 70 - 73 38% 
 Tue, Feb 3 21 St. John's L 69 - 77 22% 
 Sat, Feb 7 66 @Providence L 74 - 81 26% 
 Wed, Feb 11 37 Creighton L 68 - 73 31% 
 Wed, Feb 18 53 @Seton Hall L 61 - 69 23% 
 Sat, Feb 21 66 Providence L 77 - 78 47% 
 Wed, Feb 25 37 @Creighton L 65 - 76 15% 
 Sun, Mar 1 110 @Marquette L 70 - 72 41% 
 Wed, Mar 4 31 Villanova L 64 - 70 28% 
 Sat, Mar 7 57 Butler L 73 - 74 45% 
Totals 15 - 16 7 - 13 +5 -1 C+ C C +5 B+ C+ B+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.3 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 2.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.9 2.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.6 7.5 3.4 0.4 0.0 16.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 6.6 9.2 3.9 0.5 0.0 21.5 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 5.6 7.8 3.3 0.2 0.0 18.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.9 5.9 2.7 0.3 13.6 10th
11th 0.8 2.7 3.7 1.6 0.2 9.0 11th
Total 0.8 3.5 8.8 14.2 18.1 17.9 15.0 10.5 6.3 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 55.0% 55.0% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 55.0%
13-7 0.4% 34.1% 2.4% 31.7% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 32.5%
12-8 1.3% 18.5% 2.7% 15.8% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.1 16.2%
11-9 3.0% 7.1% 1.2% 6.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.8 6.1%
10-10 6.3% 1.8% 0.6% 1.3% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.2 1.3%
9-11 10.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 10.4 0.1%
8-12 15.0% 0.4% 0.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 14.9
7-13 17.9% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 17.9
6-14 18.1% 0.2% 0.2% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 18.0
5-15 14.2% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 14.2
4-16 8.8% 8.8
3-17 3.5% 3.5
2-18 0.8% 0.8
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.9% 0.3% 0.7% 10.7 99.1 0.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%