DePaul
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +5.9 93
Results Rating +6.3 89
Pace 66.5 239
Improvement +4.3 38

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 150 C B- C C C
Defense B 46 B- B B+ C B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 231 B- 61% 102 +0.1 175
2 Pt. Jumpers 32% 238 C+ 40% 92 +0.5 147
Three Pointers 43% 148 C- 33% 241 +0.0 179
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 203 C +0.6 143
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 156
Second Chance C+ 31.2% 164 B+ 1.15 41 B- 0.36 82
Turnovers C 16.8% 175
Freethrows C+ 0.33 120 D+ 69% 277 C 0.23 155
Total Offense C +0.4 150

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots A- 62% 20 B- 9.5% 101
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 36% 40 B- 4.0% 112
Three Pointers B 91% 41 B 0.3% 43
Total A- 66% 22 B 4.4% 55

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 186 B+ 50% 22 -3.0 85
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 32 C 38% 186 +2.4 340
Three Pointers 35% 337 D 37% 304 -1.7 113
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.8 59 C+ -1.5 118
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 103
Second Chance B- 28.5% 103 B 0.93 53 B 0.27 64
Turnovers B+ 20.0% 31
Freethrows C- 0.31 212 B 70% 65 C 0.22 185
Total Defense B +5.5 46

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 257 C+ 12.7% 100
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 30% 276 C 5.0% 165
Three Pointers C 83% 156 B+ 1.9% 34
Total C 56% 194 B- 6.9% 84

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.2 265 17.3 196
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 125 0.10 17
Improvement +2.6 #78 +1.7 #96

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 106 92 75
Results Rating Rank 126 88 71
Conference Record 6 - 14 7 - 13 9 - 11
Conference Finish 9 6 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.9 11.5 12.3
.500 or above 50% 83% 37%
.500 or above in Conference 2% 8% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 6% 0% 9%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Creighton (Away) - 28.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 7
Quad 23 - 75 - 14
Quad 35 - 110 - 16
Quad 46 - 116 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 347 Chicago St. W 92 - 62 97% +19  99% 1 - 0 B+ +14 B- +5 C- A B- A- +8 A- D A+
 Fri, Nov 7 341 Stonehill W 72 - 64 96% +8  85% 2 - 0 D+ -7 F -10 F D+ B+ B- +3 C D+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 207 Buffalo L 53 - 66 86% -11  3% 2 - 1 F -19 F -26 F F F A- +7 A+ D B-
 Fri, Nov 14 69 Northwestern L 79 - 81 53% -1  27% 2 - 2 C+ +3 B+ +8 C- A+ C- D -5 F A- A-
 Tue, Nov 18 364 Gardner-Webb W 93 - 62 99% +21  98% 3 - 2 B +9 D+ -4 B- F D- A +10 A- C- B
 Sun, Nov 23 255 Detroit Mercy W 95 - 75 90% +9  66% 4 - 2 B+ +12 A+ +18 A A+ A- D -6 D- B- B
 Fri, Nov 28 140 Georgia Tech W 75 - 61 68% +1  54% 5 - 2 A- +15 B- +5 B- B- B- A +11 A+ C D+
 Sat, Nov 29 53 LSU L 63 - 96 34% -23  0% 5 - 3 F -23 F+ -9 C F D- F -15 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 329 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76 - 72 96% -1  44% 6 - 3 D -10 F -11 F C A+ C+ +1 F A- A
 Tue, Dec 9 350 Morgan St. W 92 - 49 97% +28  96% 7 - 3 A+ +26 A- +11 A C B- A+ +17 A+ A A+
 Sat, Dec 13 97 @Wichita St. W 61 - 58 40% +1  69% 8 - 3 B+ +12 C- -2 A+ D- F A+ +14 A- A B
 Tue, Dec 16 19 @St. John's L 66 - 79 8% -10  1% 8 - 4 0 - 1 B +8 C+ +2 D A- A B+ +6 C- A+ C+
 Sun, Dec 21 9 Connecticut L 54 - 72 15% -5  26% 8 - 5 0 - 2 C -1 F -12 C- D- C+ A +10 A- C A+
 Wed, Dec 31 35 @Villanova L 66 - 71 14% +2  72% 8 - 6 0 - 3 B+ +12 C+ +2 C B C A +10 A A+ D
 Sat, Jan 3 84 Xavier W 86 - 77 58% +3  87% 9 - 6 1 - 3 B+ +13 A +13 A- A- B+ C -0 C C+ C-
 Tue, Jan 6 71 Georgetown W 56 - 50 54% +2  59% 10 - 6 2 - 3 B +11 F -14 D C- F A+ +25 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 9 @Connecticut L 60 - 72 7% -11  0% 10 - 7 2 - 4 B +11 C +1 A C+ F+ A +9 C+ A+ A+
 Fri, Jan 16 88 Marquette W 80 - 75 60% -0  46% 11 - 7 3 - 4 B +8 A +13 B A+ A+ D+ -4 F A+ F+
 Tue, Jan 20 75 @Butler L 80 - 87 32% -2  51% 11 - 8 3 - 5 C+ +4 B +6 D A+ C+ C- -2 F D+ B
 Sat, Jan 24 54 Seton Hall W 67 - 60 46% +8  97% 12 - 8 4 - 5 B+ +14 B- +4 B+ C- A- A +10 A- B C-
 Wed, Jan 28 71 @Georgetown L 61 - 70 32% -6  0% 12 - 9 4 - 6 C+ +2 C+ +2 C B+ D+ C- -2 F A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 31 84 @Xavier L 66 - 68 35% +7  93% 12 - 10 4 - 7 B- +8 C +1 B- B C B+ +7 C- A+ B+
 Tue, Feb 3 19 St. John's L 56 - 68 19% -4  15% 12 - 11 4 - 8 C+ +3 D- -7 D B- D+ A +9 A+ C- D-
 Sat, Feb 7 61 @Providence L 72 - 90 28% -14  0% 12 - 12 4 - 9 D+ -6 D+ -3 D+ B+ C+ C- -2 F F A+
 Wed, Feb 11 63 Creighton W 72 - 71 51% +0  47% 13 - 12 5 - 9 B- +7 B +7 B A+ F+ C -0 C- D- B-
 Wed, Feb 18 54 @Seton Hall W 69 - 57 25% +1  50% 14 - 12 6 - 9 A+ +25 A +11 B B+ A- A+ +15 D A+ A+
 Sat, Feb 21 61 Providence L 68 - 71 50% -3  19% 14 - 13 6 - 10 C+ +3 D -6 D C- A A +9 B+ F A+
 Wed, Feb 25 63 @Creighton L 69 - 75 29%
 Sun, Mar 1 88 @Marquette L 70 - 74 38%
 Wed, Mar 4 35 Villanova L 66 - 71 31%
 Sat, Mar 7 75 Butler W 74 - 73 55%
Totals 16 - 15 8 - 12 +6 C +0 A+ C C B +5 C- D+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C B- C+ C- C 37% 32% 43% C C C+ B+ B- C C+ D+ C B B+ C D C+ 38% 27% 35% B B- B- B B B+ C- B C
1.09 61% 40% 33% +1 0 1.03 31% 1.1 .36 17% .33 69% .23 1.01 50% 38% 37% -1 -1 0.97 28% 0.9 .27 20% .31 70% .23
Nov
3		 Chicago St. B- B- A+ F D+ 47% 10% 43% B C- B A A B- A+ F A+ A- A+ F+ A+ B 17% 50% 33% A+ A- C F+ D A+ F B+ F
1.26 67% 60% 27% +2 +2 1.10 41% 1.3 .54 18% .59 69% .40 0.85 13% 46% 25% -8 -5 0.75 29% 1.1 .32 22% .41 70% .28
Nov
7		 Stonehill F B+ F F F 42% 17% 41% B- F F+ A- D+ B+ A+ F A+ B- A+ F C- C 35% 25% 40% B+ C A+ F D+ C D+ A+ C
0.95 64% 10% 21% -10 +1 0.83 20% 1.3 .25 9% .51 60% .30 0.84 33% 46% 33% -7 -1 0.87 16% 1.7 .27 21% .25 60% .15
Nov
11		 Buffalo F F F A+ F 32% 17% 51% D+ F C+ F F F A+ F C+ A- A+ D+ C- A+ 36% 32% 32% A+ A+ C+ F D B- F B F
0.78 38% 14% 43% -3 0 0.95 34% 0.3 .11 30% .42 50% .21 0.98 31% 43% 36% -7 -2 0.84 26% 1.3 .34 18% .49 70% .34
Nov
14		 Northwestern B+ F D+ B- D+ 43% 20% 37% B C- A+ A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ D F F F F 46% 22% 33% D+ F B+ B+ A- A- F A D
1.17 45% 33% 35% -6 +1 0.91 46% 1.3 .57 19% .49 81% .40 1.20 71% 50% 47% +15 0 1.33 25% 1.2 .29 16% .42 67% .28
Nov
18		 Gardner-Webb D+ A- A+ F+ B- 43% 18% 38% C B- F B F D- D A C- A A+ A C B+ 35% 23% 42% A- A- F A- C- B C+ A+ B+
1.17 73% 64% 30% +9 +1 1.22 20% 1.2 .23 18% .24 81% .20 0.78 40% 23% 33% -10 -1 0.81 30% 0.8 .23 23% .24 53% .13
Nov
23		 Detroit Mercy A+ C+ F A+ A+ 36% 18% 46% D+ A A A+ A+ A- A A A+ D C D+ F D- 42% 35% 23% D D- F+ A B- B F+ F F
1.41 61% 22% 52% +11 0 1.24 41% 1.4 .59 10% .43 81% .35 1.12 55% 41% 45% +4 -2 1.06 38% 0.7 .26 18% .34 84% .29
Nov
28		 Georgia Tech B- C A+ D- B- 41% 18% 41% B B- C- A+ B- B- C+ A+ B+ A C+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 26% 31% C A+ C C C D+ B F C+
1.12 55% 56% 30% 0 0 1.02 27% 1.4 .37 15% .30 82% .25 0.91 57% 21% 12% -15 0 0.70 33% 1.2 .38 16% .25 79% .20
Nov
29		 LSU F+ F A+ F C+ 29% 27% 45% D C F+ F F D- A+ F C+ F F F D- F 60% 13% 28% F F F F F A+ F D F
0.91 43% 69% 27% -1 -1 0.98 22% 0.6 .14 19% .41 52% .21 1.39 79% 67% 38% +18 +3 1.43 42% 1.8 .74 22% .48 81% .39
Dec
6		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F F+ F F F 49% 16% 36% B- F F A+ C A+ A+ D- A+ C+ B- F F F 31% 33% 35% A- F A B+ A- A A+ F A+
1.03 50% 29% 13% -17 +1 0.71 24% 1.7 .41 9% .61 71% .43 0.97 53% 56% 42% +9 -2 1.15 17% 0.8 .14 23% .12 86% .11
Dec
9		 Morgan St. A- A+ F A+ A+ 38% 17% 45% D A F+ A+ C B- A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 26% 38% 36% A A+ F A+ A A+ F D F
1.36 88% 14% 42% +13 0 1.29 28% 1.6 .44 13% .63 78% .49 0.72 27% 25% 20% -21 -3 0.55 45% 0.3 .13 30% .65 77% .50
Dec
13		 Wichita St. C- C+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 21% 38% B+ A+ D+ F D- F D- F F+ A+ A- A+ B A 50% 19% 31% D- A- C A+ A B F A+ D
0.97 59% 56% 44% +10 0 1.21 25% 0.7 .17 29% .22 60% .13 0.92 48% 25% 31% -9 +1 0.86 39% 0.7 .26 17% .54 46% .25
Dec
16		 St. John's C+ F A F D 36% 22% 41% C- D C A+ A- A F A+ F B+ B+ B F C- 47% 12% 41% D+ C- A A+ A+ C+ B F C+
0.94 38% 46% 25% -11 0 0.79 28% 1.4 .38 17% .09 100% .09 1.13 50% 33% 43% +1 +2 1.08 29% 0.9 .26 14% .35 81% .28
Dec
21		 Connecticut F F A F C- 41% 35% 24% D- C- C F D- C+ B F D- A D A+ C B+ 35% 28% 37% A+ A- C- C+ C A+ C+ D C
0.79 35% 47% 25% -10 -2 0.80 26% 0.6 .15 19% .38 52% .20 1.05 69% 31% 35% +2 -1 1.04 38% 1.1 .41 22% .30 75% .23
Dec
31		 Villanova C+ D+ C+ C C 41% 29% 29% C C B- B- B C C F D+ A A+ A+ F A 31% 27% 42% A A B A+ A+ D F B F
0.99 52% 40% 33% -2 -1 0.96 33% 1.0 .33 21% .23 58% .13 1.06 33% 23% 50% -2 -1 0.96 33% 0.6 .20 12% .53 68% .36
Jan
3		 Xavier A C+ A+ C+ A- 32% 19% 49% C+ A- B- A+ A- B+ A+ A+ A+ C B+ F D C 31% 22% 47% C- C F A+ C+ C- B- C+ B-
1.25 60% 67% 35% +7 0 1.15 30% 1.1 .33 15% .53 81% .43 1.12 53% 50% 38% +4 -1 1.09 36% 0.7 .26 12% .23 71% .16
Jan
6		 Georgetown F A+ F A- C- 16% 42% 42% F D D+ C C- F A+ F B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 34% 25% A- A+ C+ F F A+ F F+ F
0.84 71% 17% 39% -4 -4 0.86 27% 1.0 .27 23% .41 62% .25 0.75 17% 20% 9% -32 -2 0.34 33% 1.5 .49 20% .58 81% .47
Jan
10		 Connecticut C B- A+ D- A+ 39% 34% 27% D- A D+ A+ C+ F+ C+ C- C A C C+ D- B- 55% 16% 30% D C+ A A+ A+ A+ F+ F F
0.93 56% 50% 27% +1 -2 1.00 21% 1.2 .25 23% .34 71% .24 1.12 63% 43% 38% +5 +2 1.16 30% 0.6 .19 22% .38 84% .32
Jan
16		 Marquette A B- D- A+ B+ 36% 26% 38% D B A A+ A+ A+ D F F D+ D- C+ F F 37% 15% 48% A F A+ A+ A+ F+ A A+ A+
1.24 61% 31% 42% +4 -1 1.08 41% 1.3 .51 12% .23 54% .12 1.16 65% 38% 46% +11 +1 1.26 23% 0.4 .09 11% .23 38% .09
Jan
20		 Butler B F A+ D D 25% 16% 59% C D B A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ C- D- D- F F 41% 25% 34% A F B+ F D+ B F B F
1.11 38% 63% 30% -5 0 0.92 32% 1.4 .44 17% .35 86% .30 1.21 67% 45% 47% +12 0 1.25 31% 1.4 .42 17% .52 68% .35
Jan
24		 Seton Hall B- A+ F C A- 28% 18% 54% D+ B+ D B C- A- A+ B- A+ A A+ B- D A- 48% 30% 22% B A- A D B C- B A+ A
1.01 73% 14% 33% -1 0 1.00 24% 1.0 .24 20% .63 74% .47 0.90 42% 33% 36% -9 -1 0.84 28% 1.1 .31 15% .30 59% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Georgetown C+ A+ F B C+ 27% 27% 46% D+ C B+ B B+ D+ F F F C- F B- F F 44% 33% 23% B F B A+ A+ B+ D+ F F
1.03 69% 15% 36% -1 -2 0.96 35% 1.1 .38 19% .10 40% .04 1.19 74% 36% 50% +12 -1 1.23 30% 0.5 .15 17% .37 94% .35
Jan
31		 Xavier C C- A+ C B 34% 26% 40% D+ B- D+ A+ B C F F F B+ D+ F D D 24% 40% 36% A+ C- A+ A A+ B+ F F F
1.04 56% 57% 33% +4 -1 1.08 23% 1.3 .29 17% .02 0% .00 1.07 64% 50% 38% +8 -3 1.11 17% 0.8 .14 16% .35 84% .30
Feb
3		 St. John's D- B+ F F D 35% 26% 40% D+ D B+ C- B- D+ A+ B A+ A A+ A+ B- A+ 53% 13% 34% D A+ C+ D+ C- D- F B+ D-
0.85 60% 18% 24% -11 -1 0.79 34% 0.9 .31 23% .39 75% .30 1.04 32% 17% 31% -18 +2 0.70 37% 1.3 .46 11% .49 69% .34
Feb
7		 Providence D+ C+ A+ F D 48% 17% 34% A- D+ B A- B+ C+ F F F C- C F F F 46% 20% 35% C+ F F C F A+ F A+ C
1.01 57% 50% 20% -6 +1 0.93 33% 1.1 .37 14% .18 64% .11 1.26 62% 78% 44% +15 +1 1.33 46% 1.2 .54 22% .45 60% .27
Feb
11		 Creighton B A+ C+ F B- 49% 19% 33% A B A A+ A+ F+ A+ C- A C A+ F F D- 18% 32% 50% A+ C- A F D- B- C- C+ C-
1.16 71% 38% 21% 0 +1 1.05 37% 2.0 .74 19% .32 69% .22 1.15 25% 50% 50% +10 -3 1.16 20% 1.8 .36 16% .29 73% .21
Feb
18		 Seton Hall A D A+ C- B 40% 16% 44% C+ B A C- B+ A- A+ B- A+ A+ B- F+ F D- 51% 26% 23% C D A+ A+ A+ A+ B C- B-
1.07 47% 57% 32% -3 +1 0.98 41% 0.8 .34 20% .50 73% .37 0.88 55% 45% 40% +2 0 1.07 12% 0.0 .00 23% .30 73% .22
Feb
21		 Providence D C+ D F D 36% 23% 42% C D B F+ C- A A+ F C A D- A+ D+ B 43% 30% 28% A B+ F+ F F A+ F A+ C
1.01 58% 33% 27% -5 0 0.91 33% 0.8 .27 10% .40 50% .20 1.06 71% 25% 36% +2 -1 1.05 41% 1.6 .67 27% .43 62% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 2.5 1.9 4.4 4th
5th 2.1 7.3 0.5 9.9 5th
6th 7.0 25.7 4.2 36.9 6th
7th 17.4 4.1 21.4 7th
8th 2.6 10.3 0.1 13.0 8th
9th 9.6 1.4 11.0 9th
10th 3.2 0.0 3.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 11th
Total 15.5 36.2 32.0 14.0 2.4 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 2.4% 2.2% 1.4% 0.8% 11.1 0.1 0.0 2.4 0.8%
9-11 14.0% 0.6% 0.6% 11.5 0.0 0.0 13.9
8-12 32.0% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 31.9
7-13 36.2% 0.2% 0.2% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 36.1
6-14 15.5% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.0 15.5
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 11.9 99.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 4.8% 11.0 4.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.8% 1.6% 11.3 1.2 0.4
Lose Out 9.6%