DePaul
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +5.8 #94
Expected Predictive Rating +5.9 #86
Pace 67.9 #211
Improvement +4.5 #25

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #140 C+ C+ C C+ C-
Defense #56 C+ B B C B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #261 1.19 #128 -1.1 #222
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #159 0.82 #77 +1.0 #117
Three Pointers 43% #145 1.02 #178 +1.2 #138
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #140 +1.1 #140
Freethrows 0.32 #109 70% #261 0.23 #147
Second Chance 30.0% #200 1.13 #58 0.34 #118
Turnovers 17.1% #207
Total Offense +0.8 #140

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #202 1.03 #41 +2.8 #88
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #36 0.75 #159 -2.2 #330
Three Pointers 36% #327 1.08 #277 +1.6 #119
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #102 +2.2 #103
Freethrows 0.31 #220 72% #158 0.22 #219
Second Chance 28.3% #89 0.88 #22 0.25 #37
Turnovers 19.4% #48
Total Defense +4.9 #56

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.6% #233 -1.6% #56
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 2.9% #127 -2.9% #120
Possession Length 18.0 #254 17.1 #171
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #110 0.12 #31
Improvement +3.3 #38 +1.2 #110

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 1.4% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.3 11.1 11.5
.500 or above 42.8% 66.4% 36.6%
.500 or above in Conference 8.4% 19.9% 5.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 17.2% 5.8% 20.2%
First Four0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
First Round0.4% 1.0% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Home) - 20.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 8
Quad 24 - 75 - 15
Quad 35 - 110 - 16
Quad 46 - 116 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 355 Chicago St. W 92 - 62 97% +19  1 - 0 +13 +7 C- A C+ +4 A- D A+
 Fri, Nov 7 328 Stonehill W 72 - 64 95% +8  2 - 0 -5 -7 F+ C- B +1 C+ D+ C+
 Tue, Nov 11 204 Buffalo L 53 - 66 86% -11  2 - 1 -19 -24 F+ F F +5 A+ D+ B-
 Fri, Nov 14 63 Northwestern L 79 - 81 50% -1  2 - 2 +4 +11 C A+ D -7 F A- B+
 Tue, Nov 18 363 Gardner-Webb W 93 - 62 99% +21  3 - 2 +10 -1 B- F D- +7 B C B
 Sun, Nov 23 278 Detroit Mercy W 95 - 75 92% +9  4 - 2 +10 +20 A A+ B+ -9 D- B- B
 Fri, Nov 28 115 Georgia Tech W 75 - 61 60% +1  5 - 2 +17 +9 B+ B C +9 A+ C- D+
 Sat, Nov 29 49 LSU L 63 - 96 30% -23  5 - 3 -22 -5 C F+ D- -17 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 331 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76 - 72 95% -1  6 - 3 -10 -8 F C A+ -2 F A A
 Tue, Dec 9 354 Morgan St. W 92 - 49 97% +28  7 - 3 +26 +14 A- C B- +14 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 99 @Wichita St. W 61 - 58 42% +1  8 - 3 +11 -1 A+ F+ F +13 B+ A+ B
 Tue, Dec 16 19 @St. John's L 66 - 79 9% -10  8 - 4 0 - 1 +8 +3 D B+ A +5 C A+ C
 Sun, Dec 21 9 Connecticut L 54 - 72 13% -5  8 - 5 0 - 2 -0 -8 C D C +7 B+ C A+
 Wed, Dec 31 32 @Villanova L 66 - 71 14% +2  8 - 6 0 - 3 +12 +4 C B C- +8 A A+ D
 Sat, Jan 3 83 Xavier W 86 - 77 58% +3  9 - 6 1 - 3 +13 +17 B+ B+ A- -4 C C C-
 Tue, Jan 6 78 Georgetown W 56 - 50 56% +2  10 - 6 2 - 3 +10 -12 D C- F +23 A+ F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 9 @Connecticut L 60 - 72 6% -11  10 - 7 2 - 4 +12 +5 A C+ D- +6 C A+ A
 Fri, Jan 16 95 Marquette W 80 - 75 62% -0  11 - 7 3 - 4 +8 +15 B- A+ A+ -7 F A+ D-
 Tue, Jan 20 66 @Butler L 80 - 87 30% -2  11 - 8 3 - 5 +4 +9 D+ A+ C -5 F C+ B-
 Sat, Jan 24 53 Seton Hall W 67 - 60 45% +8  12 - 8 4 - 5 +14 +6 B+ C- B+ +9 B+ B+ C
 Wed, Jan 28 78 @Georgetown L 61 - 70 33% -6  12 - 9 4 - 6 +1 +4 C B D -5 F A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 31 83 @Xavier L 66 - 68 35% +7  12 - 10 4 - 7 +8 +4 B- B- C +3 C- A+ B+
 Tue, Feb 3 19 St. John's L 70 - 79 21%
 Sat, Feb 7 67 @Providence L 78 - 84 30%
 Wed, Feb 11 58 Creighton L 73 - 74 47%
 Wed, Feb 18 53 @Seton Hall L 62 - 69 25%
 Sat, Feb 21 67 Providence W 82 - 81 52%
 Wed, Feb 25 58 @Creighton L 70 - 77 27%
 Sun, Mar 1 95 @Marquette L 72 - 75 39%
 Wed, Mar 4 32 Villanova L 65 - 70 30%
 Sat, Mar 7 66 Butler W 76 - 75 52%
Totals 15 - 16 7 - 13 +6 +1 C+ C+ C +5 C+ B B




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.5 4th
5th 1.7 5.8 2.7 0.3 10.5 5th
6th 1.0 8.9 4.8 0.6 15.3 6th
7th 0.4 7.4 8.4 0.7 0.0 16.9 7th
8th 0.0 4.1 11.5 2.0 0.0 17.6 8th
9th 1.2 10.0 4.1 0.1 15.3 9th
10th 0.5 5.5 5.5 0.3 11.8 10th
11th 2.2 3.7 0.7 6.6 11th
Total 2.7 10.4 20.6 24.3 21.1 12.5 6.2 1.7 0.4 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.1% 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.4% 14.6% 1.2% 13.4% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 13.6%
11-9 1.7% 6.0% 1.1% 4.9% 10.9 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.9%
10-10 6.2% 3.2% 2.3% 0.9% 11.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 6.0 0.9%
9-11 12.5% 0.2% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 12.5
8-12 21.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 21.1 0.0%
7-13 24.3% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.1 24.3
6-14 20.6% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 20.6
5-15 10.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 10.4
4-16 2.7% 2.7
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 11.3 99.5 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.9%