Holy Cross
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -10.7 327
Results Rating -11.3 332
Pace 64.9 277
Improvement -1.8 256

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 299 C- F+ C C- D-
Defense D- 326 D C- D- B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 330 D+ 54% 293 -4.9 338
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 108 B 43% 50 +4.0 30
Three Pointers 40% 202 C- 33% 240 -1.2 227
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.3 330 C- -0.8 199
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 243
Second Chance F 20.8% 358 D 0.94 305 F+ 0.20 360
Turnovers C 16.5% 158
Freethrows D+ 0.27 289 B 76% 72 C- 0.20 234
Total Offense D -4.9 299

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 35% 343 D- 14.0% 330
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 15% 323 B- 3.9% 101
Three Pointers C+ 87% 136 D 1.6% 327
Total D- 45% 345 C- 6.3% 257

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 64 D 64% 328 +5.2 338
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 208 F+ 44% 349 +0.8 251
Three Pointers 37% 282 C 34% 208 -1.5 117
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 253 D +3.8 321
1st FG Attempt D 1.11 322
Second Chance C+ 29.1% 128 D- 1.15 336 C- 0.34 245
Turnovers D- 13.6% 342
Freethrows B- 0.27 73 C 72% 196 B- 0.19 73
Total Defense D- -5.8 326

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 47% 146 D- 5.8% 347
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 22 F -0.1% 365
Three Pointers D+ 87% 280 F+ -0.4% 365
Total B- 52% 104 F+ 2.3% 360

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 285 17.3 188
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 314 0.16 139
Improvement +0.7 #148 -2.5 #303

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 341 328 313
Results Rating Rank 350 331 312
Conference Record 4 - 14 5 - 13 7 - 11
Conference Finish 10 9 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 77% 48% 97%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Bucknell (Away) - 40.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 48 - 159 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 61 @Providence L 79 - 89 3% -10  5% 0 - 1 C+ +2 D+ -3 B- F D B+ +6 B+ B+ D
 Sat, Nov 8 20 @BYU L 53 - 98 1% -28  0% 0 - 2 F -24 F -16 F D F+ D- -7 F A+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 99 @Utah L 69 - 87 5% -9  3% 0 - 3 D -10 D+ -3 C- F+ A- D- -7 D B- F
 Sun, Nov 16 259 Hampton W 67 - 61 31% +0  51% 1 - 3 C +0 C+ +3 C+ B- F+ C- -2 D+ D+ C
 Tue, Nov 18 267 @Brown L 49 - 68 23% -12  3% 1 - 4 F -22 F -17 D- F D- F+ -8 F F C-
 Fri, Nov 21 286 @Sacred Heart L 66 - 79 27% -9  5% 1 - 5 F+ -17 F -11 C F F D- -7 F B+ F+
 Mon, Nov 24 191 Siena L 69 - 73 29% -1  19% 1 - 6 D -9 D+ -4 A- F D D -5 F A+ D-
 Wed, Dec 3 292 Northeastern W 76 - 59 50% +13  91% 2 - 6 B- +6 D+ -3 B- F B A +10 A- C+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 155 @Fordham W 70 - 69 10% -7  2% 3 - 6 C+ +4 B +6 B- A D C- -2 D- C+ D
 Tue, Dec 16 250 Dartmouth L 64 - 89 39% -11  17% 3 - 7 F -33 F -12 F+ F C+ F -22 F D B
 Sat, Dec 20 146 @Harvard L 53 - 81 10% -16  1% 3 - 8 F -24 F -12 F D A F -17 F F C
 Wed, Dec 31 330 Bucknell W 65 - 58 63% +4  85% 4 - 8 1 - 0 D+ -7 D- -8 D+ F C- C+ +1 D A C+
 Sat, Jan 3 154 Navy L 58 - 65 23% -6  7% 4 - 9 1 - 1 D -10 D- -8 F A+ D C- -3 C- A D
 Wed, Jan 7 307 @Lehigh L 58 - 66 31% -5  9% 4 - 10 1 - 2 D- -14 F -13 F+ F B C -1 D- C- C+
 Sat, Jan 10 253 @American W 84 - 73 20% +3  55% 5 - 10 2 - 2 B +9 B +7 B+ D- A C+ +2 A D- D-
 Wed, Jan 14 338 Army W 82 - 75 66% +7  95% 6 - 10 3 - 2 D+ -8 C +1 A F B+ F+ -9 D C+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 322 @Lafayette L 55 - 74 37% -12  0% 6 - 11 3 - 3 F -26 F -18 F F D F+ -9 C- F F
 Wed, Jan 21 154 @Navy L 68 - 85 10% -6  14% 6 - 12 3 - 4 D- -14 C +1 B C+ D F -16 F+ F F
 Sat, Jan 24 253 American L 67 - 76 40% -8  3% 6 - 13 3 - 5 F+ -17 D -6 B- F D- F -12 D D+ F
 Wed, Jan 28 244 @Colgate L 74 - 79 19% +0  57% 6 - 14 3 - 6 D+ -6 C +1 A- F A D- -8 C F F
 Sat, Jan 31 338 @Army L 68 - 69 43% -1  19% 6 - 15 3 - 7 D -10 F -11 F D- B- C+ +1 B F A-
 Mon, Feb 2 257 Boston University L 64 - 72 41% -3  11% 6 - 16 3 - 8 F+ -16 D- -7 F C- A+ F -11 F A- F
 Sat, Feb 7 307 Lehigh W 76 - 67 54% -0  31% 7 - 16 4 - 8 C- -3 C+ +2 B- F A+ D+ -4 D+ B+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 244 Colgate L 70 - 74 38% -5  20% 7 - 17 4 - 9 D- -11 F+ -8 F D+ D- D+ -3 A- F F
 Sun, Feb 15 315 @Loyola Maryland L 73 - 83 34% +0  45% 7 - 18 4 - 10 F+ -16 C- -1 D F A+ F -16 F+ F+ F
 Wed, Feb 18 322 Lafayette L 83 - 86 60% +8  90% 7 - 19 4 - 11 F+ -16 C +1 A F C F -17 F F B-
 Sun, Feb 22 330 @Bucknell L 69 - 71 41%
 Wed, Feb 25 257 @Boston University L 68 - 76 21%
 Sat, Feb 28 315 Loyola Maryland W 75 - 73 56%
Totals 8 - 21 5 - 13 -11 D -5 B+ C- D- D- -6 C- B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D+ B C- C- 33% 44% 40% D- C- F D F+ C D+ B C- D- D F+ C D 43% 19% 37% D+ D C+ D- C- D- B- C B-
1.02 54% 43% 33% -1 -1 0.98 21% 0.9 .20 16% .27 76% .20 1.17 64% 44% 34% +4 0 1.11 29% 1.2 .34 14% .27 72% .20
Nov
3		 Providence D+ A- B+ C B+ 24% 27% 49% D- B- F+ F F D B D B- B+ F B+ A+ B+ 41% 17% 43% C+ B+ A+ F B+ D D- B- D
1.01 64% 44% 34% +3 -2 1.05 21% 0.4 .09 17% .32 67% .22 1.14 82% 33% 22% +1 +1 1.06 22% 1.5 .33 13% .40 74% .29
Nov
8		 BYU F D- A- F D 4% 58% 38% F F D+ D- D F+ D B- D+ D- F F A- F 47% 13% 40% F F A+ A+ A+ F A F+ B+
0.74 50% 43% 15% -8 -7 0.71 22% 1.0 .22 21% .19 73% .14 1.36 93% 75% 29% +18 +2 1.42 16% 0.5 .08 8% .24 81% .20
Nov
10		 Utah D+ F A+ C C 32% 23% 45% D C- F A+ F+ A- A F C- D- F F B- D 44% 11% 44% D- D A F+ B- F C D- C-
1.00 41% 58% 33% -1 -1 0.98 13% 1.4 .18 12% .34 48% .16 1.26 71% 50% 33% +7 +2 1.19 23% 1.1 .27 9% .30 79% .24
Nov
16		 Hampton C+ A D+ D+ C+ 39% 22% 39% C- C+ F A+ B- F+ F+ A+ A- C- C C- B C 44% 18% 38% F D+ F B D+ C C- F F
1.13 75% 33% 31% +4 0 1.10 19% 1.8 .33 20% .32 100% .32 1.03 55% 38% 29% -4 +1 0.96 43% 0.8 .34 19% .35 94% .33
Nov
18		 Brown F F F+ C D- 35% 20% 46% C D- D- F F D- F F F F+ F D C- F 32% 11% 57% C- F C F F C- B- F C
0.80 44% 33% 33% -6 0 0.89 24% 0.4 .11 21% .23 45% .10 1.11 67% 40% 33% +2 +1 1.09 29% 1.5 .43 20% .22 82% .18
Nov
21		 Sacred Heart F C- A+ B- C 33% 13% 53% C- C D F F F B- C+ B D- C- F F F 23% 8% 70% D F D+ A+ B+ F+ A- B- A-
0.99 60% 50% 38% +5 +1 1.13 27% 0.8 .20 24% .29 73% .22 1.18 58% 50% 41% +8 +1 1.19 28% 0.7 .19 15% .21 75% .16
Nov
24		 Siena D+ A+ A+ D A 38% 24% 38% C A- F F F D F C- F D F F A+ F 55% 25% 20% F F A+ C- A+ D- A+ D A+
1.06 74% 58% 32% +9 0 1.20 13% 0.7 .08 18% .19 70% .13 1.12 71% 62% 20% +9 +1 1.22 16% 1.0 .16 14% .16 78% .12
Dec
3		 Northeastern D+ C+ A+ C+ B+ 38% 34% 28% F B- F F F B F A+ F+ A B- A+ A- A+ 43% 8% 49% F+ A- C B- C+ B A+ A+ A+
1.14 63% 65% 36% +12 -2 1.22 22% 0.7 .15 15% .23 85% .19 0.89 55% 0% 28% -9 +2 0.88 27% 1.0 .27 20% .15 38% .06
Dec
6		 Fordham B B+ F A B- 24% 20% 56% C B- C- A+ A D A+ B A+ C- C+ F C- D- 38% 19% 44% C- D- A+ F C+ D F C+ F
1.09 64% 11% 40% +1 -1 1.02 24% 1.8 .42 19% .46 71% .33 1.07 56% 56% 33% +2 0 1.06 21% 1.5 .32 16% .35 68% .24
Dec
16		 Dartmouth F F D- B+ F+ 36% 26% 38% D- F+ F F+ F C+ A A+ A+ F B- F F F 35% 19% 46% C F F A+ D B F+ A+ C-
0.95 39% 31% 37% -7 -1 0.86 19% 0.9 .16 12% .35 81% .29 1.32 53% 56% 59% +19 0 1.40 39% 0.8 .32 22% .38 65% .25
Dec
20		 Harvard F D- D F F 23% 23% 54% F F D+ D D A F B+ F F D- F F F 62% 13% 26% F F F F F C D- C+ D
0.87 50% 33% 21% -13 -1 0.73 27% 0.9 .24 11% .17 78% .13 1.32 66% 50% 42% +9 +3 1.26 36% 1.8 .64 18% .30 80% .24
Dec
31		 Bucknell D- C- A+ F D+ 48% 35% 18% D D+ D F F C- A+ B- A+ C+ C- C- D+ F+ 27% 27% 45% A+ D D- A+ A C+ A+ A+ A+
1.04 58% 57% 14% +1 -1 1.03 30% 0.8 .22 18% .51 77% .39 0.93 57% 36% 35% 0 -2 0.98 30% 0.5 .16 21% .10 40% .04
Jan
3		 Navy D- F D+ D+ F 28% 30% 43% D F B- A+ A+ D B- B B C- D A A+ C+ 64% 16% 20% F C- C+ A+ A D C- F D-
0.95 31% 36% 30% -11 -2 0.77 33% 1.5 .50 20% .29 79% .22 1.06 62% 29% 22% -2 +3 1.02 29% 0.8 .21 16% .35 83% .29
Jan
7		 Lehigh F B F F F+ 42% 33% 25% D- F+ F F+ F B F D F C D+ C- F F+ 38% 32% 30% B- D- C D+ C- C+ A F B
0.91 64% 29% 23% -5 -1 0.90 16% 0.8 .13 14% .18 70% .13 1.04 61% 40% 43% +6 -1 1.11 21% 1.0 .21 19% .17 89% .16
Jan
10		 American B A+ A+ F A 32% 34% 34% F B+ F A D- A A+ C+ A+ C+ F F A+ A 37% 20% 43% B A D+ F D- D- F F F
1.18 73% 69% 25% +11 -2 1.19 20% 1.2 .24 14% .54 73% .39 1.03 74% 50% 9% -8 0 0.86 28% 1.1 .31 14% .43 88% .38
Jan
14		 Army C F C+ A+ A+ 30% 28% 42% F+ A F F F B+ F+ A+ C- F+ C- F B D+ 48% 5% 47% F D F+ A+ C+ F A- D+ B+
1.21 50% 40% 59% +14 -2 1.26 13% 0.5 .07 12% .28 88% .25 1.11 57% 67% 30% -2 +3 1.03 35% 0.7 .25 13% .19 73% .14
Jan
17		 Lafayette F D D+ F F 23% 35% 42% F F F D F D A D A- F+ B C- F+ C- 54% 21% 25% C- C- F C- F F F A- F+
0.85 55% 35% 25% -7 -3 0.81 17% 1.0 .17 17% .37 70% .26 1.14 50% 36% 38% -3 +1 0.98 38% 0.9 .35 8% .40 63% .25
Jan
21		 Navy C A+ B+ C- A- 25% 42% 33% F B D+ A- C+ D D+ A C F F F B- F 40% 26% 34% C F+ A+ F F F F D F
1.04 75% 45% 31% +6 -4 1.06 28% 1.1 .31 20% .23 83% .19 1.30 68% 50% 31% +6 0 1.13 20% 2.4 .48 9% .46 78% .35
Jan
24		 American D F+ C+ A+ B+ 35% 26% 39% D B- F+ F F D- F A+ D F D- D- B+ D 49% 13% 38% D- D C- D D+ F B+ F B-
1.04 50% 42% 50% +8 -1 1.15 23% 0.6 .13 22% .28 86% .24 1.18 65% 43% 30% +2 +2 1.09 26% 1.0 .26 11% .21 83% .17
Jan
28		 Colgate C A- A+ C- A 35% 27% 38% D- A- F A+ F A F F F D- A- F F C- 38% 32% 30% B C C- F F F A- D+ B+
1.12 68% 60% 33% +9 -1 1.18 7% 2.0 .14 11% .17 50% .08 1.19 48% 50% 41% +3 -2 1.05 28% 1.3 .36 9% .20 75% .15
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Army F F C A F 41% 25% 33% D+ F D- D D- B- D A+ C+ C+ A+ F C+ B+ 33% 4% 63% D+ B F F F A- D- A+ A
1.00 29% 38% 41% -8 0 0.84 26% 1.1 .28 13% .32 84% .27 1.02 31% 50% 32% -10 +2 0.86 40% 1.5 .58 22% .30 38% .11
Feb
2		 Boston University D- F B A- F 38% 29% 33% D F D B+ C- A+ F B- F F F B+ F F 29% 36% 36% A+ F A+ C A- F F A+ D
1.10 35% 47% 41% -3 -1 0.94 25% 1.2 .31 5% .15 75% .11 1.24 75% 33% 60% +17 -3 1.31 18% 1.0 .18 12% .43 55% .23
Feb
7		 Lehigh C+ C B A B- 48% 27% 25% C B- F F F A+ A- A A+ D+ F A- A+ C- 46% 19% 35% F D+ A+ D+ B+ F A A+ A+
1.17 57% 46% 42% +4 0 1.10 19% 0.7 .13 8% .38 83% .32 1.03 84% 30% 16% +1 +1 1.06 12% 1.0 .12 11% .17 60% .10
Feb
11		 Colgate F+ B C F F 22% 33% 45% F F A F D+ D- A+ A+ A+ D+ B- C A A 39% 28% 33% C A- B+ F F F C- F D
1.02 64% 38% 23% -7 -3 0.84 39% 0.7 .26 18% .48 85% .41 1.08 52% 40% 28% -5 -1 0.91 21% 1.7 .36 12% .28 82% .23
Feb
15		 Loyola Maryland C- D+ A+ F D+ 35% 30% 35% D- D F C- F A+ C- C+ C F B+ F F F 36% 11% 53% C- F+ B- F F+ F C- D- D+
1.12 58% 56% 26% +1 -1 1.02 17% 1.2 .19 8% .28 76% .22 1.28 50% 50% 41% +4 +1 1.13 24% 1.5 .36 6% .28 76% .21
Feb
18		 Lafayette C A- A+ A- A 56% 15% 29% A A F D F C A- B A F D F F F 47% 24% 29% B- F C F F B- D- C- D-
1.16 69% 50% 40% +11 +2 1.27 13% 1.0 .13 14% .36 77% .28 1.20 63% 50% 47% +10 0 1.24 26% 2.0 .52 18% .34 70% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 2.7 2.7 6th
7th 0.9 2.6 3.5 7th
8th 19.0 0.5 19.5 8th
9th 18.2 8.4 26.6 9th
10th 21.5 26.0 0.2 47.7 10th
Total 21.5 44.2 28.5 5.8 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 5.8% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 5.7
6-12 28.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.3 28.2
5-13 44.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.4 43.8
4-14 21.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 21.4
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 16.0 99.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.9%
Lose Out 11.9%