Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -0.3 #162
Expected Predictive Rating -2.3 #208
Pace 80.6 #10
Improvement +0.2 #173

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #185 C- C C- B- B+
Defense #153 B- C+ C- F D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #98 1.14 #212 +1.3 #130
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% #330 0.81 #100 -2.7 #308
Three Pointers 46% #86 0.90 #303 +0.0 #178
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #205 -1.4 #203
Freethrows 19.3 #84 72% #201 13.9 #105
Second Chance 34.3% #82 0.94 #293 0.32 #163
Turnovers 17.6% #246
Total Offense -0.5 #185

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #14 1.01 #32 -1.3 #231
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #246 0.68 #91 +1.6 #80
Three Pointers 35% #323 1.03 #208 +2.7 #89
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #89 +3.0 #88
Freethrows 24.7 #361 76% #303 18.6 #5
Second Chance 30.7% #176 0.98 #104 0.30 #136
Turnovers 15.8% #230
Total Defense +0.2 #153

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.6% #35 1.9% #335
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.1% #257 -7.6% #61
Possession Length 14.8 #17 16.9 #119
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #187 0.20 #273
Improvement -2.3 #317 +2.5 #47

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.2% 7.0% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 59.5% 67.7% 41.8%
.500 or above in Conference 49.7% 58.1% 31.6%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.6% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 5.6% 3.2% 11.0%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
First Round6.1% 7.0% 4.1%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville St. (Home) - 68.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 35 - 76 - 11
Quad 410 - 415 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 345 @Florida A&M W 92 - 72 79%  +9  1 - 0 +11 +4 A- F C +5 A+ D+ F
 Sun, Nov 16 89 South Florida L 89 - 108 35%  -9  1 - 1 -15 +6 D+ A+ A- -19 D+ C- F
 Mon, Nov 24 245 Rice W 89 - 84 OT 67%  -1  2 - 1 +0 +2 C- C+ C -2 D+ B- C+
 Tue, Nov 25 298 Oral Roberts L 83 - 91 76%  +1  2 - 2 -16 -1 C- F D -14 F A A+
 Wed, Nov 26 189 @Florida Gulf Coast W 102 - 100 OT 45%  +0  3 - 2 +3 +7 A- D- F -5 C+ B D-
 Tue, Dec 2 342 Jackson St. W 88 - 73 90%  +9  4 - 2 +0 +5 F A A- -5 A F C-
 Sat, Dec 6 304 Georgia St. W 92 - 69 84%  +16  5 - 2 +12 +0 A+ C- F +8 A+ F F
 Wed, Dec 17 123 @Middle Tennessee L 67 - 68 30%  -7  5 - 3 0 - 1 +4 -3 F C D- +7 A+ A A+
 Sun, Dec 21 13 Alabama L 81 - 92 5%  -18  5 - 4 +7 +4 C A+ F +4 A+ B+ D
 Fri, Jan 2 99 @Liberty L 73 - 81 21%  -8  5 - 5 0 - 2 +0 -1 F C C +2 C A A-
 Sun, Jan 4 277 @Delaware L 52 - 67 63%  -5  5 - 6 0 - 3 -19 -16 F D+ F -4 D+ B F
 Wed, Jan 7 192 Missouri St. W 90 - 80 68%  +8  6 - 6 1 - 3 +5 +10 A+ B F -6 C+ D+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 208 Jacksonville St. W 76 - 71 69% 
 Wed, Jan 14 164 Florida International W 86 - 83 62% 
 Sat, Jan 17 155 @Western Kentucky L 83 - 86 37% 
 Wed, Jan 21 134 @Sam Houston St. L 81 - 86 33% 
 Sat, Jan 24 228 @Louisiana Tech W 71 - 70 52% 
 Wed, Jan 28 155 Western Kentucky W 86 - 83 60% 
 Sat, Jan 31 136 New Mexico St. W 78 - 77 54% 
 Sat, Feb 7 208 @Jacksonville St. L 73 - 74 47% 
 Thu, Feb 12 123 Middle Tennessee W 78 - 77 51% 
 Sat, Feb 14 134 Sam Houston St. W 84 - 83 54% 
 Wed, Feb 18 192 @Missouri St. L 74 - 75 46% 
 Sat, Feb 21 228 Louisiana Tech W 73 - 67 72% 
 Thu, Feb 26 99 Liberty L 77 - 80 41% 
 Sat, Feb 28 277 Delaware W 77 - 68 81% 
 Thu, Mar 5 244 @UTEP W 75 - 74 55% 
 Sat, Mar 7 136 @New Mexico St. L 75 - 80 33% 
Totals 14 - 14 9 - 11 +0 -1 C- C C- +0 B- C+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 2.5 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.5 4.2 2.9 0.5 0.1 9.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 4.9 3.6 0.6 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 4.5 5.2 0.8 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.1 3.0 6.2 1.6 0.1 11.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 6.5 3.1 0.2 11.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 5.1 4.3 0.4 0.0 10.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.7 5.0 0.9 0.0 10.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 2.8 3.8 1.5 0.0 8.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 2.1 2.5 1.1 0.1 6.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 2.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.4 6.5 9.7 13.4 15.2 15.2 13.5 9.9 6.2 3.0 1.5 0.3 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 87.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 81.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 44.1% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1
14-6 22.1% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 4.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.3% 26.1% 26.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-5 1.5% 21.4% 21.4% 12.8 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.1
14-6 3.0% 20.1% 20.1% 13.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.4
13-7 6.2% 15.3% 15.3% 13.4 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 5.3
12-8 9.9% 12.9% 12.9% 13.7 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.1 8.6
11-9 13.5% 8.6% 8.6% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 12.4
10-10 15.2% 4.9% 4.9% 14.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 14.5
9-11 15.2% 3.3% 3.3% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 14.7
8-12 13.4% 1.6% 1.6% 15.3 0.2 0.1 13.2
7-13 9.7% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.5
6-14 6.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 6.4
5-15 3.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.4
4-16 1.4% 1.4
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 13.9 93.8 0.0%