Kennesaw St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -0.4 165
Results Rating -0.7 170
Pace 76.6 20
Improvement +1.0 150

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 146 C- C+ C B- B
Defense C- 204 C C+ C- F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 112 D+ 55% 267 +0.1 173
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 303 D+ 35% 266 -2.9 318
Three Pointers 45% 93 C- 33% 214 +1.7 126
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.0 53 D+ -2.2 258
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 205
Second Chance B- 34.3% 72 D+ 0.96 283 C+ 0.33 128
Turnovers C 16.8% 171
Freethrows B 0.35 51 D+ 69% 284 B- 0.24 112
Total Offense C +0.7 146

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 38% 322 F+ 15.7% 353
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 148 D+ 6.9% 300
Three Pointers B 89% 57 D+ 1.3% 295
Total C 55% 195 F 8.0% 351

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 76 B 52% 45 -0.1 176
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 245 C- 39% 227 -0.6 141
Three Pointers 39% 248 D 37% 317 +0.7 220
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 270 C -0.5 163
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 179
Second Chance C 30.3% 177 B- 0.97 93 C+ 0.30 129
Turnovers C- 16.0% 229
Freethrows F 0.40 361 D 75% 314 F 0.30 363
Total Defense C- -1.1 204

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 167 A 19.3% 12
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 19% 57 C+ 5.8% 110
Three Pointers B 80% 62 B- 1.6% 65
Total C+ 54% 134 A 9.9% 8

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.7 38 17.1 143
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 193 0.18 226
Improvement +0.6 #152 +0.5 #161

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 195 164 135
Results Rating Rank 208 172 132
Conference Record 9 - 11 10 - 10 12 - 8
Conference Finish 7 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7% 10% 5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.3
.500 or above 87% 97% 78%
.500 or above in Conference 75% 94% 59%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 1%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round7% 10% 5%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Liberty (Home) - 44.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 34 - 55 - 10
Quad 412 - 416 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 328 @Florida A&M W 92 - 72 76% +9  87% 1 - 0 B+ +12 C+ +3 A- D- C+ B+ +6 A+ C- F
 Sun, Nov 16 58 South Florida L 89 - 108 26% -9  0% 1 - 1 D- -13 B- +5 D A B- F -15 D+ D F+
 Mon, Nov 24 232 Rice W 89 - 84 OT 64% -1  34% 2 - 1 C +1 C- -2 D+ C- C B- +2 C- B C+
 Tue, Nov 25 335 Oral Roberts L 83 - 91 85% +1  55% 2 - 2 F -19 D -5 D+ D F F -14 F B+ A+
 Wed, Nov 26 251 @Florida Gulf Coast W 102 - 100 OT 56% +0  50% 3 - 2 C +0 B- +5 B D F D -5 D+ B- D-
 Tue, Dec 2 337 Jackson St. W 88 - 73 91% +9  74% 4 - 2 C +0 C +1 F A B+ C- -2 B+ F C
 Sat, Dec 6 289 Georgia St. W 92 - 69 83% +16  97% 5 - 2 B+ +12 C- -2 A C F A +10 A+ D- D
 Wed, Dec 17 167 @Middle Tennessee L 67 - 68 39% -7  4% 5 - 3 0 - 1 C +2 D- -7 F C+ F+ A +8 A A+ A
 Sun, Dec 21 18 Alabama L 81 - 92 5% -18  0% 5 - 4 B- +7 C +1 C+ A+ F A- +7 A+ B D
 Fri, Jan 2 107 @Liberty L 73 - 81 24% -8  1% 5 - 5 0 - 2 C -1 D -6 F D+ C B +5 B- B- B+
 Sun, Jan 4 265 @Delaware L 52 - 67 60% -5  22% 5 - 6 0 - 3 F -18 F -20 F F F C+ +1 D+ B D
 Wed, Jan 7 204 Missouri St. W 90 - 80 69% +8  90% 6 - 6 1 - 3 C+ +5 B +7 A B F C- -3 C C C
 Sat, Jan 10 196 Jacksonville St. W 88 - 82 68% +5  96% 7 - 6 2 - 3 C +1 B+ +8 C A+ B+ D- -7 F C C-
 Wed, Jan 14 184 Florida International W 89 - 86 66% -4  19% 8 - 6 3 - 3 C -2 B+ +8 B D+ A+ F+ -9 B+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 17 147 @Western Kentucky W 81 - 65 35% +5  79% 9 - 6 4 - 3 A +20 B +6 B- F+ B+ A+ +13 B+ A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 21 114 @Sam Houston St. L 87 - 93 27% -5  2% 9 - 7 4 - 4 C +0 A- +9 C B A+ F+ -9 F C+ F
 Fri, Jan 23 215 @Louisiana Tech L 76 - 82 49% +2  63% 9 - 8 4 - 5 D+ -6 A- +10 C B- A F -16 F F D
 Wed, Jan 28 147 Western Kentucky W 72 - 69 58% -0  56% 10 - 8 5 - 5 C +1 D -5 C C- C B+ +5 A+ D D-
 Sat, Jan 31 163 New Mexico St. W 76 - 53 61% +15  82% 11 - 8 6 - 5 A +20 C +1 C+ A- B+ A+ +20 A+ A+ B+
 Sat, Feb 7 196 @Jacksonville St. L 58 - 77 45% -11  4% 11 - 9 6 - 6 F -18 F -13 F B C D- -7 D- C- D
 Thu, Feb 12 167 Middle Tennessee L 87 - 90 62% +3  81% 11 - 10 6 - 7 D+ -6 A- +9 B+ A+ A- F -16 F B B-
 Sat, Feb 14 114 Sam Houston St. L 79 - 83 48% -2  14% 11 - 11 6 - 8 C- -4 B +7 B+ B B+ F -11 F D C-
 Wed, Feb 18 204 @Missouri St. W 91 - 87 46% +5  94% 12 - 11 7 - 8 C+ +5 A +13 A B- A F+ -9 F B+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 215 Louisiana Tech W 58 - 55 71% +1  51% 13 - 11 8 - 8 C- -3 F -14 F+ F D+ A+ +11 B- B A+
 Thu, Feb 26 107 Liberty L 79 - 80 45%
 Sat, Feb 28 265 Delaware W 79 - 70 79%
 Thu, Mar 5 243 @UTEP W 75 - 74 54%
 Sat, Mar 7 163 @New Mexico St. L 77 - 80 39%
Totals 15 - 13 10 - 10 +0 C +1 D D+ B C- -1 C- D+ B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ D+ C- D+ 41% 27% 45% B C- B- D+ C+ C B D+ B- C- B C- D C 43% 19% 39% D+ C C B- C+ C- F D F
1.10 55% 35% 33% -2 +1 1.00 34% 1.0 .33 17% .35 69% .24 1.10 52% 39% 37% -1 +1 1.02 30% 1.0 .30 16% .40 75% .26
Nov
8		 Florida A&M C+ A C- A- A- 47% 15% 38% B- A- F A+ D- C+ A D- B+ B+ A+ A A+ A+ 49% 20% 31% F A+ D B- C- F F F+ F
1.14 72% 38% 40% +10 +1 1.25 15% 1.5 .22 17% .42 71% .30 0.89 41% 25% 22% -16 +1 0.71 30% 0.8 .23 15% .48 73% .35
Nov
16		 South Florida B- C F F F 52% 5% 43% A+ D A+ C A B- A+ D- A+ F B- B F+ C- 60% 6% 35% F+ D+ C D- D F+ F F F
1.12 55% 0% 25% -9 +3 0.89 46% 1.0 .44 18% .59 64% .38 1.36 52% 33% 39% -2 +3 1.06 39% 1.3 .50 11% .65 83% .54
Nov
24		 Rice C- D- F B D- 40% 17% 43% A D+ B+ F C- C A+ B- A+ B- A D- D- C- 33% 29% 38% D+ C- B- B+ B C+ F A- F
1.10 54% 20% 38% -2 +1 1.00 39% 0.8 .32 16% .44 77% .34 1.04 44% 44% 38% 0 -1 0.98 34% 0.8 .27 19% .58 63% .37
Nov
25		 Oral Roberts D D+ A+ F+ C- 38% 22% 40% D- D+ C F D F A+ D- A+ F F A+ F F 44% 11% 44% F+ F A+ D+ B+ A+ F F F
1.07 53% 55% 30% -1 0 1.00 33% 0.9 .31 19% .56 66% .37 1.17 65% 20% 60% +18 +2 1.42 17% 1.0 .17 26% .49 86% .42
Nov
26		 Florida Gulf Coast B- B+ A+ C- B- 49% 7% 44% A B B+ F D F A+ A- A+ D B+ C+ F C- 42% 20% 38% F+ D+ B- C+ B- D- F C F
1.17 67% 50% 33% +5 +2 1.16 36% 0.7 .25 22% .53 81% .43 1.15 52% 38% 42% +2 0 1.06 27% 1.0 .27 14% .52 72% .37
Dec
2		 Jackson St. C D+ F F F 41% 2% 57% A F A+ C A B+ A+ F A+ C- A+ D+ A- A- 31% 24% 45% C- B+ D+ F F C F F F
1.21 57% 0% 21% -12 +3 0.82 50% 1.0 .52 12% .61 64% .39 1.00 33% 42% 27% -11 -1 0.78 29% 1.3 .37 19% .49 90% .44
Dec
6		 Georgia St. C- B- C- A+ A 44% 15% 41% B- A D- A C F A+ F A A A+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 16% 46% F A+ C+ F D- D F B- F
1.09 63% 38% 45% +9 +1 1.22 27% 1.2 .33 23% .44 62% .28 0.82 29% 11% 15% -28 +1 0.46 25% 1.4 .36 14% .46 76% .35
Dec
17		 Middle Tennessee D- D F F F 56% 8% 35% A+ F A+ F C+ F+ A- B+ A A B A C+ A 29% 31% 40% A- A F+ A+ A+ A F F F
0.97 52% 25% 18% -13 +3 0.81 43% 0.7 .31 19% .39 82% .32 0.98 54% 29% 33% -5 -2 0.89 37% 0.4 .15 20% .58 75% .43
Dec
21		 Alabama C B C D- B- 30% 33% 37% D C+ A- A+ A+ F C+ A+ B+ A- B- A+ B+ A+ 40% 14% 46% C+ A+ B+ C B D B- C- C+
1.03 59% 37% 29% -3 -2 0.91 35% 1.2 .42 20% .29 78% .22 1.17 58% 33% 30% -4 +1 0.97 30% 1.2 .34 10% .33 78% .25
Jan
2		 Liberty D F F F F 40% 12% 48% B+ F A+ F D+ C D+ D- D+ B B- F D- B 56% 4% 40% D B- B C B- B+ F F F
1.00 38% 29% 28% -14 +1 0.77 46% 0.8 .35 18% .22 69% .15 1.11 57% 50% 40% +4 +3 1.16 14% 1.0 .14 16% .39 79% .31
Jan
4		 Delaware F F A+ F F 22% 16% 61% C+ F B F F F D A+ C- C+ D+ D C- C- 51% 19% 30% F+ D+ C A+ B D F+ A+ C
0.81 18% 75% 23% -13 -1 0.76 35% 0.5 .19 20% .24 92% .22 1.05 63% 44% 36% +4 +1 1.13 20% 0.7 .13 16% .32 59% .19
Jan
7		 Missouri St. B B+ D A A- 38% 6% 56% A+ A B C+ B F A+ B+ A+ C- A- D+ C B- 46% 15% 39% F C F A+ C C F A F
1.21 72% 33% 41% +11 +2 1.27 36% 1.1 .39 24% .57 78% .44 1.07 52% 38% 33% -3 +1 0.98 42% 0.8 .36 17% .50 58% .29
Jan
10		 Jacksonville St. B+ D+ F C+ C- 48% 9% 43% A- C B A+ A+ B+ A+ D A+ D- C+ F F F 55% 4% 40% F F D+ B C C- F B+ D-
1.21 55% 25% 35% -2 +2 1.02 33% 1.5 .52 14% .54 74% .40 1.13 54% 50% 47% +6 +3 1.21 31% 0.9 .28 17% .45 63% .28
Jan
14		 Florida International B+ D+ F A+ B+ 31% 15% 55% C- B B- F D+ A+ A+ F B+ F+ A+ A- F A 53% 13% 35% F B+ F F+ F F+ F D F
1.21 53% 13% 47% +5 0 1.13 37% 0.8 .30 15% .46 59% .27 1.16 31% 29% 47% -9 +2 0.89 44% 1.2 .53 14% .39 72% .28
Jan
17		 Western Kentucky B F B+ A+ B- 27% 22% 51% C- B- B- F F+ B+ A- A- A A+ A+ B- D A- 37% 16% 47% C- B+ B+ A+ A+ D- D A+ C
1.12 43% 45% 42% +4 -1 1.08 32% 0.5 .16 15% .47 76% .36 0.90 24% 33% 37% -11 +1 0.81 27% 0.5 .14 11% .36 65% .23
Jan
21		 Sam Houston St. A- B- F B+ C 33% 21% 47% C- C B+ C+ B A+ D+ B C- F+ F A+ F F 41% 23% 36% C+ F A+ F C+ F D+ A C+
1.18 63% 17% 37% -1 0 1.00 36% 1.1 .38 11% .29 74% .21 1.26 74% 23% 50% +12 0 1.25 22% 1.6 .34 12% .29 63% .19
Jan
23		 Louisiana Tech A- F A+ C+ C 43% 15% 43% B- C B- C B- A A+ D+ A+ F B F F F 48% 22% 30% D+ F D- F F D F D+ F
1.16 40% 57% 35% -4 +1 0.96 36% 1.1 .39 14% .58 70% .41 1.25 50% 60% 50% +8 +1 1.20 39% 1.1 .43 17% .44 67% .29
Jan
28		 Western Kentucky D F F A+ D 59% 5% 36% A+ C B- F+ C- C A+ F+ B+ B+ A+ A B A+ 40% 19% 40% C A+ D+ D+ D D- F F F
1.01 46% 0% 44% -3 +4 1.02 31% 0.7 .23 18% .52 63% .33 0.97 26% 27% 30% -17 0 0.68 36% 1.1 .38 11% .40 88% .35
Jan
31		 New Mexico St. C A F D- C 33% 19% 49% C+ C+ C+ A A- B+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ 26% 41% 33% A+ A+ A- A+ A+ B+ F D- F
1.14 71% 25% 29% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.4 .47 12% .61 69% .42 0.79 30% 38% 15% -17 -4 0.62 26% 0.6 .16 18% .64 77% .49
Feb
7		 Jacksonville St. F F D F F 31% 12% 57% C F C+ A- B C C+ F D+ D- C+ D F F+ 41% 11% 48% C D- C- C C- D F D+ F
0.88 44% 33% 21% -16 +1 0.71 30% 1.2 .36 17% .34 68% .24 1.16 53% 40% 41% +3 +1 1.11 30% 1.0 .30 15% .43 71% .30
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Middle Tennessee A- C- A+ B B 43% 7% 50% A- B+ B- A+ A+ A- C+ F D F D- F F F 44% 15% 42% F F C- A B B- F F F
1.24 57% 50% 37% +3 +2 1.11 29% 1.7 .50 11% .34 62% .21 1.28 67% 57% 45% +13 +1 1.31 31% 0.8 .23 17% .48 82% .40
Feb
14		 Sam Houston St. B D+ F A+ B 43% 17% 41% B B+ B+ C- B B+ D C- D F D- F F+ F 47% 20% 33% D+ F B- F D C- F D+ F
1.19 57% 22% 45% +4 +1 1.11 37% 1.0 .37 14% .28 69% .19 1.25 67% 56% 40% +11 +1 1.24 33% 1.2 .41 17% .49 74% .36
Feb
18		 Missouri St. A A+ D- A+ A+ 15% 34% 51% D- A C- A+ B- A A+ F+ A+ F+ F F+ F+ F 26% 26% 49% C+ F B+ B B+ F F C- F
1.26 86% 31% 50% +14 -3 1.23 29% 1.3 .38 12% .54 68% .36 1.20 75% 42% 39% +9 -2 1.17 27% 1.0 .27 12% .62 67% .41
Feb
21		 Louisiana Tech F F A+ F F 45% 8% 47% A- F+ D F F D+ C+ F D+ A+ A- C B C+ 36% 31% 33% A- B- F A+ B A+ F F F
0.86 41% 75% 22% -13 +2 0.80 28% 0.7 .21 19% .33 61% .20 0.81 47% 38% 29% -7 -2 0.86 43% 0.5 .22 27% .38 79% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.2 0.9 1.1 2nd
3rd 3.2 14.0 6.5 23.8 3rd
4th 0.8 17.2 13.4 1.1 32.4 4th
5th 5.0 13.5 1.2 19.6 5th
6th 0.0 9.1 3.4 0.0 12.6 6th
7th 0.8 5.9 0.3 7.0 7th
8th 1.7 0.5 2.2 8th
9th 1.1 0.0 1.1 9th
10th 0.3 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 3.9 21.3 37.5 28.8 8.4 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 8.4% 14.5% 14.5% 13.3 0.1 0.7 0.4 0.0 7.2
11-9 28.8% 11.1% 11.1% 13.9 0.0 0.7 2.0 0.5 0.0 25.6
10-10 37.5% 6.0% 6.0% 14.3 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.9 0.0 35.3
9-11 21.3% 3.0% 3.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 20.7
8-12 3.9% 3.2% 3.2% 15.4 0.1 0.1 3.8
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 14.0 92.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.2% 100.0% 13.3 9.0 55.2 35.1 0.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.8%
Lose Out 2.0%