Longwood
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -6.7 #279
Expected Predictive Rating -7.8 #283
Pace 71.4 #118
Improvement +1.8 #92

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #264 D C- D- B+ C
Defense #283 F B- C- D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #142 1.13 #219 +0.1 #176
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #139 0.67 #274 -0.3 #192
Three Pointers 38% #238 0.86 #326 -4.4 #312
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #307 -4.6 #307
Freethrows 19.5 #79 78% #33 15.2 #39
Second Chance 32.8% #121 0.91 #323 0.30 #230
Turnovers 19.1% #315
Total Offense -3.2 #264

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #177 1.36 #356 -4.2 #315
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #332 0.80 #242 +1.8 #66
Three Pointers 46% #48 1.06 #248 -3.8 #318
1st FG Attempt 1.14 #337 -6.2 #338
Freethrows 19.3 #281 73% #197 14.0 #85
Second Chance 29.6% #135 0.98 #101 0.29 #111
Turnovers 15.7% #236
Total Defense -3.5 #283

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.2% #207 1.5% #302
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -8.7% #308 10.4% #334
Possession Length 16.9 #141 17.0 #138
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #290 0.20 #282
Improvement +0.2 #166 +1.5 #83

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.0% 2.3% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 18.2% 24.1% 8.0%
.500 or above in Conference 42.8% 53.1% 25.3%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.2% 1.6% 6.1%
First Four1.2% 1.3% 1.2%
First Round1.5% 1.7% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Home) - 62.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 9
Quad 412 - 813 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 82 @Pittsburgh L 60 - 78 7%  -5  0 - 1 -8 -9 F D- A+ +1 C B- A
 Wed, Nov 12 204 James Madison W 82 - 72 45%  +8  1 - 1 +5 +4 F D+ A- +0 D+ A C-
 Sat, Nov 15 359 Binghamton W 90 - 82 86%  +14  2 - 1 -10 +3 D- C D -14 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 341 Maryland Eastern Shore L 82 - 83 2OT 77%  -3  2 - 2 -16 -6 F B F -9 F C+ A+
 Sun, Nov 23 139 @Columbia L 70 - 95 15%  -13  2 - 3 -21 -3 A+ F F -17 F F D+
 Fri, Nov 28 190 Siena L 63 - 70 33%  -3  2 - 4 -9 -8 F A- F -1 F A+ B
 Sat, Nov 29 339 Maine W 65 - 61 68%  +3  3 - 4 -8 -2 A+ F F -5 C- F C
 Sun, Nov 30 241 @American L 66 - 92 31%  -8  3 - 5 -27 -9 F F A+ -18 F F C
 Sat, Dec 6 362 @Morgan St. W 84 - 80 73%  +1  4 - 5 -9 -0 F B+ F -9 F B+ D
 Sat, Dec 13 352 Delaware St. L 76 - 81 81%  -5  4 - 6 -21 +4 C D F -26 F A+ F
 Wed, Dec 17 62 @Wake Forest L 68 - 71 5%  -2  4 - 7 +9 -1 F B+ A +10 A- A+ D+
 Sat, Dec 20 347 @NC Central W 74 - 72 60%  +2  5 - 7 -7 -2 D B- F -5 D- A+ D
 Wed, Dec 31 152 Winthrop W 82 - 70 36%  +7  6 - 7 1 - 0 +9 +8 B A+ F +2 A+ B+ D-
 Sat, Jan 3 86 @High Point L 67 - 80 7%  -7  6 - 8 1 - 1 -3 -0 C+ C+ D- -4 C C+ C+
 Wed, Jan 7 239 @UNC Asheville L 61 - 72 30%  -6  6 - 9 1 - 2 -12 -7 F F C -7 F A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 10 289 Presbyterian W 71 - 67 63% 
 Sat, Jan 17 234 @Radford L 78 - 84 29% 
 Wed, Jan 21 363 Gardner-Webb W 84 - 72 88% 
 Sat, Jan 24 225 Charleston Southern L 78 - 79 50% 
 Thu, Jan 29 287 @South Carolina Upstate L 74 - 77 41% 
 Sat, Jan 31 86 High Point L 75 - 86 16% 
 Wed, Feb 4 363 @Gardner-Webb W 81 - 75 72% 
 Sat, Feb 7 152 @Winthrop L 75 - 85 18% 
 Thu, Feb 12 239 UNC Asheville W 74 - 73 52% 
 Sat, Feb 14 287 South Carolina Upstate W 77 - 74 62% 
 Thu, Feb 19 289 @Presbyterian L 68 - 70 42% 
 Sat, Feb 21 225 @Charleston Southern L 75 - 81 29% 
 Sat, Feb 28 234 Radford W 82 - 81 51% 
Totals 12 - 16 7 - 9 -7 -3 D C- D- -3 F B- C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.7 5.9 4.0 1.0 0.1 12.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.8 7.9 5.3 0.9 0.0 15.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 8.6 7.2 0.7 0.0 18.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 7.3 7.8 1.1 0.0 17.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 6.0 7.1 1.3 0.0 15.8 7th
8th 0.2 1.7 4.6 4.4 1.0 0.0 12.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.6 2.3 6.3 11.7 16.8 19.4 18.0 12.8 7.4 3.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 50.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 48.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-4 8.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
11-5 2.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.2% 12.8% 12.8% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 1.0% 5.9% 5.9% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
11-5 3.3% 5.7% 5.7% 15.5 0.1 0.1 3.1
10-6 7.4% 4.0% 4.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 7.1
9-7 12.8% 3.0% 3.0% 15.8 0.1 0.3 12.4
8-8 18.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4 17.6
7-9 19.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.4 19.1
6-10 16.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 16.7
5-11 11.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.6
4-12 6.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.3
3-13 2.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.3
2-14 0.6% 0.6
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.8 98.0 0.0%