Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.6 #341
Expected Predictive Rating -12.0 #330
Pace 61.3 #352
Improvement -0.3 #201

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #351 D+ D F F D-
Defense #279 C D D+ C D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #264 1.17 #163 -1.8 #246
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #55 0.87 #46 +4.1 #25
Three Pointers 38% #253 0.80 #355 -5.7 #336
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #268 -3.3 #266
Freethrows 12.5 #349 65% #343 8.1 #359
Second Chance 29.8% #219 0.86 #348 0.26 #305
Turnovers 23.3% #365
Total Offense -8.2 #351

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #155 1.14 #146 -0.3 #193
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #314 0.66 #69 +2.4 #30
Three Pointers 44% #87 1.00 #163 -1.4 #238
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #149 +0.8 #148
Freethrows 16.5 #147 74% #251 12.2 #194
Second Chance 32.5% #253 1.15 #301 0.38 #301
Turnovers 15.4% #257
Total Defense -3.4 #279

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.2% #305 1.4% #294
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.5% #247 -2.8% #128
Possession Length 20.4 #362 16.3 #40
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.08 #360 0.18 #209
Improvement +1.2 #104 -1.5 #270

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.1% 13.2% 7.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.4% 2.9% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 73.1% 86.3% 63.6%
Conference Champion 15.7% 26.6% 7.7%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 1.6% 6.2%
First Four10.0% 13.0% 7.9%
First Round4.0% 5.4% 2.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Howard (Home) - 42.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 10 - 8
Quad 410 - 1211 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 114 @Georgia Tech L 52 - 56 OT 6%  -0  0 - 1 +3 -15 F D F +18 A+ D C+
 Wed, Nov 5 24 @Georgia L 29 - 94 1%  -27  0 - 2 -46 -38 F F F -5 A+ F C
 Tue, Nov 11 23 @Nebraska L 50 - 69 1%  -15  0 - 3 -0 -11 F D- F +9 A+ C- F
 Fri, Nov 14 37 @Creighton L 45 - 84 1%  -18  0 - 4 -23 -17 D F F -9 D F C-
 Tue, Nov 18 279 @Longwood W 83 - 82 2OT 23%  +3  1 - 4 -3 -3 B+ D F -0 A F B+
 Fri, Nov 21 331 @Canisius L 57 - 60 35%  -3  1 - 5 -11 -6 F C F -5 F F C
 Sat, Nov 22 359 Binghamton W 63 - 52 64%  +9  2 - 5 -4 -6 F C F +4 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 252 Hampton L 68 - 74 37%  -10  2 - 6 -14 +3 F C+ A+ -18 F D F
 Tue, Dec 2 266 @East Carolina L 56 - 68 21%  -5  2 - 7 -15 -6 C- F D+ -12 F C- D
 Sat, Dec 6 241 @American L 60 - 78 17%  -10  2 - 8 -19 -6 A+ F F -16 F D+ D
 Tue, Dec 9 22 @Virginia L 60 - 84 1%  -12  2 - 9 -5 -2 A- D+ F -4 C- A+ F
 Fri, Dec 12 305 @N.C. A&T L 79 - 82 27%  +2  2 - 10 -8 +4 F A+ A- -12 D F C
 Sun, Dec 14 68 @Virginia Tech L 53 - 82 3%  -10  2 - 11 -17 -10 F D- F -10 F A- D
 Wed, Dec 17 316 @Wagner L 64 - 78 30%  -6  2 - 12 -20 -7 A- F F -14 C F F
 Mon, Dec 22 45 @Texas L 71 - 94 2%  -11  2 - 13 -9 +2 B- B- F -10 F A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 3 362 Morgan St. W 66 - 49 76%  +6  3 - 13 1 - 0 -2 -13 F F D- +12 A- A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 10 271 Howard L 64 - 66 42% 
 Mon, Jan 12 272 @Norfolk St. L 60 - 68 22% 
 Sat, Jan 17 364 Coppin St. W 72 - 61 86% 
 Sat, Jan 24 357 @South Carolina St. W 67 - 66 51% 
 Mon, Jan 26 347 @NC Central L 64 - 66 41% 
 Sat, Jan 31 352 @Delaware St. L 61 - 63 44% 
 Sat, Feb 7 362 @Morgan St. W 70 - 68 56% 
 Sat, Feb 14 271 @Howard L 61 - 69 23% 
 Mon, Feb 16 272 Norfolk St. L 63 - 65 43% 
 Sat, Feb 21 364 @Coppin St. W 69 - 64 69% 
 Sat, Feb 28 357 South Carolina St. W 70 - 64 72% 
 Mon, Mar 2 347 NC Central W 67 - 63 63% 
 Thu, Mar 5 352 Delaware St. W 64 - 60 66% 
Totals 10 - 19 8 - 6 -12 -8 D+ D F -3 C D D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.9 5.6 5.1 2.3 0.5 0.1 15.7 1st
2nd 0.2 3.1 8.5 5.5 0.9 0.0 18.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.4 10.0 5.6 0.4 19.5 3rd
4th 0.1 2.8 9.6 5.3 0.4 18.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.8 7.3 4.2 0.3 13.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.2 3.1 0.2 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.0 1.9 0.2 4.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.7 8th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.7 8.1 13.5 17.5 18.8 16.4 11.5 6.0 2.3 0.5 0.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5
12-2 99.1% 2.3    2.1 0.2
11-3 84.9% 5.1    3.3 1.7 0.1
10-4 48.8% 5.6    1.9 2.8 0.9 0.1
9-5 11.6% 1.9    0.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0
8-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 15.7% 15.7 8.1 5.4 1.7 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-1 0.5% 35.2% 35.2% 16.0 0.2 0.4
12-2 2.3% 27.7% 27.7% 16.0 0.6 1.7
11-3 6.0% 24.1% 24.1% 16.0 1.4 4.5
10-4 11.5% 18.6% 18.6% 16.0 2.2 9.4
9-5 16.4% 12.8% 12.8% 16.0 2.1 14.3
8-6 18.8% 7.7% 7.7% 16.0 1.5 17.3
7-7 17.5% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 1.1 16.5
6-8 13.5% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.6 12.9
5-9 8.1% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.3 7.8
4-10 3.7% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.1 3.6
3-11 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-12 0.2% 0.2
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 10.1% 10.1% 0.0% 16.0 89.9 0.0%