Maryland Eastern Shore
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.1#359
Expected Predictive Rating-17.3#358
Pace68.1#208
Improvement+0.9#123

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#346
First Shot-4.2#298
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#329
Layup/Dunks-6.4#349
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#250
Freethrows+0.9#122
Improvement-0.5#217

Defense
Total Defense-7.1#355
First Shot-4.8#331
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#337
Layups/Dunks-3.0#296
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#291
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#200
Freethrows-0.3#214
Improvement+1.4#76
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 4.5% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 14.3% 25.0% 14.3%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.0% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 31.6% 18.2% 31.6%
First Four1.0% 4.5% 0.9%
First Round0.4% 2.3% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 30 - 50 - 11
Quad 44 - 125 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 50   @ Vanderbilt L 63-102 1%     0 - 1 -25.5 -6.3 -18.2
  Nov 07, 2024 292   @ Penn L 84-87 17%     0 - 2 -7.0 +7.8 -14.8
  Nov 12, 2024 200   @ Miami (OH) L 70-88 8%     0 - 3 -16.8 +6.0 -24.7
  Nov 15, 2024 308   @ Old Dominion L 71-73 20%     0 - 4 -7.1 -5.0 -2.1
  Nov 20, 2024 133   @ Murray St. L 61-79 5%     0 - 5 -13.4 -4.9 -9.8
  Nov 23, 2024 21   @ Illinois L 40-87 1%     0 - 6 -29.2 -25.4 -2.1
  Nov 25, 2024 31   @ Arkansas L 35-109 1%     0 - 7 -58.1 -32.4 -19.9
  Nov 27, 2024 244   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 59-78 12%     0 - 8 -20.6 -9.5 -11.7
  Nov 30, 2024 10   @ Connecticut L 45-99 1%     0 - 9 -34.3 -21.8 -13.4
  Dec 05, 2024 173   @ Longwood L 76-80 7%     0 - 10 -1.6 +6.6 -8.3
  Dec 08, 2024 307   Wagner L 61-63 38%     0 - 11 -13.1 -2.8 -10.6
  Dec 28, 2024 13   @ Maryland L 57-90 0.1%   
  Jan 04, 2025 184   @ Norfolk St. L 63-79 7%    
  Jan 06, 2025 255   Howard L 71-77 29%    
  Jan 11, 2025 274   @ NC Central L 66-77 16%    
  Jan 13, 2025 253   @ South Carolina St. L 65-77 13%    
  Jan 25, 2025 327   Delaware St. L 72-74 44%    
  Feb 01, 2025 350   @ Morgan St. L 74-79 32%    
  Feb 03, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 70-64 71%    
  Feb 15, 2025 184   Norfolk St. L 66-76 18%    
  Feb 17, 2025 255   @ Howard L 68-80 14%    
  Feb 22, 2025 274   NC Central L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 24, 2025 253   South Carolina St. L 68-74 29%    
  Mar 01, 2025 350   Morgan St. W 77-76 54%    
  Mar 03, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. L 67-68 50%    
  Mar 06, 2025 327   @ Delaware St. L 69-77 24%    
Projected Record 4 - 22 4 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 3.7 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 3.9 1.4 0.1 7.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.0 6.8 2.7 0.1 14.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.7 7.7 10.0 3.9 0.2 23.5 6th
7th 0.3 4.3 11.1 10.3 3.2 0.2 29.4 7th
8th 1.3 5.0 7.7 4.5 1.1 0.0 19.5 8th
Total 1.3 5.3 12.0 17.3 19.6 17.3 13.0 7.8 3.9 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 81.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-3 72.9% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
10-4 40.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-5 7.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 0.0
12-2 0.0% 31.8% 31.8% 16.0 0.0 0.0
11-3 0.2% 15.3% 15.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1
10-4 0.6% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6
9-5 1.7% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.1 1.6
8-6 3.9% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 3.8
7-7 7.8% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 7.6
6-8 13.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 12.9
5-9 17.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 17.2
4-10 19.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 19.5
3-11 17.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 17.2
2-12 12.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.9
1-13 5.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.3
0-14 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 16.0 1.0 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%