Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#212
Expected Predictive Rating-1.2#188
Pace68.3#184
Improvement+6.9#5

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#164
First Shot+1.1#139
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#224
Layup/Dunks-0.8#215
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#161
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#140
Freethrows+0.7#131
Improvement+4.8#8

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#273
First Shot-5.4#333
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#37
Layups/Dunks-0.9#207
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#72
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#283
Freethrows-3.4#351
Improvement+2.2#73
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.9% 9.7% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 83.4% 90.6% 63.5%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 25.6% 30.7% 11.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.7% 0.6% 1.2%
First Round8.5% 9.4% 6.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota (Home) - 73.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 33 - 25 - 9
Quad 412 - 617 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 334   @ Stetson W 79-76 72%     1 - 0 -5.7 -1.2 -4.5
  Nov 09, 2024 92   @ Minnesota L 64-68 15%     1 - 1 +4.5 -0.5 +4.8
  Nov 14, 2024 101   @ UNLV L 69-80 18%     1 - 2 -3.9 -3.6 +0.2
  Nov 16, 2024 268   @ Southern Utah L 73-79 53%     1 - 3 -9.5 +0.1 -9.6
  Nov 22, 2024 308   Alabama St. L 67-85 71%     1 - 4 -26.5 -12.1 -13.9
  Nov 23, 2024 100   @ Akron L 84-92 18%     1 - 5 -0.8 +19.8 -21.1
  Nov 24, 2024 218   Lamar W 65-59 52%     2 - 5 +2.8 -2.7 +5.9
  Nov 30, 2024 242   Abilene Christian L 55-71 67%     2 - 6 -23.3 -14.5 -9.7
  Dec 04, 2024 189   Montana St. L 65-76 54%     2 - 7 -14.8 -4.3 -11.4
  Dec 07, 2024 337   @ Sacramento St. W 70-60 73%     3 - 7 +1.0 -1.0 +2.6
  Dec 13, 2024 108   @ Northern Iowa L 58-78 19%     3 - 8 -13.5 -8.4 -6.6
  Dec 15, 2024 8   @ Iowa St. L 51-83 3%     3 - 9 -11.5 -10.2 -1.6
  Dec 21, 2024 276   Cal Poly W 86-82 72%     4 - 9 -4.9 +3.8 -8.8
  Jan 02, 2025 269   @ North Dakota W 95-85 54%     5 - 9 1 - 0 +6.4 +12.7 -6.7
  Jan 04, 2025 139   @ North Dakota St. W 85-80 27%     6 - 9 2 - 0 +8.8 +10.4 -1.5
  Jan 08, 2025 235   UMKC W 77-58 65%     7 - 9 3 - 0 +12.2 +7.1 +6.3
  Jan 11, 2025 114   South Dakota St. W 87-80 38%     8 - 9 4 - 0 +7.5 +12.3 -5.0
  Jan 15, 2025 331   @ Denver W 80-62 70%     9 - 9 5 - 0 +9.9 +11.5 +0.3
  Jan 23, 2025 119   St. Thomas W 89-78 40%     10 - 9 6 - 0 +10.9 +10.9 -0.2
  Jan 25, 2025 315   @ Oral Roberts W 84-76 64%     11 - 9 7 - 0 +1.5 +5.4 -3.8
  Jan 29, 2025 262   @ South Dakota L 87-91 52%     11 - 10 7 - 1 -7.2 +1.2 -8.1
  Feb 01, 2025 331   Denver W 78-69 84%     12 - 10 8 - 1 -4.1 +0.6 -4.4
  Feb 06, 2025 269   North Dakota W 83-77 73%    
  Feb 08, 2025 139   North Dakota St. L 75-77 47%    
  Feb 13, 2025 114   @ South Dakota St. L 72-80 21%    
  Feb 15, 2025 119   @ St. Thomas L 74-82 22%    
  Feb 19, 2025 235   @ UMKC L 69-70 45%    
  Feb 22, 2025 262   South Dakota W 88-83 72%    
  Mar 01, 2025 315   Oral Roberts W 82-73 81%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.7 6.9 11.7 5.5 0.8 25.6 1st
2nd 0.0 1.6 12.4 19.8 6.1 0.3 40.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 8.9 13.2 2.7 25.8 3rd
4th 0.3 2.8 4.4 0.4 7.9 4th
5th 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.5 4.1 14.9 26.7 29.4 17.8 5.8 0.8 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8
14-2 94.5% 5.5    4.5 1.1
13-3 65.7% 11.7    4.7 6.3 0.8
12-4 23.4% 6.9    1.1 3.5 2.3 0.1
11-5 2.5% 0.7    0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 25.6% 25.6 11.0 10.9 3.5 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.8% 21.3% 21.3% 13.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-2 5.8% 13.5% 13.5% 14.4 0.0 0.4 0.4 5.1
13-3 17.8% 12.5% 12.5% 14.8 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.2 15.6
12-4 29.4% 8.7% 8.7% 15.2 0.0 0.3 1.6 0.7 26.8
11-5 26.7% 7.8% 7.8% 15.5 0.0 0.9 1.1 24.6
10-6 14.9% 6.1% 6.1% 15.7 0.3 0.6 14.0
9-7 4.1% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.2 4.0
8-8 0.5% 0.5
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 15.1 0.2 1.4 4.5 2.8 91.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 0.3%