Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.5 #241
Expected Predictive Rating -5.4 #250
Pace 68.5 #190
Improvement +2.6 #75

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #227 C D+ C C C
Defense #252 C- C+ D C D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #258 1.14 #191 -1.9 #251
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #174 0.83 #76 +0.8 #128
Three Pointers 44% #133 0.96 #253 +0.2 #173
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #199 -0.9 #198
Freethrows 0.30 #198 72% #200 0.21 #193
Second Chance 25.5% #317 1.05 #141 0.27 #276
Turnovers 16.9% #195
Total Offense -2.1 #227

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #256 1.27 #314 -0.5 #195
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #329 0.79 #248 +1.7 #64
Three Pointers 49% #18 0.99 #129 -3.1 #309
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #244 -2.0 #244
Freethrows 0.30 #187 75% #310 0.22 #215
Second Chance 29.0% #116 1.02 #165 0.30 #129
Turnovers 14.0% #327
Total Defense -2.5 #252

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.4% #221 0.9% #261
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.4% #199 2.8% #235
Possession Length 18.3 #277 16.4 #47
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #293 0.17 #174
Improvement -1.3 #260 +3.9 #27

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.2% 7.2% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 8.7% 14.9% 3.1%
.500 or above in Conference 71.9% 88.4% 57.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.8% 3.5% 4.0%
First Round4.7% 5.8% 3.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota (Away) - 47.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 11
Quad 48 - 612 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 106 Murray St. L 77 - 85 20% -5  0 - 1 -4 -6 C F+ F +3 A+ B- B
 Thu, Nov 6 267 @Abilene Christian L 71 - 73 44% -4  0 - 2 -5 -0 C- F C- -5 D- C C-
 Sun, Nov 9 103 @Colorado St. L 74 - 97 13% -8  0 - 3 -15 +7 B- D A+ -24 D- F D+
 Sat, Nov 15 284 Southern Utah W 90 - 85 70% +3  1 - 3 -5 +7 A- F C -13 F B+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 49 @LSU L 73 - 99 5% -16  1 - 4 -12 -2 C F C -7 F A+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 205 James Madison L 77 - 88 43% -13  1 - 5 -14 +7 A C+ F -22 F F D-
 Wed, Nov 26 188 @Florida International L 61 - 74 29% -8  1 - 6 -12 -13 F A- F +1 B- B F
 Wed, Dec 3 190 Northern Colorado L 70 - 75 52% -1  1 - 7 -10 -3 D B- C- -7 D+ A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 149 @Portland St. W 60 - 55 22% +2  2 - 7 +9 +6 D- A+ C +3 A C- D
 Sat, Dec 20 197 @Lamar W 85 - 82 OT 31% +7  3 - 7 +4 +10 B+ C+ C- -7 C+ F D+
 Sun, Dec 28 82 @Oregon L 57 - 80 10% -11  3 - 8 -13 -6 F+ C B -10 F+ A- F+
 Thu, Jan 1 177 @South Dakota St. L 69 - 84 27% -6  3 - 9 0 - 1 -13 -4 F+ F A+ -10 C F D+
 Sat, Jan 3 358 UMKC L 66 - 73 88% -2  3 - 10 0 - 2 -25 -11 D+ D F -14 D B- F
 Thu, Jan 8 282 North Dakota W 90 - 79 70% +7  4 - 10 1 - 2 +1 +12 A+ D+ B- -11 C- C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 139 North Dakota St. L 76 - 78 39% +6  4 - 11 1 - 3 -4 +11 C+ A+ C -15 F B- D-
 Sat, Jan 17 335 @Oral Roberts W 73 - 62 64% +6  5 - 11 2 - 3 +3 -0 B- F B+ +4 B B- C
 Wed, Jan 21 285 South Dakota L 64 - 68 71% +2  5 - 12 2 - 4 -14 -18 F F F+ +4 D+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 358 @UMKC W 77 - 60 75% +8  6 - 12 3 - 4 +5 -3 D B- F +8 C A C+
 Wed, Jan 28 177 South Dakota St. W 80 - 71 49% +2  7 - 12 4 - 4 +5 +4 C- B- A +1 A B- C
 Sat, Jan 31 288 @Denver W 84 - 82 49% -1  8 - 12 5 - 4 -2 +1 D+ F B- -4 C- A- F
 Thu, Feb 5 282 @North Dakota L 76 - 77 47%
 Sat, Feb 7 139 @North Dakota St. L 68 - 77 20%
 Thu, Feb 12 133 St. Thomas L 74 - 77 38%
 Sat, Feb 14 288 Denver W 83 - 77 71%
 Wed, Feb 18 335 Oral Roberts W 78 - 68 82%
 Wed, Feb 25 285 @South Dakota L 80 - 81 49%
 Sat, Feb 28 133 @St. Thomas L 71 - 80 20%
Totals 11 - 16 8 - 8 -5 -2 C D+ C -2 C- C+ D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 2.0 0.3 3.4 2nd
3rd 0.3 4.3 6.6 1.7 12.9 3rd
4th 0.5 7.2 13.6 4.0 0.1 25.4 4th
5th 0.8 9.9 19.0 7.4 0.5 37.5 5th
6th 0.3 4.0 9.4 3.5 0.1 17.3 6th
7th 0.6 2.0 0.6 3.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.9 6.8 20.4 30.1 25.5 12.3 3.7 0.4 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 28.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
11-5 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.4% 26.3% 26.3% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.3
11-5 3.7% 15.1% 15.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 3.2
10-6 12.3% 8.1% 8.1% 15.4 0.0 0.6 0.4 11.3
9-7 25.5% 6.8% 6.8% 15.9 0.1 1.6 23.7
8-8 30.1% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 1.7 28.3
7-9 20.4% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.9 19.5
6-10 6.8% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.2 6.6
5-11 0.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.9
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 15.8 93.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 13.9 10.0 90.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 0.6%