Nebraska Omaha
Summit League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#294
Expected Predictive Rating-6.4#273
Pace67.9#211
Improvement+0.9#126

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#253
First Shot-2.5#246
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#213
Layup/Dunks-1.8#243
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#171
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#195
Freethrows-0.1#184
Improvement-0.5#220

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#308
First Shot-6.0#350
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#59
Layups/Dunks-1.0#208
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#95
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#285
Freethrows-3.5#351
Improvement+1.4#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.0% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 2.6% 5.3% 1.2%
.500 or above in Conference 20.9% 34.0% 13.8%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.3% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 25.7% 12.7% 32.8%
First Four1.0% 1.2% 0.9%
First Round0.9% 1.4% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota (Away) - 35.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 32 - 72 - 13
Quad 48 - 810 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 348   @ Stetson W 79-76 57%     1 - 0 -5.9 -0.5 -5.5
  Nov 09, 2024 111   @ Minnesota L 64-68 11%     1 - 1 +2.3 -0.2 +2.3
  Nov 14, 2024 106   @ UNLV L 69-80 9%     1 - 2 -3.6 -3.2 +0.1
  Nov 16, 2024 228   @ Southern Utah L 73-79 26%     1 - 3 -6.6 +0.0 -6.7
  Nov 22, 2024 291   Alabama St. L 67-85 49%     1 - 4 -25.0 -12.5 -12.0
  Nov 23, 2024 148   @ Akron L 84-92 16%     1 - 5 -4.7 +18.3 -23.5
  Nov 24, 2024 196   Lamar W 65-59 30%     2 - 5 +4.3 -2.1 +6.8
  Nov 30, 2024 212   Abilene Christian L 55-71 44%     2 - 6 -21.6 -15.9 -6.6
  Dec 04, 2024 155   Montana St. L 65-76 34%     2 - 7 -13.9 -4.6 -10.2
  Dec 07, 2024 335   @ Sacramento St. W 70-60 52%     3 - 7 +2.3 -0.1 +2.9
  Dec 13, 2024 99   @ Northern Iowa L 58-78 9%     3 - 8 -12.1 -8.1 -5.5
  Dec 15, 2024 6   @ Iowa St. L 51-83 1%     3 - 9 -9.4 -11.5 +1.8
  Dec 21, 2024 271   Cal Poly W 86-82 56%     4 - 9 -4.9 +3.8 -8.9
  Jan 02, 2025 275   @ North Dakota L 73-77 35%    
  Jan 04, 2025 114   @ North Dakota St. L 67-80 11%    
  Jan 08, 2025 222   UMKC L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 11, 2025 120   South Dakota St. L 70-77 26%    
  Jan 15, 2025 319   @ Denver L 73-74 45%    
  Jan 23, 2025 125   St. Thomas L 72-78 27%    
  Jan 25, 2025 284   @ Oral Roberts L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 29, 2025 236   @ South Dakota L 80-86 29%    
  Feb 01, 2025 319   Denver W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 06, 2025 275   North Dakota W 76-74 57%    
  Feb 08, 2025 114   North Dakota St. L 70-77 25%    
  Feb 13, 2025 120   @ South Dakota St. L 67-80 12%    
  Feb 15, 2025 125   @ St. Thomas L 69-81 13%    
  Feb 19, 2025 222   @ UMKC L 66-73 27%    
  Feb 22, 2025 236   South Dakota L 82-83 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 284   Oral Roberts W 75-73 59%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 4.3 3.1 0.7 0.0 9.5 4th
5th 0.1 2.3 6.4 4.2 0.8 0.0 13.7 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 7.8 5.0 0.8 0.0 16.6 6th
7th 0.3 3.1 8.6 6.0 0.9 0.0 18.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.9 8.0 5.2 0.9 0.0 18.6 8th
9th 0.3 1.9 4.4 5.7 2.8 0.5 0.0 15.8 9th
Total 0.3 1.9 5.1 9.9 14.1 17.0 17.0 13.7 9.9 6.0 3.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 81.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-4 53.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 13.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.1% 14.5% 14.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.5% 9.7% 9.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
11-5 1.3% 7.7% 7.7% 15.3 0.1 0.0 1.2
10-6 3.1% 5.7% 5.7% 15.6 0.1 0.1 2.9
9-7 6.0% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 5.8
8-8 9.9% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 9.7
7-9 13.7% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 13.4
6-10 17.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 16.8
5-11 17.0% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 16.9
4-12 14.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.1
3-13 9.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.9
2-14 5.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.0
1-15 1.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.9
0-16 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%