Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.4#348
Expected Predictive Rating-16.5#356
Pace76.2#24
Improvement-2.0#278

Offense
Total Offense-6.0#327
First Shot-4.5#305
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#271
Layup/Dunks-1.7#251
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#333
Freethrows+0.6#144
Improvement-4.9#355

Defense
Total Defense-6.5#346
First Shot-5.1#326
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#296
Layups/Dunks-3.9#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#101
Freethrows-3.4#350
Improvement+2.9#38
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 1.9% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 16.1% 29.4% 7.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Four1.4% 1.9% 1.0%
First Round0.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bethune-Cookman (Home) - 39.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 30 - 50 - 12
Quad 47 - 127 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 112   @ DePaul L 59-92 6%     0 - 1 -27.3 -18.1 -5.7
  Nov 12, 2024 291   @ Incarnate Word L 81-84 23%     0 - 2 -7.6 +1.6 -9.1
  Nov 18, 2024 42   @ SMU L 69-110 2%     0 - 3 -26.9 -7.0 -14.4
  Nov 20, 2024 259   @ Fresno St. L 83-94 19%     0 - 4 -14.1 -0.1 -12.7
  Nov 23, 2024 154   @ Northern Colorado L 98-114 8%     0 - 5 -12.9 +10.2 -20.7
  Nov 30, 2024 186   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 74-109 11%     0 - 6 -33.8 -1.0 -31.4
  Dec 06, 2024 96   @ UAB L 66-95 4%     0 - 7 -21.6 -9.4 -11.2
  Dec 08, 2024 35   @ Mississippi St. L 84-91 1%     0 - 8 +8.7 +20.1 -11.6
  Dec 14, 2024 136   @ Loyola Marymount L 75-76 7%     0 - 9 +3.0 +5.7 -2.7
  Dec 17, 2024 29   @ UCLA L 75-111 1%     0 - 10 -19.2 +6.1 -22.6
  Dec 22, 2024 192   @ Rice L 46-64 11%     0 - 11 -17.0 -19.7 +0.1
  Dec 29, 2024 34   @ Oklahoma L 67-89 1%     0 - 12 -6.3 +3.9 -11.3
  Jan 04, 2025 339   Grambling St. W 73-55 57%     1 - 12 1 - 0 +3.9 -1.0 +5.8
  Jan 06, 2025 224   Southern L 80-84 27%     1 - 13 1 - 1 -9.9 -0.7 -8.8
  Jan 11, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 74-65 83%     2 - 13 2 - 1 -13.6 -4.4 -8.8
  Jan 13, 2025 363   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 75-64 65%     3 - 13 3 - 1 -5.3 -16.4 +9.9
  Jan 18, 2025 284   Jackson St. L 70-79 38%     3 - 14 3 - 2 -18.2 -6.4 -11.6
  Jan 20, 2025 320   Alcorn St. L 70-78 48%     3 - 15 3 - 3 -19.9 -10.4 -9.2
  Jan 25, 2025 308   @ Alabama St. L 63-66 27%     3 - 16 3 - 4 -9.0 -13.4 +4.4
  Jan 27, 2025 360   @ Alabama A&M L 82-98 48%     3 - 17 3 - 5 -27.9 -9.7 -15.4
  Feb 01, 2025 274   @ Texas Southern L 63-79 21%     3 - 18 3 - 6 -19.8 -4.5 -16.5
  Feb 08, 2025 279   Bethune-Cookman L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 10, 2025 340   Florida A&M W 78-76 59%    
  Feb 15, 2025 224   @ Southern L 69-80 13%    
  Feb 17, 2025 339   @ Grambling St. L 70-73 36%    
  Feb 22, 2025 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 90-81 81%    
  Feb 24, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 79-64 93%    
  Mar 01, 2025 320   @ Alcorn St. L 70-75 29%    
  Mar 03, 2025 284   @ Jackson St. L 72-80 21%    
  Mar 08, 2025 274   Texas Southern L 74-78 39%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 1.5 0.3 2.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 3.8 1.6 0.1 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 2.9 10.1 5.4 0.6 19.1 7th
8th 0.1 3.8 14.2 9.7 1.3 29.0 8th
9th 0.2 3.5 12.6 9.9 1.2 0.0 27.4 9th
10th 0.1 1.7 6.2 5.0 0.9 13.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.2 2.2 10.1 21.4 27.9 22.0 11.3 4.0 0.8 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.8% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.1 0.7
10-8 4.0% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.2 3.8
9-9 11.3% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.3 10.9
8-10 22.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.5 21.5
7-11 27.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.3 27.7
6-12 21.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 21.4
5-13 10.1% 10.1
4-14 2.2% 2.2
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 16.0 1.4 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%