Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.2 331
Results Rating -12.5 342
Pace 79.3 7
Improvement -1.4 238

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 324 D- D C+ B+ F+
Defense D 313 D F+ B- F+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 255 D 53% 303 -3.3 295
2 Pt. Jumpers 59% 17 C- 37% 220 +4.4 25
Three Pointers 30% 351 F+ 29% 342 -7.6 356
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.8 346 D- -4.7 329
1st FG Attempt D- 0.89 347
Second Chance F+ 23.1% 346 C+ 1.05 143 D 0.24 323
Turnovers C+ 15.8% 118
Freethrows B 0.35 47 B 75% 74 B+ 0.26 38
Total Offense D -6.2 324

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots F 26% 363 C 10.7% 162
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 127 C+ 4.2% 123
Three Pointers D+ 80% 269 B+ 0.2% 27
Total F 39% 364 C+ 5.3% 153

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 68 C- 59% 218 +3.3 288
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 219 D 43% 324 +0.3 211
Three Pointers 38% 269 D- 38% 331 +0.6 214
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 263 D +3.5 314
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 316
Second Chance F+ 36.6% 353 D+ 1.10 283 F+ 0.40 350
Turnovers B- 18.1% 100
Freethrows D- 0.37 343 D+ 74% 260 F+ 0.27 345
Total Defense D -5.0 313

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 308 C 11.4% 152
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 30% 277 B- 7.0% 65
Three Pointers B- 80% 70 C+ 1.1% 117
Total C- 58% 238 B- 6.7% 89

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.0 53 15.7 4
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 58 0.18 212
Improvement -0.5 #217 -0.9 #243

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 343 332 319
Results Rating Rank 351 339 325
Conference Record 6 - 12 8 - 10 9 - 9
Conference Finish 11 9 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 13% 21% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 3% 0%
First Round1% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Jackson St. (Home) - 63.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 20 - 7
Quad 49 - 129 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 97 @Wichita St. L 62 - 105 4% -18  0% 0 - 1 F -34 F -13 F A F F -17 F D D+
 Wed, Nov 12 68 @Oklahoma St. L 67 - 94 3% -16  1% 0 - 2 F+ -16 F -12 D+ F B+ C -1 B F B
 Mon, Nov 17 49 @Missouri L 73 - 91 2% -19  2% 0 - 3 C- -4 D+ -4 D- D+ A+ C+ +1 C C- C+
 Sat, Nov 22 217 Tennessee Martin L 68 - 69 22% +2  57% 0 - 4 C- -4 D -5 F D B+ C+ +1 C- B+ B-
 Sun, Nov 23 340 North Florida W 85 - 82 53% -5  9% 1 - 4 D -9 D -5 D- F D+ D+ -5 F F+ A+
 Sun, Nov 30 137 @North Texas L 69 - 72 8% +2  69% 1 - 5 C +1 C -0 C- D A+ C+ +1 F A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 293 @South Dakota L 85 - 97 27% -9  12% 1 - 6 F+ -17 D+ -3 C- D D+ F -13 D F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 53 @LSU L 90 - 104 2% -2  32% 1 - 7 C -1 A +13 A+ D+ B- F -13 C+ F C
 Mon, Dec 29 34 @Texas A&M L 82 - 111 1% -22  0% 1 - 8 D- -12 C- -2 D- B B D+ -5 D+ D B-
 Sat, Jan 3 296 @Grambling St. L 72 - 76 27% -4  1% 1 - 9 0 - 1 D -9 D- -7 F D+ F C- -2 F+ D A+
 Mon, Jan 5 258 @Southern W 89 - 85 21% +5  84% 2 - 9 1 - 1 C +1 B +6 B- B B- D -5 C D- C
 Sat, Jan 10 365 Mississippi Valley W 70 - 69 91% -2  21% 3 - 9 2 - 1 F -25 F -17 F F B- F+ -8 F F A
 Mon, Jan 12 329 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 73 - 61 60% +6  85% 4 - 9 3 - 1 C- -2 F+ -10 D+ F A+ A- +8 A+ C- B-
 Sat, Jan 17 337 @Jackson St. L 78 - 82 41% -4  13% 4 - 10 3 - 2 D- -13 D- -7 F D C D -6 F D A-
 Mon, Jan 19 345 @Alcorn St. L 75 - 76 44% -3  14% 4 - 11 3 - 3 D -11 D -5 C F A- D -6 C F C-
 Sat, Jan 24 312 Alabama St. L 80 - 95 54% -12  0% 4 - 12 3 - 4 F -27 F -13 F B+ F F -12 F C- D+
 Tue, Jan 27 310 Alabama A&M L 60 - 80 52% -12  8% 4 - 13 3 - 5 F -32 F -20 F F C- F -13 F B- C+
 Sat, Jan 31 305 Texas Southern W 85 - 78 51% +2  57% 5 - 13 4 - 5 C- -5 C- -1 D- D A+ D+ -4 C- F C
 Sat, Feb 7 240 @Bethune-Cookman L 76 - 82 18% -0  44% 5 - 14 4 - 6 D+ -7 D -4 F D A+ C- -2 A+ F D
 Mon, Feb 9 328 @Florida A&M L 96 - 100 37% -13  2% 5 - 15 4 - 7 D- -12 C +2 C D+ D- F -13 F F A
 Sat, Feb 14 258 Southern L 82 - 87 40% -0  45% 5 - 16 4 - 8 D- -14 D -4 D F B+ F+ -9 D F D
 Mon, Feb 16 296 Grambling St. W 68 - 63 49% +3  67% 6 - 16 5 - 8 D+ -6 F+ -10 F B A B +4 A F B+
 Thu, Feb 19 365 @Mississippi Valley W 72 - 62 80% +6  89% 7 - 16 6 - 8 D -10 F+ -9 F A- D C -1 A- D- F
 Sat, Feb 21 329 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 82 - 84 37% -3  11% 7 - 17 6 - 9 D -10 B- +4 D A- F F -14 F F F+
 Thu, Feb 26 337 Jackson St. W 85 - 81 63%
 Sat, Feb 28 345 Alcorn St. W 81 - 77 66%
 Thu, Mar 5 305 @Texas Southern L 78 - 84 30%
Totals 9 - 18 8 - 10 -11 D -6 F D- F+ D -5 F+ B B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D C- F+ D- 36% 59% 30% F+ D- F+ C+ D C+ B B B+ D C- D D- D 43% 19% 38% D+ D F+ D+ F+ B- D- D+ F+
1.00 53% 37% 29% -5 -2 0.89 23% 1.0 .24 16% .35 75% .26 1.16 59% 43% 38% +4 +1 1.10 37% 1.1 .40 18% .37 74% .26
Nov
8		 Wichita St. F F F F F 27% 46% 27% F F C A+ A F A+ A+ A+ F C- F F F 42% 13% 44% F+ F D+ D+ D D+ F F F
0.81 43% 25% 7% -21 -4 0.52 28% 1.4 .40 22% .47 79% .37 1.37 59% 57% 43% +9 +1 1.23 41% 1.1 .44 13% .61 76% .46
Nov
12		 Oklahoma St. F F+ C- C+ D+ 41% 19% 40% C D+ F D+ F B+ F+ F F C B+ B- C- B 45% 16% 39% B B F F F B F+ B D
0.85 46% 36% 35% -5 0 0.93 13% 1.0 .13 15% .21 57% .12 1.19 52% 33% 36% -2 +1 1.00 42% 1.2 .51 18% .41 70% .29
Nov
17		 Missouri D+ F F B- F+ 35% 28% 37% C D- F A+ D+ A+ D A+ C C+ C+ A+ F C+ 50% 11% 39% D- C C+ D C- C+ D+ C C-
0.96 43% 24% 36% -8 -1 0.83 14% 1.5 .21 12% .24 88% .21 1.19 59% 17% 43% +3 +2 1.13 35% 1.3 .44 18% .40 68% .27
Nov
22		 Tennessee Martin D D C+ F F+ 23% 45% 32% F F D- C- D B+ A+ A A+ C+ D F A+ C- 40% 18% 43% D C- A C B+ B- F D F
0.98 55% 38% 20% -7 -4 0.79 27% 0.9 .24 16% .53 77% .41 0.99 63% 57% 24% -2 +1 1.00 28% 0.9 .25 23% .56 70% .39
Nov
23		 North Florida D A- C D- C- 24% 39% 37% F D- A- F F D+ A+ C- A+ D+ D F F F 36% 11% 53% D+ F F B+ F+ A+ F B+ F
1.16 69% 43% 30% +2 -3 1.00 45% 0.5 .23 14% .52 70% .36 1.12 63% 80% 46% +16 +1 1.36 38% 1.0 .38 29% .42 73% .31
Nov
30		 North Texas C C- C+ F C- 49% 27% 24% C+ C- F A+ D A+ C A+ B+ C+ F A+ F F 52% 20% 27% C F C A+ A+ A+ F C+ F
0.98 54% 38% 25% -5 0 0.92 18% 1.5 .27 16% .37 82% .30 1.02 74% 0% 50% +7 +1 1.18 34% 0.6 .21 27% .51 69% .35
Dec
13		 South Dakota D+ D+ A+ D D 67% 12% 22% A- C- D D+ D D+ C- D+ C- F C F B+ D 52% 19% 29% D D F C- F D+ F D+ F
1.07 55% 57% 31% -1 +3 1.07 29% 1.1 .31 18% .28 72% .20 1.22 56% 56% 29% 0 +1 1.04 42% 1.0 .42 16% .66 77% .51
Dec
22		 LSU A B F A+ A+ 27% 31% 42% F+ A+ F+ B- D+ B- A+ A+ A+ F B+ F A- B- 53% 9% 38% F C+ F F+ F C F F F
1.20 62% 20% 60% +12 -2 1.21 21% 1.0 .21 15% .44 93% .41 1.39 54% 100% 29% +1 +3 1.09 47% 1.4 .63 15% .77 88% .67
Dec
29		 Texas A&M C- F C D+ D 31% 36% 33% F D- F A+ B B A+ B+ A+ D+ D A- F+ D 45% 10% 45% C D+ C F D B- F A- F
0.95 44% 38% 32% -5 -3 0.86 20% 1.7 .33 17% .44 77% .34 1.29 67% 33% 41% +8 +2 1.22 34% 1.1 .39 16% .48 69% .33
Jan
3		 Grambling St. D- F+ F C+ F+ 33% 31% 35% F F C+ D- D+ F A+ B+ A+ C- F A F F 33% 37% 30% A+ F+ F+ C- D A+ F A F
0.96 50% 27% 35% -6 -2 0.88 34% 0.9 .32 24% .48 78% .37 1.02 71% 25% 46% +5 -3 1.07 33% 1.0 .33 27% .64 66% .42
Jan
5		 Southern B B+ A+ C A- 33% 41% 26% F B- F A+ B B- C+ D- C D A A F C+ 49% 24% 27% F+ C F+ C D- C F F F
1.17 67% 55% 36% +10 -3 1.17 23% 1.9 .42 17% .38 71% .27 1.12 46% 25% 46% -4 0 0.94 36% 1.0 .36 17% .56 80% .44
Jan
10		 Mississippi Valley F F B B- D 24% 40% 36% F F F F F B- A+ F A F+ B+ F D- F 35% 37% 29% D F F C+ F A F A D
0.99 45% 44% 38% +1 -3 0.98 18% 0.7 .13 15% .60 61% .37 0.97 47% 50% 36% +1 -2 1.00 38% 0.8 .32 25% .36 63% .23
Jan
12		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F+ F B+ A+ C 33% 38% 29% F D+ D F F A+ A+ F B- A- A+ A+ B+ A+ 35% 23% 42% C- A+ D B- C- B- F A+ D+
1.05 44% 44% 43% +2 -3 1.00 31% 0.8 .26 10% .50 61% .30 0.88 41% 18% 30% -13 -1 0.75 30% 0.8 .25 20% .42 61% .25
Jan
17		 Jackson St. D- D- C- D F 31% 31% 39% F F D- C+ D C A+ B A+ D F B D F 37% 17% 46% F F F A+ D A- F A- D
1.05 53% 33% 32% -4 -2 0.90 29% 1.1 .32 15% .56 77% .43 1.11 70% 33% 36% +5 0 1.13 42% 0.8 .32 23% .35 70% .25
Jan
19		 Alcorn St. D B+ D- A B- 38% 29% 33% F C F F F A- C- A+ B- D C+ F A+ B- 44% 17% 39% F C F B F C- D F F+
1.07 70% 33% 41% +7 -1 1.13 13% 0.5 .07 14% .32 84% .27 1.09 54% 56% 24% -5 +1 0.94 48% 0.8 .38 19% .28 81% .23
Jan
24		 Alabama St. F C+ F F F 40% 33% 27% F F D A+ B+ F A+ A+ A+ F D+ D F F 44% 17% 39% F+ F B+ F C- D+ D B D+
0.95 63% 25% 23% -7 -2 0.85 29% 1.6 .46 27% .56 88% .49 1.13 58% 40% 52% +11 +1 1.25 25% 1.1 .28 17% .33 65% .21
Jan
27		 Alabama A&M F C- F F F 43% 34% 23% F F C+ F F C- F B F F F F+ D- F 37% 33% 30% B F C- A- B- C+ A+ F B
0.88 58% 26% 23% -8 -1 0.84 34% 0.3 .11 16% .21 75% .16 1.17 75% 44% 38% +10 -2 1.19 26% 0.9 .22 18% .23 92% .21
Jan
31		 Texas Southern C- B F F+ D- 35% 23% 42% D- D- F B+ D A+ C A+ B D+ A- D F C- 42% 28% 30% C C- F F F C F A F
1.14 65% 31% 29% -2 -1 0.96 24% 1.2 .29 9% .37 80% .30 1.05 48% 43% 40% 0 -1 1.00 37% 1.5 .53 17% .44 63% .28
Feb
7		 Bethune-Cookman D F+ A+ F F 42% 24% 34% D F D- C+ D A+ B+ C+ B C- A- A+ A+ A+ 58% 19% 23% F A+ F D- F D F D+ F
1.00 46% 53% 14% -11 0 0.79 26% 1.2 .30 9% .38 73% .27 1.08 48% 20% 17% -15 +2 0.75 40% 1.1 .44 16% .53 71% .37
Feb
9		 Florida A&M C B F A+ C 52% 22% 26% C C F+ B+ D+ D- A+ F A+ F D- A+ F F 47% 27% 25% D+ F F F F A F C+ F
1.12 64% 25% 43% +4 +1 1.11 24% 1.1 .27 21% .59 68% .40 1.16 65% 20% 71% +13 0 1.27 39% 1.2 .45 27% .46 66% .30
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
14		 Southern D C- C C D 37% 25% 38% D+ D F B- F B+ A+ B- A+ F+ D F A+ D+ 52% 21% 27% F D F+ F F D F F+ F
1.07 58% 38% 35% +1 -1 1.02 17% 1.2 .20 16% .49 78% .38 1.13 63% 45% 21% -1 +1 1.02 35% 1.2 .42 14% .50 76% .38
Feb
16		 Grambling St. F+ C F+ F F 42% 38% 21% F F F+ A+ B A A+ A- A+ B A+ B+ F A- 40% 38% 23% A+ A F F F B+ A+ F A-
0.96 60% 28% 10% -11 -2 0.77 26% 1.6 .42 14% .48 79% .38 0.89 32% 28% 45% -10 -2 0.77 38% 1.4 .53 24% .21 91% .19
Feb
19		 Mississippi Valley F+ F A F F 39% 30% 30% F+ F B B+ A- D A F B C A F A+ A 28% 38% 34% C- A- B F D- F D- F F
1.06 39% 50% 21% -10 -1 0.80 42% 1.4 .58 19% .49 67% .33 0.91 43% 47% 12% -12 -3 0.72 20% 1.4 .29 16% .33 89% .30
Feb
21		 Arkansas Pine Bluff B- D+ A+ F D+ 36% 30% 34% F D C+ A+ A- F A+ A+ A+ F F F B+ F 39% 20% 41% D F C+ F F F+ D C D
1.21 56% 62% 20% -1 -1 0.98 37% 1.4 .52 21% .52 89% .46 1.24 79% 60% 30% +10 0 1.22 24% 1.5 .36 15% .35 75% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 4th
5th 1.6 1.6 5th
6th 0.3 6.4 6.6 6th
7th 6.9 4.3 11.2 7th
8th 1.0 20.8 0.8 22.6 8th
9th 8.1 12.3 0.0 20.4 9th
10th 2.3 18.6 1.7 22.7 10th
11th 7.3 7.5 0.1 14.9 11th
12th 12th
Total 9.6 35.2 42.1 13.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 13.1% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 0.9 12.2
8-10 42.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.9 41.2
7-11 35.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 35.2
6-12 9.6% 9.6
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.8% 1.8% 0.0% 16.0 98.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.0% 95.8% 16.0 95.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.8%
Lose Out 9.6%