Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.4 #339
Expected Predictive Rating -11.9 #338
Pace 78.1 #15
Improvement -2.9 #300

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #342 D- D- B- B F
Defense #309 D D C+ D- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #281 1.05 #301 -4.0 #312
2 Pt. Jumpers 35% #7 0.70 #280 +4.4 #22
Three Pointers 30% #351 0.95 #272 -6.5 #345
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #338 -6.1 #338
Freethrows 0.33 #101 76% #59 0.25 #72
Second Chance 23.3% #346 0.94 #288 0.22 #347
Turnovers 15.2% #92
Total Offense -6.9 #342

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #94 1.19 #232 -2.9 #280
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #237 0.85 #318 -0.2 #198
Three Pointers 39% #236 1.15 #341 -1.9 #268
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #322 -4.9 #324
Freethrows 0.37 #339 72% #178 0.27 #338
Second Chance 36.1% #344 1.03 #195 0.37 #316
Turnovers 17.9% #102
Total Defense -4.6 #309

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -4.1% #355 1.0% #269
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -8.3% #320 8.4% #326
Possession Length 15.9 #54 15.9 #13
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 #44 0.18 #221
Improvement -2.0 #304 -0.8 #238

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 5.1% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.0% 3.4% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 31.7% 60.7% 26.1%
Conference Champion 0.3% 1.7% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.9% 4.8% 2.5%
First Round1.3% 2.2% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bethune-Cookman (Away) - 16.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 20 - 7
Quad 49 - 119 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 99 @Wichita St. L 62 - 105 5% -18  0 - 1 -35 -13 F A- F -19 F C D+
 Wed, Nov 12 56 @Oklahoma St. L 67 - 94 2% -16  0 - 2 -14 -9 D+ F B -3 B F B
 Mon, Nov 17 54 @Missouri L 73 - 91 2% -19  0 - 3 -5 -1 D- D+ A+ -3 C C- C
 Sat, Nov 22 203 Tennessee Martin L 68 - 69 20% +2  0 - 4 -4 -3 F D B- -0 C B+ B-
 Sun, Nov 23 351 North Florida W 85 - 82 54% -5  1 - 4 -10 -4 D- F C- -6 F D- A+
 Sun, Nov 30 147 @North Texas L 69 - 72 8% +2  1 - 5 +1 +3 C D+ A+ -2 F A A+
 Sat, Dec 13 285 @South Dakota L 85 - 97 24% -9  1 - 6 -16 -2 C- F+ D+ -13 D+ F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 49 @LSU L 90 - 104 2% -2  1 - 7 +0 +17 A+ D+ C+ -15 C+ F C
 Mon, Dec 29 27 @Texas A&M L 82 - 111 1% -22  1 - 8 -10 +2 D- B B+ -7 D+ D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 287 @Grambling St. L 72 - 76 25% -4  1 - 9 0 - 1 -8 -5 F D+ F+ -3 D D- A
 Mon, Jan 5 266 @Southern W 89 - 85 21% +5  2 - 9 1 - 1 +1 +9 B- B B -8 C- D+ C-
 Sat, Jan 10 365 Mississippi Valley W 70 - 69 91% -2  3 - 9 2 - 1 -26 -13 F F B -12 F+ F B
 Mon, Jan 12 331 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 73 - 61 58% +6  4 - 9 3 - 1 -2 -6 D+ F A+ +5 A+ C C+
 Sat, Jan 17 337 @Jackson St. L 78 - 82 38% -4  4 - 10 3 - 2 -12 -3 F D C+ -9 F D- A-
 Mon, Jan 19 348 @Alcorn St. L 75 - 76 40% -3  4 - 11 3 - 3 -10 -2 C- F A- -8 C+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 24 322 Alabama St. L 80 - 95 56% -12  4 - 12 3 - 4 -28 -12 F B- F -13 F C- D
 Tue, Jan 27 293 Alabama A&M L 60 - 80 47% -12  4 - 13 3 - 5 -31 -16 F F C+ -15 F B- C
 Sat, Jan 31 309 Texas Southern W 85 - 78 52% +2  5 - 13 4 - 5 -5 +1 D- F+ A+ -6 C- F C
 Sat, Feb 7 236 @Bethune-Cookman L 73 - 83 16%
 Mon, Feb 9 317 @Florida A&M L 73 - 78 33%
 Sat, Feb 14 266 Southern L 78 - 80 42%
 Mon, Feb 16 287 Grambling St. L 74 - 75 46%
 Thu, Feb 19 365 Mississippi Valley W 81 - 66 92%
 Sat, Feb 21 331 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 80 - 84 36%
 Thu, Feb 26 337 Jackson St. W 82 - 79 60%
 Sat, Feb 28 348 Alcorn St. W 80 - 77 63%
 Thu, Mar 5 309 @Texas Southern L 78 - 84 30%
Totals 9 - 18 8 - 9 -11 -7 D- D- B- -5 D D C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 1st
2nd 0.3 1.1 0.1 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.5 0.8 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 1.2 4.0 0.2 5.3 4th
5th 0.1 5.7 1.9 7.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.6 8.2 0.4 10.2 6th
7th 0.2 7.2 4.2 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 3.2 11.7 0.6 15.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 9.2 5.6 0.0 15.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 5.1 9.5 0.7 15.9 10th
11th 0.3 3.4 6.4 2.6 0.0 12.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.3 4.1 12.4 24.7 26.8 20.0 9.1 2.3 0.3 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 35.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 8.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.3% 17.6% 17.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2
11-7 2.3% 11.5% 11.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3 2.0
10-8 9.1% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 0.8 8.3
9-9 20.0% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 1.0 19.0
8-10 26.8% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.8 26.0
7-11 24.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 24.6
6-12 12.4% 12.4
5-13 4.1% 4.1
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 16.0 97.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%