Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -8.5 #306
Expected Predictive Rating -8.1 #290
Pace 79.3 #16
Improvement +1.5 #102

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #294 D- D B- B+ F
Defense #305 D- C- B F C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #239 1.03 #315 -3.5 #298
2 Pt. Jumpers 33% #12 0.69 #257 +3.7 #34
Three Pointers 31% #348 0.98 #228 -5.7 #335
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #326 -5.5 #326
Freethrows 19.0 #95 78% #41 14.8 #63
Second Chance 23.7% #339 1.08 #134 0.26 #301
Turnovers 15.2% #93
Total Offense -4.5 #294

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #106 1.20 #227 -2.4 #261
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #204 0.77 #208 +0.1 #180
Three Pointers 39% #235 1.16 #343 -2.1 #267
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #308 -4.4 #308
Freethrows 25.4 #363 76% #321 19.3 #2
Second Chance 34.4% #305 1.00 #126 0.34 #240
Turnovers 18.6% #74
Total Defense -4.1 #305

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -3.4% #344 0.7% #228
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -7.6% #295 7.7% #317
Possession Length 16.2 #84 15.4 #8
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #82 0.20 #278
Improvement +1.7 #78 -0.2 #200

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.7% 8.8% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 27.3% 28.2% 8.6%
.500 or above in Conference 77.1% 78.3% 50.1%
Conference Champion 13.6% 14.1% 3.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 1.6%
First Four7.2% 7.3% 4.8%
First Round4.9% 5.0% 2.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi Valley (Home) - 95.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 20 - 7
Quad 412 - 912 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 104 @Wichita St. L 62 - 105 7%  -18  0 - 1 -35 -13 F A F -18 F C+ D
 Wed, Nov 12 54 @Oklahoma St. L 67 - 94 3%  -16  0 - 2 -14 -8 C- F C+ -3 A- F A-
 Mon, Nov 17 51 @Missouri L 73 - 91 3%  -19  0 - 3 -4 -1 F D- A+ -2 C B+ C
 Sat, Nov 22 235 Tennessee Martin L 68 - 69 33%  +6  0 - 4 -5 -5 F F C +0 C- A+ A+
 Sun, Nov 23 350 North Florida W 85 - 82 66%  -5  1 - 4 -10 -1 D- F C -9 F F A+
 Sun, Nov 30 133 @North Texas L 69 - 72 11%  +2  1 - 5 +2 +3 C D A+ -1 F A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 290 @South Dakota L 85 - 97 34%  -9  1 - 6 -16 -2 D+ F D -12 D+ F D
 Mon, Dec 22 42 @LSU L 90 - 104 3%  -2  1 - 7 +1 +18 A+ C- C+ -16 C+ D C
 Mon, Dec 29 40 @Texas A&M L 82 - 111 2%  -22  1 - 8 -13 +1 F C+ A- -8 D C- C
 Sat, Jan 3 246 @Grambling St. L 72 - 76 26%  -4  1 - 9 0 - 1 -6 -5 F D F -1 D D A+
 Mon, Jan 5 256 @Southern W 89 - 85 28%  +5  2 - 9 1 - 1 +1 +9 C B C+ -7 C D+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 365 Mississippi Valley W 85 - 67 96% 
 Mon, Jan 12 327 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 88 - 83 67% 
 Sat, Jan 17 342 @Jackson St. W 81 - 80 50% 
 Mon, Jan 19 346 @Alcorn St. W 82 - 81 52% 
 Sat, Jan 24 301 Alabama St. W 82 - 80 58% 
 Mon, Jan 26 303 Alabama A&M W 76 - 74 59% 
 Sat, Jan 31 335 Texas Southern W 83 - 78 68% 
 Sat, Feb 7 278 @Bethune-Cookman L 79 - 84 33% 
 Mon, Feb 9 345 @Florida A&M W 80 - 79 51% 
 Sat, Feb 14 256 Southern L 81 - 82 50% 
 Mon, Feb 16 246 Grambling St. L 76 - 77 46% 
 Thu, Feb 19 365 Mississippi Valley W 85 - 67 95% 
 Sat, Feb 21 327 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 85 - 86 46% 
 Thu, Feb 26 342 Jackson St. W 84 - 78 71% 
 Sat, Feb 28 346 Alcorn St. W 85 - 78 73% 
 Thu, Mar 5 335 @Texas Southern L 80 - 81 48% 
Totals 12 - 15 10 - 7 -9 -4 D- D B- -4 D- C- B




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.4 2.8 5.1 3.7 1.5 0.3 13.6 1st
2nd 0.3 3.7 6.9 3.2 0.7 0.0 14.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.7 7.5 3.7 0.4 0.0 14.4 3rd
4th 0.8 6.8 4.5 0.4 12.5 4th
5th 0.2 4.0 5.5 0.7 0.0 10.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.7 6.3 1.5 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 4.1 3.1 0.2 7.9 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 3.7 0.6 6.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 2.8 1.1 0.0 5.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.2 0.1 3.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.4 6.6 10.9 14.9 16.9 16.7 13.8 8.7 4.3 1.5 0.3 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-3 97.7% 1.5    1.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 84.1% 3.7    2.5 1.0 0.1
13-5 58.1% 5.1    2.0 2.3 0.7 0.1
12-6 20.3% 2.8    0.3 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.0
11-7 2.2% 0.4    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.6% 13.6 6.5 4.6 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.3% 28.1% 28.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.5% 23.7% 23.7% 15.6 0.1 0.2 1.1
14-4 4.3% 23.4% 23.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3
13-5 8.7% 15.4% 15.4% 16.0 0.0 1.3 7.4
12-6 13.8% 13.6% 13.6% 16.0 0.0 1.9 12.0
11-7 16.7% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 1.7 15.1
10-8 16.9% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 1.3 15.6
9-9 14.9% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.8 14.0
8-10 10.9% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 10.7
7-11 6.6% 6.6
6-12 3.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.4
5-13 1.4% 1.4
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 16.0 91.3 0.0%