Princeton
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.6 #242
Expected Predictive Rating -7.5 #276
Pace 66.4 #255
Improvement +2.5 #60

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #281 D+ D D+ C- C
Defense #187 C C D+ C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #317 1.04 #306 -5.1 #330
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #251 0.71 #233 -1.7 #260
Three Pointers 50% #28 0.98 #227 +3.7 #65
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #264 -3.1 #264
Freethrows 16.5 #230 71% #230 11.7 #234
Second Chance 24.3% #330 1.11 #111 0.27 #283
Turnovers 18.2% #275
Total Offense -4.0 #281

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #69 1.20 #232 -3.5 #290
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #223 0.85 #305 -0.2 #204
Three Pointers 38% #258 0.89 #45 +3.8 #56
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #173 +0.1 #172
Freethrows 18.1 #224 75% #288 13.6 #114
Second Chance 26.2% #46 1.17 #313 0.31 #153
Turnovers 15.1% #273
Total Defense -0.5 #187

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.1% #186 1.1% #275
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.1% #274 -1.3% #156
Possession Length 19.2 #340 16.5 #58
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.04 #365 0.20 #262
Improvement +1.8 #71 +0.7 #134

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 5.0% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 15.9
.500 or above 1.0% 3.1% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 35.9% 58.6% 30.1%
Conference Champion 1.7% 6.1% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 21.6% 9.7% 24.6%
First Four1.9% 3.3% 1.5%
First Round1.8% 3.9% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Home) - 20.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 102 - 14
Quad 47 - 59 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 64 @Akron L 69 - 104 7%  -20  0 - 1 -23 -8 C- F C- -12 D B F
 Tue, Nov 11 314 Bucknell W 73 - 63 77%  +12  1 - 1 -2 -1 D D+ D -1 D A+ B+
 Sat, Nov 15 18 @Kansas L 57 - 76 2%  -6  1 - 2 +1 -6 D- C+ F +6 B+ A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 214 @Iona L 69 - 89 33%  -18  1 - 3 -20 -9 F F D+ -9 F D D
 Thu, Nov 20 233 Northeastern W 70 - 57 59%  +10  2 - 3 +6 -5 F A+ F +12 A+ C+ B-
 Mon, Nov 24 116 Bradley L 64 - 88 22%  -8  2 - 4 -20 -6 C A- F -14 F A+ D
 Tue, Nov 25 143 Temple L 75 - 79 30%  +1  2 - 5 -3 +3 A- D+ C -6 F A+ A-
 Wed, Nov 26 198 Vermont L 74 - 79 41%  -7  2 - 6 -7 +5 B- C+ A+ -13 D F D
 Sun, Nov 30 185 Saint Joseph's L 58 - 60 39%  -1  2 - 7 -4 -7 C- C- F +3 A- F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 194 @Monmouth L 58 - 63 30%  -3  2 - 8 -4 -11 D+ F F +6 B A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 251 @Loyola Chicago L 68 - 73 40%  +1  2 - 9 -7 -1 D- D- A+ -7 D F F
 Wed, Dec 10 237 Merrimack L 56 - 59 60%  -2  2 - 10 -10 -7 F B- C+ -4 C+ A+ F
 Mon, Dec 22 143 @Temple L 61 - 65 21%  -3  2 - 11 -0 -2 F D+ C- +2 B- C C
 Tue, Dec 30 198 Vermont W 75 - 69 OT 53%  +4  3 - 11 +1 +1 B F F +0 A+ F C
 Mon, Jan 5 216 Penn W 78 - 76 56%  -1  4 - 11 1 - 0 -4 +5 A F C -9 A- F B+
 Sat, Jan 10 80 Yale L 69 - 78 20% 
 Sat, Jan 17 196 @Harvard L 65 - 70 31% 
 Mon, Jan 19 230 @Dartmouth L 71 - 75 37% 
 Sat, Jan 24 247 Brown W 66 - 63 62% 
 Fri, Jan 30 168 @Cornell L 79 - 86 27% 
 Sat, Jan 31 139 @Columbia L 68 - 77 21% 
 Sat, Feb 7 216 @Penn L 71 - 76 34% 
 Fri, Feb 13 168 Cornell L 82 - 83 47% 
 Sat, Feb 14 139 Columbia L 71 - 74 40% 
 Fri, Feb 20 247 @Brown L 63 - 66 40% 
 Fri, Feb 27 196 Harvard W 68 - 67 53% 
 Sat, Feb 28 230 Dartmouth W 74 - 72 59% 
 Sat, Mar 7 80 @Yale L 66 - 81 9% 
Totals 9 - 19 6 - 8 -5 -4 D+ D D+ -1 C C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.4 2.5 3.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 8.3 2nd
3rd 0.5 5.3 6.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 14.1 3rd
4th 0.3 5.6 7.8 1.9 0.1 15.7 4th
5th 0.2 4.4 9.4 2.2 0.1 16.4 5th
6th 0.2 3.7 9.5 3.0 0.1 16.5 6th
7th 0.4 3.0 7.8 3.9 0.2 15.4 7th
8th 0.7 2.9 5.2 2.8 0.2 11.8 8th
Total 0.7 3.3 8.4 14.5 18.4 18.8 15.9 10.6 5.8 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-2 90.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1
11-3 68.5% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0
10-4 24.9% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-5 5.5% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-2 0.2% 15.2% 15.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-3 0.8% 21.4% 21.4% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
10-4 2.5% 11.3% 11.3% 15.5 0.1 0.2 2.2
9-5 5.8% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5 5.3
8-6 10.6% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.8 9.8
7-7 15.9% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.6 15.3
6-8 18.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 18.6
5-9 18.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 18.4
4-10 14.5% 14.5
3-11 8.4% 8.4
2-12 3.3% 3.3
1-13 0.7% 0.7
0-14
Total 100% 2.5% 2.5% 0.0% 15.8 97.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%