Princeton
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.5#110
Expected Predictive Rating+5.0#101
Pace68.3#200
Improvement+1.9#78

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#84
First Shot+4.3#71
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#238
Layup/Dunks+0.9#147
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#319
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.4#14
Freethrows-1.4#271
Improvement-0.7#234

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#162
First Shot-0.8#196
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#106
Layups/Dunks-0.6#190
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#215
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#215
Freethrows+0.5#151
Improvement+2.6#22
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.5% 27.2% 21.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.5 12.8
.500 or above 97.1% 98.5% 93.6%
.500 or above in Conference 89.5% 90.9% 85.8%
Conference Champion 32.1% 34.4% 26.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 1.0% 1.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round25.5% 27.2% 21.2%
Second Round3.6% 4.0% 2.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Akron (Home) - 71.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 22 - 23 - 3
Quad 37 - 59 - 8
Quad 49 - 219 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 247   Iona W 81-80 85%     1 - 0 -6.8 +6.2 -12.9
  Nov 08, 2024 163   Duquesne W 75-68 64%     2 - 0 +6.8 +1.9 +4.7
  Nov 10, 2024 170   @ Northeastern W 79-76 54%     3 - 0 +5.5 +8.1 -2.7
  Nov 15, 2024 114   Loyola Chicago L 68-73 63%     3 - 1 -5.0 -4.1 -0.8
  Nov 17, 2024 194   @ Merrimack W 68-57 59%     4 - 1 +12.3 +10.9 +3.4
  Nov 21, 2024 168   Wright St. L 62-80 65%     4 - 2 -18.4 -11.1 -8.3
  Nov 22, 2024 126   Texas St. L 80-83 55%     4 - 3 -0.9 +12.3 -13.4
  Nov 24, 2024 314   Portland W 94-67 87%     5 - 3 +18.4 +12.1 +4.7
  Dec 03, 2024 86   @ Saint Joseph's W 77-69 28%     6 - 3 +17.6 +8.6 +8.8
  Dec 07, 2024 115   @ Furman L 63-69 40%     6 - 4 +0.0 -2.2 +1.7
  Dec 10, 2024 262   Monmouth W 71-67 86%     7 - 4 -4.4 -1.6 -2.5
  Dec 21, 2024 64   Rutgers W 83-82 32%     8 - 4 +9.4 +9.9 -0.5
  Dec 30, 2024 148   Akron W 80-74 72%    
  Jan 11, 2025 243   @ Harvard W 75-70 68%    
  Jan 18, 2025 280   @ Dartmouth W 78-71 74%    
  Jan 20, 2025 179   Columbia W 80-73 75%    
  Jan 25, 2025 131   Cornell W 84-79 67%    
  Jan 31, 2025 99   Yale W 76-74 55%    
  Feb 01, 2025 173   Brown W 75-68 74%    
  Feb 07, 2025 292   @ Penn W 76-69 75%    
  Feb 14, 2025 173   @ Brown W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 15, 2025 99   @ Yale L 73-77 34%    
  Feb 21, 2025 243   Harvard W 78-67 84%    
  Feb 22, 2025 280   @ Dartmouth W 78-71 73%    
  Feb 28, 2025 179   @ Columbia W 77-76 55%    
  Mar 01, 2025 131   @ Cornell L 81-82 45%    
  Mar 08, 2025 292   Penn W 79-66 89%    
Projected Record 18 - 9 9 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.3 6.2 10.6 8.9 4.1 1.0 32.1 1st
2nd 0.1 2.2 8.8 10.3 4.2 0.5 26.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.9 7.5 7.0 1.6 0.1 18.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 5.3 4.3 0.7 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.1 2.5 0.3 6.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.3 0.1 3.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.8 5.9 9.9 14.3 17.8 18.2 14.9 9.4 4.1 1.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 1.0    1.0
13-1 100.0% 4.1    3.9 0.1
12-2 94.4% 8.9    7.3 1.5 0.0
11-3 71.2% 10.6    6.2 4.0 0.4
10-4 34.3% 6.2    1.8 3.1 1.3 0.1
9-5 7.4% 1.3    0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 32.1% 32.1 20.3 9.2 2.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 1.0% 58.3% 57.3% 1.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.4%
13-1 4.1% 48.4% 48.3% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 2.1 0.2%
12-2 9.4% 43.2% 43.2% 12.1 0.0 0.4 2.8 0.9 0.0 5.3
11-3 14.9% 36.3% 36.3% 12.4 0.1 3.0 2.1 0.2 9.5
10-4 18.2% 30.4% 30.4% 12.7 0.0 2.1 2.9 0.5 0.0 12.7
9-5 17.8% 26.2% 26.2% 13.0 0.0 1.0 2.7 0.9 0.1 13.1
8-6 14.3% 18.2% 18.2% 13.2 0.3 1.4 0.8 0.1 11.7
7-7 9.9% 7.0% 7.0% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 9.2
6-8 5.9% 0.6% 0.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9
5-9 2.8% 2.8
4-10 1.3% 1.3
3-11 0.4% 0.4
2-12 0.1% 0.1
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 25.5% 25.5% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.4 10.6 10.3 2.8 0.2 74.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 10.3 0.4 2.6 3.5 4.4 12.3 18.9 44.5 12.8 0.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 3.9% 11.3 2.9 1.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 1.4% 11.0 1.4