Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#249
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#266
Pace76.1#30
Improvement+0.9#121

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#263
First Shot-2.4#245
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#235
Layup/Dunks-0.5#202
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#85
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#292
Freethrows+0.0#178
Improvement+2.9#26

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#218
First Shot-1.3#218
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#209
Layups/Dunks+0.6#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#241
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#255
Freethrows+0.1#180
Improvement-1.9#319
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.0% 10.8% 7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 37.7% 51.1% 27.8%
.500 or above in Conference 76.5% 81.3% 73.0%
Conference Champion 12.6% 15.7% 10.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.7% 1.3%
First Four3.7% 3.3% 3.9%
First Round7.3% 9.2% 5.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hofstra (Home) - 42.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 413 - 815 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 98   @ Yale L 62-88 12%     0 - 1 -18.0 -10.1 -7.2
  Nov 09, 2024 15   @ St. John's L 73-96 3%     0 - 2 -4.4 +1.0 -2.7
  Nov 15, 2024 217   Maine W 58-55 54%     1 - 2 -2.9 -13.3 +10.5
  Nov 19, 2024 318   @ Navy W 74-63 54%     2 - 2 +5.1 +0.7 +4.8
  Nov 23, 2024 144   @ Umass Lowell L 70-80 21%     2 - 3 -6.4 -5.6 -0.5
  Nov 25, 2024 137   @ Saint Louis L 67-81 19%     2 - 4 -9.7 -15.4 +7.4
  Dec 01, 2024 323   @ Stonehill L 74-88 55%     2 - 5 -20.1 +1.5 -22.3
  Dec 06, 2024 303   @ Rider W 72-67 50%     3 - 5 1 - 0 +0.2 +3.2 -2.6
  Dec 08, 2024 295   Sacred Heart W 83-73 70%     4 - 5 2 - 0 -0.2 +2.2 -2.7
  Dec 17, 2024 313   Holy Cross L 69-70 74%     4 - 6 -12.5 -10.5 -2.0
  Dec 21, 2024 219   @ Central Connecticut St. L 80-84 32%     4 - 7 -4.1 +6.9 -10.8
  Dec 29, 2024 149   Hofstra L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 03, 2025 206   @ St. Peter's L 65-71 29%    
  Jan 05, 2025 231   @ Marist L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 10, 2025 304   Siena W 73-67 71%    
  Jan 12, 2025 247   @ Iona L 73-76 39%    
  Jan 16, 2025 195   Merrimack L 70-71 50%    
  Jan 18, 2025 234   @ Mount St. Mary's L 73-77 36%    
  Jan 25, 2025 303   Rider W 75-69 71%    
  Jan 31, 2025 297   Fairfield W 80-74 69%    
  Feb 02, 2025 304   @ Siena W 71-70 50%    
  Feb 06, 2025 353   Canisius W 80-69 84%    
  Feb 08, 2025 320   Niagara W 75-68 74%    
  Feb 14, 2025 295   @ Sacred Heart L 77-78 48%    
  Feb 16, 2025 247   Iona W 76-73 61%    
  Feb 23, 2025 279   @ Manhattan L 78-79 45%    
  Feb 28, 2025 206   St. Peter's W 68-67 51%    
  Mar 02, 2025 195   @ Merrimack L 67-73 29%    
  Mar 06, 2025 234   Mount St. Mary's W 76-74 58%    
  Mar 08, 2025 297   @ Fairfield L 76-77 48%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 2.4 3.8 3.1 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 12.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.7 4.9 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 12.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.9 5.4 2.3 0.4 0.0 12.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 3.0 5.8 2.4 0.3 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 5.6 3.0 0.4 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.6 4.0 0.6 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.4 0.9 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.0 1.5 0.1 7.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.6 2.1 0.2 5.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 4.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.9 6.6 9.9 12.5 14.2 14.2 12.5 9.9 6.8 3.8 1.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
18-2 99.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
17-3 95.3% 1.8    1.6 0.2 0.0
16-4 80.3% 3.1    2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0
15-5 56.3% 3.8    1.9 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0
14-6 24.3% 2.4    0.6 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-7 5.3% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 12.6% 12.6 7.2 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 37.2% 37.2% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.6% 27.3% 27.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
17-3 1.9% 27.8% 27.8% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.4
16-4 3.8% 23.3% 23.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 2.9
15-5 6.8% 18.6% 18.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 5.5
14-6 9.9% 16.2% 16.2% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.2 8.3
13-7 12.5% 13.0% 13.0% 15.9 0.2 1.4 10.9
12-8 14.2% 9.5% 9.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.3 12.8
11-9 14.2% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.0 0.8 13.4
10-10 12.5% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.4 12.1
9-11 9.9% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 9.7
8-12 6.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 6.5
7-13 3.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.8
6-14 2.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.0
5-15 0.8% 0.8
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.2 6.2 91.0 0.0%