Sam Houston St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#140
Expected Predictive Rating+0.9#154
Pace70.7#129
Improvement-3.1#333

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#92
First Shot+4.1#73
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#253
Layup/Dunks-1.1#223
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#44
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#108
Freethrows+0.3#161
Improvement-1.2#277

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#227
First Shot+0.2#164
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#328
Layups/Dunks+0.5#153
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#132
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#253
Freethrows+0.6#147
Improvement-1.9#309
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.7% 8.3% 5.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.5 13.2 13.9
.500 or above 36.4% 48.2% 24.6%
.500 or above in Conference 56.4% 69.0% 43.8%
Conference Champion 6.7% 10.2% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.7% 2.9% 10.4%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.4%
First Round6.5% 8.2% 4.9%
Second Round0.7% 0.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Mexico St. (Away) - 49.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 41 - 9
Quad 36 - 67 - 15
Quad 46 - 114 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 60   @ Nevada L 75-91 15%     0 - 1 -3.7 +9.0 -13.0
  Nov 09, 2024 285   @ Tarleton St. W 91-62 68%     1 - 1 +25.3 +12.6 +10.4
  Nov 12, 2024 12   @ Baylor L 67-104 6%     1 - 2 -18.0 -2.7 -13.7
  Nov 17, 2024 196   @ Lamar W 85-72 50%     2 - 2 +14.3 +17.8 -3.0
  Nov 27, 2024 175   Appalachian St. L 63-66 58%     2 - 3 -3.8 -3.5 -0.5
  Nov 29, 2024 134   @ UNC Wilmington L 60-69 37%     2 - 4 -4.4 -7.1 +1.9
  Nov 30, 2024 241   Colgate W 82-78 71%     3 - 4 -0.4 +12.3 -12.4
  Dec 03, 2024 51   @ Indiana L 71-97 13%     3 - 5 -12.5 -2.1 -8.0
  Dec 07, 2024 299   Texas Southern W 87-71 86%     4 - 5 +5.5 +15.2 -8.9
  Dec 21, 2024 30   @ Pittsburgh L 78-110 9%     4 - 6 -15.7 +9.4 -23.9
  Jan 02, 2025 201   @ New Mexico St. L 73-74 50%    
  Jan 04, 2025 139   @ UTEP L 74-77 38%    
  Jan 09, 2025 73   Liberty L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 11, 2025 262   Florida International W 82-72 81%    
  Jan 16, 2025 194   @ Kennesaw St. L 81-82 50%    
  Jan 18, 2025 152   @ Jacksonville St. L 74-76 42%    
  Jan 23, 2025 129   Middle Tennessee W 77-75 59%    
  Jan 25, 2025 108   Western Kentucky L 80-81 50%    
  Feb 01, 2025 103   @ Louisiana Tech L 70-76 28%    
  Feb 06, 2025 262   @ Florida International W 79-75 63%    
  Feb 08, 2025 73   @ Liberty L 66-76 19%    
  Feb 13, 2025 152   Jacksonville St. W 77-73 64%    
  Feb 15, 2025 194   Kennesaw St. W 85-79 70%    
  Feb 20, 2025 108   @ Western Kentucky L 77-83 29%    
  Feb 22, 2025 129   @ Middle Tennessee L 74-78 37%    
  Mar 01, 2025 103   Louisiana Tech L 73-74 48%    
  Mar 06, 2025 139   UTEP W 77-74 60%    
  Mar 08, 2025 201   New Mexico St. W 76-70 70%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 2.0 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.6 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 9.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.2 2.9 0.6 0.0 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.1 3.2 0.4 0.0 13.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.9 6.6 3.4 0.4 0.0 13.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.1 3.6 0.5 0.0 12.7 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 5.4 3.5 0.5 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.2 2.9 0.4 0.0 9.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.0 5.4 8.7 11.3 13.3 14.2 13.2 11.0 7.9 5.3 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 99.1% 0.4    0.4 0.0 0.0
15-3 88.3% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
14-4 67.4% 2.0    1.2 0.7 0.1
13-5 36.6% 2.0    0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0
12-6 11.8% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.7% 6.7 3.6 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 35.0% 35.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 31.3% 31.3% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.3% 27.2% 27.2% 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9
14-4 2.9% 21.0% 21.0% 12.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.3
13-5 5.3% 16.7% 16.7% 12.5 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 4.4
12-6 7.9% 12.8% 12.8% 12.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.9
11-7 11.0% 9.2% 9.2% 13.3 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 10.0
10-8 13.2% 7.4% 7.4% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 12.2
9-9 14.2% 5.1% 5.1% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.0 13.5
8-10 13.3% 4.0% 4.0% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 12.7
7-11 11.3% 1.9% 1.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 11.0
6-12 8.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 8.6
5-13 5.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.3
4-14 3.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.0
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 1.8 1.2 1.1 0.6 93.3 0.0%