Sam Houston St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.6 #134
Expected Predictive Rating +2.5 #129
Pace 74.6 #49
Improvement -2.5 #305

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #118 C B C C- C
Defense #179 C C C C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #151 1.08 #268 -1.0 #220
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #174 0.75 #179 +0.1 #175
Three Pointers 40% #201 1.10 #71 +1.3 #131
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #172 +0.4 #171
Freethrows 14.7 #310 80% #8 11.8 #225
Second Chance 39.4% #14 0.96 #271 0.38 #70
Turnovers 16.9% #200
Total Offense +1.9 #118

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #254 1.28 #315 -0.7 #203
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #306 0.78 #223 +1.4 #92
Three Pointers 48% #30 0.90 #52 -0.8 #206
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #179 -0.1 #179
Freethrows 19.3 #286 69% #63 13.4 #128
Second Chance 31.5% #214 0.99 #114 0.31 #161
Turnovers 16.7% #178
Total Defense -0.3 #179

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.1% #185 0.8% #240
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 0.6% #167 -0.5% #169
Possession Length 15.7 #54 17.0 #144
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.26 #24 0.16 #150
Improvement -1.9 #298 -0.6 #228

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.3% 13.9% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.1 13.4
.500 or above 77.8% 87.5% 68.9%
.500 or above in Conference 69.1% 81.3% 58.0%
Conference Champion 5.3% 9.6% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 0.8% 3.6%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Round11.3% 13.9% 8.8%
Second Round0.7% 0.9% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Liberty (Home) - 47.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 37 - 68 - 11
Quad 49 - 217 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 17 @Texas Tech L 77 - 98 6%  -8  0 - 1 -1 +12 C A+ F -13 C F C+
 Sat, Nov 15 117 @Utah L 79 - 85 33%  -9  0 - 2 +0 +3 D+ D- B -3 C- B A+
 Wed, Nov 19 95 Wyoming W 78 - 70 45%  +3  1 - 2 +11 +5 C- A+ D- +6 C A+ A-
 Wed, Nov 26 187 Idaho St. W 84 - 81 63%  +1  2 - 2 +1 +5 C A+ D- -4 D A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 195 Idaho W 94 - 68 64%  +4  3 - 2 +24 +28 A+ A+ A+ -2 D+ C+ D
 Tue, Dec 2 54 @Oklahoma St. L 83 - 93 15%  -0  3 - 3 +3 +6 A F C- -2 B- F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 335 @Texas Southern W 82 - 70 81%  +6  4 - 3 +4 -3 F F F +6 A+ C C+
 Wed, Dec 17 182 @Oregon St. W 85 - 75 51%  +8  5 - 3 +11 +8 C A- D +3 C A+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 136 @New Mexico St. L 78 - 87 39%  -13  5 - 4 0 - 1 -5 +2 D+ D- C+ -6 F B- F
 Fri, Jan 2 155 @Western Kentucky L 91 - 102 45%  +1  5 - 5 0 - 2 -8 +11 C A B -18 C- F B+
 Sun, Jan 4 123 @Middle Tennessee L 67 - 68 36%  -5  5 - 6 0 - 3 +4 -2 A- C F +6 C A+ C-
 Thu, Jan 8 277 Delaware W 72 - 60 85%  +7  6 - 6 1 - 3 +2 +5 D+ C A+ -1 B+ B- F
 Sat, Jan 10 99 Liberty L 76 - 77 48% 
 Wed, Jan 14 208 @Jacksonville St. W 73 - 72 54% 
 Sat, Jan 17 164 @Florida International L 82 - 83 47% 
 Wed, Jan 21 162 Kennesaw St. W 86 - 81 67% 
 Sat, Jan 24 155 Western Kentucky W 85 - 80 67% 
 Wed, Jan 28 192 @Missouri St. W 74 - 73 52% 
 Sat, Jan 31 228 Louisiana Tech W 73 - 65 78% 
 Wed, Feb 4 244 UTEP W 78 - 69 80% 
 Sat, Feb 7 228 @Louisiana Tech W 70 - 68 58% 
 Sat, Feb 14 162 @Kennesaw St. L 83 - 84 46% 
 Wed, Feb 18 123 Middle Tennessee W 77 - 75 59% 
 Sat, Feb 21 208 Jacksonville St. W 76 - 69 74% 
 Thu, Feb 26 164 Florida International W 85 - 80 68% 
 Sat, Feb 28 192 Missouri St. W 77 - 70 73% 
 Thu, Mar 5 277 @Delaware W 74 - 69 68% 
 Sat, Mar 7 99 @Liberty L 73 - 80 28% 
Totals 16 - 12 11 - 9 +2 +2 C B C +0 C C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.9 0.9 0.2 5.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 4.5 3.8 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 6.0 5.0 1.3 0.2 14.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 5.8 5.5 1.3 0.1 13.8 4th
5th 0.4 4.6 6.0 1.4 0.1 12.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.7 5.9 2.0 0.1 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.1 2.9 0.2 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.3 3.3 0.5 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.0 0.8 0.0 6.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.2 0.9 0.1 4.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.0 2.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.7 5.4 8.4 12.3 15.1 15.8 14.8 11.4 7.0 3.7 1.2 0.2 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 94.4% 0.2    0.2
16-4 79.7% 0.9    0.6 0.3 0.0
15-5 52.3% 1.9    0.9 0.9 0.2
14-6 24.3% 1.7    0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 4.6% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.3% 5.3 2.2 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.2% 41.7% 41.7% 11.2 0.1 0.0 0.1
16-4 1.2% 33.3% 33.3% 12.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.8
15-5 3.7% 31.6% 31.6% 12.5 0.0 0.6 0.5 0.0 2.5
14-6 7.0% 25.6% 25.6% 12.7 0.0 0.6 1.0 0.2 5.2
13-7 11.4% 18.9% 18.9% 13.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.4 0.0 9.3
12-8 14.8% 14.7% 14.7% 13.3 0.2 1.2 0.7 0.1 12.6
11-9 15.8% 9.5% 9.5% 13.5 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 14.3
10-10 15.1% 6.8% 6.8% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 14.1
9-11 12.3% 4.6% 4.6% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 11.8
8-12 8.4% 2.9% 2.9% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 8.2
7-13 5.4% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.3
6-14 2.7% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.1 2.6
5-15 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 11.3% 11.3% 0.0% 13.2 88.7 0.0%