Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +10.1 #53
Expected Predictive Rating +12.5 #48
Pace 64.9 #282
Improvement -0.5 #211

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #145 C- B B- B- C+
Defense #11 A- B- A+ D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #17 1.13 #215 +3.7 #63
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #133 0.67 #307 -0.2 #184
Three Pointers 31% #347 0.95 #270 -6.0 #342
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #253 -2.5 #253
Freethrows 0.33 #92 72% #194 0.24 #104
Second Chance 37.3% #27 1.03 #172 0.38 #49
Turnovers 15.4% #104
Total Offense +0.7 #145

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #155 0.94 #6 +3.8 #60
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #224 0.63 #14 +1.8 #53
Three Pointers 42% #163 0.94 #77 +1.3 #126
1st FG Attempt 0.88 #19 +6.9 #19
Freethrows 0.36 #323 70% #70 0.25 #305
Second Chance 29.3% #127 0.93 #55 0.27 #79
Turnovers 23.1% #4
Total Defense +9.5 #11

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.6% #154 0.6% #226
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.4% #274 -14.0% #6
Possession Length 16.9 #131 18.6 #341
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #123 0.10 #16
Improvement -1.4 #264 +0.9 #127

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.9% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 40.0% 58.5% 33.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 38.3% 57.1% 32.0%
Average Seed 10.1 9.8 10.4
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 67.4% 87.9% 60.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four17.7% 18.7% 17.3%
First Round30.4% 48.6% 24.2%
Second Round10.3% 17.5% 7.9%
Sweet Sixteen1.6% 2.4% 1.4%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.6% 0.4%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Villanova (Away) - 25.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 23 - 6
Quad 25 - 48 - 11
Quad 36 - 114 - 12
Quad 46 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 235 St. Peter's W 77 - 50 94% +16  1 - 0 +20 +15 C- A+ A+ +9 A+ B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 7 330 Wagner W 68 - 61 98% +3  2 - 0 -7 -7 F+ B- D- +1 F+ C- A+
 Mon, Nov 10 272 Fairfield W 82 - 59 95% +10  3 - 0 +14 +5 F A- A+ +9 C+ A A+
 Thu, Nov 13 207 Monmouth W 70 - 58 92% +2  4 - 0 +6 -0 D- D- A+ +7 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 334 New Haven W 68 - 45 98% +14  5 - 0 +9 -0 C+ D C +13 A B- B
 Mon, Nov 24 23 North Carolina St. W 85 - 74 27% +8  6 - 0 +27 +14 B A+ B +13 A A+ A
 Tue, Nov 25 48 USC L 81 - 83 46% +2  6 - 1 +9 +16 A+ F+ A -6 C D A+
 Wed, Nov 26 122 Washington St. W 75 - 61 77% +11  7 - 1 +17 +5 B- A+ F +12 A+ A- A
 Wed, Dec 3 300 Central Connecticut St. W 77 - 61 96% +9  8 - 1 +5 +6 B+ F C +1 F+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 92 @Kansas St. W 78 - 67 54% +8  9 - 1 +20 +2 D- B- B +17 A+ A+ A
 Sat, Dec 13 114 Rutgers W 81 - 59 82% +11  10 - 1 +22 +11 A A+ F +12 A+ F A+
 Fri, Dec 19 67 @Providence W 72 - 67 45% +3  11 - 1 1 - 0 +16 +1 C- C+ D- +15 A+ A+ A-
 Tue, Dec 23 32 Villanova L 56 - 64 46% -8  11 - 2 1 - 1 +3 -6 F D A+ +8 C- C A+
 Tue, Dec 30 95 @Marquette W 79 - 73 55% -2  12 - 2 2 - 1 +15 +9 F A+ B +5 A B+ D-
 Sun, Jan 4 58 Creighton W 56 - 54 64% -5  13 - 2 3 - 1 +8 -10 F F B+ +19 A+ B B+
 Sat, Jan 10 78 @Georgetown W 76 - 67 50% -2  14 - 2 4 - 1 +19 +8 D- A- B- +11 A+ B B+
 Tue, Jan 13 9 Connecticut L 64 - 69 23% -7  14 - 3 4 - 2 +13 +6 C A+ D+ +6 B+ D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 66 Butler L 66 - 77 68% -6  14 - 4 4 - 3 -6 -3 F B D -3 B- A+ D-
 Tue, Jan 20 19 @St. John's L 60 - 65 17% +4  14 - 5 4 - 4 +16 +3 C B C+ +13 A+ C+ A-
 Sat, Jan 24 94 @DePaul L 60 - 67 55% -8  14 - 6 4 - 5 +2 -3 D- B- A- +5 C+ A- B
 Wed, Jan 28 83 Xavier W 86 - 68 73% -2  15 - 6 5 - 5 +22 +12 C- A- A +9 B D A+
 Sat, Jan 31 95 Marquette W 69 - 64 76% -2  16 - 6 6 - 5 +8 +6 C A+ D +2 A- F A+
 Wed, Feb 4 32 @Villanova L 61 - 68 25%
 Sat, Feb 7 58 @Creighton L 68 - 70 41%
 Wed, Feb 11 67 Providence W 79 - 74 67%
 Sun, Feb 15 66 @Butler L 71 - 72 46%
 Wed, Feb 18 94 DePaul W 69 - 62 75%
 Sat, Feb 21 78 Georgetown W 70 - 64 71%
 Sat, Feb 28 9 @Connecticut L 58 - 72 10%
 Tue, Mar 3 83 @Xavier W 71 - 70 51%
 Fri, Mar 6 19 St. John's L 69 - 73 34%
Totals 20 - 11 10 - 10 +10 +1 C- B B- +9 A- B- A+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.3 2.9 0.9 0.1 10.5 3rd
4th 0.0 2.8 13.3 17.2 9.0 2.0 0.1 44.3 4th
5th 1.4 10.9 11.1 2.9 0.3 26.5 5th
6th 0.1 4.7 5.4 0.7 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.8 3.2 0.5 4.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.4 0.7 2.1 8th
9th 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.3 2.8 10.1 19.5 25.3 22.1 13.6 5.1 1.1 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 1.1% 90.6% 9.4% 81.2% 7.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 89.6%
13-7 5.1% 87.2% 5.0% 82.2% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.7 86.5%
12-8 13.6% 71.4% 3.5% 67.9% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.2 4.0 2.6 0.0 3.9 70.3%
11-9 22.1% 55.6% 4.0% 51.6% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.3 6.3 0.0 9.8 53.7%
10-10 25.3% 35.9% 2.8% 33.1% 10.6 0.1 0.3 2.5 6.0 0.2 16.2 34.0%
9-11 19.5% 15.3% 1.5% 13.9% 10.9 0.0 0.3 2.5 0.2 16.5 14.1%
8-12 10.1% 3.5% 0.8% 2.7% 11.2 0.3 0.1 9.7 2.8%
7-13 2.8% 0.5% 0.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 2.8 0.5%
6-14 0.3% 0.3
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 40.0% 2.8% 37.2% 10.1 60.0 38.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%