| Predictive Rating |
+10.0 |
#53 |
| Expected Predictive Rating |
+16.3 |
#25 |
|
| Pace |
65.0 |
#291 |
| Improvement |
+1.6 |
#98 |
|
Overall |
1st FGA |
Second Chance |
TOs |
Free throws |
Shot Selection |
| Offense |
#136 |
C- |
B- |
B |
B |
C |
| Defense |
#13 |
A- |
B+ |
A+ |
D+ |
D+ |
Offense Breakdown
|
| Attempts |
Conversion Rate |
Total Effect |
| Close Shots |
46% |
#32 |
1.18 |
#150 |
+4.5 |
#49 |
| 2 Pt. Jumpers |
24% |
#116 |
0.60 |
#339 |
-0.5 |
#199 |
| Three Pointers |
31% |
#347 |
0.97 |
#237 |
-5.8 |
#338 |
| 1st FG Attempt |
|
|
0.98 |
#226 |
-1.8 |
#221 |
| Freethrows
| 18.5
| #124
| 78%
| #36
| 14.4
| #74
|
| Second Chance
| 33.9%
| #94
| 1.10
| #119
| 0.37
| #78
|
| Turnovers
| |
|
|
|
15.0%
| #81
|
| Total Offense |
|
|
|
|
+1.1 |
#136 |
Defense Breakdown
|
| Attempts |
Conversion Rate |
Total Effect |
| Close Shots |
40% |
#149 |
0.91 |
#5 |
+4.2 |
#58 |
| 2 Pt. Jumpers |
17% |
#263 |
0.67 |
#74 |
+2.1 |
#44 |
| Three Pointers |
43% |
#132 |
0.97 |
#138 |
+0.0 |
#181 |
| 1st FG Attempt |
|
|
0.90 |
#33 |
+6.3 |
#28 |
| Freethrows
| 20.4
| #322
| 67%
| #20
| 13.6
| #105
|
| Second Chance
| 28.9%
| #113
| 0.90
| #28
| 0.26
| #45
|
| Turnovers
| |
|
|
|
23.2%
| #5
|
| Total Defense |
|
|
|
|
+8.9 |
#13 |
Miscellaneous
|
Offense |
Defense |
| Shot Type Mix Effect |
0.2% |
#171 |
1.0% |
#263 |
| Shot Type Accuracy Effect |
-3.9% |
#235 |
-12.6% |
#19 |
| Possession Length |
15.2 |
#31 |
18.6 |
#343 |
| Fast Break Points Per Possession |
0.19 |
#124 |
0.09 |
#10 |
| Improvement |
-1.4 |
#272 |
+3.0 |
#33 |
See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
|
| Now | Win Next | Lose Next |
| #1 Overall Seed |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| #1 Seed |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Top 2 Seed |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Top 4 Seed |
0.3% |
0.5% |
0.1% |
| Top 6 Seed |
4.5% |
6.5% |
1.8% |
| NCAA Tourney Bid |
56.7% |
64.5% |
45.9% |
| At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier |
55.4% |
63.3% |
44.7% |
| Average Seed |
9.0 |
8.8 |
9.4 |
|
| .500 or above |
99.5% |
99.9% |
98.9% |
| .500 or above in Conference |
73.9% |
83.3% |
61.0% |
| Conference Champion |
1.0% |
1.6% |
0.3% |
| Last Place in Conference |
0.6% |
0.1% |
1.2% |
|
| First Four | 12.0% |
11.5% |
12.6% |
| First Round | 49.7% |
57.7% |
38.6% |
| Second Round | 19.9% |
24.0% |
14.3% |
| Sweet Sixteen | 3.5% |
4.4% |
2.3% |
| Elite Eight | 1.0% |
1.3% |
0.7% |
| Final Four | 0.2% |
0.2% |
0.2% |
| Championship Game | 0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| National Champion | 0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Next Game: Georgetown (Away) - 58.0% chance of victory |
| Projected Record by Quad |
| Quad | Projected | Projected Cumulative |
|---|
| Quad 1a | 1 - 4 | 1 - 4 |
| Quad 1b | 3 - 3 | 4 - 7 |
| Quad 2 | 6 - 3 | 10 - 10 |
| Quad 3 | 6 - 1 | 16 - 11 |
| Quad 4 | 6 - 0 | 22 - 11 |
|