Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#115
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#203
Pace60.4#353
Improvement+0.7#142

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#275
First Shot-5.2#322
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#87
Layup/Dunks-1.3#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#124
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#272
Freethrows-1.8#282
Improvement+3.0#20

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#32
First Shot+3.5#76
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#13
Layups/Dunks+2.4#83
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#229
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#233
Freethrows+2.4#39
Improvement-2.3#332
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 11.8 14.1
.500 or above 0.9% 2.8% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 1.9% 5.9% 1.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 57.5% 37.2% 61.3%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Xavier (Away) - 15.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 61 - 10
Quad 24 - 75 - 17
Quad 32 - 37 - 21
Quad 43 - 210 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 206   St. Peter's W 57-53 78%     1 - 0 -1.1 -10.6 +9.9
  Nov 09, 2024 178   Fordham L 56-57 74%     1 - 1 -4.9 -13.6 +8.6
  Nov 13, 2024 149   Hofstra L 48-49 60%     1 - 2 -0.7 -12.0 +11.1
  Nov 16, 2024 307   Wagner W 54-28 90%     2 - 2 +14.9 -2.6 +25.6
  Nov 21, 2024 57   Virginia Commonwealth W 69-66 OT 27%     3 - 2 +12.4 -2.1 +14.2
  Nov 22, 2024 50   Vanderbilt L 60-76 23%     3 - 3 -5.5 -6.0 -0.4
  Nov 24, 2024 88   Florida Atlantic W 63-61 37%     4 - 3 +8.3 -5.1 +13.5
  Nov 30, 2024 261   Monmouth L 51-63 85%     4 - 4 -20.4 -18.0 -4.3
  Dec 04, 2024 352   NJIT W 67-56 95%     5 - 4 -4.6 +0.0 -2.9
  Dec 08, 2024 96   Oklahoma St. L 76-85 52%     5 - 5 -6.7 +6.3 -13.2
  Dec 14, 2024 63   @ Rutgers L 63-66 21%     5 - 6 +8.4 +0.2 +8.0
  Dec 17, 2024 52   @ Villanova L 67-79 16%     5 - 7 0 - 1 +1.4 +0.9 -0.4
  Dec 22, 2024 67   Georgetown L 60-61 42%     5 - 8 0 - 2 +4.0 -5.6 +9.5
  Dec 31, 2024 49   @ Xavier L 59-70 16%    
  Jan 08, 2025 102   DePaul W 65-64 54%    
  Jan 11, 2025 75   @ Providence L 55-63 24%    
  Jan 15, 2025 68   @ Butler L 60-68 23%    
  Jan 18, 2025 15   St. John's L 60-70 18%    
  Jan 21, 2025 17   Marquette L 60-69 19%    
  Jan 25, 2025 46   @ Creighton L 59-70 15%    
  Jan 28, 2025 75   Providence L 58-60 43%    
  Feb 02, 2025 102   @ DePaul L 62-67 33%    
  Feb 05, 2025 68   Butler L 63-65 42%    
  Feb 08, 2025 67   @ Georgetown L 59-67 23%    
  Feb 15, 2025 10   Connecticut L 59-70 16%    
  Feb 18, 2025 17   @ Marquette L 57-72 8%    
  Feb 23, 2025 49   Xavier L 62-67 34%    
  Feb 26, 2025 52   Villanova L 62-66 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 15   @ St. John's L 57-73 8%    
  Mar 04, 2025 46   Creighton L 62-67 32%    
  Mar 08, 2025 10   @ Connecticut L 56-73 6%    
Projected Record 9 - 22 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 4.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 3.6 5.7 3.2 0.5 0.0 13.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.4 7.8 8.8 4.2 0.7 0.0 25.6 10th
11th 1.5 5.9 11.0 12.9 9.3 3.6 0.6 0.0 44.7 11th
Total 1.5 5.9 11.6 16.4 17.9 16.2 12.4 8.6 5.1 2.6 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 33.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 1.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0% 39.1% 39.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 39.1%
12-8 0.2% 9.9% 1.1% 8.8% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.9%
11-9 0.5% 3.5% 0.8% 2.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.8%
10-10 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 0.2% 11.4 0.0 0.0 1.2 0.2%
9-11 2.6% 0.7% 0.7% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6
8-12 5.1% 0.5% 0.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0
7-13 8.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 8.5
6-14 12.4% 0.2% 0.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 12.4
5-15 16.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.2
4-16 17.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.9
3-17 16.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.4
2-18 11.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.6
1-19 5.9% 5.9
0-20 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.8 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.3%