Seton Hall
Big East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +9.9 54
Results Rating +11.4 52
Pace 64.5 288
Improvement -2.3 270

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 177 C- B- C+ B- C+
Defense A 9 A- B A+ D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 22 C 57% 191 +3.9 51
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 132 C- 36% 241 +0.4 151
Three Pointers 31% 347 D 31% 309 -6.5 347
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 163 D+ -2.4 264
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 246
Second Chance B 35.6% 46 C- 1.01 209 B- 0.36 81
Turnovers C+ 16.0% 127
Freethrows B- 0.34 76 C- 71% 216 B- 0.24 108
Total Offense C -0.6 177

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B+ 59% 37 B- 9.1% 84
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 18% 285 D+ 6.5% 277
Three Pointers A- 95% 5 B- 0.6% 114
Total B- 59% 102 C- 5.9% 214

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 195 A 47% 9 -4.6 46
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 226 B+ 32% 18 -1.7 54
Three Pointers 43% 112 B- 32% 81 -0.4 158
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 208 A -6.8 11
1st FG Attempt A- 0.89 19
Second Chance C+ 29.7% 154 B+ 0.89 22 B 0.26 60
Turnovers A+ 23.5% 2
Freethrows D 0.35 298 B- 71% 95 D+ 0.24 275
Total Defense A +10.5 9

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 136 A+ 21.2% 6
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 21 A 10.6% 11
Three Pointers C+ 82% 130 A 2.4% 15
Total C+ 54% 152 A+ 11.1% 2

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.8 120 18.9 352
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 113 0.09 11
Improvement -3.7 #335 +1.4 #105

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 67 55 46
Results Rating Rank 71 51 44
Conference Record 9 - 11 10 - 10 11 - 9
Conference Finish 5 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 10
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31% 52% 29%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 29% 50% 27%
Average Seed 10.6 10.3 10.7
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 68% 100% 64%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four20% 24% 19%
First Round20% 39% 18%
Second Round6% 12% 5%
Sweet Sixteen1% 2% 1%
Elite Eight0% 1% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Connecticut (Away) - 11.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 22 - 6
Quad 26 - 59 - 10
Quad 36 - 214 - 12
Quad 46 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 235 St. Peter's W 77 - 50 93% +16  97% 1 - 0 A +20 A +12 C- A A+ A+ +12 A+ A- A+
 Fri, Nov 7 320 Wagner W 68 - 61 97% +3  67% 2 - 0 D+ -6 F+ -8 F+ B- D- B- +3 F+ D A+
 Mon, Nov 10 264 Fairfield W 82 - 59 95% +10  96% 3 - 0 B+ +14 C+ +2 F A- A A+ +12 B A A+
 Thu, Nov 13 199 Monmouth W 70 - 58 91% +2  53% 4 - 0 B- +7 D+ -3 D- F+ A+ A +10 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 321 New Haven W 68 - 45 97% +14  98% 5 - 0 B +10 C- -2 C+ D+ C A+ +15 A B- A-
 Mon, Nov 24 24 North Carolina St. W 85 - 74 29% +8  96% 6 - 0 A+ +27 A- +11 B A+ B A+ +15 A A+ A
 Tue, Nov 25 56 USC L 81 - 83 50% +2  54% 6 - 1 B- +8 A +13 A+ F+ A D -5 C- D+ A+
 Wed, Nov 26 126 Washington St. W 75 - 61 76% +11  97% 7 - 1 A- +17 C+ +2 B- A+ F A+ +15 A+ A- A
 Wed, Dec 3 303 Central Connecticut St. W 77 - 61 97% +9  96% 8 - 1 C+ +5 C+ +3 A- F C B +4 F+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 96 @Kansas St. W 78 - 67 55% +8  92% 9 - 1 A +20 C- -1 F+ C+ B+ A+ +20 A+ A+ A
 Sat, Dec 13 111 Rutgers W 81 - 59 82% +11  97% 10 - 1 A +22 B+ +8 A A+ F A+ +15 A+ F A+
 Fri, Dec 19 61 @Providence W 72 - 67 42% +3  83% 11 - 1 1 - 0 A- +17 C- -1 C B- F A+ +18 A+ A+ A-
 Tue, Dec 23 35 Villanova L 56 - 64 44% -8  5% 11 - 2 1 - 1 C+ +3 F+ -8 F D- A+ A +11 C- C A+
 Tue, Dec 30 88 @Marquette W 79 - 73 52% -2  37% 12 - 2 2 - 1 A- +15 B +7 F A+ B A- +8 A+ A- D-
 Sun, Jan 4 63 Creighton W 56 - 54 66% -5  6% 13 - 2 3 - 1 B- +8 F -12 F F B+ A+ +20 A+ B B+
 Sat, Jan 10 71 @Georgetown W 76 - 67 46% -2  17% 14 - 2 4 - 1 A +20 B +6 D- A B- A+ +14 A+ B B+
 Tue, Jan 13 9 Connecticut L 64 - 69 25% -7  19% 14 - 3 4 - 2 B+ +12 C+ +2 D+ A+ D A +9 A- D A+
 Sat, Jan 17 75 Butler L 66 - 77 70% -6  19% 14 - 4 4 - 3 D+ -6 D- -6 F B+ D C -1 B- A+ D
 Tue, Jan 20 19 @St. John's L 60 - 65 15% +4  84% 14 - 5 4 - 4 A- +16 C+ +2 C+ B C+ A+ +14 A+ C A
 Sat, Jan 24 93 @DePaul L 60 - 67 54% -8  0% 14 - 6 4 - 5 C+ +2 D -5 F+ B- A A- +7 C+ A B
 Wed, Jan 28 84 Xavier W 86 - 68 72% -2  41% 15 - 6 5 - 5 A +22 B+ +9 C- A- A- A+ +13 B D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 31 88 Marquette W 69 - 64 73% -2  26% 16 - 6 6 - 5 B +8 B- +4 C A+ D B +5 A F A+
 Wed, Feb 4 35 @Villanova L 60 - 72 24% -10  0% 16 - 7 6 - 6 B- +5 C- -1 D D- A B+ +5 C- A+ A+
 Sat, Feb 7 63 @Creighton L 68 - 69 43% +2  52% 16 - 8 6 - 7 B +11 C +0 B+ A- F A +11 B+ F A+
 Wed, Feb 11 61 Providence W 87 - 80 65% -1  31% 17 - 8 7 - 7 B+ +13 A +12 B+ B A+ C+ +1 F A A+
 Sun, Feb 15 75 @Butler W 63 - 56 47% -1  33% 18 - 8 8 - 7 A- +18 D- -6 C+ D+ F+ A+ +24 A+ A+ C-
 Wed, Feb 18 93 DePaul L 57 - 69 75% -1  32% 18 - 9 8 - 8 D -9 F+ -10 B F D- C -0 B- C+ B+
 Sat, Feb 21 71 Georgetown W 51 - 47 69% -2  26% 19 - 9 9 - 8 B +9 F -17 F A- F+ A+ +26 A+ A- A+
 Sat, Feb 28 9 @Connecticut L 58 - 71 11%
 Tue, Mar 3 84 @Xavier W 71 - 70 50%
 Fri, Mar 6 19 St. John's L 65 - 70 31%
Totals 20 - 11 10 - 10 +10 C -1 A- D+ C+ A +11 D C- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C C- D D+ 46% 41% 31% C+ C- B C- B- C+ B- C- B- A A B+ B- A 38% 19% 43% C- A- C+ B+ B A+ D B- D+
1.08 57% 36% 31% -2 0 0.98 36% 1.0 .36 16% .34 71% .24 0.94 47% 32% 32% -7 0 0.89 30% 0.9 .26 24% .35 71% .24
Nov
3		 St. Peter's A C+ F C D+ 45% 16% 39% B- C- B- A+ A A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ 27% 24% 49% B A+ D A+ A- A+ F B- F
1.28 59% 17% 33% -3 +1 0.97 39% 1.4 .54 13% .69 83% .57 0.83 36% 10% 30% -16 -1 0.68 38% 0.7 .26 25% .49 73% .35
Nov
7		 Wagner F+ B- F F F 46% 17% 37% C F+ A+ F B- D- A F D- B- A+ F F F+ 33% 14% 53% D F+ C+ F D A+ C+ A+ A+
1.05 62% 13% 29% -5 +1 0.93 50% 0.8 .38 17% .45 50% .22 0.95 29% 50% 48% +3 0 1.09 31% 1.2 .38 31% .27 42% .11
Nov
10		 Fairfield C+ F A+ F F 59% 16% 25% B- F B+ B+ A- A A+ A A+ A+ A+ C+ F B- 30% 26% 44% B+ B B A+ A A+ F F F
1.20 43% 50% 23% -11 +2 0.84 37% 1.2 .44 10% .45 82% .37 0.86 23% 36% 42% -6 -1 0.88 29% 0.6 .18 25% .45 78% .35
Nov
13		 Monmouth D+ F A+ B- F 51% 12% 37% B+ D- B F F+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A A+ D- A A+ 51% 19% 30% F A+ C+ F F A+ F D F
1.05 38% 50% 37% -7 +2 0.92 37% 0.6 .21 12% .46 78% .36 0.87 26% 43% 27% -18 +1 0.68 30% 1.7 .50 30% .58 78% .45
Nov
18		 New Haven C- B F A- C+ 41% 18% 41% C C+ D C+ D+ C F B+ D- A+ A A+ B- A 28% 28% 43% A- A A F B- A- A A A
1.10 65% 22% 40% +4 0 1.10 23% 1.1 .27 16% .19 80% .15 0.73 46% 23% 30% -10 -2 0.78 15% 1.2 .18 23% .17 63% .10
Nov
24		 North Carolina St. A- A- B+ D B 45% 14% 41% B- B C- A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F B- A 40% 13% 46% C- A A A+ A+ A D B C-
1.15 64% 43% 30% +1 +1 1.06 25% 1.9 .46 19% .40 83% .33 1.00 43% 71% 33% -2 +1 1.00 23% 0.9 .21 18% .36 73% .26
Nov
25		 USC A A A+ B A+ 43% 31% 26% D+ A+ F D F+ A C+ F D+ D C A+ F C- 50% 28% 23% C- C- D- C+ D+ A+ F F F
1.17 65% 65% 36% +12 -1 1.24 17% 0.8 .14 13% .30 67% .20 1.20 60% 27% 56% +5 0 1.13 41% 1.0 .41 23% .71 82% .58
Nov
26		 Washington St. C+ A+ F D B 45% 34% 21% D+ B- C+ A+ A+ F D A+ C A+ C+ F A+ A+ 43% 7% 50% F A+ C A+ A- A D+ C- D+
1.13 81% 25% 30% +5 -1 1.09 29% 1.9 .54 21% .25 85% .21 0.92 60% 67% 22% -6 +2 0.93 30% 0.7 .20 23% .31 75% .23
Dec
3		 Central Connecticut St. C+ F C- A+ A- 49% 16% 35% C+ A- C F F C C C C+ B C- A+ F D- 41% 18% 41% F F+ C+ A+ A+ A+ C+ B- C+
1.21 44% 38% 61% +7 +1 1.20 32% 0.5 .18 13% .27 80% .22 0.96 61% 25% 44% +5 +1 1.14 26% 0.3 .06 24% .25 75% .19
Dec
6		 Kansas St. C- C- F F F 49% 19% 32% B F+ C+ C C+ B+ B B+ B+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 37% 12% 51% C- A+ F+ A+ A+ A F A+ F+
1.01 54% 18% 22% -12 +1 0.81 35% 1.2 .42 15% .34 77% .26 0.86 63% 17% 23% -9 +1 0.86 40% 0.5 .21 21% .57 43% .24
Dec
13		 Rutgers B+ A+ D+ C- A 54% 23% 23% B A A+ C+ A+ F C- C C- A+ A+ A+ C A+ 45% 26% 29% F A+ F D- F A+ F B+ D-
1.20 75% 33% 33% +8 +1 1.19 50% 1.0 .50 22% .23 75% .17 0.87 37% 18% 33% -15 0 0.71 41% 1.3 .51 27% .44 68% .30
Dec
19		 Providence C- D+ B- C- C- 46% 22% 33% B C B- C B- F A+ F A+ A+ C+ B+ A+ A+ 44% 7% 49% F+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A- F D+ F
1.04 52% 40% 33% -3 0 0.98 32% 1.0 .32 19% .48 63% .30 0.96 60% 33% 23% -8 +2 0.91 20% 0.8 .17 19% .53 80% .42
Dec
23		 Villanova F+ B+ F F F 46% 31% 23% C F B F D- A+ A- C- B+ A A+ B F C- 38% 8% 54% F+ C- A- F C A+ D- A C-
0.89 64% 0% 27% -12 -1 0.77 35% 0.6 .20 14% .30 69% .20 1.01 47% 33% 48% +6 +2 1.18 30% 1.3 .37 29% .35 63% .22
Dec
30		 Marquette B D- F F F 48% 19% 33% B F A+ A+ A+ B A+ C+ A+ A- A+ B B- A+ 46% 6% 48% C- A+ B A- A- D- F C- F
1.11 50% 10% 28% -12 +1 0.80 49% 1.3 .61 18% .50 76% .38 1.02 40% 33% 31% -11 +3 0.85 28% 0.8 .23 11% .43 70% .30
Jan
4		 Creighton F F F C F 42% 46% 13% F F F F F B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A A+ A+ 33% 22% 46% B A+ C A B B+ D A+ C+
0.88 45% 27% 33% -11 -3 0.75 17% 0.7 .11 13% .34 84% .29 0.85 60% 30% 19% -11 -1 0.78 28% 0.8 .23 17% .31 63% .19
Jan
10		 Georgetown B F A+ F+ F+ 42% 29% 29% C D- A- A- A B- A+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ 37% 29% 35% B A+ C A B B+ C- F F+
1.09 35% 50% 29% -9 -1 0.83 37% 1.1 .42 16% .56 73% .41 0.96 32% 27% 39% -10 -1 0.79 34% 0.9 .32 17% .36 86% .31
Jan
13		 Connecticut C+ A A F C- 40% 30% 30% D+ D+ A+ C+ A+ D A+ F A- A C F A+ A 51% 11% 38% D- A- F+ B- D A+ F A+ F
0.99 65% 46% 0% -10 -1 0.79 49% 1.0 .46 22% .49 60% .30 1.07 63% 75% 21% -1 +2 1.05 43% 1.1 .47 26% .55 62% .34
Jan
17		 Butler D- C F F F 34% 32% 34% F+ F A+ F B+ D A+ D+ A+ C D- F A+ B- 42% 16% 42% C+ B- A+ A+ A+ D F F F
0.98 59% 25% 18% -12 -2 0.74 49% 0.7 .35 19% .46 68% .31 1.15 67% 57% 22% -1 +1 1.02 17% 0.6 .10 12% .69 80% .56
Jan
20		 St. John's C+ F B- A+ C- 60% 12% 28% A+ C+ A+ F B C+ A+ F C+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 58% 21% 21% C- A+ F A+ C A F B F
0.94 38% 40% 42% -8 +3 0.91 46% 0.7 .33 20% .39 55% .22 1.02 48% 22% 11% -16 +1 0.72 47% 1.0 .44 19% .58 70% .40
Jan
24		 DePaul D F D C+ F+ 48% 30% 22% C+ F+ C A- B- A C- F D- A- F A+ C C+ 28% 18% 54% C+ C+ A A- A B F D F
0.90 42% 33% 36% -9 -1 0.84 28% 1.1 .31 15% .30 59% .18 1.01 73% 14% 33% -1 0 1.00 24% 1.0 .24 20% .63 74% .47
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Xavier B+ F A+ A D 64% 18% 18% A+ C- A+ F+ A- A- A+ B+ A+ A+ D- D- A B+ 25% 21% 54% C B C+ F D+ A+ A- F B
1.19 43% 60% 40% -4 +2 0.98 49% 0.7 .35 14% .45 75% .34 0.94 69% 45% 29% 0 -1 1.00 26% 1.3 .32 26% .19 80% .15
Jan
31		 Marquette B- C+ D A C+ 46% 33% 21% D C A+ A+ A+ D F B F+ B A+ A+ F A 50% 14% 36% B- A D+ F F A+ A+ A+ A+
1.11 59% 31% 40% 0 -1 1.00 44% 1.3 .56 22% .19 78% .15 1.03 33% 17% 47% -9 +2 0.88 33% 2.2 .73 26% .19 56% .11
Feb
4		 Villanova C- C+ A- F D- 48% 22% 30% B+ D D F D- A D+ A+ B- B+ F F C D+ 29% 13% 58% C+ C- D- A+ A+ A+ F F+ F
0.95 58% 45% 13% -8 +1 0.88 25% 0.8 .19 16% .21 91% .19 1.14 77% 50% 35% +8 0 1.18 41% 0.5 .19 24% .46 77% .35
Feb
7		 Creighton C B+ D A+ A- 43% 40% 17% D- B+ C+ A+ A- F B+ D- B- A A+ C D+ A- 29% 11% 60% C- B+ D+ F F A+ B- F C
1.02 65% 32% 50% +4 -2 1.06 30% 1.3 .40 21% .27 64% .17 1.03 46% 40% 37% 0 +1 1.02 30% 1.4 .43 27% .25 83% .21
Feb
11		 Providence A F A+ C- A- 40% 31% 29% D+ B+ C- A+ B A+ A+ B+ A+ C+ C+ F F F 24% 10% 67% B- F C+ A+ A A+ C+ F D-
1.27 43% 75% 33% +5 -1 1.10 26% 1.3 .35 7% .39 76% .30 1.17 60% 75% 46% +16 0 1.36 35% 0.9 .31 26% .34 94% .32
Feb
15		 Butler D- A B- F+ B- 36% 33% 31% F+ C+ D B- D+ F+ A+ F B A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 38% 23% 38% A- A+ A- A+ A+ C- B- A- B
0.94 69% 40% 29% +2 -2 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 21% .42 45% .19 0.84 45% 33% 25% -11 0 0.79 29% 0.4 .10 13% .34 65% .22
Feb
18		 DePaul F+ C A- A- B 51% 26% 23% B B F F F D- C- B C C A F B- B 40% 16% 44% D B- F A+ C+ B+ F D F
0.88 55% 45% 40% +2 0 1.07 12% 0.0 .00 23% .30 73% .22 1.07 47% 57% 32% -3 +1 0.98 41% 0.8 .34 20% .50 73% .37
Feb
21		 Georgetown F D F F F 45% 20% 34% B+ F A+ C- A- F+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 32% 25% 43% B A+ D A+ A- A+ F A+ C
0.81 50% 22% 0% -24 +1 0.55 44% 0.9 .41 21% .52 65% .34 0.74 43% 9% 21% -20 -1 0.59 37% 0.8 .28 21% .46 57% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 11.4 37.6 19.8 1.8 70.6 4th
5th 20.2 9.1 29.2 5th
6th 0.2 0.2 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 31.7 46.7 19.8 1.8 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 1.8% 69.9% 6.9% 63.0% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.5 67.7%
11-9 19.8% 53.3% 4.2% 49.1% 10.4 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.4 5.8 0.1 9.3 51.2%
10-10 46.7% 34.6% 3.2% 31.5% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.2 11.8 0.6 30.5 32.5%
9-11 31.7% 11.1% 2.4% 8.7% 11.0 0.0 0.2 2.8 0.4 28.2 8.9%
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 31.5% 3.2% 28.3% 10.6 68.5 29.2%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 7.8 5.4 8.1 16.2 43.2 24.3 2.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 88.9% 9.5 14.3 30.2 33.3 11.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.8% 69.8% 9.9 3.9 17.7 33.2 15.1
Lose Out 14.4% 1.7% 11.2 0.0 1.3 0.3