South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#198
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#240
Pace71.6#81
Improvement+4.8#20

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#247
First Shot-5.1#312
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#43
Layup/Dunks-1.3#228
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#307
Freethrows-0.8#236
Improvement+3.0#47

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#154
First Shot+0.5#165
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#165
Layups/Dunks-2.9#288
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#46
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#39
Freethrows-2.1#314
Improvement+1.7#98
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 40.4% 53.4% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.9% 11.7% 0.0%
First Round36.9% 48.8% 0.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 50 - 9
Quad 417 - 317 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 71   @ South Carolina L 64-86 12%     0 - 1 -11.2 -3.7 -7.0
  Nov 14, 2024 197   @ Jacksonville L 62-71 39%     0 - 2 -8.2 -8.7 +0.6
  Nov 16, 2024 289   @ Bethune-Cookman L 62-75 60%     0 - 3 -17.8 -13.1 -4.2
  Nov 22, 2024 358   @ Alabama A&M W 82-70 85%     1 - 3 -1.3 +5.3 -6.5
  Nov 23, 2024 319   IU Indianapolis W 72-62 76%     2 - 3 +0.6 -8.2 +9.3
  Nov 27, 2024 169   @ Marshall L 53-82 34%     2 - 4 -26.8 -17.8 -9.4
  Dec 01, 2024 40   @ Xavier L 68-71 6%     2 - 5 +12.6 +1.3 +11.4
  Dec 05, 2024 124   Samford L 81-88 44%     2 - 6 -7.5 +8.1 -15.8
  Dec 09, 2024 307   Charleston Southern W 82-63 81%     3 - 6 +7.7 +4.7 +3.1
  Dec 14, 2024 138   @ Furman L 64-68 28%     3 - 7 +0.0 +1.8 -2.5
  Dec 18, 2024 349   @ South Carolina Upstate W 85-70 78%     4 - 7 +5.0 -2.9 +6.2
  Dec 21, 2024 225   @ Northern Kentucky L 47-58 44%     4 - 8 -11.7 -19.8 +6.8
  Dec 29, 2024 33   @ Georgia L 72-79 5%     4 - 9 +9.5 +5.2 +4.6
  Jan 04, 2025 333   @ Morgan St. W 86-72 73%     5 - 9 1 - 0 +5.7 +3.8 +1.4
  Jan 06, 2025 361   @ Coppin St. W 85-77 86%     6 - 9 2 - 0 -5.9 +0.9 -7.6
  Jan 11, 2025 310   Delaware St. L 75-76 82%     6 - 10 2 - 1 -12.7 +1.5 -14.3
  Jan 13, 2025 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 78-64 93%     7 - 10 3 - 1 -4.8 -3.3 -1.4
  Jan 25, 2025 318   @ NC Central L 77-82 67%     7 - 11 3 - 2 -11.6 -5.3 -6.0
  Feb 01, 2025 190   @ Norfolk St. L 65-67 OT 38%     7 - 12 3 - 3 -0.9 -12.3 +11.5
  Feb 03, 2025 316   @ Howard W 89-66 67%     8 - 12 4 - 3 +16.5 +0.6 +13.2
  Feb 15, 2025 333   Morgan St. W 90-62 86%     9 - 12 5 - 3 +14.2 +10.4 +4.6
  Feb 17, 2025 361   Coppin St. W 87-57 94%     10 - 12 6 - 3 +10.6 +8.6 +1.8
  Feb 22, 2025 310   @ Delaware St. W 94-88 OT 66%     11 - 12 7 - 3 -0.2 +3.7 -4.9
  Feb 24, 2025 359   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 81-68 85%     12 - 12 8 - 3 -0.3 +2.9 -3.0
  Mar 01, 2025 190   Norfolk St. W 91-88 59%     13 - 12 9 - 3 -1.4 +13.1 -14.5
  Mar 03, 2025 316   Howard W 79-69 83%     14 - 12 10 - 3 -2.0 -6.7 +4.0
  Mar 06, 2025 318   NC Central W 87-71 83%     15 - 12 11 - 3 +3.9 +2.9 +0.3
  Mar 12, 2025 361   Coppin St. W 68-63 91%     16 - 12 -11.6 -8.6 -3.1
Projected Record 16 - 12 11 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 40.4% 40.4% 15.9 0.0 3.0 37.4 59.6
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 40.4% 40.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 3.0 37.4 59.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 40.4% 100.0% 15.9 0.0 7.4 92.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 35.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 24.3%