South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -15.4 357
Results Rating -15.4 354
Pace 71.3 107
Improvement +2.2 103

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 357 D- C- F C- F
Defense D- 329 D- F C F+ F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 344 F+ 48% 359 -7.6 361
2 Pt. Jumpers 62% 9 C- 36% 238 +4.5 23
Three Pointers 35% 303 C 34% 160 -2.9 280
Shot Selection/Accuracy F -2.2 359 D -3.8 310
1st FG Attempt D- 0.90 339
Second Chance C- 29.0% 220 C- 0.99 237 C- 0.29 230
Turnovers F 21.2% 357
Freethrows C+ 0.31 156 F+ 65% 357 C- 0.20 240
Total Offense F+ -9.4 357

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 48% 184 F 16.1% 357
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 51 C+ 4.7% 159
Three Pointers C+ 86% 146 C 1.0% 212
Total C 56% 181 D 6.9% 313

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 22 F+ 66% 348 +7.5 360
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% 363 F+ 45% 351 -2.5 16
Three Pointers 43% 118 C 34% 192 +1.0 231
Shot Selection/Accuracy F +1.6 365 D- +4.2 328
1st FG Attempt D- 1.14 345
Second Chance F 37.4% 360 F 1.22 361 F 0.46 363
Turnovers C 16.8% 185
Freethrows F 0.39 357 C 72% 170 F+ 0.28 355
Total Defense D- -6.0 329

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 279 C 10.9% 173
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 36% 326 C- 4.2% 211
Three Pointers D- 90% 340 D+ 0.4% 296
Total D 62% 317 C 5.6% 171

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.8 320 15.6 2
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 308 0.25 356
Improvement +0.0 #187 +2.2 #68

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 361 357 349
Results Rating Rank 360 353 342
Conference Record 5 - 9 7 - 7 8 - 6
Conference Finish 7 5 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 2% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 54% 76% 29%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 2% 2%
First Round1% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Morgan St. (Home) - 54.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 50 - 9
Quad 47 - 137 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 11 @Louisville L 45 - 104 0% -40  0% 0 - 1 F -37 F -27 F C- F C -1 C F+ A
 Fri, Nov 7 190 @Samford L 72 - 82 7% -1  41% 0 - 2 D -9 D- -7 D- B- F C- -2 C F C
 Mon, Nov 10 273 @N.C. A&T L 62 - 85 13% -14  9% 0 - 3 F -26 F -24 F F+ F C+ +1 C- D+ A
 Fri, Nov 14 149 @College of Charleston L 61 - 88 5% -14  12% 0 - 4 F -24 F+ -9 D- D F+ F -16 F F F
 Wed, Nov 19 274 Chattanooga L 66 - 78 28% -8  2% 0 - 5 F -21 F -17 F A+ C D+ -4 C+ F C+
 Sun, Nov 23 293 @South Dakota L 81 - 82 16% -8  1% 0 - 6 D+ -6 C+ +2 D A D F+ -8 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 49 @Missouri L 66 - 98 1% -24  0% 0 - 7 F -18 D -5 F C+ C F -13 A F F
 Sat, Nov 29 135 @Winthrop L 79 - 101 4% -14  7% 0 - 8 F+ -17 C +1 B B- D F -17 F F A-
 Fri, Dec 5 240 @Bethune-Cookman L 59 - 80 10% -12  5% 0 - 9 F -22 F -12 F D+ F F -12 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 8 268 @Charleston Southern L 44 - 84 13% -15  20% 0 - 10 F -43 F -31 F F F F -13 D- C+ D
 Fri, Dec 12 212 @Queens L 78 - 102 8% -19  0% 0 - 11 F -24 D -4 D- A F F -19 D- F F
 Tue, Dec 16 297 South Carolina Upstate L 72 - 78 33% -6  4% 0 - 12 F+ -17 D+ -4 B C D F -13 F F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 92 @South Carolina L 70 - 95 2% -12  0% 0 - 13 F+ -16 C- -1 C+ C- C F -14 F F A+
 Tue, Dec 30 15 @Tennessee L 54 - 105 0% -23  0% 0 - 14 F -29 F+ -9 D- C+ A- F -21 F F D-
 Sat, Jan 3 202 Howard W 58 - 57 17% +7  98% 1 - 14 1 - 0 C- -4 F -17 D B+ F A+ +12 A+ D- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 350 @Morgan St. L 67 - 72 32% +2  72% 1 - 15 1 - 1 F+ -16 F -11 D- B F D -5 D- D+ F
 Mon, Jan 12 363 @Coppin St. W 74 - 72 49% +4  89% 2 - 15 2 - 1 D- -13 C- -1 B- D+ F+ F -12 C- F D+
 Sat, Jan 17 302 Norfolk St. L 82 - 89 35% +0  52% 2 - 16 2 - 2 F -18 C -0 C C- F+ F -18 F F B-
 Mon, Jan 26 361 Delaware St. W 70 - 64 67% +6  97% 3 - 16 3 - 2 D- -14 F+ -9 B- F C+ D+ -5 C- D- F+
 Wed, Feb 4 349 Maryland Eastern Shore W 63 - 54 54% +10  86% 4 - 16 4 - 2 D+ -7 F -13 C D D- B+ +6 D F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 202 @Howard L 57 - 85 8% -15  0% 4 - 17 4 - 3 F -27 F -19 F F D- D- -7 F D- C+
 Mon, Feb 16 363 Coppin St. L 57 - 59 71% +1  55% 4 - 18 4 - 4 F -23 F -24 F F C C+ +0 F C+ A
 Wed, Feb 18 352 NC Central W 85 - 72 56% +5  93% 5 - 18 5 - 4 C- -4 B- +5 A- F A- D- -8 F D+ C
 Sat, Feb 21 302 @Norfolk St. L 71 - 90 17% -10  0% 5 - 19 5 - 5 F -24 D- -7 F A+ F F -17 F D- C-
 Wed, Feb 25 350 Morgan St. W 78 - 77 54%
 Sat, Feb 28 349 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 64 - 69 32%
 Mon, Mar 2 361 @Delaware St. L 68 - 69 45%
 Thu, Mar 5 352 @NC Central L 71 - 76 34%
Totals 7 - 21 7 - 7 -15 F+ -9 F+ D F D- -6 C F+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ F+ C- C D 31% 62% 35% F D- C- C- C- F C+ F+ C- D- F+ F+ C D- 45% 12% 43% F D- F F F C F C F+
0.95 48% 36% 34% -4 -2 0.90 29% 1.0 .29 21% .31 65% .20 1.17 66% 45% 34% +4 +2 1.14 37% 1.2 .46 17% .39 72% .23
Nov
3		 Louisville F F F F F 24% 41% 35% F F C+ D C- F A+ B+ A+ C F A+ D+ C 44% 6% 50% D+ C C- F F+ A F C F
0.55 42% 15% 12% -25 -4 0.45 26% 0.8 .21 31% .39 77% .30 1.28 75% 0% 37% +8 +2 1.22 36% 1.3 .45 21% .51 79% .40
Nov
7		 Samford D- F A D D+ 21% 42% 37% F D- F+ A+ B- F C+ A B C- A- A+ D B- 48% 4% 48% F C D+ F F C F B F
1.00 36% 50% 32% -1 -4 0.92 19% 1.8 .34 18% .30 83% .25 1.14 50% 0% 36% -4 +3 1.00 26% 1.4 .38 14% .60 65% .39
Nov
10		 N.C. A&T F F F A+ F+ 29% 42% 29% F F C+ F F+ F A+ F B- C+ D A+ A+ B- 60% 10% 29% F C- F+ B- D+ A F B- F
0.77 43% 30% 43% -4 -3 0.88 29% 0.6 .17 30% .49 50% .25 1.05 62% 20% 21% -5 +3 0.98 37% 1.0 .37 23% .53 73% .39
Nov
14		 College of Charleston F+ C+ F A+ C- 17% 52% 31% F D- B+ F D F+ A+ F A- F F A- A+ F+ 48% 14% 38% F F F C+ F F F A F
0.91 63% 20% 47% -3 -6 0.85 38% 0.6 .22 18% .49 44% .22 1.31 92% 29% 16% +4 +2 1.14 47% 1.1 .50 10% .51 68% .35
Nov
19		 Chattanooga F A+ F F F 16% 37% 47% F F D+ A+ A+ C A+ F A+ D+ F B+ B+ C+ 30% 21% 49% C+ C+ F F F C+ F B F
0.91 75% 5% 25% -16 -4 0.63 30% 2.0 .60 14% .54 62% .34 1.08 69% 33% 29% -2 -1 0.98 31% 1.5 .46 17% .58 71% .41
Nov
23		 South Dakota C+ F+ D+ B+ D- 59% 16% 25% B- D A C A D B A+ A F+ D+ D- D+ F 55% 15% 30% F F F A+ F A+ F A+ F
1.15 50% 38% 38% -3 +2 1.00 43% 1.2 .51 18% .33 84% .28 1.16 62% 43% 36% +3 +2 1.13 55% 0.7 .39 25% .53 64% .34
Nov
25		 Missouri D B+ D- F F 27% 33% 40% D- F C- B C+ C A+ C- A+ F D- C A+ A+ 39% 22% 39% B+ A F F F F F F F
0.94 62% 31% 21% -9 -2 0.79 27% 1.0 .27 17% .47 74% .34 1.40 70% 36% 20% -4 0 0.94 54% 1.9 1.03 13% .49 77% .38
Nov
29		 Winthrop C D B- A+ B+ 39% 30% 31% D- B C A B- D F F F F F F D F 45% 7% 48% D- F F F F A- A+ F B+
1.08 52% 44% 47% +6 -1 1.11 29% 1.3 .37 19% .20 67% .13 1.38 72% 50% 37% +9 +2 1.25 48% 1.7 .84 19% .25 87% .22
Dec
5		 Bethune-Cookman F F F F+ F 30% 24% 46% F+ F A F D+ F B D C+ F F A+ F F 47% 17% 36% F+ F C+ A+ A+ F A+ F B-
0.90 43% 9% 29% -15 -1 0.70 43% 0.7 .32 21% .37 68% .25 1.21 72% 22% 47% +11 +1 1.26 26% 0.3 .06 11% .20 92% .19
Dec
8		 Charleston Southern F F F C F 28% 52% 20% F F C- F F F A F F F B+ A+ F D- 34% 9% 57% C D- F+ A C+ D F F F
0.64 31% 25% 33% -15 -5 0.63 28% 0.5 .13 22% .45 38% .17 1.23 50% 25% 44% +5 +1 1.15 34% 0.7 .24 16% .52 80% .42
Dec
12		 Queens D F A A+ F+ 50% 23% 27% C D- A B A F D+ F+ D- F F F C F+ 35% 8% 58% D D- F D F F F C F
1.09 35% 50% 50% -3 +1 0.98 44% 1.2 .51 20% .31 67% .21 1.42 78% 50% 33% +7 +1 1.19 41% 1.2 .49 8% .44 76% .34
Dec
16		 South Carolina Upstate D+ A A+ B A+ 20% 47% 33% F B F A+ C D F+ C- D- F C- F D- F 42% 22% 36% C- F D- F F D+ F B+ F
1.07 70% 48% 38% +9 -5 1.10 19% 1.8 .35 18% .23 69% .16 1.16 58% 60% 38% +7 0 1.16 33% 1.3 .44 16% .44 64% .28
Dec
22		 South Carolina C- F A+ A+ B+ 26% 46% 28% F C+ C+ D+ C- C C F D- F F F B F 36% 20% 44% C+ F F D- F A+ F F+ F
1.00 14% 56% 47% +2 -4 0.98 30% 0.9 .27 16% .27 56% .15 1.35 88% 67% 30% +14 0 1.29 48% 1.2 .57 21% .65 86% .56
Dec
30		 Tennessee F+ F D D D 27% 39% 35% F D- F+ A+ C+ A- B+ F D+ F F F B+ F 48% 10% 42% F+ F F C- F D- F A+ F+
0.78 38% 32% 29% -10 -3 0.76 16% 1.5 .24 14% .34 50% .17 1.52 91% 80% 30% +18 +2 1.42 67% 1.1 .73 14% .56 58% .32
Jan
3		 Howard F D+ B F C- 30% 41% 30% F D C A B+ F A C- A- A+ A B- A+ A+ 50% 7% 43% F A+ A+ F D- D+ F A+ F
0.83 55% 40% 27% -3 -3 0.89 33% 1.3 .44 30% .41 70% .29 0.82 41% 33% 16% -21 +3 0.66 26% 1.8 .45 19% .58 64% .37
Jan
10		 Morgan St. F A- B- F D+ 40% 28% 33% F D- C+ B B F D- F F D F B- A+ D+ 48% 20% 33% F D- C- D+ D+ F F A+ D
1.01 71% 42% 21% 0 -1 1.00 38% 1.3 .50 27% .39 47% .18 1.08 68% 33% 20% -3 +1 0.98 31% 0.9 .28 12% .48 61% .29
Jan
12		 Coppin St. C- A- B+ A+ A 17% 44% 39% F B- F+ A- D+ F+ A+ F A+ F A+ F+ D C- 26% 16% 58% D+ C- F F F D+ F F+ F
1.13 71% 44% 50% +14 -5 1.22 28% 1.3 .36 20% .65 62% .40 1.10 27% 43% 36% -5 0 0.91 41% 1.2 .49 21% .68 74% .51
Jan
17		 Norfolk St. C B D- B- C+ 31% 18% 51% D- C A- F C- F+ C+ A+ B+ F D- B D+ D- 62% 8% 30% F F F F F B- F F F
1.14 67% 33% 36% +3 0 1.08 42% 0.8 .33 21% .39 82% .32 1.24 61% 33% 36% +2 +3 1.14 38% 1.8 .67 21% .83 79% .65
Jan
26		 Delaware St. F+ F A+ A+ B- 45% 14% 40% C+ B- F F F C+ A+ F+ A D+ C+ F A+ B- 52% 13% 35% F C- D- F+ D- F+ F F F
1.02 47% 67% 47% +7 +1 1.19 19% 0.8 .15 17% .49 64% .32 0.93 50% 50% 19% -11 +2 0.85 29% 0.9 .26 16% .45 81% .36
Feb
4		 Maryland Eastern Shore F A+ A D+ B 21% 38% 41% F C D- C+ D D- A+ D A+ B+ B- B C- C- 49% 9% 43% F D F F F A+ F+ A+ D+
0.98 75% 47% 31% +5 -4 1.05 26% 1.2 .30 19% .51 70% .36 0.84 53% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 36% 1.2 .44 33% .30 62% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Howard F F F F F 37% 21% 42% D- F D- F F D- C- F F D- C+ F F F 66% 7% 27% F F C F D- C+ F D F
0.76 47% 18% 27% -12 0 0.77 27% 0.7 .20 23% .33 53% .17 1.13 52% 100% 42% +3 +4 1.16 34% 1.3 .45 21% .61 78% .47
Feb
16		 Coppin St. F F A+ F F 53% 14% 33% B F F F F C F F+ F C+ D- B+ D F 56% 17% 27% F F A+ F C+ A C B+ C+
0.85 50% 57% 19% -9 +2 0.88 23% 0.7 .16 16% .23 69% .16 0.88 61% 29% 36% +1 +2 1.07 13% 2.0 .26 28% .33 63% .21
Feb
18		 NC Central B- A+ C- A+ A+ 34% 26% 40% D- A- F F F A- C- A+ B D- C F F F 39% 22% 39% C- F D+ C- D+ C F A+ D
1.27 76% 38% 50% +16 -1 1.32 25% 0.7 .17 13% .29 88% .26 1.08 56% 50% 39% +4 0 1.11 31% 1.0 .31 18% .44 58% .26
Feb
21		 Norfolk St. D- F A+ B- F 51% 13% 36% B- F A- A A+ F A+ A+ A+ F F C F F 49% 16% 35% F F B- F D- C- C- F D-
0.99 30% 80% 36% -8 +2 0.90 42% 1.2 .52 32% .60 83% .50 1.26 67% 38% 59% +17 +1 1.39 28% 1.3 .36 18% .36 76% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 1.8 2.5 4.2 2nd
3rd 2.5 10.6 0.7 13.8 3rd
4th 0.5 17.5 4.2 22.2 4th
5th 0.8 19.1 13.9 0.2 33.9 5th
6th 7.3 12.5 0.0 19.8 6th
7th 4.9 0.9 5.9 7th
8th 8th
Total 13.0 33.1 33.9 16.8 3.3 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 3.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 3.3% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.2 3.1
8-6 16.8% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.5 16.3
7-7 33.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.6 33.3
6-8 33.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.5 32.5
5-9 13.0% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 12.8
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 16.0 98.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.2%
Lose Out 9.3%