South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#253
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#276
Pace69.5#163
Improvement+3.6#23

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#292
First Shot-6.5#341
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#55
Layup/Dunks-1.6#232
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#102
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#328
Freethrows-1.2#255
Improvement+1.3#95

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#191
First Shot+0.1#169
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#250
Layups/Dunks-2.4#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#60
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#44
Freethrows-2.5#331
Improvement+2.4#27
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.0% 25.1% 17.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.3 15.8
.500 or above 46.0% 71.4% 45.2%
.500 or above in Conference 85.2% 90.6% 85.0%
Conference Champion 19.9% 27.6% 19.6%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.5% 1.2%
First Four10.9% 8.3% 11.0%
First Round12.9% 21.0% 12.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia (Away) - 3.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 51 - 9
Quad 413 - 614 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 63   @ South Carolina L 64-86 7%     0 - 1 -10.5 -4.4 -5.6
  Nov 14, 2024 211   @ Jacksonville L 62-71 30%     0 - 2 -8.5 -9.0 +0.6
  Nov 16, 2024 263   @ Bethune-Cookman L 62-75 40%     0 - 3 -15.4 -11.2 -3.8
  Nov 22, 2024 360   @ Alabama A&M W 82-70 73%     1 - 3 +0.7 +4.0 -3.3
  Nov 23, 2024 351   IU Indianapolis W 72-62 76%     2 - 3 -2.3 -5.2 +3.3
  Nov 27, 2024 199   @ Marshall L 53-82 28%     2 - 4 -27.8 -18.3 -10.0
  Dec 01, 2024 49   @ Xavier L 68-71 5%     2 - 5 +10.5 -0.6 +11.2
  Dec 05, 2024 119   Samford L 81-88 32%     2 - 6 -7.1 +6.3 -13.6
  Dec 09, 2024 298   Charleston Southern W 82-63 70%     3 - 6 +8.6 +3.9 +4.7
  Dec 14, 2024 115   @ Furman L 64-68 15%     3 - 7 +2.0 +4.6 -3.3
  Dec 18, 2024 342   @ South Carolina Upstate W 85-70 63%     4 - 7 +6.5 -0.7 +5.5
  Dec 21, 2024 205   @ Northern Kentucky L 47-58 28%     4 - 8 -10.1 -17.1 +5.7
  Dec 29, 2024 36   @ Georgia L 60-80 3%    
  Jan 04, 2025 350   @ Morgan St. W 78-74 66%    
  Jan 06, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. W 71-62 80%    
  Jan 11, 2025 327   @ Delaware St. W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 13, 2025 358   Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-65 87%    
  Jan 25, 2025 274   @ NC Central L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 01, 2025 184   @ Norfolk St. L 67-74 27%    
  Feb 03, 2025 255   @ Howard L 72-75 39%    
  Feb 15, 2025 350   Morgan St. W 81-71 83%    
  Feb 17, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 74-59 92%    
  Feb 22, 2025 327   @ Delaware St. W 72-71 55%    
  Feb 24, 2025 358   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-68 71%    
  Mar 01, 2025 184   Norfolk St. L 70-71 47%    
  Mar 03, 2025 255   Howard W 75-72 61%    
  Mar 06, 2025 274   NC Central W 73-69 65%    
Projected Record 13 - 14 9 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 4.2 7.0 5.5 2.1 0.4 19.9 1st
2nd 0.0 1.5 7.7 10.2 4.2 0.5 24.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 8.5 9.0 2.2 0.1 21.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 7.0 6.6 1.2 0.0 16.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.7 3.8 0.6 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.3 1.6 0.2 4.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 4.2 8.2 12.9 17.2 18.7 16.5 11.3 6.0 2.1 0.4 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
13-1 100.0% 2.1    2.0 0.1
12-2 91.9% 5.5    4.2 1.3 0.0
11-3 61.9% 7.0    3.5 3.1 0.4 0.0
10-4 25.1% 4.2    1.0 2.0 1.1 0.1
9-5 3.5% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 19.9% 19.9 11.2 6.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.4% 42.2% 42.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
13-1 2.1% 41.9% 41.9% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 1.2
12-2 6.0% 34.6% 34.6% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 3.9
11-3 11.3% 28.7% 28.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.7 8.1
10-4 16.5% 23.7% 23.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 3.7 12.6
9-5 18.7% 18.0% 18.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 3.3 15.3
8-6 17.2% 12.6% 12.6% 16.0 0.0 2.2 15.0
7-7 12.9% 9.8% 9.8% 16.0 1.3 11.7
6-8 8.2% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 0.6 7.6
5-9 4.2% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.2 4.0
4-10 1.7% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.1 1.6
3-11 0.6% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5
2-12 0.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
1-13 0.0% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.0
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 18.0% 18.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.4 15.2 82.0 0.0%