South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -14.9 #359
Expected Predictive Rating -15.4 #354
Pace 71.4 #111
Improvement +2.2 #87

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #353 D- C F C- F
Defense #343 D F C- F F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% #358 0.96 #356 -8.5 #363
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% #3 0.69 #295 +4.6 #14
Three Pointers 35% #306 1.03 #157 -2.6 #273
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #345 -6.5 #347
Freethrows 0.32 #140 63% #363 0.20 #249
Second Chance 30.4% #192 1.03 #175 0.31 #175
Turnovers 21.4% #361
Total Offense -8.5 #353

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #33 1.34 #353 -7.5 #360
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #359 0.86 #320 +2.3 #27
Three Pointers 43% #121 0.96 #94 +0.4 #166
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #324 -4.8 #322
Freethrows 0.40 #361 73% #229 0.29 #358
Second Chance 39.6% #363 1.18 #345 0.47 #365
Turnovers 15.6% #245
Total Defense -6.5 #343

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -5.3% #363 2.8% #360
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -7.7% #310 6.6% #303
Possession Length 18.6 #312 15.5 #5
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #312 0.24 #350
Improvement +1.7 #94 +0.5 #156

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 3.7% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 48.9% 66.4% 33.1%
Conference Champion 4.1% 7.5% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 1.0% 4.9%
First Four3.1% 3.7% 2.6%
First Round1.0% 1.1% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 47.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 47 - 147 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 16 @Louisville L 45 - 104 0% -40  0 - 1 -38 -25 F C- F -4 C F+ A
 Fri, Nov 7 228 @Samford L 72 - 82 10% -1  0 - 2 -11 -5 D- C+ F -5 C- F C+
 Mon, Nov 10 281 @N.C. A&T L 62 - 85 15% -14  0 - 3 -27 -21 F D- F -2 C- C- A
 Fri, Nov 14 152 @College of Charleston L 61 - 88 5% -14  0 - 4 -24 -8 D- D- F -17 F+ F F
 Wed, Nov 19 275 Chattanooga L 66 - 78 29% -8  0 - 5 -21 -14 F A+ C+ -7 C F C+
 Sun, Nov 23 285 @South Dakota L 81 - 82 16% -8  0 - 6 -5 +3 D B+ D- -8 F+ F+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 54 @Missouri L 66 - 98 1% -24  0 - 7 -19 -2 F C C+ -17 A F F
 Sat, Nov 29 123 @Winthrop L 79 - 101 4% -14  0 - 8 -17 +4 B B- D+ -19 F F B+
 Fri, Dec 5 236 @Bethune-Cookman L 59 - 80 10% -12  0 - 9 -22 -9 F D+ F -14 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 8 246 @Charleston Southern L 44 - 84 11% -15  0 - 10 -42 -27 F F F -15 D- C D+
 Fri, Dec 12 208 @Queens L 78 - 102 9% -19  0 - 11 -24 -1 D- A+ F -23 F+ F F
 Tue, Dec 16 302 South Carolina Upstate L 72 - 78 36% -6  0 - 12 -17 -1 B- C D- -16 F F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 91 @South Carolina L 70 - 95 2% -12  0 - 13 -16 +1 C C C -17 F F A+
 Tue, Dec 30 18 @Tennessee L 54 - 105 0% -23  0 - 14 -30 -7 D- C B+ -24 F F D-
 Sat, Jan 3 253 Howard W 58 - 57 26% +7  1 - 14 1 - 0 -7 -15 D- B F +8 A+ D- C-
 Sat, Jan 10 354 @Morgan St. L 67 - 72 34% +2  1 - 15 1 - 1 -16 -8 D- B F -8 D C- F
 Mon, Jan 12 364 @Coppin St. W 74 - 72 59% +4  2 - 15 2 - 1 -15 -2 C D+ D- -13 C- F D+
 Sat, Jan 17 307 Norfolk St. L 82 - 89 38% +0  2 - 16 2 - 2 -19 +3 C C F -21 F F C+
 Mon, Jan 26 353 Delaware St. W 70 - 64 57% +6  3 - 16 3 - 2 -11 -5 B- F C -6 C- D- D
 Wed, Feb 4 338 Maryland Eastern Shore L 67 - 68 47%
 Sat, Feb 7 253 @Howard L 66 - 79 12%
 Sat, Feb 14 354 Morgan St. W 79 - 77 57%
 Mon, Feb 16 364 Coppin St. W 80 - 72 79%
 Wed, Feb 18 341 NC Central L 73 - 74 49%
 Sat, Feb 21 307 @Norfolk St. L 69 - 78 19%
 Sat, Feb 28 338 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 64 - 71 27%
 Mon, Mar 2 353 @Delaware St. L 67 - 71 34%
 Thu, Mar 5 341 @NC Central L 71 - 77 28%
Totals 7 - 21 7 - 7 -15 -8 D- C F -6 D F C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.9 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.1 1st
2nd 2.3 4.2 0.4 0.0 6.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.3 7.6 1.3 10.1 3rd
4th 0.6 8.4 5.0 0.1 14.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 8.4 11.0 0.6 20.7 5th
6th 0.1 3.1 12.1 15.5 2.7 33.5 6th
7th 0.7 4.0 4.3 0.9 9.9 7th
8th 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.8 8th
Total 1.1 7.5 17.1 25.5 23.5 15.5 7.4 2.1 0.4 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
11-3 97.4% 0.4    0.4 0.0
10-4 81.6% 1.7    0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0
9-5 25.7% 1.9    0.1 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.0
8-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1
7-7 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 1.3 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 0.0% 0.0
11-3 0.4% 15.4% 15.4% 16.0 0.1 0.3
10-4 2.1% 9.8% 9.8% 16.0 0.2 1.9
9-5 7.4% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.5 6.9
8-6 15.5% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.7 14.8
7-7 23.5% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.7 22.8
6-8 25.5% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.6 24.8
5-9 17.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 16.8
4-10 7.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 7.4
3-11 1.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 16.0 96.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%