South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -14.9 #357
Expected Predictive Rating -16.9 #354
Pace 71.8 #103
Improvement +2.4 #65

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #361 F C F D F
Defense #331 D- F C- F F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 28% #362 0.95 #352 -9.2 #362
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% #4 0.65 #297 +4.5 #20
Three Pointers 36% #296 0.98 #231 -3.4 #297
1st FG Attempt 0.85 #356 -8.2 #356
Freethrows 17.3 #189 62% #360 10.7 #291
Second Chance 31.0% #178 1.01 #224 0.31 #185
Turnovers 20.9% #358
Total Offense -9.4 #361

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #40 1.34 #345 -7.3 #359
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #331 0.79 #230 +1.8 #59
Three Pointers 41% #187 0.96 #126 +1.0 #144
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #312 -4.5 #312
Freethrows 22.5 #351 71% #132 16.0 #23
Second Chance 39.6% #362 1.20 #333 0.48 #363
Turnovers 15.8% #229
Total Defense -5.5 #331

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -5.8% #363 2.3% #349
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -11.0% #337 6.3% #294
Possession Length 18.5 #298 15.5 #10
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #298 0.24 #346
Improvement +0.9 #120 +1.5 #84

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 4.8% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 49.0% 66.1% 36.0%
Conference Champion 5.2% 8.7% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 12.4% 4.5% 18.3%
First Four3.5% 4.8% 2.5%
First Round1.1% 1.5% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morgan St. (Away) - 43.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 47 - 147 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 15 @Louisville L 45 - 104 0%  -40  0 - 1 -38 -26 F C- F -4 C F A+
 Fri, Nov 7 229 @Samford L 72 - 82 10%  -1  0 - 2 -11 -5 D- C F -6 C F C
 Mon, Nov 10 305 @N.C. A&T L 62 - 85 18%  -14  0 - 3 -28 -22 F F F -3 D C- A+
 Fri, Nov 14 149 @College of Charleston L 61 - 88 5%  -14  0 - 4 -24 -8 F D F -17 F F F
 Wed, Nov 19 273 Chattanooga L 66 - 78 30%  -8  0 - 5 -21 -14 F A+ B -7 C- F C+
 Sun, Nov 23 290 @South Dakota L 81 - 82 16%  -8  0 - 6 -5 +3 F B+ D- -8 F D- A+
 Tue, Nov 25 51 @Missouri L 66 - 98 1%  -24  0 - 7 -18 -2 F C C+ -16 A+ F F
 Sat, Nov 29 152 @Winthrop L 79 - 101 6%  -14  0 - 8 -19 +1 C+ C D- -19 F F A+
 Fri, Dec 5 278 @Bethune-Cookman L 59 - 80 15%  -12  0 - 9 -25 -13 F D F -13 F A+ F
 Mon, Dec 8 225 @Charleston Southern L 44 - 84 10%  -15  0 - 10 -41 -27 F F F -14 F C C-
 Fri, Dec 12 207 @Queens L 78 - 102 8%  -19  0 - 11 -24 -1 D- A+ F -22 D- F F
 Tue, Dec 16 287 South Carolina Upstate L 72 - 78 32%  -6  0 - 12 -16 -2 C+ C F -14 F F C-
 Mon, Dec 22 72 @South Carolina L 70 - 95 2%  -12  0 - 13 -14 +2 B- C D+ -16 F F A+
 Tue, Dec 30 16 @Tennessee L 54 - 105 0%  -23  0 - 14 -30 -7 F C A+ -24 F F D-
 Sat, Jan 3 271 Howard W 58 - 57 30%  +7  1 - 14 1 - 0 -8 -16 D- B+ F +7 A+ F C
 Sat, Jan 10 362 @Morgan St. L 74 - 76 43% 
 Mon, Jan 12 364 @Coppin St. W 73 - 71 58% 
 Sat, Jan 17 272 Norfolk St. L 67 - 72 30% 
 Sat, Jan 24 341 Maryland Eastern Shore L 66 - 67 49% 
 Mon, Jan 26 352 Delaware St. W 68 - 67 53% 
 Sat, Jan 31 347 NC Central W 71 - 70 52% 
 Sat, Feb 7 271 @Howard L 65 - 77 14% 
 Sat, Feb 14 362 Morgan St. W 77 - 73 65% 
 Mon, Feb 16 364 Coppin St. W 76 - 68 77% 
 Sat, Feb 21 272 @Norfolk St. L 64 - 75 15% 
 Sat, Feb 28 341 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 64 - 70 28% 
 Mon, Mar 2 352 @Delaware St. L 65 - 70 33% 
 Thu, Mar 5 347 @NC Central L 67 - 73 30% 
Totals 6 - 22 6 - 8 -15 -9 F C F -5 D- F C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 2.1 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.2 1st
2nd 0.1 2.3 4.5 2.1 0.3 0.0 9.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.8 7.7 3.1 0.3 14.0 3rd
4th 0.1 3.3 9.8 4.7 0.2 18.1 4th
5th 0.1 3.3 10.8 5.2 0.4 0.0 19.8 5th
6th 0.1 2.5 8.5 4.7 0.3 16.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 5.6 3.5 0.4 11.4 7th
8th 0.2 1.3 2.7 1.8 0.2 6.1 8th
Total 0.2 1.4 4.6 9.9 15.5 19.3 18.3 15.1 8.8 4.4 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
12-2 95.5% 0.5    0.5 0.1
11-3 83.0% 1.4    0.9 0.5 0.0
10-4 46.3% 2.1    0.6 1.0 0.4 0.0
9-5 10.9% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 5.2% 5.2 2.2 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.1% 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.6% 29.5% 29.5% 16.0 0.2 0.4
11-3 1.7% 18.5% 18.5% 16.0 0.3 1.4
10-4 4.4% 10.6% 10.6% 16.0 0.5 4.0
9-5 8.8% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 0.6 8.2
8-6 15.1% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.7 14.4
7-7 18.3% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.5 17.8
6-8 19.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.4 18.9
5-9 15.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 15.4
4-10 9.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 9.9
3-11 4.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 4.6
2-12 1.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.4
1-13 0.2% 0.2
0-14
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 16.0 96.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%