South Dakota
Summit League
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -7.2 #290
Expected Predictive Rating -6.7 #264
Pace 77.2 #28
Improvement -2.1 #292

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #195 C- C D+ A- C
Defense #341 D- F C- C- F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #54 1.06 #295 +0.9 #141
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #141 0.77 #144 +0.9 #134
Three Pointers 34% #313 1.02 #183 -3.4 #296
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #219 -1.7 #218
Freethrows 21.1 #23 73% #157 15.5 #32
Second Chance 34.2% #83 0.95 #282 0.33 #158
Turnovers 18.2% #278
Total Offense -0.9 #195

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 58% #1 1.24 #277 -13.3 #365
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% #355 0.82 #283 +2.3 #35
Three Pointers 29% #364 0.99 #159 +6.3 #11
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #322 -4.8 #323
Freethrows 17.5 #195 77% #331 13.4 #132
Second Chance 34.6% #308 1.27 #352 0.44 #355
Turnovers 15.7% #234
Total Defense -6.3 #341

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.4% #160 4.7% #365
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.7% #232 4.5% #261
Possession Length 17.0 #147 16.2 #37
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #267 0.23 #329
Improvement +1.0 #115 -3.1 #340

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 3.7% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 14.1% 20.2% 6.0%
.500 or above in Conference 32.4% 43.3% 18.0%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 18.7% 11.2% 28.7%
First Four1.8% 2.0% 1.6%
First Round2.1% 2.7% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Denver (Home) - 57.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 411 - 712 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 227 Utah Tech L 79 - 81 OT 48%  -2  0 - 1 -9 -9 F D+ C +1 C B+ C+
 Wed, Nov 5 37 @Creighton L 76 - 92 2%  -12  0 - 2 +0 +8 B+ C- F -7 A F A
 Wed, Nov 12 333 Southern Indiana W 89 - 74 73%  +9  1 - 2 +1 -3 F A- F +2 A+ F B-
 Sun, Nov 16 265 Western Michigan W 83 - 78 57%  -3  2 - 2 -4 +6 C- C A+ -10 F F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 51 @Missouri L 68 - 102 4%  -14  2 - 3 -20 -4 D- A F -14 F F A+
 Sun, Nov 23 357 South Carolina St. W 82 - 81 84%  +8  3 - 3 -17 +1 B- D- F -18 F F D-
 Sat, Nov 29 334 Air Force W 80 - 63 64%  +11  4 - 3 +6 +7 B+ C- F -0 A+ B+ D-
 Wed, Dec 3 154 Portland St. L 71 - 77 34%  -5  4 - 4 -9 -7 F A- F -1 C- A- D
 Sat, Dec 6 161 @Northern Colorado L 87 - 89 OT 18%  -2  4 - 5 +1 +7 B+ C F -6 F D+ B-
 Tue, Dec 9 95 @Wyoming L 79 - 106 8%  -15  4 - 6 -18 +6 C- A+ C- -22 F F D-
 Sat, Dec 13 306 Prairie View W 97 - 85 66%  +9  5 - 6 +0 +7 D+ B+ B+ -8 F D B
 Sat, Dec 20 74 @Kansas St. L 76 - 106 6%  -22  5 - 7 -19 +2 C- D+ A- -19 F F C-
 Wed, Dec 31 146 @North Dakota St. L 61 - 84 15%  -10  5 - 8 0 - 1 -19 -4 D D F -17 F F F
 Wed, Jan 7 135 @St. Thomas L 86 - 99 14%  -15  5 - 9 0 - 2 -8 +10 A+ C- F -18 F F F
 Sat, Jan 10 264 Denver W 88 - 86 57% 
 Thu, Jan 15 343 UMKC W 83 - 76 75% 
 Sat, Jan 17 319 @North Dakota L 81 - 82 48% 
 Wed, Jan 21 257 @Nebraska Omaha L 80 - 85 33% 
 Sat, Jan 24 135 St. Thomas L 80 - 86 30% 
 Thu, Jan 29 298 Oral Roberts W 82 - 79 62% 
 Sat, Jan 31 146 North Dakota St. L 77 - 82 31% 
 Wed, Feb 4 343 @UMKC W 80 - 79 56% 
 Sat, Feb 7 173 @South Dakota St. L 79 - 88 20% 
 Wed, Feb 11 319 North Dakota W 84 - 79 70% 
 Thu, Feb 19 264 @Denver L 85 - 89 35% 
 Sat, Feb 21 298 @Oral Roberts L 79 - 82 42% 
 Wed, Feb 25 257 Nebraska Omaha W 83 - 82 54% 
 Sat, Feb 28 173 South Dakota St. L 82 - 85 38% 
Totals 12 - 16 7 - 9 -7 -1 C- C D+ -6 D- F C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 3.6 3.1 0.8 0.1 8.9 3rd
4th 0.2 2.8 7.2 4.8 1.0 0.0 16.0 4th
5th 0.1 2.5 8.9 5.2 0.7 0.0 17.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.7 8.3 5.5 0.7 0.0 16.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 6.8 5.4 0.7 0.0 14.2 7th
8th 0.2 1.5 5.5 5.2 0.8 0.0 13.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 2.1 3.9 3.1 0.5 0.0 10.3 9th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.2 5.4 9.9 14.4 17.1 17.9 14.3 9.3 5.5 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 80.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 67.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
12-4 34.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 8.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.2% 24.3% 24.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.8% 11.0% 11.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
11-5 2.3% 9.5% 9.5% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.1
10-6 5.5% 8.2% 8.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 5.0
9-7 9.3% 6.4% 6.4% 15.8 0.1 0.5 8.8
8-8 14.3% 3.7% 3.7% 15.9 0.0 0.5 13.8
7-9 17.9% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6 17.4
6-10 17.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 16.8
5-11 14.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.2
4-12 9.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.8
3-13 5.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.4
2-14 2.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.2
1-15 0.6% 0.6
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.8 97.0 0.0%