St. Thomas
Summit League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#131
Expected Predictive Rating+2.4#132
Pace69.0#145
Improvement-1.1#241

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#74
First Shot+7.7#23
After Offensive Rebound-3.5#343
Layup/Dunks+2.5#90
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#341
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.6#10
Freethrows+0.9#118
Improvement-1.0#238

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#241
First Shot-2.0#240
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#223
Layups/Dunks+1.4#118
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#209
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#247
Freethrows-2.0#313
Improvement+0.0#193
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 32 - 4
Quad 35 - 56 - 9
Quad 415 - 121 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 334   @ Green Bay W 90-76 83%     1 - 0 +5.5 +9.5 -4.4
  Nov 10, 2024 92   @ Oklahoma St. L 71-80 26%     1 - 1 -0.6 -1.0 +1.1
  Nov 17, 2024 77   @ Arizona St. L 66-81 21%     1 - 2 -4.8 -0.8 -4.3
  Nov 22, 2024 129   Wofford L 73-81 50%     1 - 3 -6.1 -0.1 -6.2
  Nov 23, 2024 201   Portland St. W 91-65 66%     2 - 3 +23.6 +18.8 +4.4
  Nov 24, 2024 144   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 65-69 43%     2 - 4 -0.3 -4.8 +4.4
  Dec 02, 2024 362   Chicago St. W 98-76 97%     3 - 4 +2.4 +5.0 -5.3
  Dec 04, 2024 125   @ Northern Colorado W 87-75 38%     4 - 4 +17.0 +20.1 -2.3
  Dec 07, 2024 155   Montana W 88-81 66%     5 - 4 +4.6 +10.1 -5.7
  Dec 13, 2024 297   Western Michigan W 77-71 87%     6 - 4 -4.5 +4.4 -8.4
  Dec 21, 2024 283   @ Bowling Green W 93-68 72%     7 - 4 +20.6 +9.3 +8.5
  Dec 29, 2024 143   @ UC Riverside L 79-81 OT 42%     7 - 5 +1.8 -1.7 +3.7
  Jan 02, 2025 142   @ North Dakota St. W 89-85 42%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +7.8 +19.5 -11.4
  Jan 04, 2025 264   @ North Dakota W 88-80 68%     9 - 5 2 - 0 +5.1 +7.3 -2.5
  Jan 08, 2025 134   South Dakota St. W 73-72 62%     10 - 5 3 - 0 -0.2 +5.2 -5.3
  Jan 11, 2025 237   South Dakota W 119-104 80%     11 - 5 4 - 0 +8.1 +28.5 -21.7
  Jan 18, 2025 301   Denver W 74-62 88%     12 - 5 5 - 0 +1.2 +2.4 -0.4
  Jan 23, 2025 148   @ Nebraska Omaha L 78-89 43%     12 - 6 5 - 1 -7.5 +2.2 -9.5
  Jan 25, 2025 233   @ UMKC W 68-65 62%     13 - 6 6 - 1 +1.8 +3.6 -1.5
  Jan 29, 2025 322   Oral Roberts W 86-71 90%     14 - 6 7 - 1 +2.7 +14.4 -10.0
  Feb 02, 2025 142   North Dakota St. W 79-62 63%     15 - 6 8 - 1 +15.3 +9.6 +7.6
  Feb 06, 2025 134   @ South Dakota St. L 86-102 40%     15 - 7 8 - 2 -11.7 +7.4 -17.8
  Feb 08, 2025 301   @ Denver W 79-76 75%     16 - 7 9 - 2 -2.3 +11.8 -13.8
  Feb 15, 2025 148   Nebraska Omaha W 95-84 64%     17 - 7 10 - 2 +9.0 +18.4 -9.4
  Feb 19, 2025 237   @ South Dakota L 80-85 62%     17 - 8 10 - 3 -6.4 +5.0 -11.5
  Feb 22, 2025 322   @ Oral Roberts L 66-71 79%     17 - 9 10 - 4 -11.8 -9.7 -2.3
  Feb 27, 2025 264   North Dakota W 86-71 83%     18 - 9 11 - 4 +6.6 +8.5 -1.3
  Mar 01, 2025 233   UMKC W 65-59 79%     19 - 9 12 - 4 -0.7 -4.2 +3.9
  Mar 06, 2025 301   Denver W 80-62 82%     20 - 9 +9.9 +9.8 +1.4
  Mar 08, 2025 264   North Dakota W 85-69 76%     21 - 9 +10.4 +5.6 +4.7
  Mar 09, 2025 148   Nebraska Omaha L 75-85 54%     21 - 10 -9.2 -4.6 -4.1
Projected Record 21 - 10 12 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 100.0
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%