The Citadel
Southern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-15.0#357
Expected Predictive Rating-23.4#363
Pace62.9#317
Improvement-2.1#276

Offense
Total Offense-8.2#348
First Shot-10.2#361
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#67
Layup/Dunks-3.4#302
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#222
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#223
Freethrows-4.6#363
Improvement+0.4#167

Defense
Total Defense-6.8#346
First Shot-4.9#322
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#319
Layups/Dunks-2.7#285
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#320
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#165
Freethrows-0.8#249
Improvement-2.6#304
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 30 - 100 - 15
Quad 41 - 101 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 168   @ Boston College L 60-69 6%     0 - 1 -6.8 -9.7 +2.7
  Nov 11, 2024 350   Stetson W 74-52 53%     1 - 1 +6.2 -5.7 +12.7
  Nov 17, 2024 329   N.C. A&T L 73-82 44%     1 - 2 -22.3 -5.4 -16.9
  Nov 20, 2024 147   College of Charleston L 61-76 12%     1 - 3 -16.9 -9.4 -8.2
  Dec 12, 2024 220   Campbell L 58-86 20%     1 - 4 -34.0 -10.5 -26.0
  Dec 16, 2024 344   @ Central Arkansas L 71-73 30%     1 - 5 -11.6 -7.7 -3.8
  Dec 18, 2024 51   @ Vanderbilt L 53-105 1%     1 - 6 -38.3 -11.5 -30.4
  Jan 01, 2025 124   @ Samford L 56-86 4%     1 - 7 0 - 1 -25.0 -12.1 -15.1
  Jan 04, 2025 117   Chattanooga L 68-81 9%     1 - 8 0 - 2 -12.8 -4.0 -9.8
  Jan 08, 2025 138   Furman L 63-67 OT 11%     1 - 9 0 - 3 -5.5 -14.9 +9.5
  Jan 11, 2025 154   @ East Tennessee St. L 52-70 6%     1 - 10 0 - 4 -14.9 -11.4 -5.9
  Jan 15, 2025 158   @ UNC Greensboro L 57-70 6%     1 - 11 0 - 5 -10.0 -6.3 -5.6
  Jan 18, 2025 299   VMI L 70-75 34%     1 - 12 0 - 6 -15.7 -3.0 -13.0
  Jan 22, 2025 129   @ Wofford L 68-79 4%     1 - 13 0 - 7 -6.3 +2.4 -10.1
  Jan 25, 2025 339   Western Carolina L 78-80 OT 48%     1 - 14 0 - 8 -16.5 -4.1 -12.3
  Jan 29, 2025 265   @ Mercer L 46-80 13%     1 - 15 0 - 9 -36.9 -25.1 -12.2
  Feb 01, 2025 124   Samford L 58-83 9%     1 - 16 0 - 10 -25.5 -13.9 -12.9
  Feb 05, 2025 158   UNC Greensboro L 61-76 13%     1 - 17 0 - 11 -17.5 -2.9 -17.1
  Feb 08, 2025 299   @ VMI L 70-82 18%     1 - 18 0 - 12 -17.2 -3.6 -13.7
  Feb 12, 2025 129   Wofford L 71-74 OT 10%     1 - 19 0 - 13 -3.8 +0.2 -4.2
  Feb 15, 2025 339   @ Western Carolina L 73-76 28%     1 - 20 0 - 14 -12.0 -1.3 -10.7
  Feb 19, 2025 265   Mercer L 52-62 27%     1 - 21 0 - 15 -18.4 -20.5 +1.7
  Feb 22, 2025 117   @ Chattanooga L 75-76 4%     1 - 22 0 - 16 +4.7 +15.9 -11.4
  Feb 26, 2025 138   @ Furman L 42-85 5%     1 - 23 0 - 17 -39.0 -29.8 -9.7
  Mar 01, 2025 154   East Tennessee St. L 66-81 12%     1 - 24 0 - 18 -17.4 +2.5 -22.1
  Mar 07, 2025 299   VMI L 62-73 25%     1 - 25 -19.0 -12.8 -6.3
Projected Record 1 - 25 0 - 18




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 100.0 100.0 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18 100.0% 100.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%