UC Irvine
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +2.3 #121
Expected Predictive Rating +2.4 #132
Pace 70.7 #144
Improvement +1.4 #106

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #254 D C+ C C D
Defense #59 A- C+ C B- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #106 1.07 #281 -0.2 #190
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% #41 0.66 #288 +1.8 #89
Three Pointers 30% #356 1.02 #173 -5.4 #332
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #283 -3.8 #281
Freethrows 19.2 #85 66% #340 12.6 #181
Second Chance 29.6% #223 1.19 #37 0.35 #113
Turnovers 16.6% #175
Total Offense -2.7 #254

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #186 0.90 #3 +4.9 #35
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #73 0.68 #92 -0.5 #224
Three Pointers 37% #278 1.02 #193 +1.8 #113
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #30 +6.2 #31
Freethrows 15.2 #76 73% #201 11.1 #279
Second Chance 33.4% #280 0.90 #34 0.30 #138
Turnovers 17.2% #146
Total Defense +5.1 #59

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.6% #287 -0.9% #93
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.0% #270 -11.4% #28
Possession Length 17.0 #153 17.1 #155
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #162 0.18 #201
Improvement +4.1 #10 -2.7 #331

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.7% 26.0% 18.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.0 13.4
.500 or above 97.6% 99.5% 96.8%
.500 or above in Conference 98.5% 99.8% 98.0%
Conference Champion 36.3% 59.5% 27.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round20.7% 26.0% 18.6%
Second Round1.5% 2.1% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hawaii (Away) - 28.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 31 - 3
Quad 37 - 68 - 10
Quad 413 - 220 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 147 California Baptist L 61 - 69 67%  -3  0 - 1 -10 -14 F D- B- +4 B+ C+ A+
 Sat, Nov 15 212 Weber St. W 79 - 70 78%  +8  1 - 1 +3 -6 D+ D- D +8 A+ A- B-
 Wed, Nov 19 101 @Utah Valley L 72 - 79 29%  -6  1 - 2 +1 +4 F A- A- -3 C+ C F
 Sat, Nov 22 96 Northern Iowa L 69 - 70 OT 50%  -3  1 - 3 +1 +0 D A+ A+ +1 A B+ F
 Tue, Nov 25 136 New Mexico St. L 45 - 57 53%  -5  1 - 4 -11 -28 F F F +17 A+ D- A+
 Wed, Nov 26 173 South Dakota St. W 64 - 52 63%  +7  2 - 4 +11 -14 F F F +24 A+ A+ B+
 Sun, Nov 30 221 @San Jose St. W 72 - 63 60%  +5  3 - 4 +9 +2 D- C- A- +8 A+ A+ D-
 Thu, Dec 4 295 UC Riverside W 73 - 60 88%  +11  4 - 4 1 - 0 +2 -3 C- D F +6 A+ C F
 Sat, Dec 6 211 Cal St. Northridge W 85 - 71 78%  -0  5 - 4 2 - 0 +8 +9 D+ A+ C -1 B+ A+ F
 Fri, Dec 19 73 Belmont L 58 - 84 40%  -8  5 - 5 -21 -14 F F A+ -7 D- C A
 Sun, Dec 21 146 North Dakota St. W 74 - 73 56%  +3  6 - 5 +2 +6 C+ B+ A- -4 D F A+
 Mon, Dec 22 272 Norfolk St. W 89 - 70 80%  +16  7 - 5 +13 +18 B+ A+ B- -5 C- F A
 Thu, Jan 1 294 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 81 - 77 74%  +6  8 - 5 3 - 0 -0 +7 B- B+ F -8 C F F
 Sat, Jan 3 232 @Cal St. Fullerton W 86 - 64 62%  +9  9 - 5 4 - 0 +21 +13 A+ A+ F +8 A+ C- C
 Thu, Jan 8 262 Long Beach St. W 74 - 64 85%  +7  10 - 5 5 - 0 +1 -5 F F A+ +6 C A+ B+
 Sun, Jan 11 98 @Hawaii L 65 - 71 29% 
 Sat, Jan 17 171 @UC Davis W 74 - 73 51% 
 Thu, Jan 22 295 @UC Riverside W 74 - 67 74% 
 Sat, Jan 24 108 @UC San Diego L 69 - 74 32% 
 Thu, Jan 29 98 Hawaii W 68 - 67 50% 
 Thu, Feb 5 294 Cal St. Bakersfield W 78 - 65 88% 
 Sat, Feb 7 181 @UC Santa Barbara W 72 - 71 53% 
 Thu, Feb 12 253 @Cal Poly W 80 - 75 66% 
 Sat, Feb 14 232 Cal St. Fullerton W 82 - 73 80% 
 Thu, Feb 19 262 @Long Beach St. W 73 - 68 68% 
 Sat, Feb 21 108 UC San Diego W 72 - 71 54% 
 Thu, Feb 26 211 @Cal St. Northridge W 78 - 76 57% 
 Sat, Feb 28 181 UC Santa Barbara W 75 - 68 73% 
 Thu, Mar 5 253 Cal Poly W 83 - 72 84% 
 Sat, Mar 7 171 UC Davis W 76 - 70 72% 
Totals 19 - 11 14 - 6 +2 -3 D C+ C +5 A- C+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.7 7.8 10.4 8.8 4.6 1.5 0.2 36.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 4.8 9.5 9.1 4.0 0.7 0.0 29.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 5.0 7.5 4.9 1.3 0.1 20.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.5 1.3 0.2 8.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.7 0.6 0.0 3.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.7 6.1 10.0 14.0 17.3 18.1 14.4 9.5 4.6 1.5 0.2 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 1.5    1.5
18-2 99.4% 4.6    4.4 0.2
17-3 92.7% 8.8    7.4 1.4 0.0
16-4 71.8% 10.4    6.6 3.4 0.3
15-5 42.8% 7.8    3.5 3.4 0.9 0.0
14-6 15.9% 2.7    0.7 1.2 0.7 0.1
13-7 2.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 36.3% 36.3 24.5 9.7 2.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 37.8% 37.8% 11.4 0.1 0.0 0.1
19-1 1.5% 46.6% 46.6% 12.2 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.8
18-2 4.6% 39.6% 39.6% 12.5 0.0 0.9 0.8 0.1 2.8
17-3 9.5% 32.5% 32.5% 12.8 0.0 0.9 1.8 0.4 0.0 6.4
16-4 14.4% 29.7% 29.7% 13.1 0.0 0.6 2.6 1.1 0.0 10.2
15-5 18.1% 24.2% 24.2% 13.4 0.3 2.2 1.8 0.1 13.7
14-6 17.3% 19.9% 19.9% 13.6 0.1 1.3 1.8 0.3 13.9
13-7 14.0% 12.1% 12.1% 13.8 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.3 12.3
12-8 10.0% 8.0% 8.0% 14.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 9.2
11-9 6.1% 4.7% 4.7% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 5.8
10-10 2.7% 3.1% 3.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.7
9-11 1.1% 3.2% 3.2% 15.0 0.0 1.1
8-12 0.3% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3
7-13 0.1% 0.1
6-14 0.0% 0.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 20.7% 20.7% 0.0% 13.3 79.3 0.0%