UNC Asheville
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.4 #239
Expected Predictive Rating -6.6 #262
Pace 65.7 #281
Improvement -0.5 #209

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #218 C- C+ D C F
Defense #250 C- C C- C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% #358 1.12 #229 -6.3 #348
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% #2 0.86 #49 +9.7 #1
Three Pointers 31% #345 1.03 #164 -4.7 #318
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #206 -1.4 #204
Freethrows 18.9 #100 66% #337 12.4 #193
Second Chance 29.3% #230 1.16 #62 0.34 #139
Turnovers 18.8% #301
Total Offense -2.0 #218

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #66 1.21 #252 -3.9 #306
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #153 0.83 #290 -1.1 #257
Three Pointers 36% #313 1.00 #161 +3.0 #77
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #241 -2.0 #242
Freethrows 18.1 #222 67% #19 12.0 #210
Second Chance 32.8% #263 0.99 #111 0.32 #186
Turnovers 15.6% #242
Total Defense -2.4 #250

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -6.5% #364 0.6% #212
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 4.0% #123 3.3% #243
Possession Length 18.5 #310 17.6 #245
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #335 0.19 #231
Improvement -0.1 #195 -0.4 #217

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 5.3% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.8
.500 or above 13.4% 23.9% 7.2%
.500 or above in Conference 58.6% 76.1% 48.3%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.9% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.2% 1.7%
First Four2.2% 2.0% 2.3%
First Round3.4% 4.5% 2.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Away) - 37.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 411 - 612 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 104 @Wichita St. L 58 - 75 13%  -4  0 - 1 -9 -10 F A+ F -0 A- F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 213 @Georgia Southern L 90 - 93 33%  +1  0 - 2 -3 +4 B B- F -6 D- A+ F
 Tue, Nov 11 177 Lipscomb W 69 - 64 50%  +4  1 - 2 +1 +0 B+ B F +1 A+ C C
 Wed, Nov 19 283 @Western Carolina L 73 - 80 48%  -1  1 - 3 -11 +5 B+ F C- -16 C- D- F
 Tue, Nov 25 219 Tennessee St. L 73 - 75 57%  +3  1 - 4 -8 -5 A+ D- F -3 C D- A-
 Sun, Nov 30 224 Appalachian St. W 67 - 55 58%  +8  2 - 4 +6 -1 D A+ F +8 B+ A- C
 Tue, Dec 2 284 UNC Greensboro W 82 - 77 60%  +0  3 - 4 -2 +9 B- B C -11 F C B
 Sat, Dec 6 34 @North Carolina St. L 63 - 75 4%  -3  3 - 5 +5 -0 F C+ C+ +5 A+ D- A+
 Wed, Dec 10 93 Miami (OH) L 87 - 90 OT 24%  -6  3 - 6 -0 +5 A- C C+ -5 C A+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 135 St. Thomas L 59 - 80 39%  -13  3 - 7 -22 -13 F D+ F -10 D C- D
 Sun, Dec 21 113 @UAB L 47 - 72 15%  -13  3 - 8 -18 -19 F F F -2 D+ A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 86 High Point L 69 - 87 22%  -11  3 - 9 0 - 1 -14 -2 F C+ A+ -13 F D+ B+
 Sat, Jan 3 225 @Charleston Southern L 83 - 86 36%  -6  3 - 10 0 - 2 -4 +8 F A+ C+ -12 F F A+
 Wed, Jan 7 279 Longwood W 72 - 61 70%  +6  4 - 10 1 - 2 +1 +1 C D- C +1 C A F
 Sat, Jan 10 234 @Radford L 76 - 79 37% 
 Wed, Jan 14 289 @Presbyterian L 66 - 67 49% 
 Sat, Jan 17 152 Winthrop L 76 - 77 45% 
 Wed, Jan 21 287 @South Carolina Upstate L 72 - 73 48% 
 Thu, Jan 29 363 Gardner-Webb W 83 - 68 92% 
 Sat, Jan 31 152 @Winthrop L 73 - 80 25% 
 Wed, Feb 4 287 South Carolina Upstate W 75 - 69 71% 
 Thu, Feb 12 279 @Longwood L 73 - 74 48% 
 Sat, Feb 14 289 Presbyterian W 70 - 64 71% 
 Thu, Feb 19 86 @High Point L 70 - 84 10% 
 Sat, Feb 21 234 Radford W 79 - 76 59% 
 Thu, Feb 26 363 @Gardner-Webb W 80 - 71 79% 
 Sat, Feb 28 225 Charleston Southern W 76 - 74 58% 
Totals 11 - 16 8 - 8 -4 -2 C- C+ D -2 C- C C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 1.3 4.4 4.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.9 8.2 6.1 1.4 0.1 17.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.9 9.5 7.3 1.1 0.0 19.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 8.2 7.5 1.0 0.0 18.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 5.3 6.8 1.0 0.0 14.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.7 5.0 1.1 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 2.1 2.4 0.8 0.0 6.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.9 7.0 12.5 18.0 20.0 17.8 11.7 6.1 2.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 82.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 43.6% 0.2    0.1 0.2
12-4 15.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1
11-5 2.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.5% 11.9% 11.9% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-4 2.4% 11.2% 11.2% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.1
11-5 6.1% 9.0% 9.0% 15.1 0.0 0.4 0.1 5.5
10-6 11.7% 7.4% 7.4% 15.5 0.0 0.4 0.4 10.8
9-7 17.8% 5.4% 5.4% 15.9 0.1 0.9 16.8
8-8 20.0% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.7 19.3
7-9 18.0% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.5 17.4
6-10 12.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 12.3
5-11 7.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 6.9
4-12 2.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.8
3-13 0.9% 0.9
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 15.6 95.7 0.0%