Villanova
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.9#46
Expected Predictive Rating+6.3#83
Pace60.8#347
Improvement+3.2#55

Offense
Total Offense+8.5#19
First Shot+8.8#13
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#206
Layup/Dunks-1.6#242
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#68
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.1#6
Freethrows+0.4#157
Improvement-1.5#277

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#106
First Shot+1.5#126
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#102
Layups/Dunks+3.8#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#334
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#258
Freethrows+1.6#72
Improvement+4.7#11
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.1% 19.1% 10.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.0% 15.8% 7.4%
Average Seed 10.2 10.2 10.5
.500 or above 82.5% 89.5% 68.1%
.500 or above in Conference 58.2% 68.6% 36.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.1% 8.1% 5.0%
First Round12.8% 15.3% 7.8%
Second Round5.4% 6.8% 2.6%
Sweet Sixteen1.5% 1.9% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 67.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 9
Quad 25 - 37 - 12
Quad 34 - 212 - 14
Quad 46 - 118 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 281   Lafayette W 75-63 96%     1 - 0 +2.8 +1.0 +2.2
  Nov 06, 2024 237   Columbia L 80-90 94%     1 - 1 -16.9 +3.3 -20.7
  Nov 08, 2024 344   NJIT W 91-54 98%     2 - 1 +22.7 +29.1 -0.6
  Nov 12, 2024 86   @ Saint Joseph's L 76-83 57%     2 - 2 +2.2 +3.6 -1.0
  Nov 15, 2024 97   Virginia L 60-70 72%     2 - 3 -5.1 -2.8 -3.5
  Nov 19, 2024 273   Penn W 93-49 96%     3 - 3 +35.2 +21.3 +17.5
  Nov 24, 2024 16   Maryland L 75-76 29%     3 - 4 +15.7 +20.0 -4.4
  Nov 27, 2024 303   Rider W 72-48 97%     4 - 4 +13.5 +6.8 +11.1
  Dec 03, 2024 59   Cincinnati W 68-60 64%     5 - 4 +15.2 +16.2 +0.6
  Dec 07, 2024 125   Temple W 94-65 80%     6 - 4 +31.1 +30.9 +3.4
  Dec 11, 2024 322   Fairleigh Dickinson W 86-72 97%     7 - 4 +1.6 +15.9 -12.9
  Dec 17, 2024 147   Seton Hall W 79-67 87%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +10.5 +13.3 -1.9
  Dec 21, 2024 28   @ Creighton L 79-86 28%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +9.8 +25.4 -16.5
  Jan 01, 2025 75   @ Butler W 73-65 54%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +18.0 +12.3 +6.7
  Jan 04, 2025 112   DePaul W 100-56 83%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +44.7 +33.7 +14.2
  Jan 08, 2025 24   Connecticut W 68-66 44%     11 - 5 4 - 1 +14.5 +10.7 +4.2
  Jan 11, 2025 14   @ St. John's L 68-80 21%     11 - 6 4 - 2 +7.6 +13.8 -7.1
  Jan 14, 2025 44   @ Xavier L 63-69 38%     11 - 7 4 - 3 +8.1 +2.8 +4.8
  Jan 17, 2025 66   Providence W 75-73 70%     12 - 7 5 - 3 +7.6 +8.0 -0.3
  Jan 20, 2025 85   Georgetown L 63-64 73%     12 - 8 5 - 4 +3.6 +3.3 +0.1
  Jan 24, 2025 21   @ Marquette L 74-87 24%     12 - 9 5 - 5 +5.2 +10.6 -5.4
  Feb 01, 2025 28   Creighton L 60-62 46%     12 - 10 5 - 6 +9.9 -4.2 +14.0
  Feb 05, 2025 112   @ DePaul W 74-69 67%    
  Feb 09, 2025 44   Xavier W 73-71 59%    
  Feb 12, 2025 14   St. John's L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 15, 2025 66   @ Providence W 70-69 50%    
  Feb 18, 2025 24   @ Connecticut L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 21, 2025 21   Marquette L 71-73 43%    
  Feb 26, 2025 147   @ Seton Hall W 70-63 74%    
  Mar 01, 2025 75   Butler W 75-69 73%    
  Mar 04, 2025 85   @ Georgetown W 69-68 54%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.6 0.3 1.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 2.8 2.2 0.2 6.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 6.5 12.2 7.0 0.7 27.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 10.9 15.0 6.2 0.7 34.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 6.7 9.0 2.4 0.1 19.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.7 4.2 1.2 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 1.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.2 1.1 5.6 12.8 22.2 24.0 19.3 10.6 3.6 0.6 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 1.6% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.6% 90.2% 11.5% 78.7% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 88.9%
13-7 3.6% 69.5% 7.0% 62.5% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.1 67.2%
12-8 10.6% 45.9% 7.1% 38.7% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.7 2.0 0.0 5.8 41.7%
11-9 19.3% 23.9% 4.8% 19.1% 10.5 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.6 0.2 14.7 20.1%
10-10 24.0% 10.7% 3.2% 7.5% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 0.3 21.5 7.7%
9-11 22.2% 3.6% 2.5% 1.1% 11.1 0.1 0.6 0.2 21.4 1.1%
8-12 12.8% 1.2% 1.1% 0.1% 11.3 0.1 0.0 12.6 0.1%
7-13 5.6% 1.3% 1.3% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.5
6-14 1.1% 1.1
5-15 0.2% 0.2
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 16.1% 3.5% 12.6% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.0 4.7 7.5 0.8 0.0 83.9 13.0%