Mount St. Mary's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#266
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#207
Pace71.0#119
Improvement-1.5#281

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#286
First Shot-4.1#299
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#167
Layup/Dunks+0.9#148
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#194
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#341
Freethrows+1.2#103
Improvement-0.6#233

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#228
First Shot-0.1#172
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#304
Layups/Dunks-0.7#195
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#136
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#207
Freethrows+0.3#167
Improvement-0.9#263
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 8.3% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 52.9% 63.3% 38.7%
.500 or above in Conference 61.7% 66.4% 55.2%
Conference Champion 7.3% 8.7% 5.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.7% 2.8% 4.9%
First Four2.3% 2.3% 2.3%
First Round5.9% 7.2% 4.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Away) - 57.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 414 - 916 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 19   @ Maryland L 52-86 3%     0 - 1 -16.6 -11.8 -4.6
  Nov 13, 2024 260   @ Bucknell W 93-89 2OT 38%     1 - 1 +1.5 +5.2 -4.4
  Nov 16, 2024 335   St. Francis (PA) W 66-58 77%     2 - 1 -5.5 -11.1 +5.8
  Nov 20, 2024 90   @ Georgetown L 51-79 9%     2 - 2 -18.9 -17.2 -1.7
  Nov 23, 2024 341   Delaware St. W 76-66 79%     3 - 2 -4.3 +3.5 -7.0
  Nov 30, 2024 254   @ Howard W 79-75 37%     4 - 2 +1.8 -0.8 +2.4
  Dec 06, 2024 236   @ Marist L 50-53 32%     4 - 3 0 - 1 -4.0 -17.1 +12.9
  Dec 08, 2024 292   Fairfield W 101-94 65%     5 - 3 1 - 1 -2.8 +19.4 -22.4
  Dec 14, 2024 319   Loyola Maryland L 69-77 72%     5 - 4 -19.8 -10.6 -9.0
  Dec 18, 2024 337   @ LIU Brooklyn W 72-70 58%    
  Dec 21, 2024 91   @ Miami (FL) L 68-83 8%    
  Dec 28, 2024 83   @ George Mason L 61-76 8%    
  Jan 05, 2025 314   Niagara W 72-66 71%    
  Jan 10, 2025 316   @ Manhattan W 76-75 50%    
  Jan 12, 2025 277   Sacred Heart W 76-73 62%    
  Jan 16, 2025 288   @ Rider L 68-70 43%    
  Jan 18, 2025 238   Quinnipiac W 75-74 54%    
  Jan 23, 2025 283   @ Siena L 67-69 42%    
  Jan 25, 2025 316   Manhattan W 78-72 71%    
  Jan 31, 2025 217   @ Merrimack L 64-70 29%    
  Feb 02, 2025 221   @ St. Peter's L 63-69 30%    
  Feb 06, 2025 257   Iona W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 14, 2025 314   @ Niagara L 69-70 50%    
  Feb 16, 2025 352   @ Canisius W 75-71 64%    
  Feb 21, 2025 221   St. Peter's W 66-65 51%    
  Feb 23, 2025 288   Rider W 71-67 64%    
  Feb 28, 2025 292   @ Fairfield L 73-75 43%    
  Mar 02, 2025 283   Siena W 70-66 64%    
  Mar 06, 2025 238   @ Quinnipiac L 72-77 34%    
  Mar 08, 2025 236   Marist W 68-67 54%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.3 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 7.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.0 3.3 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0 9.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 3.1 4.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 10.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.2 2.3 0.2 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.6 3.5 0.4 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.3 4.6 0.9 0.0 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.9 4.8 1.8 0.1 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.8 2.7 0.2 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.0 0.5 0.0 7.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.9 2.6 0.8 0.0 5.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.7 0.7 0.1 4.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.8 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.5 4.6 7.2 9.9 12.3 13.3 13.3 12.0 9.4 6.6 4.0 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 98.2% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 93.8% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
16-4 81.6% 1.7    1.3 0.4 0.0 0.0
15-5 56.2% 2.3    1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-6 27.0% 1.8    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 5.6% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 3.9 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 28.8% 28.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.8% 27.3% 27.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
16-4 2.1% 26.9% 26.9% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.5
15-5 4.0% 20.2% 20.2% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 3.2
14-6 6.6% 16.7% 16.7% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 5.5
13-7 9.4% 13.3% 13.3% 15.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 8.2
12-8 12.0% 10.0% 10.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 10.8
11-9 13.3% 6.6% 6.6% 15.9 0.1 0.8 12.4
10-10 13.3% 3.4% 3.4% 15.9 0.0 0.4 12.9
9-11 12.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.3 12.0
8-12 9.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 9.8
7-13 7.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 7.1
6-14 4.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.6
5-15 2.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.5
4-16 1.3% 1.3
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 4.4 93.0 0.0%