Boston University
Patriot League
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#282
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#267
Pace60.1#353
Improvement-1.9#267

Offense
Total Offense-5.0#309
First Shot-5.1#313
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#182
Layup/Dunks-4.8#335
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#136
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#110
Freethrows-2.9#338
Improvement-2.0#295

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#237
First Shot-2.2#245
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#156
Layups/Dunks+0.6#145
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#278
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#269
Freethrows+0.1#182
Improvement+0.1#175
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 10.4% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 34.9% 50.2% 24.3%
.500 or above in Conference 60.2% 75.7% 49.5%
Conference Champion 3.8% 6.9% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 7.1% 2.3% 10.5%
First Four6.4% 7.9% 5.3%
First Round4.7% 6.5% 3.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Away) - 41.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 31 - 41 - 5
Quad 413 - 1215 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 202   Northeastern L 72-80 41%     0 - 1 -12.6 +2.6 -15.8
  Nov 08, 2024 291   @ San Diego L 60-74 42%     0 - 2 -18.8 -5.3 -15.1
  Nov 11, 2024 31   @ UCLA L 40-71 3%     0 - 3 -15.3 -24.1 +10.0
  Nov 16, 2024 274   Dartmouth W 78-50 58%     1 - 3 +18.9 +4.8 +15.0
  Nov 19, 2024 339   Wagner L 58-60 76%     1 - 4 -16.2 -8.3 -8.2
  Nov 23, 2024 270   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 75-71 37%     2 - 4 +0.6 -4.6 +5.1
  Nov 24, 2024 281   Howard W 69-62 50%     3 - 4 +0.1 -5.9 +6.6
  Dec 01, 2024 296   Sacred Heart L 65-73 63%     3 - 5 -18.4 -13.0 -5.5
  Dec 07, 2024 258   Albany W 80-74 OT 55%     4 - 5 -2.3 +2.3 -4.6
  Dec 13, 2024 206   @ Merrimack L 61-64 24%     4 - 6 -2.4 +5.0 -8.1
  Dec 21, 2024 189   @ Umass Lowell L 71-83 21%     4 - 7 -10.5 +4.7 -16.5
  Dec 29, 2024 200   @ Maine W 59-56 23%     5 - 7 +3.9 -2.4 +6.7
  Jan 02, 2025 277   @ Lafayette L 46-60 38%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -17.7 -18.3 -1.9
  Jan 05, 2025 303   Army W 71-63 64%     6 - 8 1 - 1 -2.7 -1.4 -0.6
  Jan 08, 2025 236   American W 60-54 50%     7 - 8 2 - 1 -1.0 -4.7 +4.9
  Jan 11, 2025 199   @ Colgate L 50-87 23%     7 - 9 2 - 2 -36.0 -19.4 -18.8
  Jan 15, 2025 298   Lehigh W 63-58 63%     8 - 9 3 - 2 -5.4 -3.3 -1.3
  Jan 18, 2025 303   @ Army L 62-68 43%     8 - 10 3 - 3 -11.2 -1.8 -10.5
  Jan 22, 2025 292   @ Navy L 66-68 41%    
  Jan 25, 2025 265   Bucknell W 65-63 57%    
  Jan 27, 2025 319   Holy Cross W 70-65 69%    
  Feb 01, 2025 315   @ Loyola Maryland L 65-66 46%    
  Feb 05, 2025 292   Navy W 68-65 64%    
  Feb 08, 2025 319   @ Holy Cross L 67-68 48%    
  Feb 12, 2025 265   @ Bucknell L 62-66 35%    
  Feb 15, 2025 199   Colgate L 64-66 43%    
  Feb 19, 2025 315   Loyola Maryland W 67-63 68%    
  Feb 22, 2025 236   @ American L 60-65 30%    
  Feb 26, 2025 298   @ Lehigh L 65-67 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 277   Lafayette W 64-62 59%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 3.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 5.2 4.2 1.3 0.2 12.5 2nd
3rd 1.3 7.2 5.6 1.3 0.1 15.5 3rd
4th 0.5 7.6 7.1 1.3 0.1 16.6 4th
5th 0.1 4.3 8.0 1.6 0.1 14.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 8.0 2.5 0.0 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 4.8 4.2 0.2 9.6 7th
8th 0.2 2.6 4.2 0.6 7.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 3.0 1.1 0.0 5.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.8 0.1 2.7 10th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.8 6.8 11.8 17.6 19.6 17.5 12.7 6.8 2.8 0.8 0.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 72.0% 0.5    0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 51.4% 1.5    0.6 0.7 0.2
12-6 18.4% 1.3    0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1
11-7 3.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.8% 3.8 1.3 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.8% 16.0% 16.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6
13-5 2.8% 21.6% 21.6% 15.7 0.2 0.5 2.2
12-6 6.8% 14.5% 14.5% 16.0 0.0 1.0 5.8
11-7 12.7% 13.2% 13.2% 16.0 0.0 1.6 11.0
10-8 17.5% 10.0% 10.0% 16.0 0.0 1.7 15.7
9-9 19.6% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 1.6 18.0
8-10 17.6% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.7 16.9
7-11 11.8% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 11.5
6-12 6.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 6.7
5-13 2.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.8
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 7.6 92.1 0.0%