Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.5#300
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#287
Pace64.1#320
Improvement+0.8#95

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#309
First Shot-8.1#355
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#39
Layup/Dunks-8.2#358
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#98
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#162
Freethrows-2.0#277
Improvement+1.7#22

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#259
First Shot-3.1#278
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#155
Layups/Dunks+2.4#104
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#313
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#220
Freethrows-2.2#294
Improvement-0.8#285
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.1% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 14.2% 28.5% 10.9%
.500 or above in Conference 23.5% 33.7% 21.2%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.8% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 19.3% 12.3% 20.9%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
First Round1.2% 2.0% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oakland (Away) - 18.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 82 - 11
Quad 49 - 810 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 165   @ Texas St. L 44-64 17%     0 - 1 -17.4 -20.9 +1.7
  Nov 14, 2024 361   @ IU Indianapolis W 74-71 66%     1 - 1 -8.8 -5.0 -3.8
  Nov 16, 2024 222   @ Cleveland St. L 63-71 23%     1 - 2 -7.9 -4.7 -3.6
  Nov 21, 2024 178   @ Oakland L 60-70 18%    
  Nov 25, 2024 358   @ Houston Christian W 73-69 64%    
  Nov 26, 2024 277   Northern Arizona L 66-68 44%    
  Nov 30, 2024 328   Detroit Mercy W 70-65 68%    
  Dec 03, 2024 104   @ Loyola Chicago L 61-76 8%    
  Dec 15, 2024 139   Purdue Fort Wayne L 70-76 29%    
  Dec 21, 2024 184   Wright St. L 73-76 39%    
  Dec 28, 2024 131   @ Davidson L 61-73 14%    
  Jan 04, 2025 325   Northern Illinois W 70-65 66%    
  Jan 07, 2025 137   @ Toledo L 66-78 14%    
  Jan 11, 2025 140   Akron L 65-71 30%    
  Jan 14, 2025 204   @ Central Michigan L 62-70 23%    
  Jan 18, 2025 262   @ Bowling Green L 67-72 32%    
  Jan 21, 2025 158   Ohio L 69-74 34%    
  Jan 25, 2025 331   Buffalo W 73-68 68%    
  Jan 28, 2025 228   @ Miami (OH) L 64-71 26%    
  Feb 01, 2025 323   @ Western Michigan L 68-69 45%    
  Feb 04, 2025 123   Kent St. L 63-70 27%    
  Feb 11, 2025 280   @ Ball St. L 66-70 35%    
  Feb 15, 2025 137   Toledo L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 18, 2025 228   Miami (OH) L 67-68 45%    
  Feb 22, 2025 325   @ Northern Illinois L 67-68 46%    
  Feb 25, 2025 262   Bowling Green W 70-69 53%    
  Mar 01, 2025 204   Central Michigan L 65-67 42%    
  Mar 04, 2025 158   @ Ohio L 66-77 18%    
  Mar 07, 2025 123   @ Kent St. L 60-73 13%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.0 3.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.9 0.6 0.0 4.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.6 0.8 0.1 5.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.3 3.4 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.7 2.1 0.2 0.0 9.7 7th
8th 0.3 2.7 5.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 11.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.3 3.8 0.6 0.0 14.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.2 6.0 3.9 0.7 0.0 14.6 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 3.5 5.4 3.2 0.7 0.0 14.0 11th
12th 0.6 2.0 3.7 3.6 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 12.0 12th
Total 0.6 2.1 4.8 7.8 10.8 12.8 13.8 12.8 11.1 8.2 6.1 4.2 2.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 96.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 73.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 50.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 18.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 17.9% 17.9% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 17.5% 17.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.7% 17.3% 17.3% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.3% 10.0% 10.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2
12-6 2.6% 7.2% 7.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.4
11-7 4.2% 4.4% 4.4% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.0
10-8 6.1% 3.9% 3.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.9
9-9 8.2% 2.3% 2.3% 15.8 0.0 0.2 8.0
8-10 11.1% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.9
7-11 12.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.7
6-12 13.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.8
5-13 12.8% 12.8
4-14 10.8% 10.8
3-15 7.8% 7.8
2-16 4.8% 4.8
1-17 2.1% 2.1
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%