La Salle
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#191
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#141
Pace75.0#40
Improvement-5.4#351

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#216
First Shot-0.8#203
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#217
Layup/Dunks-0.3#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#132
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#250
Freethrows+1.1#109
Improvement-2.9#324

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#172
First Shot+1.1#140
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#280
Layups/Dunks-4.7#331
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#210
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#58
Freethrows+2.7#28
Improvement-2.5#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.1 13.6
.500 or above 25.9% 47.9% 20.1%
.500 or above in Conference 17.1% 35.5% 12.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.2% 3.9% 11.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Louis (Away) - 20.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 22 - 52 - 9
Quad 36 - 78 - 15
Quad 47 - 214 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 236   American W 65-52 71%     1 - 0 +6.0 +0.5 +7.9
  Nov 09, 2024 277   Lafayette W 81-60 77%     2 - 0 +11.8 +4.8 +6.8
  Nov 12, 2024 143   Cornell W 93-77 50%     3 - 0 +14.6 +8.7 +4.8
  Nov 16, 2024 186   @ Drexel W 71-68 39%     4 - 0 +4.6 +1.3 +3.3
  Nov 21, 2024 79   UC San Diego L 67-72 21%     4 - 1 +2.2 -4.4 +6.7
  Nov 22, 2024 142   Illinois-Chicago L 83-96 39%     4 - 2 -11.6 +3.5 -14.0
  Nov 23, 2024 348   Stetson W 92-77 84%     5 - 2 +2.9 +6.5 -4.3
  Nov 30, 2024 110   Temple W 83-75 43%     6 - 2 +8.5 +0.0 +7.5
  Dec 03, 2024 202   @ Northeastern L 68-82 42%     6 - 3 -13.2 -10.9 -0.8
  Dec 07, 2024 90   Saint Joseph's L 68-82 23%     6 - 4 0 - 1 -7.7 -0.1 -7.8
  Dec 14, 2024 26   @ North Carolina L 67-93 6%     6 - 5 -9.5 -3.1 -4.1
  Dec 18, 2024 325   Fairleigh Dickinson W 77-72 85%     7 - 5 -7.6 -1.7 -5.8
  Dec 31, 2024 76   @ Dayton L 70-84 15%     7 - 6 0 - 2 -4.0 -7.0 +4.5
  Jan 08, 2025 136   Loyola Chicago L 68-79 49%     7 - 7 0 - 3 -12.0 -1.5 -11.1
  Jan 11, 2025 96   @ St. Bonaventure W 83-82 OT 19%     8 - 7 1 - 3 +9.1 +14.8 -5.6
  Jan 15, 2025 120   Davidson W 79-76 45%     9 - 7 2 - 3 +2.9 +3.0 -0.1
  Jan 19, 2025 170   @ Massachusetts L 60-82 36%     9 - 8 2 - 4 -19.7 -18.6 +1.7
  Jan 22, 2025 102   @ Saint Louis L 73-81 21%    
  Jan 25, 2025 109   Rhode Island L 76-78 44%    
  Jan 29, 2025 220   Fordham W 80-75 68%    
  Feb 01, 2025 119   George Washington L 76-77 45%    
  Feb 04, 2025 50   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 65-80 8%    
  Feb 09, 2025 170   Massachusetts W 79-77 59%    
  Feb 12, 2025 90   @ Saint Joseph's L 70-80 16%    
  Feb 15, 2025 109   @ Rhode Island L 74-81 24%    
  Feb 19, 2025 209   Richmond W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 26, 2025 116   Duquesne L 70-71 47%    
  Mar 01, 2025 119   @ George Washington L 73-80 26%    
  Mar 05, 2025 86   @ George Mason L 63-74 16%    
  Mar 08, 2025 90   Saint Joseph's L 73-78 34%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 7 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.1 1.5 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 0.3 0.0 2.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 1.5 0.1 3.0 6th
7th 0.4 3.3 0.8 0.0 4.5 7th
8th 0.1 2.5 3.3 0.1 6.0 8th
9th 1.0 5.4 1.4 0.0 7.8 9th
10th 0.3 4.5 4.8 0.3 9.8 10th
11th 0.2 2.8 8.4 1.8 0.0 13.1 11th
12th 0.1 2.2 8.3 5.3 0.3 16.2 12th
13th 0.0 1.6 7.5 7.2 1.0 0.0 17.3 13th
14th 0.1 1.1 4.5 5.8 1.5 0.1 13.1 14th
15th 0.3 1.4 1.8 0.6 0.1 4.2 15th
Total 0.4 2.6 8.0 16.4 20.1 20.3 15.2 9.9 4.7 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 46.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 8.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.2% 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.6% 10.0% 10.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 1.8% 2.9% 2.9% 12.6 0.0 0.0 1.7
10-8 4.7% 0.6% 0.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.6
9-9 9.9% 0.6% 0.6% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.8
8-10 15.2% 0.3% 0.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.2
7-11 20.3% 0.2% 0.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 20.3
6-12 20.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 20.0
5-13 16.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 16.3
4-14 8.0% 8.0
3-15 2.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.6
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%