McNeese St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#74
Expected Predictive Rating+5.3#97
Pace64.7#282
Improvement+0.9#146

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#96
First Shot+3.3#89
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#192
Layup/Dunks+3.6#58
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#122
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#289
Freethrows+2.3#55
Improvement+0.6#144

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#65
First Shot+6.0#30
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#311
Layups/Dunks+7.6#13
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#94
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#278
Freethrows-0.5#225
Improvement+0.3#167
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 67.5% 68.0% 61.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.1 12.5
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 95.9% 96.6% 87.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round67.5% 68.0% 61.7%
Second Round14.6% 15.0% 9.1%
Sweet Sixteen3.2% 3.3% 2.3%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.5% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.3%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stephen F. Austin (Home) - 92.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 36 - 27 - 7
Quad 416 - 124 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 114   South Dakota St. L 73-80 67%     0 - 1 -4.1 -3.1 -0.6
  Nov 11, 2024 7   @ Alabama L 64-72 9%     0 - 2 +14.2 +2.0 +11.7
  Nov 18, 2024 65   North Texas W 68-61 57%     1 - 2 +12.7 +5.6 +7.7
  Nov 22, 2024 144   Illinois St. W 76-68 72%     2 - 2 +9.4 +10.7 -0.3
  Nov 24, 2024 199   Longwood W 84-69 81%     3 - 2 +13.3 +10.4 +2.9
  Nov 25, 2024 92   Liberty L 58-62 55%     3 - 3 +2.1 -1.0 +2.5
  Dec 03, 2024 67   Santa Clara L 67-74 57%     3 - 4 -1.4 +0.7 -2.6
  Dec 14, 2024 23   Mississippi St. L 63-66 23%     3 - 5 +12.1 +1.2 +10.7
  Dec 22, 2024 307   @ Louisiana W 64-56 88%     4 - 5 +2.6 -4.1 +7.6
  Dec 28, 2024 343   New Orleans W 86-61 97%     5 - 5 1 - 0 +10.5 +13.1 -0.3
  Dec 30, 2024 220   SE Louisiana W 79-51 89%     6 - 5 2 - 0 +22.0 +7.7 +15.3
  Jan 04, 2025 354   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 75-56 94%     7 - 5 3 - 0 +8.3 +0.0 +8.6
  Jan 06, 2025 289   @ Northwestern St. W 92-69 87%     8 - 5 4 - 0 +18.5 +25.3 -4.7
  Jan 11, 2025 205   Nicholls St. W 80-71 87%     9 - 5 5 - 0 +4.1 +1.7 +2.1
  Jan 13, 2025 316   @ Houston Christian W 75-59 89%     10 - 5 6 - 0 +9.9 +0.0 +10.1
  Jan 18, 2025 231   Lamar W 75-64 90%     11 - 5 7 - 0 +4.3 +8.6 -3.1
  Jan 20, 2025 249   Stephen F. Austin W 71-56 93%    
  Jan 25, 2025 247   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 77-68 81%    
  Jan 27, 2025 169   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 74-69 68%    
  Feb 01, 2025 205   @ Nicholls St. W 74-67 73%    
  Feb 03, 2025 303   Incarnate Word W 79-61 96%    
  Feb 08, 2025 289   Northwestern St. W 75-58 95%    
  Feb 10, 2025 354   Texas A&M - Commerce W 79-55 99%    
  Feb 15, 2025 343   @ New Orleans W 81-65 94%    
  Feb 17, 2025 220   @ SE Louisiana W 71-63 77%    
  Feb 22, 2025 169   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 77-66 84%    
  Feb 24, 2025 247   UT Rio Grande Valley W 80-65 92%    
  Mar 01, 2025 231   @ Lamar W 71-62 78%    
  Mar 03, 2025 249   Stephen F. Austin W 71-56 92%    
Projected Record 22 - 7 18 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 6.3 15.5 27.2 29.5 16.3 95.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.1 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.2 0.7 2.3 7.6 16.1 27.2 29.5 16.3 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 16.3    16.3
19-1 100.0% 29.5    29.5
18-2 99.7% 27.2    26.6 0.6
17-3 96.6% 15.5    13.5 2.0
16-4 82.2% 6.3    4.1 2.1 0.2
15-5 44.8% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
14-6 14.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 5.0% 0.0    0.0
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 95.9% 95.9 90.5 5.1 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 16.3% 76.0% 75.9% 0.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 7.1 3.9 0.1 3.9 0.3%
19-1 29.5% 71.7% 71.6% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 3.6 14.6 2.9 0.0 8.4 0.1%
18-2 27.2% 66.7% 66.7% 12.3 0.8 11.4 5.7 0.3 0.0 9.1
17-3 16.1% 61.4% 61.4% 12.6 0.1 4.5 4.5 0.7 0.0 6.2
16-4 7.6% 58.2% 58.2% 12.9 0.0 1.3 2.3 0.7 0.0 3.2
15-5 2.3% 47.0% 47.0% 13.3 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.2
14-6 0.7% 43.2% 43.2% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4
13-7 0.2% 40.0% 40.0% 14.4 0.1 0.0 0.1
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 67.5% 67.5% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 11.6 35.8 16.2 2.5 0.1 32.5 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 12.4% 100.0% 11.1 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.2 6.1 57.1 31.0 0.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.5% 0.6% 12.0 0.6