Toledo
Mid-American
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#137
Expected Predictive Rating+5.8#93
Pace72.1#97
Improvement+1.6#48

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#84
First Shot+3.9#76
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#199
Layup/Dunks+4.7#52
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#55
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#303
Freethrows+0.7#154
Improvement+0.4#122

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#235
First Shot-2.9#273
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#115
Layups/Dunks-4.9#328
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#302
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#223
Freethrows+5.3#5
Improvement+1.2#48
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.9% 20.9% 14.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.3 13.3 13.8
.500 or above 89.0% 91.3% 75.7%
.500 or above in Conference 90.2% 91.2% 84.3%
Conference Champion 25.6% 27.1% 17.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.4% 1.2%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
First Round19.8% 20.8% 14.1%
Second Round2.4% 2.6% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stetson (Neutral) - 85.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 21 - 4
Quad 34 - 45 - 8
Quad 414 - 319 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 124   @ Troy L 74-84 35%     0 - 1 -4.4 +1.2 -4.9
  Nov 09, 2024 196   @ Marshall W 90-80 51%     1 - 1 +11.5 +11.4 -0.7
  Nov 13, 2024 184   Wright St. W 86-77 72%     2 - 1 +4.7 +5.5 -1.0
  Nov 16, 2024 328   @ Detroit Mercy W 82-67 78%     3 - 1 +8.5 +3.5 +4.5
  Nov 21, 2024 327   Stetson W 81-70 85%    
  Nov 30, 2024 178   Oakland W 76-70 70%    
  Dec 14, 2024 192   @ Youngstown St. W 78-77 51%    
  Dec 18, 2024 4   @ Houston L 60-81 3%    
  Dec 29, 2024 18   @ Purdue L 70-85 8%    
  Jan 04, 2025 323   @ Western Michigan W 81-73 76%    
  Jan 07, 2025 300   Eastern Michigan W 78-66 86%    
  Jan 11, 2025 204   Central Michigan W 77-70 73%    
  Jan 14, 2025 140   @ Akron L 75-78 40%    
  Jan 18, 2025 280   @ Ball St. W 78-73 67%    
  Jan 21, 2025 123   Kent St. W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 24, 2025 262   @ Bowling Green W 80-76 64%    
  Jan 28, 2025 158   @ Ohio L 79-80 45%    
  Feb 01, 2025 325   Northern Illinois W 82-68 89%    
  Feb 04, 2025 331   Buffalo W 87-72 90%    
  Feb 11, 2025 228   @ Miami (OH) W 77-75 57%    
  Feb 15, 2025 300   @ Eastern Michigan W 75-69 70%    
  Feb 18, 2025 280   Ball St. W 81-70 83%    
  Feb 22, 2025 262   Bowling Green W 83-73 81%    
  Feb 25, 2025 123   @ Kent St. L 72-76 37%    
  Mar 01, 2025 331   @ Buffalo W 84-75 77%    
  Mar 04, 2025 140   Akron W 78-75 61%    
  Mar 07, 2025 158   Ohio W 82-77 65%    
Projected Record 17 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.5 7.4 6.2 3.1 0.9 25.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.4 7.0 6.6 2.5 0.4 20.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.2 6.2 4.6 1.0 0.1 15.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.6 3.2 0.6 0.0 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.0 2.5 0.4 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 1.9 1.6 0.3 0.0 4.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 1.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.7 4.5 7.0 9.4 12.3 13.5 14.3 13.1 10.0 6.6 3.1 0.9 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
17-1 100.0% 3.1    3.0 0.1
16-2 94.4% 6.2    5.4 0.8 0.0
15-3 74.2% 7.4    4.8 2.4 0.2
14-4 42.2% 5.5    2.3 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.6% 2.1    0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 25.6% 25.6 16.9 6.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.9% 56.7% 55.8% 0.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.9%
17-1 3.1% 51.1% 50.9% 0.2% 12.1 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.5 0.5%
16-2 6.6% 41.1% 41.1% 12.5 0.1 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.9
15-3 10.0% 34.0% 34.0% 12.9 0.0 1.0 1.6 0.7 0.1 6.6
14-4 13.1% 27.6% 27.6% 13.3 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.2 0.2 9.5
13-5 14.3% 20.7% 20.7% 13.7 0.2 1.1 1.3 0.4 0.0 11.3
12-6 13.5% 16.1% 16.1% 14.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.0 11.3
11-7 12.3% 11.4% 11.4% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 10.9
10-8 9.4% 9.5% 9.5% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 8.5
9-9 7.0% 6.3% 6.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 6.6
8-10 4.5% 3.8% 3.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.3
7-11 2.7% 1.1% 1.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 2.7
6-12 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
5-13 0.7% 0.7
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 19.9% 19.9% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 4.2 6.6 5.3 2.6 0.5 80.1 0.0%