UC Riverside
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#177
Expected Predictive Rating+5.5#96
Pace67.3#227
Improvement-1.3#265

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#195
First Shot-1.0#197
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#168
Layup/Dunks-2.5#269
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#54
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#170
Freethrows-1.3#260
Improvement-1.9#316

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#172
First Shot+0.7#154
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#252
Layups/Dunks-1.5#230
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#91
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#167
Freethrows+0.6#142
Improvement+0.6#137
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 5.1% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.4
.500 or above 53.2% 64.6% 40.1%
.500 or above in Conference 68.6% 73.3% 63.2%
Conference Champion 4.0% 5.0% 2.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 1.3% 2.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round4.2% 5.1% 3.1%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Montana St. (Home) - 53.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 36 - 57 - 12
Quad 48 - 316 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 23   @ Oregon L 76-91 6%     0 - 1 +2.0 +10.2 -8.0
  Nov 08, 2024 44   @ BYU L 80-86 9%     0 - 2 +8.0 +7.8 +0.4
  Nov 12, 2024 175   @ California Baptist W 70-69 38%     1 - 2 +3.2 -0.1 +3.3
  Nov 19, 2024 78   @ Santa Clara L 54-96 15%     1 - 3 -31.9 -13.0 -20.0
  Nov 22, 2024 108   @ Colorado St. W 77-75 OT 22%     2 - 3 +9.1 +2.3 +6.6
  Nov 24, 2024 343   Alcorn St. W 69-52 89%     3 - 3 +2.7 -8.2 +11.6
  Nov 30, 2024 291   @ Idaho L 68-80 61%     3 - 4 -15.8 -1.9 -15.2
  Dec 05, 2024 148   @ Cal St. Northridge W 68-64 34%     4 - 4 1 - 0 +7.5 -2.8 +10.3
  Dec 07, 2024 278   Cal St. Fullerton W 75-68 78%     5 - 4 2 - 0 -2.1 +0.2 -2.2
  Dec 18, 2024 139   Montana St. W 71-70 54%    
  Dec 21, 2024 113   @ UNLV L 66-73 24%    
  Dec 29, 2024 143   St. Thomas W 73-72 55%    
  Jan 02, 2025 272   @ Long Beach St. W 69-67 58%    
  Jan 04, 2025 63   @ UC Irvine L 62-75 12%    
  Jan 09, 2025 174   Hawaii W 70-67 61%    
  Jan 16, 2025 136   @ UC Santa Barbara L 69-74 31%    
  Jan 18, 2025 95   UC San Diego L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 23, 2025 63   UC Irvine L 65-72 28%    
  Jan 25, 2025 245   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 68-67 53%    
  Jan 30, 2025 184   UC Davis W 71-68 62%    
  Feb 01, 2025 249   Cal Poly W 83-76 74%    
  Feb 06, 2025 95   @ UC San Diego L 64-74 19%    
  Feb 08, 2025 245   Cal St. Bakersfield W 71-64 73%    
  Feb 13, 2025 184   @ UC Davis L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 15, 2025 136   UC Santa Barbara W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 20, 2025 272   Long Beach St. W 72-64 76%    
  Feb 22, 2025 249   @ Cal Poly W 80-79 54%    
  Feb 28, 2025 174   @ Hawaii L 67-70 40%    
  Mar 06, 2025 148   Cal St. Northridge W 76-74 56%    
  Mar 08, 2025 278   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 68-66 58%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.5 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 10.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.1 6.2 3.6 1.0 0.1 17.8 3rd
4th 0.2 2.2 6.0 6.0 2.4 0.4 0.0 17.1 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 6.0 5.2 1.5 0.1 0.0 15.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.1 4.4 1.3 0.1 12.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 4.0 3.7 0.8 0.1 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.6 0.7 0.0 6.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 1.5 1.8 0.5 0.0 4.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 3.2 5.9 8.6 11.7 13.6 14.2 13.2 10.9 7.9 4.8 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 96.8% 0.4    0.3 0.0
17-3 72.4% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
16-4 47.6% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1
15-5 21.6% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 5.7% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 2.0 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 35.1% 35.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.4% 34.4% 34.4% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
17-3 1.1% 21.7% 21.7% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9
16-4 2.5% 18.4% 18.4% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.1
15-5 4.8% 15.7% 15.7% 12.8 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.0
14-6 7.9% 10.1% 10.1% 13.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 7.1
13-7 10.9% 6.5% 6.5% 13.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 10.2
12-8 13.2% 4.0% 4.0% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 12.7
11-9 14.2% 1.8% 1.8% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.9
10-10 13.6% 1.3% 1.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 13.4
9-11 11.7% 0.7% 0.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.6
8-12 8.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 8.6
7-13 5.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.9
6-14 3.2% 3.2
5-15 1.3% 1.3
4-16 0.6% 0.6
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 13.1 0.1 1.2 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.0 95.8 0.0%