UC Riverside
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#155
Expected Predictive Rating+5.9#87
Pace69.6#173
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#138
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#194
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.6% 10.7% 6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.6 13.2
.500 or above 60.7% 77.1% 54.3%
.500 or above in Conference 71.4% 80.4% 67.9%
Conference Champion 7.6% 11.2% 6.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 0.9% 2.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round7.5% 10.7% 6.3%
Second Round1.0% 1.8% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Away) - 28.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 35 - 57 - 12
Quad 410 - 317 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 39   @ Oregon L 76-91 11%     0 - 1 -1.2 +9.3 -10.3
  Nov 08, 2024 32   @ BYU L 80-86 9%     0 - 2 +9.1 +8.6 +0.8
  Nov 12, 2024 181   @ California Baptist W 70-69 45%     1 - 2 +3.0 +0.7 +2.3
  Nov 19, 2024 111   @ Santa Clara L 73-79 28%    
  Nov 22, 2024 91   @ Colorado St. L 67-75 23%    
  Nov 24, 2024 352   Alcorn St. W 80-63 94%    
  Nov 30, 2024 282   @ Idaho W 74-70 64%    
  Dec 05, 2024 202   @ Cal St. Northridge L 77-78 50%    
  Dec 07, 2024 262   Cal St. Fullerton W 75-66 79%    
  Dec 18, 2024 165   Montana St. W 77-73 62%    
  Dec 21, 2024 94   @ UNLV L 68-76 24%    
  Dec 29, 2024 169   St. Thomas W 76-72 64%    
  Jan 02, 2025 250   @ Long Beach St. W 79-77 57%    
  Jan 04, 2025 60   @ UC Irvine L 66-77 16%    
  Jan 09, 2025 175   Hawaii W 73-69 65%    
  Jan 16, 2025 117   @ UC Santa Barbara L 74-80 32%    
  Jan 18, 2025 132   UC San Diego W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 23, 2025 60   UC Irvine L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 25, 2025 261   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 30, 2025 168   UC Davis W 76-72 63%    
  Feb 01, 2025 333   Cal Poly W 83-69 88%    
  Feb 06, 2025 132   @ UC San Diego L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 261   Cal St. Bakersfield W 75-66 78%    
  Feb 13, 2025 168   @ UC Davis L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 15, 2025 117   UC Santa Barbara W 77-76 52%    
  Feb 20, 2025 250   Long Beach St. W 82-74 75%    
  Feb 22, 2025 333   @ Cal Poly W 80-72 74%    
  Feb 28, 2025 175   @ Hawaii L 70-72 44%    
  Mar 06, 2025 202   Cal St. Northridge W 80-74 69%    
  Mar 08, 2025 262   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 72-69 60%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.1 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 7.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.7 4.1 2.4 0.7 0.1 13.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 3.4 5.8 3.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 15.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 4.3 5.8 3.0 0.6 0.0 14.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.3 5.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 13.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.9 4.4 1.6 0.2 11.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.0 3.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 8.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.5 0.8 0.1 6.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.9 3.4 5.0 7.1 9.6 11.0 12.0 12.1 11.3 8.8 7.1 4.7 2.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
18-2 92.5% 1.1    1.0 0.2
17-3 72.4% 2.0    1.3 0.6 0.0
16-4 44.1% 2.1    1.1 0.9 0.1 0.0
15-5 20.8% 1.5    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0
14-6 5.6% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.6% 7.6 4.4 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.4% 56.0% 47.4% 8.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 16.4%
18-2 1.2% 41.0% 39.6% 1.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 2.2%
17-3 2.7% 30.8% 30.8% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9
16-4 4.7% 27.7% 27.7% 12.6 0.0 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.4
15-5 7.1% 17.9% 17.9% 12.9 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 5.8
14-6 8.8% 13.8% 13.8% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 7.6
13-7 11.3% 8.7% 8.7% 13.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 10.3
12-8 12.1% 4.7% 4.7% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.6
11-9 12.0% 2.9% 2.9% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.7
10-10 11.0% 1.5% 1.5% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.9
9-11 9.6% 1.0% 1.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5
8-12 7.1% 0.3% 0.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 7.1
7-13 5.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.0
6-14 3.4% 3.4
5-15 1.9% 1.9
4-16 0.9% 0.9
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.6% 7.5% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.2 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.1 92.4 0.1%