Washington St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.6#107
Expected Predictive Rating+5.5#89
Pace73.2#58
Improvement-8.5#362

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#95
First Shot+3.3#90
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#217
Layup/Dunks+3.6#59
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#289
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#91
Freethrows-1.2#264
Improvement-2.5#299

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#156
First Shot+0.5#163
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#170
Layups/Dunks-2.5#278
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#132
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#80
Freethrows-0.2#193
Improvement-6.0#362
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.8 11.7 12.0
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 24.3% 61.9% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Home) - 39.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 42 - 8
Quad 23 - 35 - 11
Quad 33 - 18 - 12
Quad 411 - 219 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 201   Portland St. W 100-92 79%     1 - 0 +3.3 +13.9 -11.7
  Nov 08, 2024 94   Bradley W 91-74 54%     2 - 0 +19.6 +17.3 +1.9
  Nov 11, 2024 253   Idaho W 90-67 85%     3 - 0 +15.3 +5.0 +9.1
  Nov 15, 2024 61   Iowa L 66-76 29%     3 - 1 -0.8 -12.0 +12.0
  Nov 18, 2024 151   Northern Colorado W 83-69 70%     4 - 1 +12.1 +5.9 +6.0
  Nov 21, 2024 265   Eastern Washington W 96-81 80%     5 - 1 +9.5 +9.2 -1.3
  Nov 26, 2024 254   Fresno St. W 84-73 80%     6 - 1 +5.8 -1.5 +5.8
  Nov 27, 2024 37   SMU L 60-77 20%     6 - 2 -4.4 -1.8 -4.5
  Dec 02, 2024 80   @ Nevada W 68-57 28%     7 - 2 +20.7 +1.5 +19.5
  Dec 07, 2024 49   Boise St. W 74-69 24%     8 - 2 +15.9 +3.5 +12.3
  Dec 14, 2024 219   Missouri St. W 91-78 81%     9 - 2 +7.3 +17.5 -10.2
  Dec 18, 2024 90   @ Washington L 73-89 33%     9 - 3 -7.7 -0.4 -6.3
  Dec 21, 2024 100   Northern Iowa W 76-68 46%     10 - 3 +12.6 +9.4 +3.7
  Dec 28, 2024 284   @ Portland W 89-73 78%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +11.6 +7.7 +3.2
  Dec 30, 2024 169   Loyola Marymount W 73-59 73%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +11.1 -3.2 +13.4
  Jan 04, 2025 69   San Francisco W 91-82 42%     13 - 3 3 - 0 +14.6 +17.4 -3.3
  Jan 09, 2025 277   Pacific L 94-95 OT 88%     13 - 4 3 - 1 -10.0 +3.2 -13.1
  Jan 11, 2025 11   @ Gonzaga L 75-88 6%     13 - 5 3 - 2 +7.9 +10.5 -2.7
  Jan 16, 2025 314   @ San Diego W 65-61 83%     14 - 5 4 - 2 -2.6 -7.4 +5.0
  Jan 18, 2025 284   Portland W 92-70 88%     15 - 5 5 - 2 +12.5 +7.6 +3.8
  Jan 23, 2025 60   @ Santa Clara L 65-93 20%     15 - 6 5 - 3 -15.7 +0.4 -17.4
  Jan 25, 2025 30   St. Mary's L 75-80 21%     15 - 7 5 - 4 +7.1 +18.1 -11.6
  Jan 30, 2025 277   @ Pacific L 68-70 76%     15 - 8 5 - 5 -5.9 +1.7 -7.9
  Feb 01, 2025 69   @ San Francisco L 51-75 25%     15 - 9 5 - 6 -13.3 -13.7 -0.4
  Feb 06, 2025 87   @ Oregon St. L 74-82 30%     15 - 10 5 - 7 +0.9 +9.8 -9.6
  Feb 08, 2025 226   Pepperdine W 87-86 82%     16 - 10 6 - 7 -5.1 +4.5 -9.6
  Feb 15, 2025 30   @ St. Mary's L 56-77 11%     16 - 11 6 - 8 -3.8 -0.7 -5.3
  Feb 19, 2025 11   Gonzaga L 63-84 13%     16 - 12 6 - 9 -5.2 -1.5 -4.8
  Feb 22, 2025 60   Santa Clara L 76-80 39%    
  Feb 27, 2025 314   San Diego W 86-71 93%    
  Mar 01, 2025 226   @ Pepperdine W 81-76 65%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 1.1 1.1 5th
6th 5.4 45.9 23.1 74.5 6th
7th 0.9 16.3 4.8 22.0 7th
8th 0.9 1.5 2.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 1.9 23.2 50.7 24.3 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 24.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 11.5 0.1 0.1 24.1 0.0%
8-10 50.7% 0.3% 0.3% 11.9 0.0 0.1 50.6
7-11 23.2% 0.2% 0.2% 12.2 0.0 0.0 23.1
6-12 1.9% 0.5% 0.5% 12.0 0.0 1.9
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 11.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.7% 0.2% 11.0 0.2
Lose Out 0.5%