Bowling Green
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#264
Expected Predictive Rating-8.9#296
Pace68.8#196
Improvement+0.7#97

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#206
First Shot+1.6#125
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#320
Layup/Dunks+0.8#147
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#115
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#142
Freethrows-1.3#249
Improvement+1.9#13

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#304
First Shot-3.5#288
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#222
Layups/Dunks+0.0#171
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#269
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#174
Freethrows-2.3#300
Improvement-1.1#316
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 3.6% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 32.3% 41.1% 19.7%
.500 or above in Conference 45.7% 51.2% 37.8%
Conference Champion 3.0% 3.8% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.8% 6.9% 11.5%
First Four0.8% 0.8% 0.8%
First Round2.6% 3.2% 1.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bellarmine (Away) - 58.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 9
Quad 410 - 712 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 229   @ Southern Miss L 68-77 32%     0 - 1 -9.3 -8.0 -0.7
  Nov 08, 2024 130   Davidson L 85-91 34%     0 - 2 -7.1 +4.1 -10.7
  Nov 16, 2024 35   @ Michigan St. L 72-86 4%     0 - 3 +0.8 +7.0 -6.0
  Nov 19, 2024 327   Niagara W 76-68 75%     1 - 3 -4.2 +5.2 -8.5
  Nov 23, 2024 335   @ Bellarmine W 72-70 59%    
  Nov 29, 2024 225   Weber St. L 70-72 42%    
  Dec 07, 2024 333   Morgan St. W 82-74 77%    
  Dec 14, 2024 215   @ UMKC L 68-74 31%    
  Dec 21, 2024 163   St. Thomas L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 03, 2025 139   Akron L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 07, 2025 319   @ Western Michigan W 75-74 51%    
  Jan 11, 2025 246   @ Ball St. L 72-76 36%    
  Jan 14, 2025 330   Buffalo W 80-72 75%    
  Jan 18, 2025 301   Eastern Michigan W 72-67 68%    
  Jan 21, 2025 228   @ Miami (OH) L 70-75 33%    
  Jan 24, 2025 138   Toledo L 76-80 37%    
  Jan 28, 2025 123   @ Kent St. L 65-76 17%    
  Feb 01, 2025 202   @ Central Michigan L 67-73 29%    
  Feb 04, 2025 293   Northern Illinois W 75-70 66%    
  Feb 11, 2025 156   Ohio L 75-77 42%    
  Feb 15, 2025 330   @ Buffalo W 77-75 56%    
  Feb 18, 2025 123   Kent St. L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 22, 2025 138   @ Toledo L 73-83 20%    
  Feb 25, 2025 301   @ Eastern Michigan L 69-70 48%    
  Mar 01, 2025 246   Ball St. W 75-73 57%    
  Mar 04, 2025 293   @ Northern Illinois L 72-73 46%    
  Mar 07, 2025 319   Western Michigan W 78-71 72%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 6.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.5 2.0 0.2 0.0 9.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.4 2.7 0.3 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.6 3.2 0.5 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.9 5.3 3.8 0.6 0.0 11.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 4.6 3.5 0.8 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.2 1.3 3.8 3.1 0.8 0.0 9.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.7 2.3 0.6 0.0 7.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 5.0 12th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.1 5.3 8.2 10.4 12.1 13.2 12.2 10.8 8.8 5.9 4.1 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 93.7% 0.4    0.3 0.1
15-3 76.4% 0.8    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 43.7% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 13.7% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.0% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 32.0% 32.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 23.3% 23.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.0% 19.2% 19.2% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-4 2.3% 16.2% 16.2% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.9
13-5 4.1% 10.0% 10.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.7
12-6 5.9% 7.3% 7.3% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 5.4
11-7 8.8% 5.0% 5.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 8.4
10-8 10.8% 3.9% 3.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 10.4
9-9 12.2% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 11.9
8-10 13.2% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 13.0
7-11 12.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 12.0
6-12 10.4% 10.4
5-13 8.2% 8.2
4-14 5.3% 5.3
3-15 3.1% 3.1
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.4 97.0 0.0%