Butler
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#85
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#133
Pace70.4#148
Improvement+1.2#58

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#76
First Shot+0.7#151
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#47
Layup/Dunks-6.5#338
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#346
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.5#17
Freethrows+3.5#40
Improvement+0.1#158

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#85
First Shot+1.5#132
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#88
Layups/Dunks+0.4#159
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#355
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#132
Freethrows+4.3#20
Improvement+1.1#49
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.8% 2.0% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.4% 15.5% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.2% 14.2% 5.0%
Average Seed 8.9 8.9 9.6
.500 or above 44.5% 47.3% 21.5%
.500 or above in Conference 29.1% 30.5% 16.9%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 13.2% 12.2% 21.3%
First Four3.0% 3.2% 1.6%
First Round12.7% 13.7% 4.7%
Second Round5.9% 6.4% 2.0%
Sweet Sixteen1.6% 1.7% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Merrimack (Home) - 89.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 10
Quad 24 - 46 - 14
Quad 34 - 211 - 15
Quad 45 - 115 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 162   Missouri St. W 72-65 83%     1 - 0 +3.8 +2.3 +1.8
  Nov 08, 2024 231   Austin Peay L 66-68 89%     1 - 1 -8.4 -6.4 -2.0
  Nov 11, 2024 319   Western Michigan W 85-65 95%     2 - 1 +8.3 +5.8 +2.4
  Nov 15, 2024 68   SMU W 81-70 56%     3 - 1 +16.3 +10.0 +6.3
  Nov 22, 2024 230   Merrimack W 74-61 89%    
  Nov 28, 2024 74   Northwestern L 68-69 47%    
  Dec 03, 2024 315   Eastern Illinois W 80-62 96%    
  Dec 07, 2024 4   @ Houston L 59-75 7%    
  Dec 10, 2024 242   North Dakota St. W 80-66 89%    
  Dec 14, 2024 38   Wisconsin L 72-77 34%    
  Dec 18, 2024 15   @ Marquette L 68-79 16%    
  Dec 21, 2024 2   Connecticut L 66-77 17%    
  Jan 01, 2025 69   Villanova W 73-71 56%    
  Jan 04, 2025 16   @ St. John's L 70-81 17%    
  Jan 08, 2025 77   @ Providence L 66-70 38%    
  Jan 11, 2025 17   Creighton L 72-77 34%    
  Jan 15, 2025 88   Seton Hall W 65-61 63%    
  Jan 21, 2025 2   @ Connecticut L 63-80 7%    
  Jan 25, 2025 111   DePaul W 77-71 70%    
  Jan 28, 2025 15   Marquette L 71-76 33%    
  Jan 31, 2025 126   @ Georgetown W 75-74 55%    
  Feb 05, 2025 88   @ Seton Hall L 62-64 42%    
  Feb 08, 2025 77   Providence W 69-67 58%    
  Feb 15, 2025 126   Georgetown W 78-71 74%    
  Feb 18, 2025 36   @ Xavier L 72-80 25%    
  Feb 22, 2025 111   @ DePaul L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 26, 2025 16   St. John's L 73-78 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 69   @ Villanova L 70-74 36%    
  Mar 05, 2025 36   Xavier L 75-77 44%    
  Mar 08, 2025 17   @ Creighton L 69-80 18%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.4 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.7 3.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.9 3.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.6 4.2 1.0 0.1 14.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.5 6.0 4.0 0.8 0.1 15.1 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 3.8 5.4 3.0 0.5 0.0 13.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.8 4.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 12.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 1.7 2.5 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 8.0 11th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.0 6.8 9.5 11.4 12.6 12.4 11.4 9.4 7.3 5.3 3.5 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 92.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 70.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 45.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 21.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 4.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 26.2% 73.8% 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.5% 99.5% 18.0% 81.4% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
15-5 1.0% 97.4% 11.9% 85.5% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.1%
14-6 2.0% 91.6% 7.1% 84.5% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 91.0%
13-7 3.5% 78.1% 4.3% 73.7% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 77.1%
12-8 5.3% 62.0% 4.4% 57.6% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.0 2.0 60.2%
11-9 7.3% 37.2% 3.0% 34.3% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.0 0.1 4.6 35.3%
10-10 9.4% 17.3% 1.7% 15.7% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.1 7.7 15.9%
9-11 11.4% 4.0% 0.5% 3.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 10.9 3.5%
8-12 12.4% 0.9% 0.5% 0.4% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.3 0.4%
7-13 12.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.6 0.0%
6-14 11.4% 0.2% 0.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.4
5-15 9.5% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 9.5
4-16 6.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.7
3-17 4.0% 4.0
2-18 2.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.0
1-19 0.7% 0.7
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 14.4% 1.3% 13.1% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.1 2.5 2.9 3.3 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.6 13.2%