Denver
Summit League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#294
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#181
Pace74.7#65
Improvement+0.6#114

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#262
First Shot-1.1#216
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#272
Layup/Dunks-6.7#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#19
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#270
Freethrows+4.1#24
Improvement+0.4#109

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#310
First Shot-2.1#252
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#307
Layups/Dunks-9.5#361
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#289
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.8#14
Freethrows+1.4#105
Improvement+0.2#167
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 5.4% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 17.4% 31.8% 13.0%
.500 or above in Conference 27.9% 38.4% 24.7%
Conference Champion 3.4% 5.6% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 31.7% 22.8% 34.5%
First Four1.5% 1.6% 1.5%
First Round2.9% 4.7% 2.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Montana (Away) - 23.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 82 - 11
Quad 48 - 811 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 76   @ Stanford L 62-85 6%     0 - 1 -12.3 -6.0 -6.5
  Nov 12, 2024 101   @ Colorado St. L 65-74 9%     0 - 2 -1.2 -2.2 +0.9
  Nov 17, 2024 157   Montana St. W 79-78 34%     1 - 2 -1.8 -3.0 +1.1
  Nov 24, 2024 213   @ Montana L 71-79 24%    
  Nov 25, 2024 194   Cal St. Northridge L 77-83 30%    
  Nov 26, 2024 304   Utah Tech W 78-77 53%    
  Dec 01, 2024 289   @ Portland L 73-76 38%    
  Dec 04, 2024 305   Sacramento St. W 71-67 64%    
  Dec 07, 2024 221   @ Portland St. L 79-86 26%    
  Dec 15, 2024 274   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 70-74 35%    
  Dec 17, 2024 269   @ Cal Poly L 78-83 34%    
  Dec 21, 2024 148   Northern Colorado L 76-81 33%    
  Jan 02, 2025 153   @ South Dakota St. L 74-85 17%    
  Jan 04, 2025 239   @ South Dakota L 77-83 29%    
  Jan 09, 2025 253   North Dakota W 77-76 52%    
  Jan 11, 2025 241   North Dakota St. L 75-76 50%    
  Jan 15, 2025 259   Nebraska Omaha W 77-76 53%    
  Jan 18, 2025 168   @ St. Thomas L 70-80 20%    
  Jan 23, 2025 249   @ Oral Roberts L 74-80 32%    
  Jan 30, 2025 217   UMKC L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 01, 2025 259   @ Nebraska Omaha L 74-79 33%    
  Feb 06, 2025 239   South Dakota L 79-80 49%    
  Feb 08, 2025 168   St. Thomas L 73-77 38%    
  Feb 13, 2025 253   @ North Dakota L 74-79 32%    
  Feb 15, 2025 241   @ North Dakota St. L 72-78 30%    
  Feb 19, 2025 249   Oral Roberts W 78-77 51%    
  Feb 27, 2025 217   @ UMKC L 69-76 26%    
  Mar 01, 2025 153   South Dakota St. L 77-82 35%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.0 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 6.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.0 2.9 0.5 0.0 8.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.9 3.9 0.6 0.0 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.7 5.0 0.9 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 5.5 6.2 1.4 0.0 14.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.8 6.6 6.1 1.7 0.1 17.8 8th
9th 0.9 3.0 5.8 6.7 4.5 1.2 0.0 22.0 9th
Total 0.9 3.0 6.4 9.6 12.7 13.8 13.6 12.2 9.7 7.2 5.0 3.1 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 97.2% 0.3    0.2 0.0
13-3 86.0% 0.7    0.5 0.1 0.0
12-4 60.7% 1.1    0.6 0.4 0.1
11-5 29.3% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 7.1% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 41.4% 41.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.3% 37.7% 37.7% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.8% 25.8% 25.8% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
12-4 1.8% 18.8% 18.8% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.4
11-5 3.1% 13.9% 13.9% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.7
10-6 5.0% 10.0% 10.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 4.5
9-7 7.2% 7.3% 7.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 6.7
8-8 9.7% 5.3% 5.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 9.2
7-9 12.2% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 11.8
6-10 13.6% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 13.2
5-11 13.8% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 13.6
4-12 12.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.6
3-13 9.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.6
2-14 6.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.4
1-15 3.0% 3.0
0-16 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 96.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%