Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#310
Expected Predictive Rating-6.8#280
Pace63.5#328
Improvement+1.4#52

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#320
First Shot-4.1#292
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#230
Layup/Dunks-6.9#344
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#151
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#180
Freethrows+2.2#79
Improvement+1.5#23

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#278
First Shot-0.8#203
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#310
Layups/Dunks+3.5#78
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#68
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.8#354
Freethrows+1.5#99
Improvement-0.2#217
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 1.2% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 5.3% 19.4% 4.8%
.500 or above in Conference 12.1% 24.3% 11.6%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 33.9% 21.4% 34.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.3% 1.2% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boise St. (Neutral) - 3.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 72 - 12
Quad 46 - 78 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 143   @ George Washington L 54-82 12%     0 - 1 -23.9 -20.8 -2.0
  Nov 12, 2024 77   @ Providence L 51-60 5%     0 - 2 +1.3 -6.1 +6.0
  Nov 16, 2024 206   Norfolk St. L 58-67 38%     0 - 3 -14.3 -9.5 -6.2
  Nov 19, 2024 311   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-68 39%     1 - 3 +4.6 +6.3 -0.8
  Nov 24, 2024 43   Boise St. L 58-77 3%    
  Dec 03, 2024 272   N.C. A&T W 72-71 51%    
  Dec 21, 2024 334   @ Loyola Maryland L 65-66 47%    
  Dec 28, 2024 232   Howard L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 02, 2025 116   @ College of Charleston L 65-80 9%    
  Jan 04, 2025 263   @ Elon L 67-73 29%    
  Jan 09, 2025 257   Campbell L 66-67 48%    
  Jan 11, 2025 213   Delaware L 68-71 40%    
  Jan 16, 2025 208   William & Mary L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 20, 2025 272   @ N.C. A&T L 69-75 31%    
  Jan 23, 2025 208   @ William & Mary L 69-78 21%    
  Jan 25, 2025 150   @ UNC Wilmington L 64-76 15%    
  Jan 30, 2025 148   Northeastern L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 06, 2025 261   @ Monmouth L 67-73 29%    
  Feb 08, 2025 148   @ Northeastern L 62-74 15%    
  Feb 13, 2025 144   Drexel L 61-67 29%    
  Feb 15, 2025 131   Hofstra L 62-69 26%    
  Feb 20, 2025 285   Stony Brook W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 22, 2025 150   UNC Wilmington L 67-73 31%    
  Feb 27, 2025 144   @ Drexel L 58-70 14%    
  Mar 01, 2025 134   @ Towson L 56-69 13%    
Projected Record 7 - 18 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.0 0.0 2.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.1 0.1 3.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 2.1 0.4 0.0 4.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 2.9 1.0 0.0 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.4 2.2 0.2 0.0 6.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.6 3.8 0.7 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.8 5.0 1.6 0.1 11.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 3.9 6.4 2.8 0.2 0.0 14.3 12th
13th 0.3 1.7 5.4 7.2 3.4 0.5 0.0 18.5 13th
14th 1.4 4.4 7.1 6.4 2.8 0.5 0.0 22.6 14th
Total 1.4 4.7 8.9 12.7 14.6 14.8 12.9 10.3 7.5 5.3 3.2 1.9 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 64.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 38.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 17.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 19.4% 19.4% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.2% 9.7% 9.7% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.4% 5.7% 5.7% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 0.9% 4.7% 4.7% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
11-7 1.9% 4.0% 4.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.9
10-8 3.2% 2.0% 2.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
9-9 5.3% 1.2% 1.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 5.2
8-10 7.5% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.0 7.5
7-11 10.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.3
6-12 12.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.9
5-13 14.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.8
4-14 14.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.6
3-15 12.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.7
2-16 8.9% 8.9
1-17 4.7% 4.7
0-18 1.4% 1.4
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%