Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#249
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#275
Pace69.1#187
Improvement-2.0#340

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#272
First Shot-4.9#312
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#91
Layup/Dunks+1.0#144
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#333
Freethrows+1.0#139
Improvement-3.3#361

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#209
First Shot+1.1#144
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#315
Layups/Dunks-0.3#179
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#207
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#175
Freethrows+1.2#121
Improvement+1.3#46
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.3% 11.1% 7.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 49.7% 60.3% 37.6%
.500 or above in Conference 71.7% 76.5% 66.1%
Conference Champion 12.2% 14.8% 9.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.6% 2.1% 3.3%
First Four3.4% 3.4% 3.4%
First Round7.7% 9.5% 5.7%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Home) - 53.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 414 - 916 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 129   @ Princeton L 80-81 18%     0 - 1 +4.1 +8.3 -4.2
  Nov 08, 2024 133   @ Hofstra L 76-90 19%     0 - 2 -9.1 +3.5 -12.1
  Nov 12, 2024 216   Delaware L 58-64 55%     0 - 3 -11.6 -16.1 +4.4
  Nov 15, 2024 153   Vermont W 62-59 43%     1 - 3 +0.4 -7.0 +7.5
  Nov 20, 2024 54   @ West Virginia L 43-86 7%     1 - 4 -30.8 -22.7 -8.7
  Nov 25, 2024 209   Cornell W 79-78 54%    
  Nov 29, 2024 312   Tarleton St. W 71-67 64%    
  Nov 30, 2024 181   Indiana St. L 76-79 38%    
  Dec 01, 2024 170   Rice L 67-71 36%    
  Dec 06, 2024 325   @ Sacred Heart W 75-73 55%    
  Dec 08, 2024 180   St. Peter's L 64-65 48%    
  Dec 22, 2024 183   @ Colgate L 64-70 30%    
  Dec 29, 2024 242   Harvard W 71-68 59%    
  Jan 03, 2025 233   Marist W 69-67 57%    
  Jan 05, 2025 307   @ Siena W 67-66 52%    
  Jan 10, 2025 274   @ Fairfield L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 12, 2025 225   Quinnipiac W 74-72 55%    
  Jan 16, 2025 351   Canisius W 77-65 85%    
  Jan 23, 2025 239   @ Rider L 69-72 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 307   Siena W 70-63 72%    
  Jan 31, 2025 329   @ Manhattan W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 02, 2025 274   Fairfield W 71-67 65%    
  Feb 06, 2025 281   @ Mount St. Mary's L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 08, 2025 233   @ Marist L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 14, 2025 239   Rider W 72-69 59%    
  Feb 16, 2025 225   @ Quinnipiac L 71-75 35%    
  Feb 21, 2025 329   Manhattan W 75-67 76%    
  Feb 23, 2025 228   Merrimack W 67-65 57%    
  Feb 28, 2025 304   @ Niagara W 72-71 52%    
  Mar 02, 2025 351   @ Canisius W 74-68 69%    
  Mar 08, 2025 325   Sacred Heart W 78-70 74%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.7 3.5 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.1 12.2 1st
2nd 0.5 2.3 3.9 3.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 12.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.5 4.6 3.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 11.6 3rd
4th 0.2 2.1 4.7 3.4 0.6 0.1 10.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 4.7 3.5 0.7 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.7 4.1 0.8 0.1 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.9 3.3 1.0 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.3 1.8 3.4 1.3 0.1 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.2 1.2 2.9 2.0 0.2 6.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 2.1 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.5 0.3 4.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.2 2.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.4 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.8 3.3 5.4 6.9 9.3 10.2 12.2 12.0 11.3 9.0 7.1 5.1 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
18-2 98.2% 1.4    1.2 0.2
17-3 90.1% 2.4    1.8 0.5 0.0
16-4 68.1% 3.5    2.0 1.2 0.3
15-5 37.7% 2.7    1.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 14.2% 1.3    0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 12.2% 12.2 7.2 3.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 51.1% 51.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.6% 42.3% 42.3% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
18-2 1.4% 33.1% 33.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9
17-3 2.6% 28.1% 28.1% 14.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.9
16-4 5.1% 22.1% 22.1% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 4.0
15-5 7.1% 21.8% 21.8% 15.3 0.2 0.7 0.7 5.6
14-6 9.0% 15.9% 15.9% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 7.6
13-7 11.3% 11.6% 11.6% 15.8 0.2 1.1 10.0
12-8 12.0% 8.8% 8.8% 16.0 0.0 1.0 10.9
11-9 12.2% 5.3% 5.3% 15.9 0.0 0.6 11.6
10-10 10.2% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.9
9-11 9.3% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 9.1
8-12 6.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 6.8
7-13 5.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.4
6-14 3.3% 3.3
5-15 1.8% 1.8
4-16 1.1% 1.1
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 15.4 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.4 5.5 90.7 0.0%