Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#247
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#262
Pace70.5#134
Improvement+0.7#144

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#289
First Shot-5.0#318
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#128
Layup/Dunks-1.2#226
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#301
Freethrows-1.2#254
Improvement+0.2#158

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#188
First Shot+0.8#142
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#295
Layups/Dunks+0.0#166
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#134
Freethrows-1.3#277
Improvement+0.4#151
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.7% 10.0% 6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 46.0% 55.3% 32.2%
.500 or above in Conference 74.2% 77.7% 69.0%
Conference Champion 10.6% 12.2% 8.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 1.2% 2.5%
First Four3.2% 3.1% 3.2%
First Round7.3% 8.7% 5.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Harvard (Home) - 59.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 414 - 916 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 110   @ Princeton L 80-81 15%     0 - 1 +5.5 +8.8 -3.4
  Nov 08, 2024 149   @ Hofstra L 76-90 22%     0 - 2 -10.7 +4.8 -15.0
  Nov 12, 2024 215   Delaware L 58-64 53%     0 - 3 -11.7 -18.9 +7.2
  Nov 15, 2024 220   Vermont W 62-59 56%     1 - 3 -3.3 -8.3 +5.1
  Nov 20, 2024 39   @ West Virginia L 43-86 5%     1 - 4 -28.3 -20.6 -8.3
  Nov 25, 2024 131   Cornell L 68-84 37%     1 - 5 -17.3 -13.8 -2.3
  Nov 29, 2024 285   Tarleton St. W 62-51 57%     2 - 5 +4.3 -3.5 +9.1
  Nov 30, 2024 150   Indiana St. L 80-83 31%     2 - 6 -2.7 +0.9 -3.5
  Dec 01, 2024 186   Rice L 66-70 37%     2 - 7 -5.3 -5.0 -0.4
  Dec 06, 2024 295   @ Sacred Heart L 59-83 48%     2 - 8 0 - 1 -28.2 -18.8 -8.3
  Dec 08, 2024 206   St. Peter's W 72-63 51%     3 - 8 1 - 1 +3.9 +2.5 +1.9
  Dec 22, 2024 241   @ Colgate W 79-73 37%     4 - 8 +4.6 +6.8 -2.2
  Dec 29, 2024 243   Harvard W 71-68 60%    
  Jan 03, 2025 231   Marist W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 05, 2025 304   @ Siena W 67-66 50%    
  Jan 10, 2025 297   @ Fairfield L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 12, 2025 249   Quinnipiac W 76-73 61%    
  Jan 16, 2025 353   Canisius W 77-66 85%    
  Jan 23, 2025 303   @ Rider W 69-68 50%    
  Jan 25, 2025 304   Siena W 70-64 71%    
  Jan 31, 2025 279   @ Manhattan L 74-75 45%    
  Feb 02, 2025 297   Fairfield W 76-70 69%    
  Feb 06, 2025 234   @ Mount St. Mary's L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 231   @ Marist L 64-68 36%    
  Feb 14, 2025 303   Rider W 71-65 71%    
  Feb 16, 2025 249   @ Quinnipiac L 73-76 39%    
  Feb 21, 2025 279   Manhattan W 77-72 66%    
  Feb 23, 2025 195   Merrimack L 66-67 50%    
  Feb 28, 2025 320   @ Niagara W 69-68 54%    
  Mar 02, 2025 353   @ Canisius W 74-69 67%    
  Mar 08, 2025 295   Sacred Heart W 76-71 69%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.1 3.3 2.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 10.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.5 4.9 2.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.8 5.4 2.3 0.4 0.0 12.4 3rd
4th 0.2 3.1 5.6 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 5.7 3.0 0.4 0.0 10.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.5 3.9 0.6 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.3 0.9 0.0 8.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.1 1.5 0.1 7.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.9 2.1 0.2 5.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.0 0.4 4.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.5 0.0 3.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.0 2.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.3 4.4 7.2 10.2 12.5 14.1 13.9 12.4 9.7 6.2 3.4 1.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 98.7% 0.5    0.4 0.0
17-3 92.5% 1.3    1.1 0.2 0.0
16-4 79.0% 2.7    1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
15-5 53.5% 3.3    1.5 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0
14-6 22.1% 2.1    0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-7 4.6% 0.6    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.6% 10.6 5.6 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 40.6% 40.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.5% 26.3% 26.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
17-3 1.4% 27.1% 27.1% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.0
16-4 3.4% 22.9% 22.9% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 2.6
15-5 6.2% 19.4% 19.4% 15.3 0.1 0.6 0.5 5.0
14-6 9.7% 15.6% 15.6% 15.6 0.0 0.5 1.0 8.2
13-7 12.4% 13.7% 13.7% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.4 10.7
12-8 13.9% 10.0% 10.0% 15.9 0.1 1.3 12.5
11-9 14.1% 5.8% 5.8% 15.9 0.0 0.8 13.3
10-10 12.5% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.1
9-11 10.2% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 9.9
8-12 7.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 7.1
7-13 4.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.4
6-14 2.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.3
5-15 1.1% 1.1
4-16 0.4% 0.4
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.3 5.8 91.3 0.0%