Presbyterian
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#281
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#239
Pace64.7#305
Improvement-1.2#313

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#179
First Shot-2.5#250
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#63
Layup/Dunks+1.3#127
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#265
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#153
Freethrows-2.9#310
Improvement-2.8#361

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#345
First Shot-6.1#336
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#178
Layups/Dunks-4.8#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#302
Freethrows-0.2#194
Improvement+1.6#24
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.7% 5.3% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 15.8% 28.8% 12.1%
.500 or above in Conference 33.0% 42.6% 30.2%
Conference Champion 3.3% 5.2% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 20.9% 14.5% 22.8%
First Four1.4% 1.3% 1.4%
First Round3.0% 4.7% 2.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stephen F. Austin (Away) - 22.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 12
Quad 49 - 611 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 142   @ Charlotte L 79-88 16%     0 - 1 -4.6 +19.3 -25.2
  Nov 08, 2024 52   @ North Carolina St. L 72-81 5%     0 - 2 +3.3 +7.9 -4.9
  Nov 13, 2024 204   Wofford W 71-68 46%     1 - 2 -2.2 +1.0 -2.9
  Nov 16, 2024 160   @ Kennesaw St. L 67-85 19%     1 - 3 -15.0 -4.3 -11.4
  Nov 21, 2024 182   @ Stephen F. Austin L 63-71 22%    
  Nov 22, 2024 190   Youngstown St. L 71-76 33%    
  Nov 23, 2024 261   Monmouth L 74-75 46%    
  Nov 27, 2024 332   @ Tennessee Tech W 71-70 54%    
  Dec 03, 2024 356   @ Florida A&M W 74-69 68%    
  Dec 15, 2024 37   @ Miami (FL) L 65-86 3%    
  Dec 21, 2024 328   Manhattan W 76-70 72%    
  Dec 30, 2024 72   @ South Carolina L 63-80 6%    
  Jan 02, 2025 179   Longwood L 68-70 43%    
  Jan 04, 2025 222   @ Gardner-Webb L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 08, 2025 314   @ South Carolina Upstate L 76-77 48%    
  Jan 11, 2025 177   UNC Asheville L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 18, 2025 125   @ High Point L 69-81 15%    
  Jan 22, 2025 312   Charleston Southern W 75-70 68%    
  Jan 25, 2025 227   Radford W 73-72 50%    
  Jan 29, 2025 193   @ Winthrop L 71-79 25%    
  Feb 01, 2025 125   High Point L 72-78 31%    
  Feb 05, 2025 314   South Carolina Upstate W 79-74 68%    
  Feb 12, 2025 312   @ Charleston Southern L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 179   @ Longwood L 65-73 24%    
  Feb 19, 2025 193   Winthrop L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 22, 2025 227   @ Radford L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 26, 2025 177   @ UNC Asheville L 70-78 24%    
  Mar 01, 2025 222   Gardner-Webb L 73-74 50%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.1 3.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.2 4.0 0.9 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 5.1 5.0 1.1 0.1 12.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 5.9 6.1 1.3 0.0 15.0 6th
7th 0.3 2.4 6.5 6.1 1.4 0.1 16.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.4 6.2 4.6 1.2 0.0 16.1 8th
9th 0.4 1.8 3.7 4.3 2.6 0.6 0.0 13.4 9th
Total 0.4 1.8 4.4 7.9 11.2 13.3 14.4 13.5 11.3 8.7 6.0 3.6 1.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 97.5% 0.3    0.3 0.0
13-3 81.8% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
12-4 54.8% 1.1    0.5 0.5 0.1
11-5 21.3% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 3.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 28.0% 28.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.3% 33.6% 33.6% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 1.0% 22.6% 22.6% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
12-4 1.9% 19.5% 19.5% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.6
11-5 3.6% 11.4% 11.4% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.2
10-6 6.0% 9.5% 9.5% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 5.4
9-7 8.7% 6.2% 6.2% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 8.1
8-8 11.3% 4.8% 4.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 10.8
7-9 13.5% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.1
6-10 14.4% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 14.1
5-11 13.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 13.2
4-12 11.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.1
3-13 7.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.9
2-14 4.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.4
1-15 1.8% 1.8
0-16 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.0 96.3 0.0%