Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.3#117
Expected Predictive Rating+3.1#139
Pace74.3#66
Improvement-0.7#272

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#99
First Shot+2.9#91
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#174
Layup/Dunks-0.2#191
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#188
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#318
Freethrows+8.4#1
Improvement-0.6#274

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#154
First Shot+2.2#113
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#286
Layups/Dunks+3.9#66
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#151
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#180
Freethrows-2.5#309
Improvement-0.1#214
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.3% 6.9% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 1.1% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.2 11.2 12.0
.500 or above 73.9% 78.2% 53.1%
.500 or above in Conference 57.6% 60.5% 43.6%
Conference Champion 7.0% 7.7% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 4.9% 10.6%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round6.0% 6.6% 2.9%
Second Round1.6% 1.8% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Home) - 82.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 42 - 6
Quad 38 - 610 - 11
Quad 48 - 118 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 274   Fairfield W 96-58 87%     1 - 0 +29.2 +13.7 +12.6
  Nov 08, 2024 318   Holy Cross W 91-77 91%     2 - 0 +2.3 +4.6 -3.0
  Nov 20, 2024 237   Lafayette W 76-66 83%    
  Nov 24, 2024 116   College of Charleston W 83-80 61%    
  Nov 27, 2024 338   Detroit Mercy W 83-68 91%    
  Nov 28, 2024 164   Texas Arlington W 84-80 63%    
  Dec 02, 2024 108   Yale W 76-74 58%    
  Dec 07, 2024 77   Providence L 70-71 47%    
  Dec 10, 2024 221   @ Brown W 77-74 62%    
  Dec 15, 2024 256   Central Connecticut St. W 78-67 84%    
  Dec 21, 2024 113   Temple L 75-76 49%    
  Dec 31, 2024 207   @ Duquesne W 74-71 59%    
  Jan 04, 2025 96   George Mason W 74-73 53%    
  Jan 08, 2025 143   George Washington W 83-78 68%    
  Jan 11, 2025 197   @ Richmond W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 15, 2025 105   @ Loyola Chicago L 74-78 36%    
  Jan 18, 2025 130   Davidson W 76-72 65%    
  Jan 21, 2025 50   Virginia Commonwealth L 73-76 39%    
  Jan 25, 2025 120   @ La Salle L 74-77 41%    
  Jan 29, 2025 129   Massachusetts W 79-75 64%    
  Feb 05, 2025 161   @ Fordham W 77-76 52%    
  Feb 08, 2025 96   @ George Mason L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 12, 2025 114   St. Bonaventure W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 15, 2025 120   La Salle W 77-74 61%    
  Feb 22, 2025 101   @ Saint Louis L 78-83 35%    
  Feb 26, 2025 64   Dayton L 73-75 43%    
  Mar 01, 2025 129   @ Massachusetts L 76-78 44%    
  Mar 05, 2025 100   @ Saint Joseph's L 74-79 34%    
  Mar 08, 2025 161   Fordham W 80-73 71%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.0 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.1 7.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.9 2.2 0.7 0.1 7.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.3 2.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 3.7 2.6 0.5 0.0 7.9 4th
5th 0.5 3.3 3.6 0.7 0.0 8.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 4.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.3 2.3 0.2 7.7 7th
8th 0.3 3.1 3.4 0.5 0.0 7.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 4.0 1.2 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.7 2.2 0.2 6.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.4 3.1 0.5 0.0 6.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.0 1.1 0.0 5.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.6 1.4 0.2 5.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.3 14th
15th 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.3 15th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.3 3.8 6.0 7.9 10.0 11.0 11.6 11.4 10.5 8.4 6.6 4.7 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.4 0.0
16-2 90.8% 1.2    1.0 0.2 0.0
15-3 73.1% 1.9    1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0
14-4 43.1% 2.0    0.8 0.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 16.1% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.0% 7.0 3.7 2.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 88.6% 48.6% 40.0% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 77.8%
17-1 0.5% 69.8% 31.9% 37.9% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 55.6%
16-2 1.3% 50.3% 27.9% 22.4% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 31.1%
15-3 2.6% 33.8% 25.8% 7.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.7 10.7%
14-4 4.7% 21.9% 19.3% 2.6% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.0 3.7 3.2%
13-5 6.6% 14.0% 13.4% 0.6% 11.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.6 0.7%
12-6 8.4% 10.5% 10.5% 11.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.5
11-7 10.5% 6.4% 6.4% 0.1% 12.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 9.8 0.1%
10-8 11.4% 3.6% 3.6% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.0
9-9 11.6% 1.8% 1.8% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.4
8-10 11.0% 0.8% 0.8% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.9
7-11 10.0% 0.8% 0.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.9
6-12 7.9% 0.3% 0.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.9
5-13 6.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0
4-14 3.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 3.7
3-15 2.3% 2.3
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.3% 5.4% 0.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 2.1 2.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 93.7 0.9%