Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.4#300
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#299
Pace62.3#339
Improvement-4.9#357

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#275
First Shot-8.2#353
After Offensive Rebound+4.7#7
Layup/Dunks-5.6#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#7
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.7#358
Freethrows-0.4#203
Improvement-1.0#261

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#295
First Shot-2.6#267
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#280
Layups/Dunks-1.8#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#150
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#333
Freethrows+3.1#18
Improvement-4.0#361
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 4.4% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 13.6% 31.6% 12.6%
.500 or above in Conference 30.1% 42.7% 29.4%
Conference Champion 1.2% 2.5% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 13.6% 8.9% 13.8%
First Four2.0% 1.6% 2.0%
First Round2.1% 3.6% 2.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Away) - 4.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 412 - 1213 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 14   @ UCLA L 50-85 2%     0 - 1 -16.7 -6.1 -13.6
  Nov 06, 2024 319   @ San Diego W 68-67 44%     1 - 1 -4.8 -5.3 +0.5
  Nov 09, 2024 363   @ Coppin St. W 64-53 77%     2 - 1 -4.2 -11.5 +7.5
  Nov 12, 2024 302   @ Navy W 90-79 39%     3 - 1 +6.3 +14.8 -8.3
  Nov 19, 2024 42   @ Iowa L 58-83 4%     3 - 2 -11.2 -12.3 +1.8
  Nov 23, 2024 264   @ Bucknell W 57-53 32%     4 - 2 +1.4 -5.7 +7.7
  Nov 27, 2024 44   @ Villanova L 48-72 4%     4 - 3 -10.3 -12.9 -1.8
  Nov 30, 2024 219   Delaware L 66-72 43%     4 - 4 -11.6 -4.0 -8.3
  Dec 04, 2024 280   @ Fairfield L 75-78 36%     4 - 5 0 - 1 -6.6 +3.0 -9.8
  Dec 06, 2024 245   Quinnipiac L 67-72 51%     4 - 6 0 - 2 -12.8 -2.0 -11.2
  Dec 14, 2024 307   Stony Brook L 55-72 64%     4 - 7 -28.1 -13.4 -17.9
  Dec 20, 2024 274   @ Penn L 66-79 34%     4 - 8 -16.2 -1.2 -16.7
  Dec 22, 2024 78   @ North Carolina St. L 58-75 5%    
  Jan 05, 2025 293   Manhattan W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 10, 2025 350   @ Canisius W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 12, 2025 320   @ Niagara L 65-67 44%    
  Jan 16, 2025 253   Mount St. Mary's W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 18, 2025 233   @ Marist L 61-68 27%    
  Jan 23, 2025 258   Iona W 68-67 53%    
  Jan 25, 2025 245   @ Quinnipiac L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 31, 2025 210   St. Peter's L 62-64 42%    
  Feb 02, 2025 198   Merrimack L 63-66 40%    
  Feb 06, 2025 284   @ Sacred Heart L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 305   Siena W 66-63 62%    
  Feb 14, 2025 258   @ Iona L 65-70 32%    
  Feb 16, 2025 210   @ St. Peter's L 59-67 23%    
  Feb 21, 2025 280   Fairfield W 71-69 58%    
  Feb 23, 2025 253   @ Mount St. Mary's L 67-72 32%    
  Feb 28, 2025 198   @ Merrimack L 60-69 21%    
  Mar 06, 2025 350   Canisius W 73-65 76%    
  Mar 08, 2025 320   Niagara W 68-64 65%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.3 0.5 0.0 4.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 3.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.9 2.2 0.1 7.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.8 3.8 0.5 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.5 1.4 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.7 3.0 0.1 11.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.3 4.4 0.6 12.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.9 4.7 1.1 0.0 12.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 2.2 4.5 3.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.8 2.5 1.8 0.6 0.0 7.9 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.4 4.9 8.2 11.2 13.7 14.5 13.9 11.1 8.2 5.6 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 94.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 91.3% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 54.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 30.8% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 7.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 31.5% 31.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.5% 19.4% 19.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
14-6 1.4% 15.5% 15.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.2
13-7 3.0% 13.1% 13.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.6
12-8 5.6% 10.2% 10.2% 15.9 0.1 0.5 5.1
11-9 8.2% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5 7.7
10-10 11.1% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5 10.6
9-11 13.9% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.4 13.5
8-12 14.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 14.3
7-13 13.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.5
6-14 11.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.2
5-15 8.2% 8.2
4-16 4.9% 4.9
3-17 2.4% 2.4
2-18 0.9% 0.9
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.7 96.9 0.0%