Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#240
Expected Predictive Rating+5.4#103
Pace69.4#172
Improvement+0.9#88

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#247
First Shot-5.3#312
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#49
Layup/Dunks-4.6#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#30
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#324
Freethrows+1.2#132
Improvement+0.0#171

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#226
First Shot-2.6#260
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#122
Layups/Dunks-3.7#294
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#239
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#195
Freethrows+2.2#76
Improvement+0.8#70
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.9% 12.3% 8.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 62.5% 76.8% 53.9%
.500 or above in Conference 71.1% 78.7% 66.5%
Conference Champion 10.6% 14.0% 8.6%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 1.1% 2.7%
First Four1.4% 1.0% 1.5%
First Round9.2% 11.7% 7.6%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bucknell (Away) - 37.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 9
Quad 415 - 717 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 28   @ UCLA L 50-85 4%     0 - 1 -18.9 -7.9 -14.1
  Nov 06, 2024 298   @ San Diego W 68-67 51%     1 - 1 -3.3 -5.8 +2.5
  Nov 09, 2024 363   @ Coppin St. W 64-53 87%     2 - 1 -5.0 -11.1 +6.4
  Nov 12, 2024 313   @ Navy W 90-79 56%     3 - 1 +5.6 +15.2 -9.4
  Nov 19, 2024 41   @ Iowa L 58-83 5%     3 - 2 -10.7 -11.4 +1.4
  Nov 23, 2024 233   @ Bucknell L 69-72 37%    
  Nov 27, 2024 69   @ Villanova L 63-78 8%    
  Nov 30, 2024 213   Delaware W 75-73 56%    
  Dec 04, 2024 274   @ Fairfield L 70-71 46%    
  Dec 06, 2024 224   Quinnipiac W 75-73 58%    
  Dec 14, 2024 285   Stony Brook W 74-69 69%    
  Dec 20, 2024 268   @ Penn L 72-73 44%    
  Dec 22, 2024 52   @ North Carolina St. L 65-81 7%    
  Jan 05, 2025 328   Manhattan W 77-68 78%    
  Jan 10, 2025 351   @ Canisius W 75-69 71%    
  Jan 12, 2025 327   @ Niagara W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 16, 2025 260   Mount St. Mary's W 74-70 65%    
  Jan 18, 2025 234   @ Marist L 68-71 38%    
  Jan 23, 2025 217   Iona W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 25, 2025 224   @ Quinnipiac L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 31, 2025 178   St. Peter's L 65-66 50%    
  Feb 02, 2025 230   Merrimack W 68-66 58%    
  Feb 06, 2025 331   @ Sacred Heart W 77-74 62%    
  Feb 08, 2025 306   Siena W 71-64 73%    
  Feb 14, 2025 217   @ Iona L 69-73 36%    
  Feb 16, 2025 178   @ St. Peter's L 62-68 30%    
  Feb 21, 2025 274   Fairfield W 73-68 66%    
  Feb 23, 2025 260   @ Mount St. Mary's L 71-73 44%    
  Feb 28, 2025 230   @ Merrimack L 65-69 38%    
  Mar 06, 2025 351   Canisius W 78-66 85%    
  Mar 08, 2025 327   Niagara W 76-68 76%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.6 3.0 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 10.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.9 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 10.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.6 3.2 0.9 0.1 11.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.9 4.8 3.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 4.7 3.7 0.9 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 4.0 4.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 10.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.1 4.2 1.2 0.1 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.7 1.5 0.1 7.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.9 1.5 0.2 0.0 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.1 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.3 5.3 7.4 9.5 11.3 12.3 12.0 11.1 9.0 6.9 4.4 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
18-2 97.4% 1.0    1.0 0.1
17-3 88.3% 2.2    1.8 0.5 0.0 0.0
16-4 68.7% 3.0    1.8 1.0 0.1 0.0
15-5 38.4% 2.6    1.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 12.3% 1.1    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.6% 10.6 6.3 3.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 29.6% 29.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.4% 42.5% 42.5% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-2 1.0% 38.7% 38.7% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6
17-3 2.5% 33.2% 33.2% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.7
16-4 4.4% 28.6% 28.6% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 3.1
15-5 6.9% 22.9% 22.9% 14.7 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.2 5.3
14-6 9.0% 17.3% 17.3% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 7.5
13-7 11.1% 12.7% 12.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.5 9.7
12-8 12.0% 10.0% 10.0% 15.5 0.1 0.4 0.7 10.8
11-9 12.3% 5.8% 5.8% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 11.6
10-10 11.3% 3.4% 3.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 10.9
9-11 9.5% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 9.2
8-12 7.4% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 7.3
7-13 5.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 5.2
6-14 3.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.2
5-15 1.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.9
4-16 1.0% 1.0
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 9.9% 9.9% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.1 3.8 3.2 90.1 0.0%