Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#288
Expected Predictive Rating-5.0#253
Pace67.6#236
Improvement+0.7#108

Offense
Total Offense-4.8#308
First Shot-2.9#259
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#281
Layup/Dunks-0.6#201
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#200
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#288
Freethrows+1.7#95
Improvement-1.1#320

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#226
First Shot-2.6#267
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#116
Layups/Dunks-2.5#260
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#271
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#148
Freethrows+0.2#174
Improvement+1.8#19
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 3.8% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 32.3% 51.8% 27.3%
.500 or above in Conference 33.8% 44.9% 31.0%
Conference Champion 2.0% 3.2% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 8.2% 5.3% 8.9%
First Four0.9% 0.8% 0.9%
First Round2.1% 3.3% 1.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cornell (Away) - 20.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 82 - 10
Quad 411 - 713 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 56   @ West Virginia L 59-87 5%     0 - 1 -15.9 -8.3 -7.1
  Nov 07, 2024 216   @ Delaware L 77-81 26%     0 - 2 -3.7 -1.2 -2.2
  Nov 14, 2024 343   Stonehill W 63-51 80%     1 - 2 -3.3 -13.0 +10.1
  Nov 15, 2024 355   Lindenwood W 67-53 84%     2 - 2 -2.9 -6.9 +5.6
  Nov 17, 2024 357   New Orleans W 73-62 84%     3 - 2 -6.2 -10.9 +4.2
  Nov 21, 2024 170   @ Cornell L 72-81 20%    
  Nov 27, 2024 351   Canisius W 75-65 82%    
  Nov 30, 2024 158   @ Ohio L 68-78 19%    
  Dec 04, 2024 192   Youngstown St. L 69-71 42%    
  Dec 08, 2024 139   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 69-80 16%    
  Dec 17, 2024 129   Towson L 61-67 31%    
  Dec 29, 2024 203   Northern Kentucky L 66-67 45%    
  Jan 02, 2025 328   @ Detroit Mercy W 69-68 50%    
  Jan 04, 2025 178   @ Oakland L 63-71 22%    
  Jan 08, 2025 222   Cleveland St. L 68-69 48%    
  Jan 12, 2025 184   Wright St. L 75-77 42%    
  Jan 17, 2025 251   @ Green Bay L 70-75 34%    
  Jan 19, 2025 212   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 70-77 27%    
  Jan 22, 2025 192   @ Youngstown St. L 66-74 24%    
  Jan 25, 2025 178   Oakland L 66-68 41%    
  Jan 30, 2025 361   IU Indianapolis W 74-63 84%    
  Feb 02, 2025 184   @ Wright St. L 72-80 24%    
  Feb 05, 2025 328   Detroit Mercy W 72-66 71%    
  Feb 08, 2025 203   @ Northern Kentucky L 63-70 26%    
  Feb 12, 2025 222   @ Cleveland St. L 65-72 28%    
  Feb 15, 2025 139   Purdue Fort Wayne L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 21, 2025 251   Green Bay W 73-72 54%    
  Feb 23, 2025 212   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 27, 2025 361   @ IU Indianapolis W 71-66 68%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 8 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.4 2.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 6.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.0 3.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.5 1.7 0.1 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.0 5.2 1.9 0.2 12.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.8 5.7 2.5 0.3 15.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 3.2 5.7 5.1 2.1 0.2 0.0 17.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.5 4.4 2.9 0.9 0.1 13.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.4 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.7 11th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.1 5.7 8.3 10.7 12.1 12.6 11.9 10.3 8.4 6.1 4.1 2.5 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 93.5% 0.3    0.2 0.0 0.0
16-4 71.5% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 43.6% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 18.5% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 36.8% 36.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.3% 17.8% 17.8% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.6% 19.6% 19.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
15-5 1.4% 16.7% 16.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
14-6 2.5% 10.9% 10.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.2
13-7 4.1% 9.2% 9.2% 15.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 3.8
12-8 6.1% 6.9% 6.9% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 5.7
11-9 8.4% 4.7% 4.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 8.0
10-10 10.3% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.3 10.0
9-11 11.9% 1.5% 1.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 11.7
8-12 12.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.6
7-13 12.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.0
6-14 10.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.6
5-15 8.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.3
4-16 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.7
3-17 3.1% 3.1
2-18 1.5% 1.5
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.5 97.4 0.0%