San Diego
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#298
Expected Predictive Rating-13.0#324
Pace76.0#44
Improvement-1.1#301

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#328
First Shot-7.1#348
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#94
Layup/Dunks-3.3#285
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.1#332
Freethrows+0.4#161
Improvement-0.2#213

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#233
First Shot-0.2#186
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#272
Layups/Dunks+2.7#98
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#123
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#318
Freethrows+0.8#139
Improvement-0.8#289
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.0 12.0 n/a
.500 or above 1.3% 2.4% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 4.2% 5.9% 3.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 35.7% 30.0% 39.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Utah (Home) - 42.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 51 - 9
Quad 32 - 62 - 16
Quad 46 - 78 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 240   Rider L 67-68 49%     0 - 1 -7.9 -9.5 +1.6
  Nov 08, 2024 284   Boston University W 74-60 58%     1 - 1 +4.7 +6.2 +0.2
  Nov 12, 2024 218   Portland St. L 76-85 45%     1 - 2 -14.9 -13.7 +0.6
  Nov 16, 2024 236   Idaho St. L 66-78 48%     1 - 3 -18.7 -13.0 -4.7
  Nov 22, 2024 205   Southern Utah L 76-78 42%    
  Nov 24, 2024 287   Idaho W 74-72 59%    
  Dec 03, 2024 53   @ Arizona St. L 64-84 3%    
  Dec 07, 2024 62   @ San Diego St. L 59-78 4%    
  Dec 10, 2024 259   Long Beach St. W 74-73 53%    
  Dec 14, 2024 253   @ Fresno St. L 73-79 31%    
  Dec 21, 2024 158   UC San Diego L 70-74 35%    
  Dec 28, 2024 89   Grand Canyon L 69-82 12%    
  Dec 30, 2024 291   Pacific W 75-72 59%    
  Jan 02, 2025 99   Santa Clara L 72-81 19%    
  Jan 04, 2025 98   @ Oregon St. L 61-77 9%    
  Jan 08, 2025 1   @ Gonzaga L 64-96 0.2%   
  Jan 11, 2025 44   St. Mary's L 63-78 9%    
  Jan 16, 2025 80   Washington St. L 70-81 16%    
  Jan 18, 2025 152   @ Loyola Marymount L 65-76 18%    
  Jan 23, 2025 289   @ Portland L 71-75 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 59   @ San Francisco L 64-83 4%    
  Jan 30, 2025 238   Pepperdine L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 01, 2025 152   Loyola Marymount L 68-73 35%    
  Feb 06, 2025 291   @ Pacific L 72-75 38%    
  Feb 08, 2025 99   @ Santa Clara L 69-84 9%    
  Feb 13, 2025 238   @ Pepperdine L 71-78 29%    
  Feb 15, 2025 59   San Francisco L 67-80 12%    
  Feb 22, 2025 98   Oregon St. L 64-74 21%    
  Feb 27, 2025 80   @ Washington St. L 67-84 7%    
  Mar 01, 2025 289   Portland W 74-72 58%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 2.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 1.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.6 3.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 5.2 6.5 2.6 0.4 0.0 15.7 8th
9th 0.1 2.2 8.1 7.5 2.5 0.2 20.6 9th
10th 0.4 4.3 9.9 7.3 1.7 0.1 23.8 10th
11th 2.5 7.0 8.7 4.8 0.8 0.0 23.8 11th
Total 2.5 7.4 13.0 16.9 17.3 14.9 11.7 7.7 4.4 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 0.0%
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.2% 1.4% 1.4% 12.0 0.0 0.2
11-7 0.5% 0.5
10-8 1.1% 1.1
9-9 2.4% 2.4
8-10 4.4% 4.4
7-11 7.7% 7.7
6-12 11.7% 11.7
5-13 14.9% 14.9
4-14 17.3% 17.3
3-15 16.9% 16.9
2-16 13.0% 13.0
1-17 7.4% 7.4
0-18 2.5% 2.5
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%