Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.0#306
Expected Predictive Rating+3.4#130
Pace64.4#314
Improvement-1.0#298

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#324
First Shot-5.6#320
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#172
Layup/Dunks-5.8#328
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#224
Freethrows-0.3#199
Improvement-0.8#305

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#255
First Shot-0.9#207
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#274
Layups/Dunks-3.4#288
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#35
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#100
Freethrows-2.4#306
Improvement-0.2#219
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 5.8% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 14.7 15.5
.500 or above 37.1% 66.6% 36.5%
.500 or above in Conference 42.8% 62.1% 42.5%
Conference Champion 3.0% 8.2% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 9.3% 3.0% 9.4%
First Four1.0% 0.1% 1.0%
First Round2.4% 5.8% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Xavier (Away) - 1.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 62 - 7
Quad 412 - 1014 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 221   Brown W 72-71 OT 42%     1 - 0 -5.0 -5.5 +0.5
  Nov 08, 2024 159   @ Bryant W 90-88 OT 15%     2 - 0 +5.0 +4.7 +0.0
  Nov 12, 2024 265   American W 74-66 51%     3 - 0 -0.2 +8.2 -7.0
  Nov 16, 2024 248   @ Albany L 60-70 26%     3 - 1 -11.3 -10.5 -1.3
  Nov 20, 2024 36   @ Xavier L 60-83 2%    
  Nov 25, 2024 228   Miami (OH) L 65-70 33%    
  Nov 30, 2024 233   Bucknell L 65-69 34%    
  Dec 06, 2024 327   @ Niagara L 67-69 44%    
  Dec 08, 2024 351   @ Canisius W 69-67 57%    
  Dec 17, 2024 114   St. Bonaventure L 61-70 22%    
  Dec 20, 2024 318   Holy Cross W 71-67 63%    
  Dec 30, 2024 167   @ Cornell L 70-80 17%    
  Jan 03, 2025 328   Manhattan W 71-66 66%    
  Jan 05, 2025 217   Iona L 66-68 42%    
  Jan 10, 2025 224   @ Quinnipiac L 66-74 24%    
  Jan 16, 2025 331   Sacred Heart W 74-69 69%    
  Jan 18, 2025 230   @ Merrimack L 59-67 25%    
  Jan 23, 2025 260   Mount St. Mary's W 68-67 51%    
  Jan 25, 2025 217   @ Iona L 63-71 24%    
  Jan 31, 2025 234   @ Marist L 62-69 26%    
  Feb 02, 2025 224   Quinnipiac L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 06, 2025 178   St. Peter's L 60-64 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 240   @ Rider L 64-71 27%    
  Feb 14, 2025 234   Marist L 65-66 46%    
  Feb 16, 2025 331   @ Sacred Heart L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 21, 2025 327   Niagara W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 23, 2025 351   Canisius W 72-64 75%    
  Mar 02, 2025 260   @ Mount St. Mary's L 65-71 31%    
  Mar 06, 2025 274   Fairfield W 67-66 53%    
  Mar 08, 2025 328   @ Manhattan L 68-69 45%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.3 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.9 1.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 6.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.5 2.5 0.5 0.0 7.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.7 3.5 0.7 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.6 4.1 1.0 0.1 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.3 4.9 1.7 0.1 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.7 2.3 0.4 0.0 9.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 2.8 1.6 0.4 0.0 7.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.5 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.5 13th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 4.3 6.3 8.6 10.6 11.7 11.9 11.0 9.6 7.6 5.8 4.1 2.5 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 94.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 88.2% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
16-4 60.1% 0.8    0.5 0.2 0.1
15-5 34.0% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 11.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 33.3% 33.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 27.1% 27.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.6% 21.1% 21.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-4 1.3% 15.9% 15.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.1
15-5 2.5% 15.6% 15.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.1
14-6 4.1% 10.8% 10.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 3.6
13-7 5.8% 8.9% 8.9% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 5.3
12-8 7.6% 5.7% 5.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 7.2
11-9 9.6% 3.1% 3.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.3
10-10 11.0% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.8
9-11 11.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.7
8-12 11.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 11.6
7-13 10.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.6
6-14 8.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.6
5-15 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.3
4-16 4.3% 4.3
3-17 2.2% 2.2
2-18 1.0% 1.0
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.8 97.0 0.0%