Washington
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#84
Expected Predictive Rating+7.7#78
Pace76.1#42
Improvement-0.3#221

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#125
First Shot-3.8#285
After Offensive Rebound+5.5#9
Layup/Dunks+0.4#165
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#294
Freethrows-1.6#259
Improvement+0.0#182

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#48
First Shot+7.4#14
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#305
Layups/Dunks+2.3#112
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#288
3 Pt Jumpshots+8.4#12
Freethrows-1.5#261
Improvement-0.3#234
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 3.3% 3.4% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.1% 17.3% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.4% 16.6% 4.1%
Average Seed 8.4 8.4 9.0
.500 or above 42.7% 43.1% 15.9%
.500 or above in Conference 22.5% 22.7% 8.8%
Conference Champion 0.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 20.8% 20.5% 39.0%
First Four3.3% 3.3% 1.2%
First Round15.3% 15.5% 4.2%
Second Round7.6% 7.6% 2.2%
Sweet Sixteen2.3% 2.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alcorn St. (Home) - 98.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 10
Quad 24 - 46 - 14
Quad 33 - 110 - 15
Quad 44 - 014 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 169   UC Davis W 79-73 84%     1 - 0 +2.4 -5.3 +6.8
  Nov 09, 2024 39   @ Nevada L 53-63 23%     1 - 1 +4.4 -9.0 +12.7
  Nov 17, 2024 154   Umass Lowell W 74-69 82%     2 - 1 +2.2 -1.2 +3.4
  Nov 22, 2024 350   Alcorn St. W 83-60 99%    
  Nov 28, 2024 102   Colorado St. W 72-70 57%    
  Dec 03, 2024 28   @ UCLA L 64-73 20%    
  Dec 07, 2024 78   USC W 77-74 59%    
  Dec 10, 2024 245   Eastern Washington W 87-73 90%    
  Dec 18, 2024 80   Washington St. W 78-75 60%    
  Dec 23, 2024 136   Seattle W 77-69 77%    
  Dec 29, 2024 360   NJIT W 81-57 99%    
  Jan 02, 2025 30   Maryland L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 05, 2025 26   Illinois L 76-80 37%    
  Jan 09, 2025 35   @ Michigan St. L 69-77 24%    
  Jan 12, 2025 24   @ Michigan L 70-80 19%    
  Jan 15, 2025 19   Purdue L 73-77 36%    
  Jan 21, 2025 40   @ Oregon L 69-77 26%    
  Jan 24, 2025 28   UCLA L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 90   @ Minnesota L 66-68 43%    
  Feb 05, 2025 65   Nebraska W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 08, 2025 74   Northwestern W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 12, 2025 20   @ Ohio St. L 66-76 19%    
  Feb 15, 2025 32   @ Penn St. L 75-84 22%    
  Feb 19, 2025 42   Rutgers L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 22, 2025 41   @ Iowa L 77-84 26%    
  Feb 25, 2025 38   @ Wisconsin L 71-79 25%    
  Mar 01, 2025 22   Indiana L 74-78 36%    
  Mar 05, 2025 78   @ USC L 74-77 38%    
  Mar 09, 2025 40   Oregon L 72-74 45%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.7 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.6 0.0 2.3 5th
6th 0.2 1.4 1.2 0.1 2.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 1.8 0.4 0.0 3.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.1 1.3 0.1 3.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 2.5 0.5 0.0 4.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.9 1.5 0.1 5.0 10th
11th 0.2 1.9 2.9 0.5 0.0 5.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.0 3.6 1.7 0.1 6.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.1 0.4 0.0 7.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.2 1.3 0.0 8.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.5 2.6 0.3 9.6 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.2 3.6 0.8 0.0 10.8 16th
17th 0.1 0.6 2.3 4.3 3.7 1.1 0.1 12.1 17th
18th 0.4 1.7 3.3 4.1 2.9 0.9 0.1 13.5 18th
Total 0.4 1.8 3.9 6.7 9.3 11.1 12.2 11.8 10.8 9.5 7.6 5.6 3.9 2.7 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 89.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 61.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 34.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 34.6% 65.4% 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 29.8% 70.2% 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.4% 100.0% 12.7% 87.3% 3.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.8% 99.7% 10.9% 88.7% 5.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
14-6 1.4% 99.5% 10.5% 89.0% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.4%
13-7 2.7% 95.6% 6.8% 88.8% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1 95.2%
12-8 3.9% 86.4% 3.5% 82.8% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.5 85.9%
11-9 5.6% 65.7% 1.4% 64.3% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.1 1.9 65.2%
10-10 7.6% 41.3% 1.1% 40.3% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 0.1 4.5 40.7%
9-11 9.5% 14.0% 0.6% 13.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.1 8.1 13.5%
8-12 10.8% 2.7% 0.1% 2.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 10.5 2.6%
7-13 11.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.8 0.1%
6-14 12.2% 12.2
5-15 11.1% 11.1
4-16 9.3% 9.3
3-17 6.7% 6.7
2-18 3.9% 3.9
1-19 1.8% 1.8
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 17.1% 0.9% 16.2% 8.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.6 2.8 2.9 3.3 0.4 82.9 16.4%