Charlotte
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -0.5 168
Expected Predictive Rating +0.7 150
Pace 61.6 346
Improvement -0.6 209

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ #113 B C D+ B- B-
Defense C- #262 C C- D+ C- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 167 62% 80 +1.9 109
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 309 37% 220 -2.7 304
Three Pointers 47% 58 36% 76 +4.8 38
1st FG Attempt 1.10 66 +4.1 65
Second Chance 34.1% 82 0.92 315 0.31 167
Turnovers 18.7% 294
Freethrows 0.34 63 71% 215 0.25 94
Total Offense +2.2 113

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 210 59% 216 +0.1 178
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 164 38% 185 -0.2 203
Three Pointers 41% 164 34% 165 +0.0 180
1st FG Attempt 1.02 182 -0.1 182
Second Chance 29.9% 153 1.13 316 0.34 249
Turnovers 14.9% 301
Freethrows 0.33 253 70% 78 0.23 225
Total Defense -2.8 262

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.8 69 -0.1 147
Shot Type Accuracy +3.1 79 +0.3 193
Possession Length 18.5 302 18.0 298
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 207 0.16 145
Improvement -0.1 #185 -0.5 #218

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 2% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.7 14.3
.500 or above 59% 62% 28%
.500 or above in Conference 94% 96% 74%
Conference Champion 2% 3% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round2% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Home) - 92.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 34 - 65 - 15
Quad 411 - 116 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 197 Indiana St. W 92 - 76 68% +9  87% 1 - 0 B +11 A+ +16 A- A+ A- D+ -5 C C- F+
 Fri, Nov 7 320 Tennessee Tech W 70 - 65 87% +10  96% 2 - 0 D -8 D- -8 B- A- F C +0 C- F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 111 Davidson L 55 - 62 45% -8  1% 2 - 1 D+ -6 F+ -9 F+ D- C+ C+ +1 D+ A B-
 Sun, Nov 16 55 @Virginia Tech L 76 - 84 11% -8  0% 2 - 2 B- +5 A +12 B- B+ A+ D -7 A+ D+ F
 Fri, Nov 21 161 @Appalachian St. L 63 - 65 38% +2  67% 2 - 3 C +1 B +6 D+ A D- D -6 D- D- C
 Thu, Nov 27 94 Illinois St. L 69 - 79 29% -8  1% 2 - 4 C- -5 C+ +2 A+ F F D -7 C- D F
 Fri, Nov 28 128 Richmond L 66 - 71 40% -8  0% 2 - 5 C- -3 D -6 C F B+ C+ +2 C C B-
 Tue, Dec 2 286 N.C. A&T W 74 - 57 82% +17  98% 3 - 5 B- +7 C- -1 A B F A- +9 A B C+
 Sun, Dec 7 35 Utah St. L 53 - 79 14% -11  24% 3 - 6 F+ -15 F -14 F A+ F C- -3 C+ A+ F
 Sun, Dec 14 156 @College of Charleston L 67 - 74 37% -3  25% 3 - 7 C- -4 D -5 C F D C +0 D- D+ C+
 Thu, Dec 18 319 Lafayette W 81 - 67 87% +11  96% 4 - 7 C +1 A+ +16 A+ C- B+ F -13 D F D+
 Sun, Dec 21 137 Illinois-Chicago W 88 - 76 OT 54% -2  33% 5 - 7 B +10 A +12 B D- B C- -2 D- A+ C
 Tue, Dec 30 148 Temple L 73 - 76 57% -5  8% 5 - 8 0 - 1 D+ -5 D+ -3 D+ C C- C- -2 F B- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 96 Wichita St. W 104 - 100 2OT 39% -4  23% 6 - 8 1 - 1 B- +6 A+ +24 B A+ A F -18 D- F C
 Wed, Jan 7 350 @Texas San Antonio W 74 - 58 81% +9  86% 7 - 8 2 - 1 B- +6 C +0 D+ C D+ B+ +7 B C F
 Sun, Jan 11 220 @Rice W 74 - 73 48% +5  79% 8 - 8 3 - 1 C +1 C+ +3 A+ F F C- -2 B- B+ D
 Wed, Jan 14 70 Tulsa L 74 - 86 30% -8  4% 8 - 9 3 - 2 D+ -7 C +1 A- F A- D- -9 F+ A B-
 Sun, Jan 18 252 @East Carolina W 73 - 70 56% +7  87% 9 - 9 4 - 2 C +1 C+ +3 A+ C F C -2 C- C+ F
 Fri, Jan 23 174 Tulane W 73 - 70 63% +5  71% 10 - 9 5 - 2 C -1 C- -2 A B- F C+ +1 C A- D+
 Wed, Jan 28 148 @Temple W 80 - 76 OT 34% -2  26% 11 - 9 6 - 2 B- +8 A+ +21 A A+ B- F -13 C+ F D-
 Fri, Jan 30 220 Rice W 80 - 70 70% +6  88% 12 - 9 7 - 2 C+ +4 A +12 A+ D+ D D -6 A+ F D+
 Wed, Feb 4 96 @Wichita St. L 64 - 74 20% -5  8% 12 - 10 7 - 3 C- -2 D+ -3 B- F F C+ +1 F+ A+ F
 Sun, Feb 8 86 @Memphis L 54 - 77 18% -15  0% 12 - 11 7 - 4 D- -14 F -12 F+ C- D C -2 B+ F F
 Sun, Feb 15 350 Texas San Antonio W 81 - 66 93%
 Wed, Feb 18 70 @Tulsa L 71 - 82 14%
 Sat, Feb 21 252 East Carolina W 76 - 68 76%
 Wed, Feb 25 144 North Texas W 66 - 65 56%
 Sun, Mar 1 114 @Florida Atlantic L 71 - 78 26%
 Wed, Mar 4 118 UAB L 74 - 75 48%
 Sun, Mar 8 62 @South Florida L 71 - 83 13%
Totals 15 - 15 10 - 8 -1 C+ +2 B C D+ C- -3 C C- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ B- C- B- B- 39% 14% 47% B- B B- D C D+ B C- B- C- C- C C C 38% 21% 41% C C C D C- D+ C- B- C-
1.12 62% 37% 36% +3 +1 1.10 34% 0.9 .31 19% .34 71% .25 1.13 59% 38% 34% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.1 .34 15% .33 70% .24
Nov
3		 Indiana St. A+ B F A+ B+ 51% 12% 37% A A- A+ C+ A+ A- A+ F+ A+ D+ D+ C- B C 44% 10% 46% C+ C C+ F C- F+ F D+ F
1.33 62% 0% 47% +5 +2 1.16 53% 1.0 .53 12% .49 67% .33 1.10 65% 40% 29% 0 +2 1.06 23% 1.3 .29 14% .36 71% .25
Nov
7		 Tennessee Tech D- C+ F A+ B 33% 25% 43% D B- B A- A- F A+ D- A C C+ A+ D C 51% 21% 28% F+ C- D+ F F A+ F A+ D
1.07 62% 30% 47% +8 -1 1.15 37% 1.4 .52 29% .43 70% .30 0.99 55% 25% 36% -3 +1 0.97 32% 1.7 .55 26% .51 48% .25
Nov
11		 Davidson F+ D- F D F 40% 16% 44% A- F+ A F D- C+ A+ F B C+ B+ F F D 29% 21% 50% B- D+ A+ C+ A B- B- C B-
0.95 50% 14% 30% -9 +1 0.84 39% 0.5 .20 17% .42 55% .23 1.07 50% 56% 43% +8 -1 1.17 20% 1.0 .20 19% .25 67% .17
Nov
16		 Virginia Tech A D+ A C B 31% 29% 40% D B- A+ D+ B+ A+ A+ F A+ D C- A+ C- A+ 23% 23% 53% A- A+ F+ B- D+ F F F F
1.15 53% 50% 32% +1 -2 1.00 43% 0.9 .40 12% .41 63% .26 1.27 64% 0% 36% -6 -1 0.87 39% 1.1 .41 9% .60 83% .50
Nov
21		 Appalachian St. B C- F F D 49% 9% 42% A D+ A+ C+ A D- D F+ D- D C+ D- D- F+ 35% 18% 48% C+ D- C F D- C F D+ F
1.11 55% 25% 26% -8 +2 0.91 42% 1.0 .42 18% .24 64% .15 1.15 57% 43% 37% +3 0 1.08 30% 1.2 .37 16% .48 65% .32
Nov
27		 Illinois St. C+ B F+ A+ A+ 36% 25% 39% C+ A+ B- F F F A+ F B+ D B- F C- C- 41% 15% 43% F+ C- D+ D D F F C+ F
1.05 63% 27% 53% +10 -1 1.20 29% 0.3 .09 21% .44 61% .27 1.20 58% 57% 35% +4 +1 1.11 30% 1.2 .37 11% .53 68% .36
Nov
28		 Richmond D A+ C+ F C- 33% 11% 56% A C F D- F B+ A+ D A C+ C C+ D+ C+ 36% 19% 45% F C D+ B C B- F A+ F
1.00 73% 40% 24% -3 +1 0.98 18% 1.0 .18 14% .42 67% .28 1.08 60% 38% 37% +3 0 1.07 29% 0.9 .26 17% .62 59% .37
Dec
2		 N.C. A&T C- A+ F A+ A 41% 11% 48% B A B B B F B C- B- A- B C- A+ A+ 34% 24% 41% D+ A A- D B C+ F A+ F
1.13 72% 20% 43% +10 +1 1.25 31% 1.1 .35 20% .36 68% .25 0.87 50% 40% 18% -12 -1 0.76 23% 1.1 .27 20% .55 66% .36
Dec
7		 Utah St. F D+ F F F 20% 20% 60% D+ F A- A+ A+ F A+ F C+ C- F A+ A+ B- 48% 10% 42% D+ C+ A A+ A+ F C F D-
0.82 50% 25% 21% -16 -1 0.68 39% 1.3 .50 29% .44 55% .24 1.22 79% 20% 24% +2 +2 1.10 30% 0.9 .27 9% .32 84% .27
Dec
14		 College of Charleston D A+ C+ F C- 28% 16% 56% B- C D+ F F D C+ A+ B+ C F+ F+ B- F+ 40% 26% 34% C+ D- B F D+ C+ A- A+ A+
0.98 79% 38% 25% -2 0 0.98 27% 0.7 .18 16% .25 86% .21 1.09 70% 46% 29% +5 -1 1.10 26% 1.4 .35 18% .29 63% .18
Dec
18		 Lafayette A+ D D A+ A+ 27% 13% 60% B- A+ D- A- C- B+ F A+ F+ F F A+ F+ F+ 29% 20% 51% A- D F D- F D+ A+ A+ A+
1.37 54% 33% 55% +18 0 1.38 26% 1.3 .33 12% .17 89% .15 1.13 67% 10% 38% +1 -1 1.02 35% 1.0 .35 15% .08 50% .04
Dec
21		 Illinois-Chicago A C- D+ B+ B- 45% 12% 43% B+ B A F D- B A+ A+ A+ C- A+ F F D- 42% 19% 38% D+ D- C- A+ A+ C D+ B+ C
1.23 55% 33% 38% +1 +2 1.06 47% 0.6 .26 18% .60 86% .51 1.07 41% 50% 45% +1 0 1.06 37% 0.6 .23 18% .36 67% .24
Dec
30		 Temple D+ B- F F D 51% 15% 34% B+ D+ C- B- C C- A+ A+ A+ C- D+ B F F+ 54% 19% 27% F+ F A+ F B- C+ D A+ B-
1.08 63% 29% 25% -4 +2 0.98 28% 1.1 .31 16% .49 86% .42 1.12 62% 33% 46% +6 +1 1.17 18% 1.4 .25 15% .41 63% .26
Jan
3		 Wichita St. A+ D- A+ B B 39% 16% 45% A- B A+ A+ A+ A A+ A- A+ F F+ A- D F+ 42% 18% 40% C- D- F F F C D+ F F
1.39 50% 56% 36% +1 +1 1.05 45% 1.4 .63 12% .58 76% .44 1.34 65% 30% 36% +3 +1 1.09 56% 1.3 .73 15% .35 82% .28
Jan
7		 Texas San Antonio C A- D F D- 39% 6% 55% B D+ B D C D+ C+ F+ C- B+ A+ F B- B+ 37% 12% 52% D- B A+ F C F B A+ A-
1.15 68% 33% 26% -3 +2 1.00 42% 1.0 .42 17% .28 67% .19 0.90 32% 50% 30% -12 +1 0.81 20% 1.3 .25 12% .21 58% .12
Jan
11		 Rice C+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 31% 21% 49% B- A+ D- F F F A+ F A C- D B- C+ C+ 18% 41% 41% A+ B- F+ A+ B+ D F F F
1.15 83% 38% 47% +18 -1 1.36 27% 0.6 .17 20% .52 59% .31 1.13 63% 33% 33% -1 -4 0.91 43% 0.6 .26 15% .55 80% .44
Jan
14		 Tulsa C C+ A+ C+ B+ 46% 14% 40% B+ A- F F F A- C+ A+ A- D- C+ F F F+ 56% 8% 35% D- F+ F A+ A B- D- D+ F+
1.11 61% 57% 35% +5 +1 1.14 17% 0.4 .07 12% .29 88% .26 1.29 56% 50% 53% +10 +3 1.27 39% 0.7 .29 16% .39 82% .32
Jan
18		 East Carolina C+ C- A+ A+ A 51% 5% 44% A+ A+ C C C F C A+ B C C+ C+ B C- 44% 31% 25% B- C- A+ F C+ F B B B+
1.11 55% 100% 47% +10 +3 1.28 30% 1.2 .35 27% .27 85% .23 1.06 54% 35% 29% -5 -1 0.91 23% 1.3 .30 8% .30 67% .20
Jan
23		 Tulane C- A+ F C+ A- 45% 9% 45% A A B- C B- F B- B- B C+ D F A+ C 36% 23% 40% B- C A+ F A- D+ D+ F+ D-
1.07 80% 0% 35% +7 +2 1.20 37% 1.0 .37 25% .35 72% .26 1.03 65% 55% 21% -1 -1 0.98 7% 2.0 .14 13% .41 83% .34
Jan
28		 Temple A+ A F A+ A 39% 14% 48% B- A A+ C A+ B- A+ D A+ F F F A+ C- 27% 24% 49% A- C+ F F F D- F F F
1.38 71% 17% 43% +8 +1 1.20 52% 1.1 .55 14% .56 68% .38 1.31 73% 50% 25% 0 -1 1.00 37% 1.2 .44 10% .56 93% .52
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Rice A C+ A A+ A+ 28% 33% 38% D A+ B F D+ D A+ C+ A+ D B B- A+ A+ 8% 38% 54% A+ A+ F F F D+ F D F
1.31 64% 46% 53% +16 -2 1.28 38% 0.7 .28 18% .64 75% .48 1.15 50% 33% 23% -11 -4 0.71 54% 1.3 .71 16% .41 71% .29
Feb
4		 Wichita St. D+ D+ B B+ B 35% 33% 33% D+ B- C F F F C- C+ C C+ D F C F+ 43% 20% 37% C F+ A+ B+ A+ F F A+ C+
0.96 53% 44% 38% +2 -2 1.02 28% 0.4 .11 23% .27 71% .19 1.11 62% 50% 33% +4 0 1.10 29% 0.9 .26 9% .40 50% .20
Feb
8		 Memphis F D+ A+ F D- 22% 22% 56% D F+ F A+ C- D F F F C C- A- A- B+ 34% 32% 34% A B+ B F F F C- C- C-
0.78 55% 55% 18% -11 -1 0.78 22% 1.3 .27 23% .17 56% .09 1.11 61% 29% 28% -5 -2 0.89 33% 1.8 .61 14% .30 72% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 1.4 0.2 2.3 1st
2nd 0.6 4.6 0.8 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 6.9 5.1 0.1 12.3 3rd
4th 3.5 12.8 0.8 17.1 4th
5th 0.4 12.4 5.8 0.0 18.6 5th
6th 3.2 12.8 0.6 16.6 6th
7th 0.3 9.8 4.3 0.0 14.4 7th
8th 2.5 6.5 0.2 9.2 8th
9th 0.1 2.3 0.5 2.9 9th
10th 0.2 0.4 0.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.3 5.5 20.4 33.4 26.7 11.2 2.3 0.2 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-5 62.7% 1.4    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0
12-6 6.1% 0.7    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.2% 0.0 0.2
13-5 2.3% 5.3% 5.3% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.2
12-6 11.2% 3.6% 3.6% 13.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 10.8
11-7 26.7% 2.5% 2.5% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 26.0
10-8 33.4% 1.2% 1.2% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 33.0
9-9 20.4% 0.5% 0.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 20.3
8-10 5.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 5.5
7-11 0.3% 0.3
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 13.7 98.3 0.0%