Albany
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.8#233
Expected Predictive Rating-4.1#235
Pace74.2#59
Improvement+0.0#180

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#186
First Shot-3.0#265
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#46
Layup/Dunks+0.9#146
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#142
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#301
Freethrows-0.5#212
Improvement+1.8#65

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#280
First Shot-3.7#296
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#140
Layups/Dunks-6.3#357
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#95
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#36
Freethrows-2.4#327
Improvement-1.8#304
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.5% 11.1% 8.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 55.9% 62.1% 37.4%
.500 or above in Conference 72.0% 74.1% 65.6%
Conference Champion 11.5% 12.4% 8.6%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 1.8% 3.2%
First Four2.4% 2.2% 2.9%
First Round9.4% 10.1% 7.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Home) - 74.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 32 - 52 - 8
Quad 413 - 815 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 312   @ Army L 59-67 56%     0 - 1 -13.5 -14.5 +0.8
  Nov 13, 2024 280   @ Dartmouth W 87-73 48%     1 - 1 +10.6 +11.9 -1.6
  Nov 16, 2024 304   Siena W 70-60 75%     2 - 1 -0.9 -3.0 +2.7
  Nov 23, 2024 222   UMKC W 67-65 48%     3 - 1 -1.4 -0.6 -0.6
  Nov 24, 2024 232   American L 77-81 50%     3 - 2 -7.7 +0.3 -8.0
  Nov 30, 2024 68   @ Georgetown L 68-100 9%     3 - 3 -21.0 -4.6 -13.6
  Dec 04, 2024 179   Columbia W 88-73 50%     4 - 3 +11.1 +6.6 +3.7
  Dec 07, 2024 257   @ Boston University L 74-80 OT 44%     4 - 4 -8.2 +0.8 -9.1
  Dec 10, 2024 100   @ Syracuse L 85-102 14%     4 - 5 -9.2 +11.6 -20.1
  Dec 14, 2024 154   Drexel L 70-77 46%     4 - 6 -9.9 -0.1 -10.1
  Dec 18, 2024 295   @ Sacred Heart W 74-66 52%     5 - 6 +3.8 -1.7 +5.4
  Dec 21, 2024 178   @ Fordham L 83-87 28%     5 - 7 -1.9 +4.4 -5.9
  Dec 29, 2024 306   Stony Brook W 80-73 75%    
  Jan 04, 2025 144   Umass Lowell L 81-82 45%    
  Jan 09, 2025 355   @ New Hampshire W 78-72 71%    
  Jan 11, 2025 217   @ Maine L 71-75 36%    
  Jan 16, 2025 185   Bryant W 85-84 51%    
  Jan 18, 2025 302   @ Binghamton W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 23, 2025 245   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 87-83 64%    
  Jan 25, 2025 352   NJIT W 77-65 86%    
  Feb 01, 2025 302   Binghamton W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 06, 2025 185   @ Bryant L 81-87 30%    
  Feb 08, 2025 220   Vermont W 69-67 59%    
  Feb 13, 2025 144   @ Umass Lowell L 78-85 25%    
  Feb 20, 2025 217   Maine W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 22, 2025 355   New Hampshire W 81-69 86%    
  Feb 27, 2025 245   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 84-86 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 352   @ NJIT W 74-68 70%    
  Mar 04, 2025 220   @ Vermont L 66-70 37%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.9 3.3 1.5 0.4 0.1 11.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.7 6.3 3.1 0.6 0.0 14.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 4.5 7.7 3.3 0.4 0.0 16.4 3rd
4th 0.5 4.6 8.1 3.1 0.2 16.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.2 7.5 3.2 0.2 15.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.7 5.9 2.7 0.2 13.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.4 1.3 0.1 8.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.9 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.7 8.2 11.9 15.5 16.4 15.0 11.8 7.3 3.9 1.5 0.4 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 97.5% 1.5    1.4 0.1
13-3 84.7% 3.3    2.3 0.9 0.1
12-4 52.8% 3.9    1.6 1.8 0.5 0.0
11-5 16.6% 2.0    0.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0
10-6 2.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 11.5% 11.5 6.1 3.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.4% 32.9% 32.9% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.5% 33.1% 33.1% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
13-3 3.9% 25.6% 25.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 2.9
12-4 7.3% 20.6% 20.6% 14.9 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.2 5.8
11-5 11.8% 16.6% 16.6% 15.2 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.7 9.8
10-6 15.0% 12.2% 12.2% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 13.2
9-7 16.4% 8.6% 8.6% 15.7 0.0 0.4 1.0 15.0
8-8 15.5% 6.6% 6.6% 15.8 0.2 0.9 14.5
7-9 11.9% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.0 0.6 11.3
6-10 8.2% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.3 7.8
5-11 4.7% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 4.6
4-12 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 2.1
3-13 0.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.8
2-14 0.2% 0.2
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.5% 10.5% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.8 4.9 89.5 0.0%