Albany
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.6#280
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#273
Pace70.4#123
Improvement-3.2#317

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#250
First Shot-5.3#319
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#46
Layup/Dunks-0.1#191
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#168
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#335
Freethrows+0.1#165
Improvement-3.0#325

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#280
First Shot-3.8#291
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#164
Layups/Dunks-6.0#355
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#92
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#43
Freethrows-2.4#334
Improvement-0.2#195
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.2% 7.0% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 10.7% 27.3% 7.6%
.500 or above in Conference 22.3% 48.7% 17.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 1.4% 7.2%
First Four3.0% 3.9% 2.9%
First Round2.7% 5.2% 2.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bryant (Away) - 15.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 412 - 1013 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 297   @ Army L 59-67 44%     0 - 1 -13.0 -13.9 +0.6
  Nov 13, 2024 257   @ Dartmouth W 87-73 36%     1 - 1 +11.0 +11.9 -1.2
  Nov 16, 2024 246   Siena W 70-60 54%     2 - 1 +2.4 -2.0 +4.9
  Nov 23, 2024 235   UMKC W 67-65 41%     3 - 1 -2.3 +0.4 -2.5
  Nov 24, 2024 233   American L 77-81 41%     3 - 2 -8.2 -0.5 -7.6
  Nov 30, 2024 85   @ Georgetown L 68-100 7%     3 - 3 -22.5 -3.4 -16.2
  Dec 04, 2024 237   Columbia W 88-73 51%     4 - 3 +8.1 +3.8 +3.6
  Dec 07, 2024 294   @ Boston University L 74-80 OT 43%     4 - 4 -10.8 +1.3 -12.1
  Dec 10, 2024 104   @ Syracuse L 85-102 11%     4 - 5 -10.1 +12.3 -21.8
  Dec 14, 2024 195   Drexel L 70-77 40%     4 - 6 -11.1 +0.2 -11.6
  Dec 18, 2024 288   @ Sacred Heart W 74-66 42%     5 - 6 +3.5 -3.0 +6.5
  Dec 21, 2024 191   @ Fordham L 83-87 23%     5 - 7 -2.9 +3.0 -5.5
  Dec 29, 2024 318   Stony Brook W 77-70 69%     6 - 7 -4.7 +0.6 -5.0
  Jan 04, 2025 203   Umass Lowell L 69-73 42%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -8.6 -5.1 -3.7
  Jan 09, 2025 357   @ New Hampshire W 61-57 68%     7 - 8 1 - 1 -7.3 -11.3 +4.2
  Jan 11, 2025 199   @ Maine L 66-87 24%     7 - 9 1 - 2 -20.2 -4.6 -15.3
  Jan 16, 2025 144   Bryant L 79-89 31%     7 - 10 1 - 3 -11.3 +2.0 -13.0
  Jan 18, 2025 313   @ Binghamton W 70-65 49%     8 - 10 2 - 3 -1.3 +1.0 -1.7
  Jan 23, 2025 261   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 87-92 OT 56%     8 - 11 2 - 4 -13.2 -4.7 -7.8
  Jan 25, 2025 344   NJIT W 68-62 77%     9 - 11 3 - 4 -8.3 -1.4 -6.3
  Feb 01, 2025 313   Binghamton L 61-65 67%     9 - 12 3 - 5 -15.2 -17.0 +1.7
  Feb 06, 2025 144   @ Bryant L 76-86 16%    
  Feb 08, 2025 240   Vermont W 66-65 54%    
  Feb 13, 2025 203   @ Umass Lowell L 75-82 23%    
  Feb 20, 2025 199   Maine L 68-70 43%    
  Feb 22, 2025 357   New Hampshire W 77-67 83%    
  Feb 27, 2025 261   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 80-83 36%    
  Mar 01, 2025 344   @ NJIT W 69-66 58%    
  Mar 04, 2025 240   @ Vermont L 63-67 32%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.5 2.9 1.0 0.0 5.3 3rd
4th 0.0 2.1 7.1 2.4 0.1 11.7 4th
5th 0.0 3.2 13.1 5.9 0.2 22.5 5th
6th 0.0 3.0 14.9 9.1 0.7 27.7 6th
7th 1.7 11.8 8.7 1.0 23.2 7th
8th 0.2 4.0 3.0 0.3 7.4 8th
9th 0.8 0.8 0.0 1.6 9th
Total 1.0 6.5 17.8 27.1 25.2 15.2 5.7 1.3 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 7.7% 0.0    0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
10-6 1.3% 16.5% 16.5% 15.5 0.1 0.1 1.1
9-7 5.7% 9.8% 9.8% 15.7 0.2 0.4 5.1
8-8 15.2% 5.9% 5.9% 15.9 0.1 0.8 14.3
7-9 25.2% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 1.1 24.2
6-10 27.1% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 1.0 26.2
5-11 17.8% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.4 17.4
4-12 6.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.5
3-13 1.0% 1.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.4 3.7 95.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%