Albany
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.0 #322
Expected Predictive Rating -12.5 #332
Pace 68.4 #211
Improvement +1.8 #91

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #273 D+ C D- F C
Defense #346 D+ F D- C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #188 1.15 #193 -0.5 #198
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #159 0.83 #86 +1.1 #116
Three Pointers 41% #187 0.87 #321 -3.1 #286
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #249 -2.5 #249
Freethrows 13.1 #342 62% #358 8.2 #358
Second Chance 30.8% #183 1.02 #220 0.31 #191
Turnovers 19.0% #309
Total Offense -3.5 #273

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #126 1.21 #251 -2.3 #259
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #232 0.76 #192 +0.6 #152
Three Pointers 41% #191 1.06 #256 -1.0 #217
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #265 -2.7 #268
Freethrows 18.1 #223 75% #263 13.5 #121
Second Chance 37.5% #349 1.30 #359 0.49 #364
Turnovers 14.3% #313
Total Defense -6.5 #346

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.3% #211 0.9% #251
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.6% #248 4.3% #258
Possession Length 18.4 #288 16.7 #90
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #141 0.19 #249
Improvement +2.8 #31 -1.1 #251

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.2% 7.2% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.5% 2.4% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 50.2% 61.5% 34.0%
Conference Champion 3.6% 5.2% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 9.8% 5.6% 15.8%
First Four6.0% 6.9% 4.7%
First Round3.0% 3.6% 2.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bryant (Home) - 59.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 30 - 60 - 10
Quad 49 - 109 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 110 @Marquette L 53 - 80 6%  -13  0 - 1 -20 -19 F A- F +2 C- A- A+
 Sat, Nov 8 167 @Massachusetts L 62 - 83 13%  -7  0 - 2 -19 -12 F B- F -6 A+ F C-
 Fri, Nov 14 141 @Rhode Island L 61 - 80 10%  -6  0 - 3 -15 -4 F A+ F -12 A- F F
 Fri, Nov 21 190 @Siena L 63 - 73 15%  -8  0 - 4 -9 +1 A+ F C -12 F F C
 Fri, Nov 28 205 Colgate L 67 - 69 24%  +2  0 - 5 -4 -2 B+ F F -3 C- C D
 Sat, Nov 29 203 Fordham L 68 - 88 24%  -11  0 - 6 -22 -2 D- B- C+ -21 F F B
 Sat, Dec 6 139 @Columbia L 65 - 93 10%  -9  0 - 7 -24 -5 D+ F C -19 D F D-
 Wed, Dec 10 80 Yale L 82 - 93 6%  -6  0 - 8 -4 +5 A F A+ -8 C B+ C-
 Sat, Dec 13 106 @Florida Atlantic L 79 - 105 6%  -20  0 - 9 -19 -1 C+ F D+ -14 F B D+
 Wed, Dec 17 276 @Stony Brook W 71 - 55 27%  +8  1 - 9 +12 +3 A+ F D- +10 A+ A+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 168 Cornell L 75 - 83 28%  +0  1 - 10 -12 +6 B D+ C -19 C- F F
 Tue, Dec 30 72 @South Carolina L 67 - 96 4%  -16  1 - 11 -18 +5 F A+ F -26 F F C
 Sat, Jan 3 286 @Umass Lowell L 71 - 83 28%  -10  1 - 12 0 - 1 -16 -2 F C D -15 C+ F F
 Sat, Jan 10 317 Bryant W 72 - 70 59% 
 Thu, Jan 15 359 Binghamton W 77 - 69 78% 
 Mon, Jan 19 198 Vermont L 70 - 75 34% 
 Thu, Jan 22 339 @Maine L 67 - 68 45% 
 Sat, Jan 24 344 @New Hampshire L 72 - 73 46% 
 Thu, Jan 29 351 NJIT W 76 - 70 71% 
 Sat, Jan 31 267 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 75 - 76 47% 
 Thu, Feb 5 317 @Bryant L 69 - 73 37% 
 Sat, Feb 7 286 Umass Lowell L 77 - 78 50% 
 Sat, Feb 14 359 @Binghamton W 74 - 72 58% 
 Thu, Feb 19 351 @NJIT L 73 - 74 50% 
 Sat, Feb 21 267 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 72 - 79 27% 
 Thu, Feb 26 339 Maine W 70 - 65 66% 
 Sat, Feb 28 344 New Hampshire W 75 - 70 67% 
 Tue, Mar 3 198 @Vermont L 67 - 78 17% 
Totals 9 - 19 8 - 8 -10 -4 D+ C D- -6 D+ F D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 3.1 3.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 8.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.4 5.4 5.1 1.6 0.1 13.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.7 7.2 6.4 1.4 0.1 16.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 7.3 6.6 1.2 0.1 16.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 5.8 6.3 1.2 0.0 14.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.4 5.1 1.1 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.4 4.0 1.0 0.0 9.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.9 9th
Total 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.8 5.9 9.8 13.5 16.5 16.5 14.0 9.8 6.0 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 96.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 81.5% 0.8    0.5 0.3
12-4 47.1% 1.3    0.5 0.7 0.1
11-5 16.4% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1
10-6 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 1.4 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.3% 32.0% 32.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2
13-3 1.0% 22.5% 22.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.8
12-4 2.7% 16.8% 16.8% 16.0 0.5 2.3
11-5 6.0% 13.5% 13.5% 16.0 0.8 5.2
10-6 9.8% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 1.0 8.8
9-7 14.0% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 1.2 12.8
8-8 16.5% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.9 15.5
7-9 16.5% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.9 15.6
6-10 13.5% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.4 13.1
5-11 9.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 9.6
4-12 5.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 5.8
3-13 2.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.7
2-14 1.0% 1.0
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.2% 6.2% 0.0% 16.0 93.8 0.0%