Army
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -10.6 #330
Expected Predictive Rating -8.8 #303
Pace 67.8 #224
Improvement +0.9 #123

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #307 D D- C C- B+
Defense #333 C D- F C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #266 1.09 #263 -3.2 #289
2 Pt. Jumpers 10% #344 0.54 #357 -4.9 #360
Three Pointers 55% #7 0.92 #293 +4.3 #52
1st FG Attempt 0.94 #281 -3.8 #282
Freethrows 17.0 #212 69% #284 11.8 #228
Second Chance 27.5% #271 0.91 #318 0.25 #309
Turnovers 17.0% #206
Total Offense -5.0 #307

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #193 1.35 #349 -3.5 #293
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #219 0.61 #24 +1.8 #62
Three Pointers 43% #127 0.93 #80 +0.8 #151
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #201 -0.8 #205
Freethrows 16.6 #153 76% #327 12.7 #165
Second Chance 30.6% #170 1.27 #354 0.39 #318
Turnovers 12.1% #360
Total Defense -5.5 #333

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.2% #60 0.4% #201
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -9.4% #321 1.0% #201
Possession Length 18.5 #303 16.8 #116
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #330 0.18 #227
Improvement +0.6 #144 +0.3 #163

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.8% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 5.6% 12.8% 3.5%
.500 or above in Conference 19.5% 36.4% 14.6%
Conference Champion 0.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 25.4% 11.9% 29.2%
First Four1.6% 2.3% 1.4%
First Round0.9% 1.5% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Away) - 22.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 411 - 1111 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 135 @St. Thomas L 76 - 83 9%  -11  0 - 1 -2 +6 B- F A- -8 B+ F F
 Tue, Nov 11 6 Duke L 59 - 114 1%  -23  0 - 2 -37 -11 D- C F -21 F F F
 Sat, Nov 15 196 Harvard L 52 - 75 30%  -9  0 - 3 -28 -18 F D+ F -13 F B C
 Tue, Nov 18 168 @Cornell L 73 - 86 12%  -6  0 - 4 -11 -13 F F B+ +3 C A- C+
 Fri, Nov 21 140 @Marist L 65 - 76 9%  -4  0 - 5 -7 +3 B- F B- -10 D F F
 Tue, Nov 25 324 East Texas A&M L 67 - 84 48%  -10  0 - 6 -27 -7 F F D+ -20 F D D-
 Wed, Nov 26 349 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 81 - 73 47%  +2  1 - 6 -2 +7 F B- A+ -8 A+ F F
 Sat, Nov 29 311 Manhattan W 81 - 78 OT 56%  +3  2 - 6 -9 -4 C F F -5 A- F F
 Tue, Dec 2 70 George Washington L 70 - 84 8%  -5  2 - 7 -9 -1 A F C+ -8 A+ F C-
 Fri, Dec 12 267 @Maryland Baltimore Co. W 63 - 60 24%  +5  3 - 7 -0 -9 F F D +9 B- A+ F
 Tue, Dec 23 359 Binghamton W 95 - 85 OT 77%  +4  4 - 7 -8 +3 B+ D+ F -12 F B F
 Wed, Dec 31 320 @Lehigh W 85 - 78 OT 35%  +3  5 - 7 1 - 0 +0 +3 C- B+ F -3 D+ C F
 Sat, Jan 3 205 Colgate L 69 - 76 31%  -3  5 - 8 1 - 1 -12 +3 C- A B- -16 D+ D- F
 Wed, Jan 7 336 Loyola Maryland L 76 - 84 OT 63%  -3  5 - 9 1 - 2 -22 -9 F F A+ -13 C F F
 Sat, Jan 10 258 @Boston University L 68 - 76 22% 
 Wed, Jan 14 326 @Holy Cross L 68 - 71 37% 
 Sun, Jan 18 241 American L 71 - 74 38% 
 Wed, Jan 21 314 @Bucknell L 68 - 72 35% 
 Sat, Jan 24 193 @Navy L 66 - 77 14% 
 Wed, Jan 28 320 Lehigh W 72 - 70 58% 
 Sat, Jan 31 326 Holy Cross W 71 - 68 59% 
 Wed, Feb 4 205 @Colgate L 67 - 78 15% 
 Sat, Feb 7 318 Lafayette W 74 - 72 57% 
 Wed, Feb 11 258 Boston University L 71 - 73 43% 
 Sat, Feb 14 241 @American L 68 - 77 20% 
 Wed, Feb 18 336 @Loyola Maryland L 74 - 76 41% 
 Sat, Feb 21 193 Navy L 69 - 74 31% 
 Wed, Feb 25 314 Bucknell W 71 - 69 56% 
 Sat, Feb 28 318 @Lafayette L 71 - 75 35% 
Totals 11 - 18 7 - 11 -11 -5 D D- C -6 C D- F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.0 3.0 0.8 0.1 7.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.5 4.7 1.1 0.1 11.3 5th
6th 0.7 5.2 6.3 1.5 0.1 13.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 4.4 7.8 2.2 0.1 15.1 7th
8th 0.5 4.1 8.1 3.2 0.2 0.0 16.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.9 7.2 3.5 0.4 15.9 9th
10th 0.3 1.8 4.3 5.5 2.9 0.4 0.0 15.1 10th
Total 0.3 1.8 5.1 10.0 14.7 17.2 17.5 13.9 9.5 5.8 2.6 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 53.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 28.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 9.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.5% 13.0% 13.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4
12-6 1.0% 6.7% 6.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.0
11-7 2.6% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 2.5
10-8 5.8% 5.7% 5.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 5.4
9-9 9.5% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.4 9.2
8-10 13.9% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 13.6
7-11 17.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.3 17.2
6-12 17.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 17.1
5-13 14.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.6
4-14 10.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.0
3-15 5.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.0
2-16 1.8% 1.8
1-17 0.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3
0-18
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 16.0 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%