Creighton
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.9#46
Expected Predictive Rating+9.6#66
Pace70.7#127
Improvement-0.9#241

Offense
Total Offense+6.2#42
First Shot+10.0#5
After Offensive Rebound-3.8#344
Layup/Dunks+4.3#41
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#360
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.9#3
Freethrows+0.2#167
Improvement+0.6#132

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#58
First Shot+5.6#31
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#258
Layups/Dunks+2.2#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#133
Freethrows+5.4#1
Improvement-1.4#289
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 1.6% 2.8% 0.6%
Top 6 Seed 5.7% 9.4% 2.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 44.4% 56.9% 34.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 40.6% 52.9% 31.5%
Average Seed 8.8 8.5 9.2
.500 or above 79.5% 89.2% 72.0%
.500 or above in Conference 65.5% 78.4% 55.6%
Conference Champion 3.4% 6.4% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 0.6% 2.5%
First Four8.9% 9.3% 8.6%
First Round39.9% 52.0% 30.6%
Second Round19.9% 27.0% 14.5%
Sweet Sixteen5.9% 8.3% 4.1%
Elite Eight2.2% 3.1% 1.5%
Final Four0.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Championship Game0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Home) - 43.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 10
Quad 26 - 410 - 14
Quad 35 - 114 - 14
Quad 44 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 227   UT Rio Grande Valley W 99-86 94%     1 - 0 +6.4 +13.3 -8.0
  Nov 10, 2024 333   Fairleigh Dickinson W 96-70 98%     2 - 0 +12.8 +4.6 +5.5
  Nov 13, 2024 346   Houston Christian W 78-43 98%     3 - 0 +20.2 -0.1 +21.6
  Nov 16, 2024 222   UMKC W 79-56 94%     4 - 0 +16.6 +3.1 +13.4
  Nov 22, 2024 40   Nebraska L 63-74 59%     4 - 1 -2.5 -5.8 +3.5
  Nov 26, 2024 38   San Diego St. L 53-71 47%     4 - 2 -6.2 -7.9 +0.4
  Nov 27, 2024 25   Texas A&M L 73-77 38%     4 - 3 +10.1 +7.2 +2.9
  Nov 30, 2024 83   Notre Dame W 80-76 65%     5 - 3 +11.1 +10.3 +0.8
  Dec 04, 2024 8   Kansas W 76-63 35%     6 - 3 +27.9 +11.4 +16.5
  Dec 07, 2024 106   UNLV W 83-65 82%     7 - 3 +19.4 +15.2 +5.2
  Dec 14, 2024 9   @ Alabama L 75-83 18%     7 - 4 +12.9 +4.7 +8.7
  Dec 18, 2024 67   @ Georgetown L 57-81 50%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -13.0 -7.7 -6.1
  Dec 21, 2024 52   Villanova W 86-79 64%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +14.4 +23.1 -7.9
  Dec 31, 2024 15   St. John's L 75-77 43%    
  Jan 03, 2025 17   @ Marquette L 73-80 25%    
  Jan 11, 2025 68   @ Butler L 74-75 50%    
  Jan 14, 2025 75   Providence W 72-66 72%    
  Jan 18, 2025 10   @ Connecticut L 71-80 21%    
  Jan 21, 2025 102   @ DePaul W 77-74 62%    
  Jan 25, 2025 115   Seton Hall W 70-59 85%    
  Jan 29, 2025 49   Xavier W 78-75 62%    
  Feb 01, 2025 52   @ Villanova L 73-75 41%    
  Feb 05, 2025 75   @ Providence W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 08, 2025 17   Marquette L 76-77 45%    
  Feb 11, 2025 10   Connecticut L 74-77 40%    
  Feb 16, 2025 15   @ St. John's L 72-80 24%    
  Feb 23, 2025 67   Georgetown W 76-70 71%    
  Feb 26, 2025 102   DePaul W 80-71 80%    
  Mar 01, 2025 49   @ Xavier L 75-78 41%    
  Mar 04, 2025 115   @ Seton Hall W 67-62 68%    
  Mar 08, 2025 68   Butler W 78-72 71%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.8 1.9 0.5 0.0 7.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 3.5 4.9 2.7 0.5 0.0 12.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.8 6.8 3.0 0.4 0.0 18.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.8 6.1 6.6 2.3 0.3 0.0 17.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.3 5.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 14.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.1 4.4 1.3 0.1 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 3.0 3.2 1.0 0.1 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.0 0.7 0.0 5.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.5 6.4 9.5 12.7 14.9 15.2 13.1 10.1 6.6 3.5 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 93.9% 0.5    0.4 0.1
16-4 67.0% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 31.7% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
14-6 9.4% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 27.4% 72.6% 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.5% 100.0% 24.8% 75.2% 3.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.5% 100.0% 21.0% 79.0% 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 3.5% 99.3% 17.8% 81.5% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.2%
14-6 6.6% 96.4% 15.6% 80.8% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 95.8%
13-7 10.1% 89.6% 12.0% 77.6% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.3 2.8 1.8 0.4 0.0 1.0 88.2%
12-8 13.1% 75.3% 7.7% 67.6% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.9 3.2 1.5 0.0 3.2 73.3%
11-9 15.2% 52.8% 5.4% 47.4% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.8 3.2 0.1 7.2 50.1%
10-10 14.9% 28.9% 4.0% 24.9% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.6 0.3 10.6 25.9%
9-11 12.7% 7.5% 2.8% 4.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 11.7 4.8%
8-12 9.5% 1.7% 1.5% 0.3% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.3 0.3%
7-13 6.4% 0.9% 0.9% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.3
6-14 3.5% 0.7% 0.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5
5-15 1.6% 0.5% 0.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 1.6
4-16 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 0.7
3-17 0.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 44.4% 6.3% 38.0% 8.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.6 4.4 7.0 8.7 9.4 8.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 55.6 40.6%