Denver
Summit League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.9#319
Expected Predictive Rating-8.9#311
Pace66.7#239
Improvement+0.1#175

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#252
First Shot-0.8#199
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#302
Layup/Dunks-5.5#341
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#32
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#124
Freethrows-0.2#188
Improvement+2.4#40

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#347
First Shot-5.8#345
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#206
Layups/Dunks-6.6#359
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#123
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#33
Freethrows-3.9#354
Improvement-2.2#330
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.5% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.5% 2.0% 0.4%
.500 or above in Conference 11.0% 27.9% 9.5%
Conference Champion 0.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 41.5% 21.9% 43.3%
First Four0.7% 1.3% 0.6%
First Round0.4% 0.9% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Away) - 8.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 46 - 108 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 94   @ Stanford L 62-85 6%     0 - 1 -14.6 -7.1 -7.7
  Nov 12, 2024 97   @ Colorado St. L 65-74 7%     0 - 2 -1.0 -1.3 +0.1
  Nov 17, 2024 155   Montana St. W 79-78 28%     1 - 2 -1.9 -2.9 +1.0
  Nov 24, 2024 191   @ Montana L 73-83 17%     1 - 3 -8.6 -5.4 -2.6
  Nov 25, 2024 153   Cal St. Northridge L 60-89 20%     1 - 4 -28.9 -12.9 -15.2
  Nov 26, 2024 287   Utah Tech L 54-68 41%     1 - 5 -20.7 -15.7 -6.8
  Dec 01, 2024 314   @ Portland L 90-101 2OT 37%     1 - 6 -16.6 -4.4 -9.8
  Dec 04, 2024 335   Sacramento St. W 80-59 68%     2 - 6 +7.3 +11.5 -2.0
  Dec 07, 2024 251   @ Portland St. W 68-67 25%     3 - 6 -0.9 +3.2 -4.0
  Dec 15, 2024 278   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 59-74 30%     3 - 7 -18.4 -3.6 -17.5
  Dec 17, 2024 271   @ Cal Poly L 94-95 OT 28%     3 - 8 -3.9 +3.4 -7.2
  Dec 21, 2024 180   Northern Colorado L 75-82 32%     3 - 9 -11.0 +4.6 -16.3
  Jan 02, 2025 120   @ South Dakota St. L 66-81 8%    
  Jan 04, 2025 236   @ South Dakota L 79-87 23%    
  Jan 09, 2025 275   North Dakota W 76-75 52%    
  Jan 11, 2025 114   North Dakota St. L 70-79 20%    
  Jan 15, 2025 294   Nebraska Omaha W 74-73 55%    
  Jan 18, 2025 125   @ St. Thomas L 68-82 10%    
  Jan 23, 2025 284   @ Oral Roberts L 72-77 31%    
  Jan 30, 2025 222   UMKC L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 01, 2025 294   @ Nebraska Omaha L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 06, 2025 236   South Dakota L 82-84 43%    
  Feb 08, 2025 125   St. Thomas L 71-79 23%    
  Feb 13, 2025 275   @ North Dakota L 72-78 30%    
  Feb 15, 2025 114   @ North Dakota St. L 67-82 9%    
  Feb 19, 2025 284   Oral Roberts W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 27, 2025 222   @ UMKC L 66-75 22%    
  Mar 01, 2025 120   South Dakota St. L 69-78 21%    
Projected Record 8 - 20 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 2.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 4.4 2.6 0.3 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 6.7 3.6 0.4 0.0 13.4 6th
7th 0.3 3.5 8.3 4.8 0.6 0.0 17.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 5.3 9.6 5.7 0.8 0.0 22.5 8th
9th 1.1 4.4 8.6 9.5 4.2 0.7 0.0 28.5 9th
Total 1.1 4.4 9.6 15.1 17.5 17.2 14.2 9.8 6.0 3.0 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 49.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 17.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 2.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
12-4 0.1% 4.3% 4.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-5 0.5% 8.3% 8.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4
10-6 1.3% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.3
9-7 3.0% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.1 2.9
8-8 6.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.1 5.9
7-9 9.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 9.7
6-10 14.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 14.1
5-11 17.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 17.1
4-12 17.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.5
3-13 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.1
2-14 9.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.6
1-15 4.4% 4.4
0-16 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%