Denver
Summit League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.0 #264
Expected Predictive Rating -2.8 #215
Pace 69.8 #167
Improvement +0.9 #128

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #102 C+ C+ B C+ D-
Defense #363 D- F F C D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #296 1.14 #199 -2.6 #272
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #51 0.79 #126 +3.2 #47
Three Pointers 38% #243 1.15 #23 +1.2 #134
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #128 +1.8 #129
Freethrows 17.7 #163 75% #105 13.3 #137
Second Chance 30.9% #182 1.14 #75 0.35 #112
Turnovers 14.7% #65
Total Offense +3.0 #102

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #46 1.22 #258 -4.4 #320
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #291 0.80 #245 +1.1 #116
Three Pointers 40% #227 1.12 #308 -1.3 #232
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #320 -4.6 #317
Freethrows 17.3 #192 70% #70 12.1 #202
Second Chance 37.7% #352 1.20 #331 0.45 #358
Turnovers 13.4% #334
Total Defense -9.0 #363

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.4% #317 1.8% #326
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 6.1% #84 7.2% #309
Possession Length 17.5 #188 16.7 #96
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #327 0.19 #258
Improvement -0.3 #205 +1.1 #106

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 5.6% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 13.0% 21.7% 6.4%
.500 or above in Conference 46.5% 63.1% 33.9%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.8% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 9.4% 3.3% 14.0%
First Four2.1% 2.0% 2.2%
First Round3.6% 4.7% 2.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Away) - 43.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 6
Quad 32 - 54 - 11
Quad 48 - 712 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 120 @Seattle L 73 - 84 14%  -6  0 - 1 -5 +0 C C+ F -5 B D D+
 Thu, Nov 6 47 @Washington L 70 - 84 4%  -8  0 - 2 -0 +3 A- D D -3 D+ D D
 Sun, Nov 9 153 @Montana St. W 75 - 73 20%  -2  1 - 2 +5 +11 A+ A+ F -6 C F F
 Sat, Nov 15 315 Texas San Antonio L 79 - 84 73%  -4  1 - 3 -17 +9 A F A+ -26 F F D
 Fri, Nov 21 94 @Colorado St. W 83 - 81 9%  +2  2 - 3 +11 +25 A+ C A+ -14 C F C
 Mon, Nov 24 2 @Arizona L 73 - 103 1%  -23  2 - 4 -3 +9 B- A+ D -10 F D B+
 Wed, Nov 26 95 @Wyoming L 59 - 101 9%  -16  2 - 5 -33 -10 F B- C+ -23 D- F F
 Wed, Dec 3 255 Eastern Washington W 93 - 89 59%  +0  3 - 5 -4 +14 A- F A+ -18 F F D+
 Sat, Dec 6 187 @Idaho St. L 79 - 93 25%  -6  3 - 6 -13 +8 C A+ C -21 F F F
 Sat, Dec 13 232 Cal St. Fullerton L 86 - 105 54%  -19  3 - 7 -26 +2 F A+ B+ -26 F F C
 Sat, Dec 20 161 @Northern Colorado W 86 - 79 21%  -2  4 - 7 +10 +11 A+ F C- -2 B D+ F
 Mon, Dec 22 81 @Tulsa L 85 - 90 7%  -4  4 - 8 +5 +6 D+ A+ F -1 A+ D D-
 Wed, Dec 31 343 UMKC W 87 - 74 79%  +12  5 - 8 1 - 0 -2 +9 C C- A+ -11 C F F
 Sun, Jan 4 135 @St. Thomas L 88 - 92 16%  -3  5 - 9 1 - 1 +1 +14 B- A+ A+ -14 C F F
 Thu, Jan 8 173 @South Dakota St. L 79 - 87 22%  -1  5 - 10 1 - 2 -6 +7 D+ C+ A+ -13 C- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 290 @South Dakota L 86 - 88 43% 
 Wed, Jan 14 298 Oral Roberts W 82 - 77 67% 
 Thu, Jan 22 146 North Dakota St. L 77 - 81 36% 
 Sat, Jan 24 319 North Dakota W 85 - 78 73% 
 Wed, Jan 28 343 @UMKC W 81 - 78 60% 
 Sat, Jan 31 257 Nebraska Omaha W 83 - 80 60% 
 Thu, Feb 5 146 @North Dakota St. L 74 - 84 18% 
 Sat, Feb 7 319 @North Dakota W 82 - 81 52% 
 Thu, Feb 12 173 South Dakota St. L 81 - 83 43% 
 Sat, Feb 14 257 @Nebraska Omaha L 80 - 83 37% 
 Thu, Feb 19 290 South Dakota W 89 - 85 65% 
 Sat, Feb 21 135 St. Thomas L 80 - 85 34% 
 Thu, Feb 26 298 @Oral Roberts L 79 - 80 45% 
Totals 11 - 17 7 - 9 -6 +3 C+ C+ B -9 D- F F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.2 0.9 0.1 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 5.4 5.0 1.7 0.1 13.9 3rd
4th 0.2 3.2 9.0 7.2 1.8 0.1 21.4 4th
5th 0.0 2.4 9.5 6.1 1.0 0.0 19.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 7.5 5.2 0.7 0.0 14.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 5.3 4.9 0.6 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.2 3.5 0.6 0.0 8.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.4 9th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.3 5.7 10.6 15.6 18.7 17.2 13.9 8.7 4.6 1.6 0.4 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 80.5% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 37.8% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-5 11.7% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.4% 11.7% 11.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-4 1.6% 14.8% 14.8% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4
11-5 4.6% 11.9% 11.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 4.0
10-6 8.7% 8.5% 8.5% 15.2 0.0 0.5 0.2 8.0
9-7 13.9% 6.8% 6.8% 15.7 0.3 0.7 13.0
8-8 17.2% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8 16.4
7-9 18.7% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.7 18.0
6-10 15.6% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 15.2
5-11 10.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.5
4-12 5.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.6
3-13 2.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.3
2-14 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.7
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 15.6 95.5 0.0%