Denver
Summit League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#331
Expected Predictive Rating-9.5#315
Pace67.1#216
Improvement-0.8#222

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#303
First Shot-2.4#243
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#320
Layup/Dunks-5.8#346
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#50
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#131
Freethrows-0.3#190
Improvement-1.1#257

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#334
First Shot-5.1#328
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#247
Layups/Dunks-6.2#358
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#126
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#35
Freethrows-3.4#352
Improvement+0.3#171
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 57.2% 41.8% 68.5%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Home) - 42.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 50 - 6
Quad 32 - 82 - 13
Quad 46 - 97 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 78   @ Stanford L 62-85 4%     0 - 1 -13.1 -6.3 -7.0
  Nov 12, 2024 77   @ Colorado St. L 65-74 4%     0 - 2 +0.9 -0.9 +1.6
  Nov 17, 2024 189   Montana St. W 79-78 26%     1 - 2 -2.8 -2.7 -0.3
  Nov 24, 2024 207   @ Montana L 73-83 16%     1 - 3 -9.8 -6.3 -2.9
  Nov 25, 2024 127   Cal St. Northridge L 60-89 12%     1 - 4 -26.9 -12.4 -13.8
  Nov 26, 2024 292   Utah Tech L 54-68 36%     1 - 5 -21.1 -15.5 -7.4
  Dec 01, 2024 299   @ Portland L 90-101 2OT 30%     1 - 6 -16.2 -6.9 -6.9
  Dec 04, 2024 337   Sacramento St. W 80-59 63%     2 - 6 +7.0 +11.1 -1.8
  Dec 07, 2024 215   @ Portland St. W 68-67 17%     3 - 6 +0.5 +4.8 -4.2
  Dec 15, 2024 317   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 59-74 35%     3 - 7 -21.7 -4.9 -19.6
  Dec 17, 2024 276   @ Cal Poly L 94-95 OT 26%     3 - 8 -4.9 +2.9 -7.7
  Dec 21, 2024 154   Northern Colorado L 75-82 20%     3 - 9 -8.8 +5.4 -14.9
  Jan 02, 2025 114   @ South Dakota St. L 70-91 7%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -15.5 -6.6 -7.2
  Jan 04, 2025 262   @ South Dakota L 84-91 24%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -10.2 -0.7 -9.1
  Jan 09, 2025 269   North Dakota L 70-95 42%     3 - 12 0 - 3 -33.6 -12.3 -21.0
  Jan 11, 2025 139   North Dakota St. L 50-69 19%     3 - 13 0 - 4 -20.2 -21.1 -1.6
  Jan 15, 2025 212   Nebraska Omaha L 62-80 30%     3 - 14 0 - 5 -23.2 -8.4 -16.7
  Jan 18, 2025 119   @ St. Thomas L 62-74 8%     3 - 15 0 - 6 -7.1 -7.0 -1.0
  Jan 23, 2025 315   @ Oral Roberts W 70-68 34%     4 - 15 1 - 6 -4.5 -4.7 +0.3
  Jan 30, 2025 235   UMKC W 69-68 35%     5 - 15 2 - 6 -5.8 -0.1 -5.6
  Feb 01, 2025 212   @ Nebraska Omaha L 69-78 16%     5 - 16 2 - 7 -9.2 -3.7 -5.7
  Feb 06, 2025 262   South Dakota L 83-85 42%    
  Feb 08, 2025 119   St. Thomas L 70-81 17%    
  Feb 13, 2025 269   @ North Dakota L 74-81 24%    
  Feb 15, 2025 139   @ North Dakota St. L 67-81 8%    
  Feb 19, 2025 315   Oral Roberts W 76-75 56%    
  Feb 27, 2025 235   @ UMKC L 63-72 19%    
  Mar 01, 2025 114   South Dakota St. L 68-79 16%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 4 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.2 1.5 0.7 0.1 2.6 5th
6th 0.4 5.1 3.9 0.4 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.6 8.6 9.9 1.1 0.0 20.2 7th
8th 11.8 18.4 2.9 0.0 33.1 8th
9th 12.0 18.0 4.2 0.1 34.2 9th
Total 12.0 30.3 31.7 18.1 6.6 1.2 0.2 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.2% 0.2
7-9 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 1.1
6-10 6.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.5
5-11 18.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 18.1
4-12 31.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 31.7
3-13 30.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 30.3
2-14 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 8.1%