East Tennessee St.
Southern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#154
Expected Predictive Rating-0.9#174
Pace63.9#293
Improvement-1.1#245

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#198
First Shot-1.6#221
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#130
Layup/Dunks-2.9#285
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#170
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#52
Freethrows-3.3#348
Improvement-3.3#323

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#138
First Shot+0.7#155
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#146
Layups/Dunks-2.2#272
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#161
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#77
Freethrows+0.0#187
Improvement+2.2#76
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 22 - 22 - 2
Quad 33 - 95 - 11
Quad 412 - 217 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 195   Eastern Kentucky L 78-82 69%     0 - 1 -8.7 +4.5 -13.4
  Nov 16, 2024 140   @ Davidson L 70-76 37%     0 - 2 -2.1 +5.9 -8.7
  Nov 22, 2024 349   South Carolina Upstate W 87-76 92%     1 - 2 -4.5 -0.2 -5.1
  Nov 24, 2024 207   Queens W 82-67 71%     2 - 2 +9.7 +6.7 +3.2
  Nov 27, 2024 242   @ Charlotte W 75-55 57%     3 - 2 +18.4 +4.6 +15.0
  Nov 30, 2024 278   Austin Peay W 79-57 82%     4 - 2 +12.7 +6.2 +7.8
  Dec 03, 2024 166   @ James Madison L 61-71 42%     4 - 3 -7.6 -9.2 +0.9
  Dec 07, 2024 127   @ Wichita St. L 87-96 33%     4 - 4 -4.3 +9.8 -13.3
  Dec 14, 2024 197   @ Jacksonville L 52-60 48%     4 - 5 -7.2 -16.8 +9.4
  Dec 18, 2024 206   Elon W 84-58 71%     5 - 5 +20.7 +13.1 +9.5
  Dec 21, 2024 233   @ UMKC L 66-73 56%     5 - 6 -8.2 +6.6 -16.0
  Jan 01, 2025 299   VMI W 84-69 85%     6 - 6 1 - 0 +4.3 +14.0 -8.4
  Jan 04, 2025 129   Wofford L 78-81 54%     6 - 7 1 - 1 -3.8 +5.0 -9.0
  Jan 08, 2025 265   @ Mercer W 70-68 62%     7 - 7 2 - 1 -0.9 +0.8 -1.7
  Jan 11, 2025 357   The Citadel W 70-52 94%     8 - 7 3 - 1 +0.3 -1.6 +4.3
  Jan 15, 2025 138   @ Furman L 70-73 36%     8 - 8 3 - 2 +1.0 +2.2 -1.4
  Jan 18, 2025 124   @ Samford W 65-60 32%     9 - 8 4 - 2 +10.0 -6.3 +16.4
  Jan 22, 2025 339   Western Carolina W 85-58 91%     10 - 8 5 - 2 +12.5 +12.9 +1.7
  Jan 25, 2025 117   Chattanooga L 63-71 50%     10 - 9 5 - 3 -7.8 -13.8 +6.0
  Jan 29, 2025 158   @ UNC Greensboro L 65-70 40%     10 - 10 5 - 4 -2.0 +10.0 -13.3
  Feb 02, 2025 138   Furman W 72-69 57%     11 - 10 6 - 4 +1.5 +6.6 -4.7
  Feb 05, 2025 299   @ VMI W 62-55 70%     12 - 10 7 - 4 +1.8 -10.5 +12.5
  Feb 08, 2025 124   Samford W 66-59 53%     13 - 10 8 - 4 +6.5 -6.9 +13.7
  Feb 12, 2025 339   @ Western Carolina L 67-76 81%     13 - 11 8 - 5 -18.0 -7.0 -11.2
  Feb 15, 2025 117   @ Chattanooga L 71-78 30%     13 - 12 8 - 6 -1.3 +10.5 -13.2
  Feb 19, 2025 158   UNC Greensboro W 65-49 61%     14 - 12 9 - 6 +13.5 +2.1 +14.1
  Feb 22, 2025 129   @ Wofford W 73-68 34%     15 - 12 10 - 6 +9.7 +8.4 +1.9
  Feb 26, 2025 265   Mercer W 59-58 80%     16 - 12 11 - 6 -7.4 -14.3 +6.9
  Mar 01, 2025 357   @ The Citadel W 81-66 88%     17 - 12 12 - 6 +2.8 +14.6 -9.6
  Mar 08, 2025 129   Wofford L 60-72 44%     17 - 13 -10.1 -5.4 -6.5
Projected Record 17 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%