IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Gardner-Webb
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.7	#230
Expected Predictive Rating	-3.4	#220

Pace	72.5	#88
Improvement	-2.7	#312

Offense
Total Offense	-0.9	#199

First Shot	+0.7	#153
After Offensive Rebound	-1.6	#283

Layup/Dunks	+3.2	#68
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.3	#249
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.8	#235
Freethrows	+0.6	#138

Improvement	+0.4	#147

Defense
Total Defense	-2.8	#262

First Shot	-2.1	#246
After Offensive Rebounds	-0.7	#242

Layups/Dunks	-2.2	#273
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.0	#197
3 Pt Jumpshots	+1.7	#118
Freethrows	-1.6	#294

Improvement	-3.1	#348

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	6.8%	7.8%	5.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	15.1	15.5

.500 or above	29.2%	39.4%	17.7%
.500 or above in Conference	56.2%	68.8%	42.1%
Conference Champion	6.5%	9.5%	3.2%
Last Place in Conference	5.8%	2.4%	9.5%

First Four	2.0%	1.7%	2.4%
First Round	6.0%	7.2%	4.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Charleston Southern (Away) - 52.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	4 - 7	4 - 11
Quad 4	9 - 6	14 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	3	@ Tennessee	L	64-80	2%	0 - 1			+7.1	+7.0	-0.5
Nov 08, 2024	274	@ NC Central	W	88-82	48%	1 - 1			+2.8	+8.8	-6.3
Nov 11, 2024	30	@ Pittsburgh	L	64-83	4%	1 - 2			-2.8	-4.5	+2.5
Nov 15, 2024	182	Elon	W	80-79	51%	2 - 2			-3.0	+9.2	-12.2
Nov 19, 2024	197	@ Charlotte	L	54-60	32%	2 - 3			-4.8	-15.0	+9.6
Nov 26, 2024	225	SE Louisiana	W	73-69	49%	3 - 3			+0.5	-0.9	+1.2
Nov 27, 2024	263	Bethune-Cookman	W	79-64	57%	4 - 3			+9.6	+1.5	+7.2
Nov 29, 2024	130	@ Belmont	L	74-83	21%	4 - 4			-4.3	-4.4	+0.7
Dec 04, 2024	151	@ Wofford	L	64-88	25%	4 - 5			-20.8	-5.7	-16.6
Dec 07, 2024	274	NC Central	L	77-78	71%	4 - 6			-10.2	-3.0	-7.2
Dec 14, 2024	265	Queens	L	83-85	68%	4 - 7			-10.6	+7.9	-18.5
Dec 17, 2024	242	@ Georgia Southern	L	81-86	42%	4 - 8			-6.5	+2.3	-8.4
Dec 21, 2024	181	@ East Carolina	W	84-79	29%	5 - 8			+7.0	+10.3	-3.5
Jan 02, 2025	298	@ Charleston Southern	W	76-75	53%
Jan 04, 2025	269	Presbyterian	W	76-71	69%
Jan 08, 2025	190	Winthrop	W	82-81	53%
Jan 11, 2025	123	@ High Point	L	73-82	20%
Jan 15, 2025	213	@ Radford	L	70-74	35%
Jan 18, 2025	342	South Carolina Upstate	W	85-74	84%
Jan 22, 2025	176	UNC Asheville	W	77-76	51%
Jan 29, 2025	172	Longwood	L	74-75	50%
Feb 01, 2025	190	@ Winthrop	L	79-84	32%
Feb 05, 2025	176	@ UNC Asheville	L	74-80	30%
Feb 08, 2025	298	Charleston Southern	W	79-72	73%
Feb 15, 2025	342	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	82-77	67%
Feb 19, 2025	172	@ Longwood	L	72-78	29%
Feb 22, 2025	123	High Point	L	76-79	39%
Feb 26, 2025	213	Radford	W	73-71	57%
Mar 01, 2025	269	@ Presbyterian	L	73-74	47%
Projected Record						13 - 16	8 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.3	1.6	2.3	1.5	0.6	0.2	0.0		6.5	1st
2nd									0.0	0.7	3.7	4.1	1.7	0.3	0.0				10.5	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.8	4.8	5.4	1.6	0.1						12.8	3rd
4th							0.0	0.7	5.3	6.9	1.8	0.1							14.8	4th
5th						0.0	0.8	5.1	7.6	2.1	0.1								15.7	5th
6th					0.0	0.9	4.9	7.3	2.3	0.1									15.6	6th
7th				0.1	1.0	4.2	5.6	2.0	0.1										12.9	7th
8th		0.0	0.2	1.0	3.0	3.0	1.2	0.1											8.4	8th
9th	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.0	0.8	0.2	0.0												2.8	9th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.7	2.0	4.9	8.3	12.4	15.2	16.1	14.7	11.4	7.4	4.1	1.8	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
14-2	97.7%	0.6		0.6	0.1
13-3	84.6%	1.5		1.1	0.3	0.0
12-4	56.8%	2.3		1.1	1.0	0.2	0.0
11-5	21.5%	1.6		0.3	0.7	0.5	0.1	0.0
10-6	2.8%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
9-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	6.5%	6.5		3.3	2.2	0.8	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%																		0.0					0.0
15-1	0.2%		29.9%	29.9%		13.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
14-2	0.6%		23.6%	23.6%		13.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0		0.5
13-3	1.8%		24.4%	24.4%		14.1													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.3
12-4	4.1%		16.6%	16.6%		14.4														0.1	0.3	0.3	0.0	3.4
11-5	7.4%		14.3%	14.3%		14.8													0.0	0.0	0.3	0.6	0.1	6.3
10-6	11.4%		10.0%	10.0%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.7	0.4	10.2
9-7	14.7%		7.9%	7.9%		15.5															0.0	0.6	0.5	13.5
8-8	16.1%		6.1%	6.1%		15.9																0.1	0.9	15.2
7-9	15.2%		4.0%	4.0%		16.0																	0.6	14.6
6-10	12.4%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																	0.3	12.1
5-11	8.3%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.2	8.2
4-12	4.9%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	4.8
3-13	2.0%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.0	2.0
2-14	0.7%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	0.7
1-15	0.2%																							0.2
0-16	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		6.8%	6.8%	0.0%	15.3													0.0	0.2	0.9	2.5	3.2	93.2		0.0%