Harvard
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +0.7 146
Results Rating -0.1 160
Pace 59.9 361
Improvement +7.3 4

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 187 B- D D+ D+ C+
Defense C+ 130 C+ C+ C- B- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 131 C 59% 156 +1.1 136
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% 223 C 39% 146 -0.5 209
Three Pointers 41% 177 B 37% 65 +1.8 119
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 139 B- +2.0 103
1st FG Attempt B- 1.07 104
Second Chance D+ 26.6% 289 D 0.94 310 D 0.25 313
Turnovers D+ 18.3% 283
Freethrows D- 0.25 340 A 81% 2 D+ 0.20 252
Total Offense C -0.8 187

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 46% 233 C+ 10.5% 145
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 36% 44 C+ 4.4% 132
Three Pointers A- 95% 9 D 1.5% 318
Total B- 60% 85 C 5.7% 195

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 75 C+ 57% 147 +2.0 242
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 267 C- 39% 223 -0.8 123
Three Pointers 39% 230 B- 32% 79 -2.2 93
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 289 C+ -1.7 108
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 135
Second Chance C 30.4% 178 C+ 1.00 129 C+ 0.30 158
Turnovers C- 16.3% 211
Freethrows B- 0.27 77 C- 73% 251 B- 0.20 92
Total Defense C+ +1.5 130

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 128 C 11.0% 170
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 148 B- 7.1% 62
Three Pointers C+ 82% 111 D+ 0.5% 269
Total B- 52% 111 C+ 6.2% 131

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.7 317 18.6 340
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 286 0.15 98
Improvement +2.1 #93 +5.2 #12

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 175 149 127
Results Rating Rank 193 163 131
Conference Record 8 - 6 10 - 4 11 - 3
Conference Finish 2 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 13
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19% 20% 16%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.5 14.0
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 17% 25% 5%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round19% 20% 16%
Second Round1% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Princeton (Away) - 59.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 1
Quad 20 - 21 - 3
Quad 36 - 57 - 8
Quad 410 - 416 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sun, Nov 9 346 New Hampshire W 86 - 75 93% -6  14% 1 - 0 C- -5 B- +5 A+ F B- F -10 F C C+
 Tue, Nov 11 292 Northeastern L 60 - 77 85% -9  22% 1 - 1 F -28 F -20 F F+ F F+ -9 C- D+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 338 @Army W 75 - 52 82% +9  95% 2 - 1 B+ +14 C+ +2 B+ F F A+ +15 B+ C+ A+
 Sun, Nov 16 181 @Marist W 56 - 54 46% +1  47% 3 - 1 C+ +4 D- -8 D D+ F A+ +11 B A A+
 Wed, Nov 19 115 @Penn St. L 80 - 84 30% -2  31% 3 - 2 C+ +2 A +13 A A+ D+ F -11 D D F+
 Sat, Nov 22 257 Boston University L 74 - 75 72% +2  68% 3 - 3 D+ -6 C- -1 B+ C- F D -5 F C- A
 Wed, Nov 26 139 @Boston College L 60 - 73 36% -9  1% 3 - 4 D -9 D -5 D+ C C D+ -5 F A+ F+
 Sat, Nov 29 354 Bryant W 56 - 53 94% +2  52% 4 - 4 D- -14 F -16 D- F F+ B- +3 A- D F
 Wed, Dec 3 185 @Massachusetts L 71 - 78 47% -10  0% 4 - 5 D+ -6 D- -8 D D C- B- +2 F A+ B-
 Sat, Dec 6 175 @Furman L 69 - 79 45% -7  6% 4 - 6 D+ -8 D+ -3 C+ D- B- D -6 F F A-
 Sat, Dec 20 327 Holy Cross W 81 - 53 90% +16  94% 5 - 6 B+ +14 A- +10 A- A+ F A- +8 A+ D F
 Tue, Dec 23 19 @St. John's L 59 - 85 4% -10  30% 5 - 7 C- -5 D+ -3 B+ F C- C- -3 D- C- A-
 Sun, Dec 28 244 @Colgate W 78 - 69 58% +2  61% 6 - 7 B- +8 C+ +2 A+ F C B+ +5 B- C+ B-
 Mon, Jan 5 250 Dartmouth L 68 - 76 79% -3  3% 6 - 8 0 - 1 F+ -16 D+ -4 F A C F -13 F F D
 Sat, Jan 10 203 @Columbia W 79 - 54 50% +13  99% 7 - 8 1 - 1 A+ +26 A+ +16 A+ C+ D+ A+ +13 A+ B B-
 Sat, Jan 17 254 Princeton W 87 - 80 OT 80% -7  13% 8 - 8 2 - 1 C -1 A- +10 B D- A+ F -11 B- F F
 Mon, Jan 19 169 Penn W 64 - 63 66% +1  55% 9 - 8 3 - 1 C- -3 D -4 C+ D- D- B- +2 C+ A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 24 171 Cornell L 79 - 86 66% +2  55% 9 - 9 3 - 2 D -11 C +1 D+ A C+ F -12 D+ D C-
 Fri, Jan 30 267 @Brown W 69 - 59 64% +5  80% 10 - 9 4 - 2 B- +7 B +7 A+ F F B- +2 B+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 31 85 @Yale W 67 - 65 19% +3  68% 11 - 9 5 - 2 B+ +12 B +6 B+ F C+ B+ +6 B A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 250 @Dartmouth W 71 - 58 60% +6  95% 12 - 9 6 - 2 B +11 C+ +2 B F D+ A +10 A- A+ F
 Fri, Feb 13 267 Brown W 56 - 53 82% +5  81% 13 - 9 7 - 2 D+ -6 F -12 D- C+ F B+ +7 A+ F+ B
 Sat, Feb 14 85 Yale L 75 - 76 OT 38% +4  86% 13 - 10 7 - 3 C+ +3 C+ +2 C+ D B C+ +1 A+ F C
 Sat, Feb 21 171 @Cornell W 73 - 54 43% +6  76% 14 - 10 8 - 3 A +21 B- +5 C F A A+ +20 A+ A+ F
 Fri, Feb 27 254 @Princeton W 67 - 64 60%
 Sat, Feb 28 169 @Penn L 67 - 69 43%
 Fri, Mar 6 203 Columbia W 71 - 65 72%
Totals 16 - 11 10 - 4 +1 C -1 A+ B- C+ C+ +1 B A D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C C B B- 40% 34% 41% C+ B- D+ D D D+ D- A D+ C+ C+ C- B- C+ 43% 18% 39% D+ C+ C C+ C+ C- B- C- B-
1.07 59% 39% 37% +2 0 1.07 27% 0.9 .25 18% .25 81% .20 1.07 57% 39% 32% -2 +1 1.00 30% 1.0 .30 16% .27 73% .18
Nov
9		 New Hampshire B- C+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 17% 30% B A+ F F F B- D A C F D A+ F F 43% 19% 38% C+ F A F C C+ A F B-
1.23 61% 56% 50% +12 +2 1.28 19% 0.6 .11 13% .29 83% .25 1.07 61% 20% 45% +4 +1 1.11 17% 1.4 .23 20% .18 90% .16
Nov
11		 Northeastern F C- F D F 36% 19% 45% D+ F D+ F F+ F A+ A+ A+ F+ C+ A+ F C- 41% 20% 39% C+ C- D C D+ F F A D-
0.90 60% 13% 32% -6 0 0.90 28% 0.8 .22 27% .49 83% .41 1.16 57% 10% 45% +1 0 1.04 30% 1.1 .33 12% .39 61% .24
Nov
15		 Army C+ A A- A A 35% 26% 40% D B+ D- F F F A- A A+ A+ D+ F A+ B+ 38% 13% 49% C+ B+ D B+ C+ A+ C A+ B
1.18 73% 45% 41% +11 -1 1.23 26% 0.9 .22 19% .43 82% .35 0.82 59% 50% 18% -10 +1 0.84 32% 0.8 .26 25% .25 58% .15
Nov
16		 Marist D- F F A+ F+ 49% 13% 38% A D D C D+ F A+ A A+ A+ A+ D C+ B+ 42% 19% 40% F B C A+ A A+ F+ A+ C-
0.89 37% 20% 40% -9 +2 0.87 25% 1.0 .25 24% .48 78% .37 0.86 40% 44% 32% -8 0 0.88 26% 0.7 .17 24% .31 67% .21
Nov
19		 Penn St. A A D A+ A 38% 13% 49% B A A- A+ A+ D+ F+ A+ C- F F A- A D+ 51% 12% 37% F+ D F A+ D F+ F A- F+
1.25 72% 33% 43% +12 +1 1.28 38% 1.6 .58 20% .16 100% .16 1.32 76% 33% 28% +5 +2 1.16 45% 0.9 .41 11% .44 68% .30
Nov
22		 Boston University C- A+ F B- B+ 40% 18% 42% C+ B+ F A+ C- F F B+ F D F F F F 38% 16% 47% C- F A+ F C- A A+ A+ A+
1.16 80% 33% 38% +11 0 1.24 17% 1.8 .30 17% .17 78% .13 1.17 71% 71% 52% +23 +1 1.49 18% 1.7 .29 23% .16 50% .08
Nov
26		 Boston College D F A+ F C- 41% 33% 26% D D+ D- A+ C C F A+ F D+ D C+ F F 31% 15% 54% D F A+ A+ A+ F+ A+ F B
0.93 41% 56% 21% -6 -1 0.87 21% 1.1 .24 15% .11 83% .09 1.13 63% 38% 39% +6 0 1.13 21% 0.7 .15 11% .17 90% .16
Nov
29		 Bryant F F A+ B+ F+ 59% 10% 31% A- D- C F F F+ F A+ F B- A+ A+ C A 40% 8% 52% D A- D+ D- D F A+ F A
0.96 41% 60% 40% -5 +3 0.98 35% 0.5 .18 17% .04 100% .04 0.91 32% 0% 32% -15 +2 0.75 30% 1.1 .33 17% .15 86% .12
Dec
3		 Massachusetts D- D+ A+ F D 42% 27% 31% D D B- F D C- F A F B- D C F F 45% 27% 29% C F A A+ A+ B- D+ C D+
0.97 57% 60% 18% -2 -1 0.96 32% 0.8 .24 18% .25 80% .20 1.07 64% 38% 50% +9 0 1.20 24% 0.7 .17 21% .36 67% .24
Dec
6		 Furman D+ D+ B- A B 35% 38% 27% F C+ F+ D D- B- F+ F F D F F A+ F 41% 11% 48% D+ F B F F A- F F F
1.01 53% 43% 40% +2 -3 1.02 23% 0.9 .20 13% .19 55% .10 1.16 83% 100% 24% +10 +1 1.25 26% 1.5 .39 23% .38 80% .31
Dec
20		 Holy Cross A- B- A A+ B+ 62% 13% 26% A A- A- A+ A+ F B- A B+ A- B A- A+ A+ 23% 23% 54% C A+ F+ C+ D F A+ D+ A
1.32 66% 50% 42% +9 +3 1.26 36% 1.8 .64 18% .30 80% .24 0.87 50% 33% 21% -13 -1 0.73 27% 0.9 .24 11% .17 78% .13
Dec
23		 St. John's D+ A+ D- F A- 35% 27% 38% D B+ F+ F F C- F+ A+ D C- B- F F D+ 57% 2% 42% F D- F A C- A- A- D B+
0.87 82% 31% 22% 0 -1 1.00 19% 0.3 .06 22% .21 82% .17 1.25 53% 100% 41% +3 +4 1.15 47% 1.0 .47 18% .32 78% .25
Dec
28		 Colgate C+ C- F A+ A+ 38% 20% 42% C A+ F A F C F A+ F B+ D- A+ A- B+ 48% 20% 31% F B- A F C+ B- A F A-
1.13 57% 27% 57% +12 0 1.25 13% 1.3 .17 15% .10 83% .09 1.00 65% 18% 29% -3 +1 0.98 19% 1.3 .25 17% .18 80% .14
Jan
5		 Dartmouth D+ F C+ F F 49% 9% 42% A- F B- A+ A C C B- C+ F D+ F F F 35% 21% 44% C+ F D F F D F A+ F
1.06 46% 40% 23% -13 +2 0.81 33% 1.4 .45 13% .27 73% .20 1.19 60% 56% 42% +10 0 1.21 28% 1.4 .40 17% .55 59% .32
Jan
10		 Columbia A+ B- C+ A+ A+ 50% 11% 39% A A+ A F+ C+ D+ F A+ C- A+ A- B- A+ A+ 54% 20% 26% C- A+ D A+ B B- B F D+
1.31 61% 40% 56% +14 +2 1.35 38% 0.8 .31 15% .21 100% .21 0.90 48% 33% 17% -13 +1 0.78 39% 0.7 .28 23% .24 91% .22
Jan
17		 Princeton A- D B- A+ B 48% 13% 39% B B B F D- A+ B+ A+ A+ F A F B B 37% 10% 53% D- B- F F F F D- D+ F+
1.29 54% 43% 43% +4 +2 1.13 33% 0.7 .23 7% .37 83% .30 1.18 44% 60% 31% -5 +1 0.94 41% 1.3 .51 12% .37 77% .28
Jan
19		 Penn D B+ F C- C 47% 10% 43% A- C+ D F+ D- D- F F F B- B+ F B- B- 40% 21% 38% D- C+ C+ A+ A+ C+ C F+ D+
1.03 67% 20% 32% +1 +2 1.08 26% 0.8 .19 19% .16 50% .08 1.01 47% 50% 33% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.5 .15 18% .33 76% .25
Jan
24		 Cornell C D F B- D 42% 8% 50% B D+ D A+ A C+ C- A+ B- F B F F D+ 47% 9% 45% D+ D+ C+ F D C- F F+ F
1.21 55% 25% 38% 0 +2 1.06 27% 1.8 .47 14% .32 83% .27 1.31 55% 75% 43% +7 +2 1.21 30% 1.4 .41 17% .48 81% .39
Jan
30		 Brown B C+ A+ B+ A+ 44% 9% 47% A- A+ F C+ F F A+ A+ A+ B- C F+ A+ A- 44% 16% 40% D+ B+ C- F F F+ F A+ C
1.13 60% 100% 38% +9 +2 1.24 11% 1.0 .11 23% .62 93% .58 0.97 55% 43% 17% -11 +1 0.82 29% 1.5 .44 16% .33 53% .18
Jan
31		 Yale B B+ D+ A+ A 36% 26% 38% D+ B+ D- F F C+ A A+ A+ B+ A+ F+ F A- 48% 13% 40% F+ B A- A+ A+ F A+ D- A
1.16 67% 36% 44% +8 -1 1.17 23% 0.7 .15 14% .36 83% .30 1.12 43% 50% 42% -1 +2 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 10% .21 82% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Dartmouth C+ B A+ C B+ 37% 17% 46% C- B F F F D+ B+ A+ A+ A A- A+ B A+ 44% 8% 48% F A- A A+ A+ F A F B-
1.10 65% 50% 33% +4 0 1.11 18% 0.8 .14 14% .33 89% .29 0.90 48% 0% 32% -9 +2 0.88 16% 0.5 .08 14% .23 92% .22
Feb
13		 Brown F D+ F D+ D- 37% 24% 39% D+ D- C C+ C+ F B F C- B+ C- F+ A+ A+ 47% 16% 38% D+ A+ D+ F F+ B D- A+ C-
0.91 53% 30% 31% -5 -1 0.90 31% 1.0 .31 24% .38 61% .23 0.86 57% 43% 6% -16 +1 0.73 30% 1.3 .39 23% .31 60% .19
Feb
14		 Yale C+ A+ B F B- 37% 28% 35% D C+ D- C- D B F A+ F C+ A+ A D A+ 32% 25% 43% A- A+ C- F F C D+ F F+
1.14 76% 44% 25% +4 -1 1.07 23% 1.0 .23 12% .14 88% .12 1.16 41% 31% 39% -4 -1 0.92 34% 1.5 .51 15% .36 85% .31
Feb
21		 Cornell B- A- C- C C 35% 17% 48% C- C B- F F A C+ B- B- A+ B F A+ A+ 53% 8% 39% D- A+ B+ A+ A+ F B F C
1.21 71% 38% 35% +5 0 1.13 35% 0.4 .14 10% .35 74% .26 0.90 54% 75% 5% -16 +3 0.76 26% 0.7 .18 13% .25 85% .21



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.3 5.8 10.7 16.7 1st
2nd 4.1 30.0 36.9 8.9 79.9 2nd
3rd 3.4 3.4 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 7.5 30.2 42.7 19.6 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 54.5% 10.7    2.6 8.1
10-4 13.5% 5.8    0.5 5.3
9-5 1.0% 0.3    0.2 0.1
8-6 0.0%
7-7
Total 16.7% 16.7 3.1 13.6 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 19.6% 23.5% 23.5% 13.1 0.0 0.6 3.0 1.0 0.0 15.0
10-4 42.7% 19.6% 19.6% 13.7 0.1 3.2 4.3 0.7 0.0 34.4
9-5 30.2% 15.6% 15.6% 14.1 0.0 0.8 2.7 1.3 0.0 25.5
8-6 7.5% 13.5% 13.5% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.0 6.5
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 18.7% 18.7% 0.0% 13.7 81.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.6% 100.0% 13.1 0.1 12.0 66.2 21.5 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 7.5%