High Point
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +6.1 90
Results Rating +5.4 94
Pace 73.1 67
Improvement -0.8 214

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 61 C+ B- B+ B+ B+
Defense C 157 C- C- A C D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 72 B 63% 75 +4.5 37
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% 313 D+ 35% 268 -3.5 338
Three Pointers 45% 110 C- 33% 237 +1.0 150
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ +1.3 32 C+ +0.7 140
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 110
Second Chance C+ 31.7% 146 B 1.15 42 B- 0.36 71
Turnovers B+ 13.9% 31
Freethrows B+ 0.36 35 B 76% 69 B+ 0.27 26
Total Offense B +5.8 61

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 45% 250 C- 11.6% 218
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 13% 344 C 5.5% 220
Three Pointers B- 89% 71 D 1.5% 317
Total C 56% 184 D+ 6.3% 265

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 143 C- 60% 247 +1.7 234
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 313 C- 39% 220 -1.5 72
Three Pointers 44% 88 C 34% 161 +1.3 242
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 290 C- +0.8 217
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 228
Second Chance C- 32.0% 251 C- 1.06 232 C- 0.34 255
Turnovers A 21.7% 11
Freethrows C 0.31 202 C+ 72% 126 C 0.22 191
Total Defense C +0.4 157

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 243 B- 13.6% 77
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 251 D 2.2% 326
Three Pointers D+ 88% 294 B 1.7% 48
Total D+ 60% 283 C+ 6.5% 100

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.8 42 17.8 268
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.26 12 0.17 197
Improvement -2.8 #310 +2.0 #76

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 101 91 78
Results Rating Rank 108 95 77
Conference Record 14 - 2 15 - 1 15 - 1
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None 13 12
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 58% 59% 56%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.4 12.3 12.7
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round58% 59% 56%
Second Round7% 7% 5%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 1%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Away) - 81.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 20 - 2
Quad 34 - 24 - 4
Quad 422 - 026 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 175 Furman W 97 - 71 75% +17  89% 1 - 0 A+ +25 A+ +18 A+ B- A+ B+ +6 C- C+ A+
 Tue, Nov 11 306 Jacksonville W 85 - 64 94% +11  80% 2 - 0 B +9 B +6 F+ C- A+ B +4 B C B+
 Fri, Nov 14 121 @UAB L 74 - 91 51% -3  21% 2 - 1 D -11 D -5 D D+ D D+ -4 F A- B
 Mon, Nov 17 344 Canisius W 93 - 50 97% +25  97% 3 - 1 A+ +28 A+ +18 A+ A- A+ A+ +12 A+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 109 Illinois-Chicago W 90 - 80 59% +6  96% 4 - 1 B+ +14 A+ +15 A- C A- C -1 D+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 22 269 Incarnate Word W 91 - 80 87% +5  61% 5 - 1 C+ +5 A+ +16 C+ A+ B+ F -10 C+ F C
 Sat, Nov 29 247 Western Carolina W 93 - 73 90% +7  62% 6 - 1 B+ +12 B +6 A+ F+ F+ B +5 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 125 Southern Illinois L 84 - 86 74% +3  60% 6 - 2 C- -2 B+ +9 B- B- A F -11 C F C-
 Fri, Dec 5 318 NJIT W 89 - 72 95% +12  97% 7 - 2 C+ +4 B- +5 D A A- C -1 F+ C- A+
 Sun, Dec 14 173 Appalachian St. L 78 - 86 OT 74% -2  30% 7 - 3 D -9 C- -2 D+ F A- D -6 F A- C
 Fri, Dec 19 200 La Salle W 84 - 72 85% +8  96% 8 - 3 B- +7 A +14 A B+ A D -6 D+ C+ C
 Mon, Dec 22 354 Bryant W 93 - 47 97% +27  94% 9 - 3 A+ +29 A+ +18 A A+ F A+ +15 B- C A+
 Wed, Dec 31 223 @UNC Asheville W 87 - 69 74% +11  96% 10 - 3 1 - 0 A- +17 A+ +17 A+ A C- C+ +2 B F+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 262 Longwood W 80 - 67 91% +7  90% 11 - 3 2 - 0 C+ +4 B +6 C B+ A- C -1 D- D B+
 Wed, Jan 7 364 Gardner-Webb W 104 - 49 99% +38  99% 12 - 3 3 - 0 A+ +33 B +6 D+ A- A- A+ +21 A+ C- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 268 @Charleston Southern W 84 - 82 OT 81% -2  27% 13 - 3 4 - 0 C -1 D+ -4 D+ D+ C+ B- +3 C+ B F+
 Wed, Jan 14 135 @Winthrop L 75 - 92 56% -15  3% 13 - 4 4 - 1 D- -12 C +0 C- F B F -12 F F D
 Sat, Jan 17 297 South Carolina Upstate W 89 - 69 94% +7  96% 14 - 4 5 - 1 B +9 A +13 C A+ A+ D+ -3 B F A-
 Fri, Jan 23 233 @Radford W 93 - 83 75% +1  55% 15 - 4 6 - 1 B +9 A +12 A D- A+ C- -3 F B- A+
 Thu, Jan 29 277 Presbyterian W 84 - 81 92% +2  66% 16 - 4 7 - 1 D+ -7 B +6 F+ B+ A+ F -12 F F B
 Sat, Jan 31 262 @Longwood W 71 - 59 80% +6  77% 17 - 4 8 - 1 B +9 C+ +3 D D A+ A- +7 B- C A+
 Wed, Feb 4 268 Charleston Southern W 80 - 55 92% +11  89% 18 - 4 9 - 1 A- +16 C -0 C+ B- C+ A+ +16 C- B+ A+
 Sat, Feb 7 233 Radford W 86 - 77 89% +3  85% 19 - 4 10 - 1 C+ +2 D+ -4 F+ D C B +5 B F+ A+
 Thu, Feb 12 297 @South Carolina Upstate W 95 - 70 85% +15  96% 20 - 4 11 - 1 A +20 A +13 D A+ A B+ +5 F C+ A+
 Sat, Feb 14 364 @Gardner-Webb W 112 - 87 97% +15  98% 21 - 4 12 - 1 B +9 A+ +18 A A- F F -11 F A+ F
 Thu, Feb 19 223 UNC Asheville W 74 - 48 88% +13  94% 22 - 4 13 - 1 A +19 C+ +3 D+ B- A- A+ +19 A+ B- A+
 Sat, Feb 21 135 Winthrop W 89 - 87 76% +8  95% 23 - 4 14 - 1 C +1 B +7 B+ B- C- D -6 B F D+
 Thu, Feb 26 277 @Presbyterian W 80 - 70 82%
Totals 24 - 4 15 - 1 +6 B +6 B+ C+ B+ C +0 C- B B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B D+ C- C+ 43% 25% 45% B+ C+ C+ B B- B+ B+ B B+ C C- C- C C- 40% 16% 44% D+ C- C- C- C- A C C+ C
1.17 63% 35% 33% +1 +1 1.06 32% 1.1 .36 14% .36 76% .27 1.08 60% 39% 34% +1 +1 1.05 32% 1.1 .34 22% .31 72% .26
Nov
3		 Furman A+ A+ C+ A- A+ 43% 28% 30% C- A+ D A+ B- A+ D+ F F+ B+ D- F+ B+ C- 40% 17% 44% C+ C- F A+ C+ A+ F F+ F
1.33 81% 41% 39% +13 -1 1.26 26% 1.3 .34 8% .22 53% .12 0.97 68% 50% 29% +3 +1 1.08 44% 0.6 .26 30% .37 74% .27
Nov
11		 Jacksonville B D F C F 48% 13% 38% B F+ D- B+ C- A+ A A A+ B B A+ B- B+ 32% 8% 60% D- B D B+ C B+ C C+ C
1.23 56% 14% 35% -4 +2 0.98 25% 1.1 .28 4% .46 77% .35 0.93 50% 0% 30% -9 +1 0.86 32% 0.9 .29 20% .29 69% .20
Nov
14		 UAB D A D- F D- 42% 18% 40% B- D C+ F+ D+ D A+ D+ A+ D+ D F C+ F 48% 27% 25% C F A- B+ A- B F F+ F
0.95 70% 30% 18% -6 +1 0.91 28% 0.7 .20 19% .49 71% .35 1.16 64% 50% 31% +5 0 1.12 26% 0.9 .24 14% .52 77% .40
Nov
17		 Canisius A+ A+ A+ B- A+ 37% 11% 53% B- A+ D- A+ A- A+ F A F A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 38% 25% 38% C A+ F D+ F A+ F A- F
1.40 81% 67% 37% +14 +1 1.32 26% 1.7 .44 9% .17 80% .13 0.75 33% 30% 20% -19 -1 0.63 39% 0.9 .37 32% .55 64% .35
Nov
20		 Illinois-Chicago A+ C+ F A+ A- 39% 11% 50% B A- C C+ C A- A+ A- A+ C F C+ A+ D+ 33% 23% 44% B- D+ F D F A+ F C+ F
1.23 59% 20% 41% +3 +1 1.11 34% 1.0 .34 16% .61 81% .49 1.10 81% 36% 24% +1 -1 1.02 48% 1.1 .55 25% .44 71% .31
Nov
22		 Incarnate Word A+ B+ A F+ C 56% 8% 35% A- C+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ F B- F+ B+ B- 32% 22% 46% C C+ F+ F F C F F+ F
1.39 67% 50% 29% +3 +3 1.15 54% 1.5 .82 12% .54 84% .45 1.22 50% 45% 30% -3 -1 0.94 38% 1.4 .54 15% .40 77% .31
Nov
29		 Western Carolina B A A+ A+ A+ 34% 21% 45% C- A+ C F F+ F+ B- D C+ B F F C- F 31% 24% 45% B F B A+ A+ A+ D A+ C
1.25 72% 64% 46% +18 0 1.38 29% 0.6 .18 19% .35 71% .25 0.98 75% 58% 35% +11 -1 1.22 30% 0.1 .03 26% .33 61% .20
Dec
3		 Southern Illinois B+ D- F A+ C+ 42% 15% 42% B B- C+ B- B- A A+ B+ A+ F C+ A+ F C+ 45% 24% 31% D C D F F C- A- D B+
1.13 50% 25% 41% -1 +1 1.02 30% 1.1 .33 15% .38 75% .29 1.16 58% 29% 39% 0 0 1.02 33% 1.8 .58 16% .23 71% .16
Dec
5		 NJIT B- C- F D- D- 49% 9% 42% A- D C A+ A A- C B- C+ C C+ F D F+ 22% 8% 69% F+ F+ B F C- A+ C+ D- C
1.21 57% 0% 29% -7 +2 0.93 34% 1.4 .49 11% .35 74% .26 0.98 55% 50% 35% +2 0 1.06 22% 1.1 .25 26% .29 75% .22
Dec
14		 Appalachian St. C- C- F D- 37% 0% 63% A D+ B- F F A- A+ F B- D A+ F F F 36% 13% 51% D+ F A+ C+ A- C F F F
1.03 55% 27% -8 +3 0.92 33% 0.5 .16 11% .40 56% .22 1.14 42% 57% 48% +8 +1 1.19 21% 1.0 .21 16% .41 73% .30
Dec
19		 La Salle A D+ F A+ A 36% 11% 53% B A D+ A+ B+ A A+ A A+ D C C+ D D+ 48% 26% 26% C- D+ B D+ C+ C F F F
1.28 53% 20% 48% +7 +1 1.19 26% 1.6 .42 12% .48 75% .36 1.10 55% 36% 36% -1 0 1.00 30% 1.0 .30 18% .60 81% .48
Dec
22		 Bryant A+ B A+ A- A 54% 5% 41% A A A+ A+ A+ F A+ D A+ A+ A- F A+ A- 54% 5% 41% F B- C C- C A+ D A+ C+
1.45 64% 100% 41% +10 +3 1.29 58% 1.5 .88 20% .63 69% .43 0.73 45% 100% 20% -12 +3 0.84 28% 1.0 .28 34% .31 62% .19
Dec
31		 UNC Asheville A+ A+ F A+ A+ 40% 19% 42% C- A+ F A+ A C- A+ B+ A+ C+ F A+ A+ B+ 32% 38% 30% C B B+ F F+ F F A- D
1.30 82% 25% 50% +17 0 1.37 19% 2.3 .43 16% .47 73% .34 1.03 81% 26% 20% -3 -3 0.90 24% 1.5 .36 12% .41 63% .25
Jan
3		 Longwood B A+ F F D+ 51% 8% 41% A- C D- A+ B+ A- B A- A- C D- A- C- D 44% 16% 40% F D- C- F+ D B+ A A A
1.21 77% 25% 24% +2 +3 1.12 22% 1.7 .37 15% .39 77% .30 1.01 65% 29% 33% +1 +1 1.07 33% 1.1 .36 23% .23 67% .16
Jan
7		 Gardner-Webb B D+ A+ F D- 48% 12% 40% B+ D+ B A- A- A- A B A A+ A+ F+ A+ A+ 36% 13% 52% C A+ B+ F C- A+ A+ A+ A+
1.31 59% 71% 29% +1 +2 1.08 40% 1.3 .50 11% .37 77% .28 0.62 40% 43% 17% -19 +1 0.66 18% 1.3 .23 30% .11 33% .04
Jan
10		 Charleston Southern D+ B- F C D 49% 25% 25% B- D+ C+ F D+ C+ A+ F A B- A+ F F+ C+ 46% 10% 44% D C+ A+ F B F+ B A- B
1.04 59% 13% 33% -6 0 0.90 31% 0.8 .25 11% .56 60% .33 1.01 41% 67% 39% -1 +2 1.03 19% 1.1 .21 15% .22 60% .13
Jan
14		 Winthrop C A F+ F D+ 35% 12% 53% B- C- C+ F F B A+ D+ A+ F F+ B- D+ F 44% 6% 50% F+ F C F F D F A F
1.06 71% 33% 27% -2 +1 1.00 32% 0.5 .15 14% .46 71% .33 1.31 64% 33% 36% +4 +2 1.14 33% 1.5 .52 13% .54 67% .36
Jan
17		 South Carolina Upstate A C A+ F+ C- 47% 15% 38% B- C B- A+ A+ A+ B C B- D+ A A+ C- B+ 38% 16% 46% D+ B F D+ F A- C D- D+
1.31 58% 50% 29% -2 +1 1.02 34% 1.8 .60 7% .33 71% .24 1.02 42% 25% 35% -8 +1 0.88 40% 1.0 .40 22% .30 75% .23
Jan
23		 Radford A A- F A+ A 37% 8% 55% B- A F A D- A+ A+ B A+ C- F+ D+ F F 43% 9% 47% F+ F D A B- A+ B C B-
1.26 68% 25% 43% +10 +2 1.25 21% 1.3 .28 10% .50 76% .38 1.13 65% 40% 40% +8 +2 1.21 32% 0.8 .26 24% .32 72% .23
Jan
29		 Presbyterian B D+ A F F 53% 11% 36% B+ F+ B B B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F D- C F F 39% 36% 25% A- F D- F F B F F F
1.22 55% 50% 20% -8 +2 0.91 36% 1.1 .40 6% .43 79% .34 1.18 65% 38% 55% +10 -2 1.18 37% 1.2 .44 22% .45 79% .35
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Longwood C+ B- F D- D- 50% 7% 43% A- D F A+ D A+ B- A+ A A- D+ A+ B- B 34% 23% 43% C+ B- D B+ C A+ A+ D A+
1.12 65% 0% 30% -2 +3 1.04 17% 1.2 .21 13% .38 81% .31 0.93 63% 18% 30% -6 -1 0.89 36% 0.8 .30 29% .20 78% .16
Feb
4		 Charleston Southern C B- F F C- 58% 15% 27% A+ C+ B- C+ B- C+ D+ B C- A+ F B- B C- 29% 7% 63% C C- F+ A+ B+ A+ A F B-
1.14 59% 25% 27% -4 +2 0.98 33% 1.1 .36 11% .32 75% .24 0.78 75% 33% 31% +2 +1 1.07 35% 0.6 .19 41% .17 86% .14
Feb
7		 Radford D+ C F F F 59% 4% 37% A+ F+ B- F D C A+ A+ A+ B D- F A+ A- 37% 8% 55% F+ B D F+ F+ A+ F A D
1.08 59% 0% 22% -8 +4 0.94 35% 0.8 .30 18% .57 84% .47 0.97 63% 50% 21% -8 +2 0.90 33% 1.2 .38 24% .46 64% .30
Feb
12		 South Carolina Upstate A D D+ F+ F+ 47% 5% 48% A- D B- A+ A+ A A- B+ A B+ F+ A+ D+ F+ 45% 11% 45% F F F A+ C+ A+ F C F
1.27 52% 33% 29% -7 +3 0.93 34% 1.8 .61 11% .37 76% .28 0.93 65% 25% 35% +2 +2 1.11 36% 0.7 .25 36% .62 70% .44
Feb
14		 Gardner-Webb A+ A+ A+ B+ A 33% 10% 57% C+ A A+ D- A- F A+ A+ A+ F D+ F F F 56% 11% 33% F F A+ A+ A+ F F A- F+
1.43 79% 67% 39% +14 +1 1.33 52% 0.9 .48 20% .47 90% .42 1.11 60% 67% 50% +12 +2 1.31 0% 0.0 .00 13% .38 62% .24
Feb
19		 UNC Asheville C+ C- A+ F D- 53% 2% 45% A+ D+ A D- B- A- C+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 26% 43% F A+ F A+ B- A+ B+ A+ A
1.15 56% 100% 26% -5 +3 0.98 42% 0.8 .33 12% .32 78% .25 0.75 43% 25% 25% -14 -1 0.72 36% 0.7 .24 25% .27 54% .14
Feb
21		 Winthrop B A- F B- B 38% 2% 60% A B+ C- A B- C- A+ A- A+ D B F A+ A 57% 2% 41% F B F F+ F D+ B C- B
1.20 67% 0% 36% +4 +2 1.15 28% 1.3 .38 18% .49 80% .39 1.18 48% 100% 25% -10 +4 0.90 42% 1.2 .51 14% .31 75% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 18.3 81.8 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 18.3 81.8 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 81.8    81.8
14-2 100.0% 18.3    7.9 10.3
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 89.7 10.3



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 81.8% 58.9% 58.9% 0.0% 12.3 2.0 28.2 17.2 0.8 33.6 0.0%
14-2 18.3% 55.6% 55.6% 12.7 0.1 3.6 5.5 0.9 0.0 8.1
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 58.3% 58.3% 0.0% 12.4 41.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 48.1% 100.0% 12.3 4.2 58.5 35.6 1.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 15.6% 0.0% 11.0 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 10.1%
Lose Out 1.8%