Le Moyne
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -8.2 300
Results Rating -8.2 296
Pace 72.2 82
Improvement -1.5 240

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 300 C D F+ C+ B-
Defense D+ 275 C C- D C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 141 C 59% 157 +1.0 139
2 Pt. Jumpers 33% 226 C- 37% 210 -1.6 261
Three Pointers 43% 138 C 33% 208 +0.8 153
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 103 C -0.3 183
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 167
Second Chance D- 24.5% 331 C- 1.00 221 D 0.24 321
Turnovers F+ 20.2% 343
Freethrows B- 0.33 99 C- 71% 242 C+ 0.23 129
Total Offense D -4.9 300

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 47% 212 C- 11.7% 222
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 209 C- 6.2% 260
Three Pointers B 89% 63 D+ 1.2% 276
Total C+ 57% 138 C- 6.2% 250

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 191 C+ 55% 110 -1.1 133
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 261 A 30% 5 -2.4 20
Three Pointers 44% 97 D 37% 313 +3.4 326
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 227 C -0.4 169
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 176
Second Chance C- 31.5% 224 D+ 1.08 264 C- 0.34 256
Turnovers D 14.2% 328
Freethrows C 0.31 211 D+ 74% 275 C- 0.23 230
Total Defense D+ -3.3 275

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 239 C- 10.4% 193
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 22% 106 B- 6.4% 84
Three Pointers C- 86% 245 D+ 0.4% 279
Total D+ 61% 295 C 5.3% 194

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.9 126 16.8 96
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 166 0.20 284
Improvement -5.2 #355 +3.7 #28

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 312 300 285
Results Rating Rank 316 297 273
Conference Record 9 - 7 10 - 6 11 - 5
Conference Finish 5 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 34% 47% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Home) - 72.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 414 - 914 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Thu, Nov 6 84 @Xavier L 69 - 74 6% -4  25% 0 - 1 B- +5 C- -1 A+ F F B+ +6 C- A A-
 Sun, Nov 9 166 @Bowling Green L 60 - 83 16% -6  17% 0 - 2 F -20 F -12 D+ D+ F D- -8 D+ A F
 Thu, Nov 13 185 @Massachusetts L 80 - 94 18% -11  1% 0 - 3 D- -13 D+ -2 D C- A- F+ -9 F D C-
 Mon, Nov 17 336 Niagara W 74 - 68 74% +4  88% 1 - 3 D -9 D -5 B- F F D+ -4 D+ C D
 Sat, Nov 22 264 Fairfield L 83 - 97 53% -12  2% 1 - 4 F -23 C +1 D A+ F F -24 F F F
 Fri, Nov 28 322 @Lafayette W 76 - 63 47% +1  54% 2 - 4 B- +6 C- -1 D A+ D- B+ +6 B+ C B-
 Sat, Nov 29 199 Monmouth W 83 - 79 28% +1  58% 3 - 4 C+ +2 A- +10 A C D+ F+ -8 A F F
 Sun, Nov 30 313 Ball St. L 85 - 96 54% -0  48% 3 - 5 F -20 A- +11 A+ F A- F -32 D F C
 Sat, Dec 6 359 @Binghamton W 78 - 63 68% +10  98% 4 - 5 C+ +2 C +0 B D+ F+ B- +3 B+ C- D
 Tue, Dec 16 29 @Texas L 53 - 95 2% -18  0% 4 - 6 F -24 F -21 F C- D- C -0 B- F+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 142 @St. Bonaventure L 81 - 92 13% -2  25% 4 - 7 D+ -7 B +7 D+ A C+ F -15 D- F+ F
 Sun, Dec 28 139 @Boston College L 64 - 72 13% -2  15% 4 - 8 C- -4 F+ -9 C- D+ F B+ +5 D+ A+ C
 Fri, Jan 2 355 @St. Francis (PA) W 84 - 58 64% +9  72% 5 - 8 1 - 0 B+ +14 B +6 A- B+ D- A +9 B+ A F+
 Sun, Jan 4 290 @Mercyhurst L 60 - 74 36% -8  8% 5 - 9 1 - 1 F -19 F -11 F B- C- F+ -9 C- F D+
 Thu, Jan 8 321 New Haven W 73 - 47 69% +16  94% 6 - 9 2 - 1 B+ +13 B- +4 B C B+ A+ +12 A B B
 Sat, Jan 10 303 Central Connecticut St. L 59 - 69 62% -6  6% 6 - 10 2 - 2 F -21 F -24 F D- F B- +3 A C C
 Sat, Jan 17 347 @Chicago St. W 72 - 57 57% -0  27% 7 - 10 3 - 2 B- +5 D- -7 D C D+ A+ +12 D+ A+ A-
 Mon, Jan 19 219 LIU Brooklyn W 83 - 77 43% +4  79% 8 - 10 4 - 2 C -0 B- +4 A+ F D+ D -5 A- F F+
 Fri, Jan 23 320 Wagner W 69 - 67 69% -2  26% 9 - 10 5 - 2 D -11 D+ -3 F A- C+ F+ -8 F B- C
 Mon, Jan 26 333 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 87 - 74 51% +13  97% 10 - 10 6 - 2 C+ +5 A +12 A+ F D- D -6 A+ F F
 Thu, Jan 29 219 @LIU Brooklyn L 61 - 83 23% -11  2% 10 - 11 6 - 3 F -22 F -18 F F D- C- -3 D B- C-
 Sat, Jan 31 341 Stonehill L 54 - 65 75% -5  2% 10 - 12 6 - 4 F -26 F -24 F F F C- -2 C+ A+ F
 Thu, Feb 5 320 @Wagner L 78 - 79 46% -1  36% 10 - 13 6 - 5 D -8 C +1 A F+ F F+ -9 F F+ C+
 Sat, Feb 7 355 St. Francis (PA) W 86 - 84 82% -3  25% 11 - 13 7 - 5 F+ -16 D- -6 A+ F F F -10 D F+ D-
 Thu, Feb 12 290 Mercyhurst W 58 - 57 59% +1  53% 12 - 13 8 - 5 D -10 F -20 D+ F F A +11 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 347 Chicago St. W 81 - 63 77% +6  83% 13 - 13 9 - 5 C+ +2 C- -1 B+ F B+ B- +3 A- D+ D-
 Thu, Feb 19 303 @Central Connecticut St. L 77 - 78 39% -8  0% 13 - 14 9 - 6 D+ -6 D+ -3 A- F F D+ -3 F A F
 Sat, Feb 21 341 @Stonehill L 68 - 77 54% -5  20% 13 - 15 9 - 7 F -18 D- -6 D D F F -12 D C- F
 Thu, Feb 26 333 Fairleigh Dickinson W 75 - 69 72%
 Sat, Feb 28 321 @New Haven L 68 - 69 46%
Totals 14 - 16 10 - 8 -8 D -5 F C B- D+ -3 C C- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D C C- C C 40% 33% 43% B- C D- C- D F+ B- C- C+ D+ C+ A D C 38% 18% 44% C- C C- D+ C- D C D+ C-
1.02 59% 37% 33% 0 +1 1.02 24% 1.0 .24 20% .33 71% .23 1.13 55% 30% 37% 0 0 1.02 31% 1.1 .34 14% .31 74% .24
Nov
6		 Xavier C- A+ B A A+ 45% 14% 41% A- A+ D- F F F D F F+ B+ A A+ F C- 31% 25% 44% C C- C+ A+ A A- D+ B C
1.01 73% 43% 40% +11 +1 1.27 19% 0.0 .00 26% .24 58% .14 1.08 50% 23% 52% +6 -1 1.12 26% 0.6 .16 16% .28 69% .19
Nov
9		 Bowling Green F D- A+ F+ D 35% 11% 54% B- D+ B+ F D+ F F+ A+ C D- A+ F F C- 57% 10% 33% F+ D+ C A+ A F B F D+
0.85 50% 60% 28% -5 +1 0.93 34% 0.7 .25 34% .26 92% .24 1.18 42% 67% 47% +1 +3 1.09 27% 0.4 .11 9% .26 94% .25
Nov
13		 Massachusetts D+ C- F D D- 46% 9% 46% A- D D- A C- A- B- F C- F+ D D- F F 41% 20% 39% C- F F B D C- C+ F D
1.05 58% 20% 31% -4 +2 0.98 22% 1.3 .27 13% .42 64% .27 1.23 64% 45% 43% +9 0 1.20 39% 1.1 .42 18% .32 80% .26
Nov
17		 Niagara D C+ F A+ B 29% 22% 49% D+ B- F F F F A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ F D- 29% 20% 51% A- D+ B F+ C D C- F+ D
1.10 62% 30% 45% +8 -1 1.16 23% 0.3 .07 19% .41 91% .37 1.01 33% 20% 50% +1 -1 1.04 18% 1.0 .18 16% .25 79% .20
Nov
22		 Fairfield C D+ F B+ D- 49% 11% 40% B- D A A+ A+ F A+ F A+ F F C F F 47% 25% 28% C- F F D+ F F F F F
1.18 55% 0% 39% -3 +2 1.00 40% 1.6 .66 21% .54 67% .36 1.37 68% 38% 47% +10 0 1.23 41% 1.0 .41 10% .36 87% .31
Nov
28		 Lafayette C- B+ D F D 41% 29% 29% D+ D B- A+ A+ D- B C B B+ B- A+ D+ B 29% 20% 51% A- B+ B- D C B- C- F D
1.10 67% 33% 27% -1 -1 0.98 35% 1.5 .55 17% .33 74% .25 0.91 53% 0% 35% -8 -1 0.84 23% 1.0 .23 19% .30 76% .23
Nov
29		 Monmouth A- A A+ B- A 40% 9% 51% B A D- A+ C D+ A+ A- A+ F+ B B- A+ A+ 38% 28% 34% C+ A F+ F F F F+ D+ F+
1.21 71% 50% 36% +8 +2 1.21 25% 1.3 .32 20% .51 79% .40 1.16 50% 33% 22% -10 -1 0.79 38% 1.7 .63 12% .36 77% .28
Nov
30		 Ball St. A- A+ F A+ A+ 25% 15% 60% C A+ D- F F A- A- A- A F C- A+ D D- 35% 16% 49% C- D F F F C F C- F
1.26 75% 29% 48% +16 0 1.33 28% 0.7 .20 15% .35 85% .30 1.42 56% 13% 36% -3 0 0.96 51% 1.5 .74 16% .50 71% .35
Dec
6		 Binghamton C D+ F A+ B- 64% 11% 26% A B D- B- D+ F+ C D- D+ B- A+ A+ D- A 52% 8% 40% F B+ F+ B+ C- D D+ C- D+
1.18 57% 0% 67% +8 +3 1.23 26% 1.1 .30 15% .32 67% .21 0.95 40% 0% 37% -11 +3 0.85 26% 0.7 .18 18% .39 76% .29
Dec
16		 Texas F F D- F F 29% 38% 33% F F C- C- C- D- B+ B- B+ C B- F B B+ 41% 6% 54% F B- F B- F+ B+ B- C+ B-
0.72 40% 30% 12% -19 -3 0.58 22% 0.9 .20 18% .38 74% .28 1.29 59% 100% 31% +1 +2 1.09 49% 1.2 .57 18% .38 74% .28
Dec
20		 St. Bonaventure B C+ D D D 39% 12% 49% B D+ C+ A+ A C+ A+ B- A+ F A A+ F D 40% 12% 49% F D- D+ F F+ F F C- F
1.19 60% 33% 32% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.5 .46 16% .42 79% .33 1.35 47% 20% 52% +7 +1 1.19 38% 1.2 .44 12% .58 77% .45
Dec
28		 Boston College F+ C- F D+ D 44% 15% 42% B+ C- C+ F D+ F B- F C B+ B- A F D+ 33% 27% 40% B- D+ B+ A+ A+ C F C F+
0.88 54% 13% 30% -8 +1 0.89 29% 0.7 .19 21% .33 58% .19 0.99 53% 29% 43% +1 -1 1.02 26% 0.6 .17 15% .37 65% .24
Jan
2		 St. Francis (PA) B B- C A+ A 38% 17% 45% C- A- B B B+ D- F F F A B+ A+ C+ B+ 24% 28% 48% A- B+ C- A+ A F+ F A+ C-
1.25 67% 38% 52% +16 0 1.34 38% 1.3 .48 21% .26 57% .15 0.86 50% 21% 33% -7 -2 0.84 28% 0.5 .14 15% .35 55% .19
Jan
4		 Mercyhurst F D C+ F F 46% 16% 38% C+ F C+ B- B- C- F F F F+ A D- D- C- 38% 32% 30% D+ C- F F+ F D+ F F F
0.94 52% 38% 16% -13 +1 0.78 35% 1.1 .38 19% .27 57% .15 1.16 44% 47% 36% -2 -1 0.96 38% 1.2 .47 14% .35 84% .29
Jan
8		 New Haven B- A+ D F B 37% 14% 49% C B C C C B+ A+ F A A+ A- A+ B+ A+ 33% 19% 49% C- A C A B B F A+ C-
1.19 88% 33% 29% +6 +1 1.16 29% 1.1 .32 13% .45 63% .28 0.77 50% 13% 29% -11 0 0.79 22% 0.8 .16 21% .39 47% .19
Jan
10		 Central Connecticut St. F F D F F 51% 6% 43% A- F D- C- D- F C+ A B B- C F A+ A 24% 39% 37% A- A F A C C F D+ F
0.83 37% 33% 17% -22 +3 0.64 25% 1.0 .25 18% .28 88% .24 0.97 58% 47% 17% -6 -3 0.84 34% 0.8 .26 17% .44 81% .36
Jan
17		 Chicago St. D- C+ A+ F F+ 42% 6% 52% B D F A+ C D+ A- C+ A- A+ A- A- F C+ 53% 20% 27% F D+ A+ D+ A+ A- A A+ A+
1.05 65% 100% 24% -1 +2 1.04 18% 2.2 .39 20% .40 77% .31 0.83 44% 30% 43% -5 +1 0.94 12% 1.0 .12 20% .16 56% .09
Jan
19		 LIU Brooklyn B- C+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 20% 39% C- A+ F A+ F D+ A+ C+ A+ D C A+ B- B+ 41% 32% 27% B+ A- F F F F+ A A+ A+
1.17 59% 63% 56% +18 0 1.39 9% 2.0 .17 20% .54 71% .38 1.08 58% 26% 31% -5 -1 0.90 42% 1.2 .51 17% .20 50% .10
Jan
23		 Wagner D+ F+ F F F 45% 14% 40% C+ F A- B- A- C+ A+ C- A+ F+ D D F F 45% 16% 39% F F C- B+ B- C B- A+ A-
1.13 47% 17% 29% -11 +1 0.83 38% 1.1 .44 13% .64 71% .45 1.10 60% 43% 41% +6 +1 1.16 33% 0.9 .30 20% .25 58% .14
Jan
26		 Fairleigh Dickinson A C A A+ A+ 44% 10% 46% A- A+ F C+ F D- A+ A- A+ D B A A+ A+ 40% 13% 46% F+ A+ F+ F F F F F F
1.31 61% 50% 63% +23 +2 1.51 14% 1.0 .14 18% .51 79% .40 1.11 52% 29% 8% -21 +1 0.62 37% 1.2 .46 8% .50 84% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 LIU Brooklyn F F D F F 53% 6% 41% A F F F F D- A+ F+ A- C- D A+ D- D+ 43% 16% 41% D- D A+ F B- C- F F F
0.81 46% 33% 20% -15 +3 0.78 24% 0.6 .15 21% .45 63% .29 1.10 64% 25% 38% +3 +1 1.10 23% 1.3 .29 20% .43 77% .33
Jan
31		 Stonehill F F A- F F 43% 19% 38% C+ F F F F F F+ F F C- A+ F C+ B- 45% 13% 42% F+ C+ B+ A+ A+ F D- F F
0.76 36% 45% 27% -12 +1 0.79 14% 0.5 .07 17% .22 62% .13 0.91 32% 71% 30% -10 +2 0.85 23% 0.4 .09 11% .28 78% .22
Feb
5		 Wagner C A A+ F A 54% 15% 30% B A F D+ F+ F C B- C+ F+ F C- D F 43% 22% 35% D+ F B+ F F+ C+ F F F
1.14 68% 86% 29% +10 +2 1.26 21% 1.0 .21 20% .37 75% .28 1.15 70% 40% 38% +7 0 1.17 27% 1.6 .42 20% .37 80% .29
Feb
7		 St. Francis (PA) D- A+ D A+ A+ 55% 7% 38% A A+ F F F F A+ D A+ F A+ A F F+ 29% 29% 43% B+ D D+ F F+ D- F A- F
1.12 87% 33% 44% +21 +3 1.50 23% 0.8 .18 27% .56 68% .38 1.09 38% 25% 54% +3 -2 1.05 29% 1.2 .34 16% .42 63% .26
Feb
12		 Mercyhurst F A D+ F D+ 51% 19% 30% C+ D+ F+ F F F C- F F A A- A A+ A+ 23% 33% 44% B- A+ A C- B+ F B F C+
0.84 71% 33% 14% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.4 .11 26% .35 56% .20 0.83 46% 32% 20% -14 -3 0.68 19% 1.1 .21 9% .17 82% .14
Feb
14		 Chicago St. C- A+ F A+ A- 35% 10% 55% C B+ F B+ F B+ B- D C B- D- A+ A+ A- 31% 36% 34% C+ A- B+ F D+ D- A A+ A+
1.18 76% 0% 44% +11 +1 1.27 14% 1.3 .17 16% .36 71% .26 0.91 61% 19% 25% -10 -2 0.76 23% 1.3 .30 13% .17 60% .10
Feb
19		 Central Connecticut St. D+ D- B+ A+ A 42% 21% 37% D A- F F F F B- D C+ D+ F F C F 21% 32% 48% B- F A+ B+ A F A+ F A+
1.09 50% 45% 53% +8 0 1.19 19% 0.7 .13 17% .29 76% .22 1.10 77% 55% 33% +9 -3 1.14 17% 0.8 .14 13% .02 100% .02
Feb
21		 Stonehill D- F+ A+ F D 33% 18% 49% C- D D D+ D F A+ D A+ F D- A- B D 43% 19% 39% C- D C- C- C- F F C- F
0.97 47% 56% 28% -5 0 0.92 24% 1.0 .24 20% .43 67% .28 1.09 61% 30% 29% -3 +1 0.96 29% 0.9 .26 9% .37 71% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 1.2 17.8 19.0 2nd
3rd 0.5 30.6 16.2 47.3 3rd
4th 4.5 16.6 21.1 4th
5th 8.8 2.2 11.1 5th
6th 1.5 1.5 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 15.3 50.7 34.1 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 34.1% 34.1
10-6 50.7% 50.7
9-7 15.3% 15.3
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 34.1%
Lose Out 15.3%