Lehigh
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -9.8 #320
Expected Predictive Rating -13.6 #338
Pace 68.3 #214
Improvement -2.0 #285

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #335 D+ F D- C- D-
Defense #266 C D- C D B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% #337 1.12 #223 -4.9 #326
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #81 0.81 #110 +2.8 #57
Three Pointers 43% #144 0.95 #256 -0.2 #188
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #244 -2.4 #244
Freethrows 16.1 #250 72% #199 11.6 #241
Second Chance 23.0% #346 1.03 #209 0.24 #328
Turnovers 19.1% #314
Total Offense -6.7 #335

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #82 1.12 #130 -1.5 #236
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #40 0.87 #324 -3.7 #355
Three Pointers 31% #361 1.06 #255 +4.1 #46
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #214 -1.0 #215
Freethrows 19.9 #308 73% #223 14.6 #54
Second Chance 35.7% #333 1.09 #238 0.39 #319
Turnovers 16.9% #163
Total Defense -3.0 #266

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.5% #322 -0.8% #97
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -2.2% #214 2.9% #236
Possession Length 17.6 #204 16.8 #111
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #96 0.19 #254
Improvement -2.1 #305 +0.2 #177

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 3.8% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.2% 3.6% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 23.0% 44.7% 18.6%
Conference Champion 0.4% 1.6% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 22.7% 9.3% 25.4%
First Four2.6% 3.5% 2.4%
First Round1.4% 2.0% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colgate (Away) - 16.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 49 - 129 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 11 @Houston L 57 - 75 1%  -15  0 - 1 +4 -2 D+ D- B +6 A F A+
 Sun, Nov 9 67 @West Virginia L 47 - 69 3%  -18  0 - 2 -10 -15 C- F F +3 C+ D+ A+
 Fri, Nov 14 131 @Rutgers L 72 - 84 9%  -4  0 - 3 -7 +2 C F A+ -9 F D D+
 Tue, Nov 18 361 St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 62 80%  +9  1 - 3 -2 -6 D D+ F +4 B F A+
 Fri, Nov 21 139 Columbia L 67 - 82 22%  -9  1 - 4 -17 -5 C+ D- C -12 D+ F C+
 Tue, Nov 25 140 @Marist L 55 - 78 10%  -13  1 - 5 -19 -9 F C- A+ -11 F B F
 Fri, Nov 28 181 UC Santa Barbara L 70 - 72 22%  +1  1 - 6 -3 -0 D C- D- -4 A+ C F
 Sat, Nov 29 268 Texas St. W 78 - 74 OT 37%  -1  2 - 6 -2 +3 A+ F C -5 C- D+ C+
 Tue, Dec 2 359 @Binghamton L 71 - 80 OT 59%  -1  2 - 7 -21 -10 F F F -11 F A D
 Sat, Dec 6 209 LIU Brooklyn L 82 - 87 34%  -7  2 - 8 -11 +2 C A+ F -12 C+ F C-
 Sun, Dec 21 194 @Monmouth L 62 - 76 16%  -7  2 - 9 -13 -7 B+ F F -7 F A A+
 Wed, Dec 31 330 Army L 78 - 85 OT 65%  -3  2 - 10 0 - 1 -21 -9 C F C -11 D+ F A-
 Sat, Jan 3 314 @Bucknell L 65 - 72 37%  +8  2 - 11 0 - 2 -13 -11 F C F -2 A+ F C
 Wed, Jan 7 326 Holy Cross W 66 - 58 63%  +5  3 - 11 1 - 2 -5 -6 C- D- F +2 B A- F
 Sat, Jan 10 205 @Colgate L 66 - 76 17% 
 Wed, Jan 14 258 @Boston University L 67 - 74 25% 
 Sat, Jan 17 193 Navy L 67 - 72 34% 
 Mon, Jan 19 336 Loyola Maryland W 75 - 71 65% 
 Sat, Jan 24 318 Lafayette W 73 - 70 60% 
 Wed, Jan 28 330 @Army L 70 - 72 42% 
 Sat, Jan 31 205 Colgate L 69 - 73 35% 
 Wed, Feb 4 336 @Loyola Maryland L 72 - 74 44% 
 Sat, Feb 7 326 @Holy Cross L 67 - 70 40% 
 Wed, Feb 11 241 American L 70 - 72 41% 
 Sat, Feb 14 318 @Lafayette L 70 - 73 38% 
 Wed, Feb 18 193 @Navy L 64 - 75 17% 
 Sat, Feb 21 258 Boston University L 70 - 71 46% 
 Wed, Feb 25 241 @American L 67 - 75 22% 
 Sat, Feb 28 314 Bucknell W 69 - 67 59% 
Totals 9 - 20 7 - 11 -10 -7 D+ F D- -3 C D- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.2 3.2 1.0 0.1 8.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.7 5.4 1.3 0.1 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.8 5.4 6.9 1.8 0.1 15.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 4.7 7.4 2.3 0.2 15.1 7th
8th 0.5 3.8 7.3 3.2 0.2 14.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.6 6.7 3.4 0.3 14.9 9th
10th 0.3 1.5 3.7 4.8 2.3 0.3 0.0 12.9 10th
Total 0.3 1.6 4.5 8.9 13.4 16.4 17.2 14.9 11.0 6.6 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 64.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 41.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 8.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.4% 17.9% 17.9% 16.0 0.1 0.3
12-6 1.4% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.3
11-7 3.4% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 0.3 3.1
10-8 6.6% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 0.4 6.2
9-9 11.0% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.7 10.4
8-10 14.9% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.5 14.4
7-11 17.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.3 16.9
6-12 16.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 16.3
5-13 13.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.3
4-14 8.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.8
3-15 4.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.4
2-16 1.6% 1.6
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 16.0 97.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%