Lehigh
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -8.2 #301
Expected Predictive Rating -8.4 #297
Pace 67.5 #218
Improvement +1.8 #107

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #314 C- D- D+ C- D+
Defense #257 C D+ C C- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #312 1.08 #272 -4.2 #318
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #89 0.79 #124 +2.0 #77
Three Pointers 42% #168 1.04 #151 +0.8 #146
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #219 -1.4 #218
Freethrows 0.27 #284 74% #140 0.20 #258
Second Chance 21.9% #353 0.98 #238 0.22 #350
Turnovers 18.4% #289
Total Offense -5.6 #314

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #48 1.10 #107 -1.8 #241
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #68 0.90 #351 -3.1 #352
Three Pointers 32% #358 1.05 #232 +4.0 #37
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #212 -1.0 #212
Freethrows 0.32 #227 73% #215 0.23 #236
Second Chance 35.0% #324 1.04 #196 0.36 #298
Turnovers 16.4% #197
Total Defense -2.6 #257

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.7% #295 -0.1% #153
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.1% #188 2.0% #219
Possession Length 17.8 #230 16.7 #91
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #107 0.19 #249
Improvement -0.3 #199 +2.2 #64

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 7.3% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 5.0% 9.1% 1.9%
.500 or above in Conference 73.8% 88.6% 62.2%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.1% 2.7%
First Four5.1% 5.8% 4.5%
First Round3.4% 4.6% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Maryland (Away) - 43.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 411 - 1012 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 6 @Houston L 57 - 75 1% -15  0 - 1 +7 -3 D+ D B +9 A C+ A+
 Sun, Nov 9 57 @West Virginia L 47 - 69 4% -18  0 - 2 -10 -13 C- F F +2 C+ C- A-
 Fri, Nov 14 114 @Rutgers L 72 - 84 10% -4  0 - 3 -6 +2 C F+ A+ -8 F+ D C-
 Tue, Nov 18 357 St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 62 81% +9  1 - 3 -0 -6 D+ C- D +5 B F A+
 Fri, Nov 21 183 Columbia L 67 - 82 36% -9  1 - 4 -20 -7 C- D C -12 D F C+
 Tue, Nov 25 161 @Marist L 55 - 78 15% -13  1 - 5 -20 -9 F C- A+ -12 F C+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 130 UC Santa Barbara L 70 - 72 17% +1  1 - 6 -0 +2 C- C D+ -3 A+ C F+
 Sat, Nov 29 259 Texas St. W 78 - 74 OT 40% -1  2 - 6 -2 +4 A+ F C- -6 C- D C+
 Tue, Dec 2 361 @Binghamton L 71 - 80 OT 68% -1  2 - 7 -22 -10 F D- D- -12 F B+ D+
 Sat, Dec 6 195 LIU Brooklyn L 82 - 87 39% -7  2 - 8 -10 +4 C A+ F -14 C- F C-
 Sun, Dec 21 207 @Monmouth L 62 - 76 22% -7  2 - 9 -14 -6 B+ F F -9 F A- B+
 Wed, Dec 31 336 Army L 78 - 85 OT 72% -3  2 - 10 0 - 1 -21 -11 D+ F B- -10 C- F B+
 Sat, Jan 3 315 @Bucknell L 65 - 72 43% +3  2 - 11 0 - 2 -13 -13 F C F -0 A+ F D-
 Wed, Jan 7 323 Holy Cross W 66 - 58 68% +5  3 - 11 1 - 2 -5 -6 C F+ F +2 B B+ D-
 Sat, Jan 10 222 @Colgate W 78 - 77 23% +2  4 - 11 2 - 2 +1 +10 B D+ A -9 C- C- C-
 Wed, Jan 14 290 @Boston University W 93 - 91 OT 36% +6  5 - 11 3 - 2 -2 +6 C- F+ A+ -8 D- A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 179 Navy L 79 - 82 2OT 35% +0  5 - 12 3 - 3 -7 -1 D+ F A+ -6 C+ F C+
 Mon, Jan 19 318 Loyola Maryland W 88 - 81 67% -2  6 - 12 4 - 3 -6 +10 B+ D- B- -16 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 24 310 Lafayette W 64 - 59 64% +7  7 - 12 5 - 3 -7 -10 D- D+ F +3 B+ C D
 Wed, Jan 28 336 @Army L 64 - 67 50% -3  7 - 13 5 - 4 -11 -12 F+ F F +1 C C+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 222 Colgate W 77 - 76 OT 43% +1  8 - 13 6 - 4 -5 -2 A D+ F -4 B F B+
 Wed, Feb 4 318 @Loyola Maryland L 72 - 74 44%
 Sat, Feb 7 323 @Holy Cross L 69 - 70 45%
 Wed, Feb 11 244 American L 70 - 71 48%
 Sat, Feb 14 310 @Lafayette L 70 - 72 43%
 Wed, Feb 18 179 @Navy L 63 - 73 17%
 Sat, Feb 21 290 Boston University W 72 - 70 58%
 Wed, Feb 25 244 @American L 67 - 73 27%
 Sat, Feb 28 315 Bucknell W 72 - 68 66%
Totals 11 - 18 9 - 9 -8 -6 C- D- D+ -3 C D+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 4.4 3.8 1.1 0.1 10.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.1 9.5 9.0 2.3 0.1 23.1 3rd
4th 0.0 2.4 15.6 12.9 2.7 0.1 33.6 4th
5th 0.3 7.8 6.8 0.6 15.4 5th
6th 2.0 5.6 0.7 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.1 3.5 1.2 4.8 7th
8th 0.6 1.7 0.1 2.3 8th
9th 0.6 0.2 0.8 9th
10th 0.2 0.0 0.2 10th
Total 1.5 7.7 17.1 25.1 24.1 16.2 6.5 1.6 0.2 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 54.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-5 28.6% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1
12-6 3.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.2% 18.2% 18.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 1.6% 21.3% 21.3% 15.7 0.1 0.3 1.3
12-6 6.5% 10.8% 10.8% 15.9 0.1 0.7 5.8
11-7 16.2% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 1.3 14.8
10-8 24.1% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 1.7 22.4
9-9 25.1% 4.8% 4.8% 16.0 1.2 23.9
8-10 17.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.5 16.7
7-11 7.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 7.6
6-12 1.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.5
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 16.0 94.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%