Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -0.8 #170
Expected Predictive Rating -1.7 #196
Pace 68.9 #176
Improvement -6.4 #361

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #254 C C- D+ D- D+
Defense #102 B C C C+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #319 1.21 #113 -2.4 #264
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #114 0.73 #209 +0.9 #122
Three Pointers 43% #137 1.04 #147 +1.7 #119
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #169 +0.2 #167
Freethrows 0.25 #323 66% #343 0.17 #347
Second Chance 26.4% #295 1.08 #102 0.29 #246
Turnovers 18.1% #273
Total Offense -3.1 #254

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #188 0.99 #20 +3.2 #75
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #41 0.75 #165 -2.0 #322
Three Pointers 35% #329 0.97 #113 +3.7 #45
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #45 +4.8 #46
Freethrows 0.28 #124 74% #269 0.21 #149
Second Chance 32.8% #276 0.98 #111 0.32 #207
Turnovers 16.2% #208
Total Defense +2.3 #102

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.6% #288 -1.4% #65
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 2.0% #141 -8.2% #43
Possession Length 17.1 #156 17.4 #209
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #160 0.13 #46
Improvement -1.5 #273 -4.9 #359

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 14.0 n/a
.500 or above 11.9% 28.6% 7.9%
.500 or above in Conference 0.6% 3.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.6% 5.1% 18.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Francisco (Away) - 19.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 35 - 56 - 13
Quad 47 - 414 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 245 Eastern Washington W 70 - 62 75% +1  1 - 0 +0 -9 F+ B D+ +9 B+ A+ C
 Sat, Nov 8 331 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94 - 72 88% +9  2 - 0 +8 +13 A+ F+ A+ -5 C- C- C
 Tue, Nov 11 257 @UTEP W 71 - 58 56% +3  3 - 0 +11 +6 A A+ F +6 B+ B+ F+
 Fri, Nov 14 140 Troy W 74 - 63 54% +3  4 - 0 +9 +1 B+ F B- +9 B B+ A+
 Mon, Nov 17 130 @UC Santa Barbara W 78 - 74 OT 29% -3  5 - 0 +9 +1 C D D+ +7 A+ C- F
 Mon, Nov 24 109 Florida Atlantic L 65 - 76 34% -7  5 - 1 -7 -1 C- D- B- -8 D C B-
 Tue, Nov 25 199 Ohio W 70 - 58 57% +4  6 - 1 +9 -6 D- C- F +15 A+ B A+
 Fri, Nov 28 217 Stony Brook L 68 - 71 70% -6  6 - 2 -9 -6 D+ B F -4 C+ C- D
 Tue, Dec 2 24 Saint Louis L 70 - 91 10% -12  6 - 3 -8 -3 C+ C D -3 B+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 138 UC San Diego L 57 - 67 53% -3  6 - 4 -12 -16 C F F +5 B- D+ A+
 Fri, Dec 19 326 North Alabama W 91 - 57 87% +22  7 - 4 +21 +12 B+ A+ B- +9 A+ A F
 Tue, Dec 23 354 Morgan St. W 83 - 56 92% +16  8 - 4 +10 +2 B+ C- F+ +8 A+ F A+
 Sun, Dec 28 42 St. Mary's L 73 - 78 18% -1  8 - 5 0 - 1 +4 +18 A A+ A -15 D+ F F
 Tue, Dec 30 125 Pacific W 80 - 71 50% -1  9 - 5 1 - 1 +8 +7 A+ F B- +1 A+ C- C-
 Fri, Jan 2 122 @Washington St. L 76 - 78 27% +1  9 - 6 1 - 2 +4 +4 C- D+ B+ -0 D+ A+ C-
 Sun, Jan 4 11 @Gonzaga L 47 - 82 3% -15  9 - 7 1 - 3 -12 -14 F D B- +1 C+ C+ D
 Thu, Jan 8 97 San Francisco W 84 - 82 2OT 38% +1  10 - 7 2 - 3 +4 +1 C+ D A- +3 A+ C- C
 Sat, Jan 10 46 @Santa Clara L 72 - 103 8% -17  10 - 8 2 - 4 -16 -1 D C+ C -13 C+ D- F
 Wed, Jan 14 184 @Oregon St. L 70 - 76 41% -1  10 - 9 2 - 5 -5 -2 F A+ F -2 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 17 232 Portland L 58 - 71 73% -11  10 - 10 2 - 6 -20 -17 F D+ F -3 C+ B+ D
 Wed, Jan 21 124 @Seattle L 59 - 69 28% -12  10 - 11 2 - 7 -5 -4 B+ F F -1 A- D+ F
 Wed, Jan 28 184 Oregon St. L 69 - 72 64% -0  10 - 12 2 - 8 -8 -2 C+ D+ B- -6 F+ F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 31 46 Santa Clara L 73 - 104 19% -17  10 - 13 2 - 9 -22 -4 C D+ F -16 D+ F C-
 Wed, Feb 4 97 @San Francisco L 66 - 75 19%
 Sat, Feb 7 202 San Diego W 78 - 73 68%
 Wed, Feb 11 125 @Pacific L 67 - 73 28%
 Sat, Feb 14 283 @Pepperdine W 70 - 67 62%
 Sat, Feb 21 202 @San Diego L 75 - 76 46%
 Wed, Feb 25 122 Washington St. L 74 - 75 49%
 Sat, Feb 28 124 Seattle L 65 - 66 50%
Totals 13 - 17 5 - 13 -1 -3 C C- D+ +2 B C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.2 0.3 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 0.2 1.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 1.6 0.0 2.6 6th
7th 0.3 4.4 0.9 5.6 7th
8th 0.0 3.9 6.2 0.1 10.1 8th
9th 2.1 13.3 1.5 16.9 9th
10th 0.2 5.0 17.9 7.4 0.1 30.5 10th
11th 0.4 5.7 13.6 7.2 0.2 27.0 11th
12th 1.3 3.2 1.3 0.1 5.8 12th
Total 1.7 9.0 19.9 27.3 25.0 13.1 3.6 0.6 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.6% 0.6
8-10 3.6% 3.6
7-11 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 13.1
6-12 25.0% 25.0
5-13 27.3% 27.3
4-14 19.9% 19.9
3-15 9.0% 9.0
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 1.7%