Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#157
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#123
Pace66.9#234
Improvement+3.1#33

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#204
First Shot-0.1#174
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#249
Layup/Dunks-1.0#221
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#327
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#44
Freethrows-1.1#249
Improvement+3.1#18

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#132
First Shot+1.5#122
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#217
Layups/Dunks+2.9#72
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#121
Freethrows-1.7#305
Improvement-0.1#184
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.0 12.1
.500 or above 56.0% 79.7% 52.1%
.500 or above in Conference 35.9% 62.2% 31.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 0.5% 2.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: San Francisco (Away) - 14.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 22 - 62 - 9
Quad 34 - 36 - 13
Quad 49 - 315 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 77   UC Irvine L 51-66 33%     0 - 1 -10.5 -15.6 +4.8
  Nov 16, 2024 137   @ Saint Louis L 71-77 34%     0 - 2 -1.7 -3.1 +1.4
  Nov 22, 2024 275   North Dakota L 73-77 81%     0 - 3 -13.3 -9.4 -3.7
  Nov 26, 2024 130   Belmont W 77-63 43%     1 - 3 +15.7 -1.0 +16.1
  Nov 27, 2024 159   Wyoming W 73-70 50%     2 - 3 +3.0 +4.2 -1.0
  Dec 04, 2024 97   @ Colorado St. L 54-83 22%     2 - 4 -21.0 -12.5 -9.0
  Dec 07, 2024 60   Nevada W 68-64 27%     3 - 4 +10.3 +6.6 +4.2
  Dec 14, 2024 340   Prairie View W 76-75 90%     4 - 4 -13.3 -7.1 -6.3
  Dec 18, 2024 146   UC Santa Barbara W 60-58 60%     5 - 4 -0.5 -11.5 +11.1
  Dec 20, 2024 240   Southern W 89-73 76%     6 - 4 +8.6 +16.4 -7.5
  Dec 22, 2024 197   North Alabama W 85-69 68%     7 - 4 +11.2 +10.5 +1.0
  Dec 28, 2024 61   @ San Francisco L 62-73 14%    
  Dec 30, 2024 74   Washington St. L 69-77 24%    
  Jan 02, 2025 69   Oregon St. L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 04, 2025 4   Gonzaga L 67-84 6%    
  Jan 07, 2025 53   @ St. Mary's L 59-72 11%    
  Jan 11, 2025 204   @ Pepperdine L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 15, 2025 72   Santa Clara L 70-75 34%    
  Jan 18, 2025 316   San Diego W 77-65 86%    
  Jan 22, 2025 301   @ Pacific W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 30, 2025 314   Portland W 77-65 86%    
  Feb 01, 2025 316   @ San Diego W 74-68 70%    
  Feb 06, 2025 4   @ Gonzaga L 64-87 2%    
  Feb 08, 2025 61   San Francisco L 65-70 31%    
  Feb 12, 2025 301   Pacific W 76-65 84%    
  Feb 15, 2025 314   @ Portland W 74-68 70%    
  Feb 19, 2025 72   @ Santa Clara L 67-78 17%    
  Feb 22, 2025 204   Pepperdine W 73-68 68%    
  Feb 27, 2025 53   St. Mary's L 62-69 26%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.0 0.9 0.0 5.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 4.9 1.9 0.1 9.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 5.1 7.9 3.5 0.3 0.0 17.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 4.0 10.3 11.1 4.2 0.4 30.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.4 8.3 5.8 1.6 0.1 0.0 20.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.5 3.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 7.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.7 4.4 8.4 13.6 17.4 18.1 15.1 10.5 6.2 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 62.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 30.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 14.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.1
14-4 0.3% 4.0% 4.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 1.0% 2.0% 2.0% 11.8 0.0 0.0 1.0
12-6 2.7% 0.9% 0.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
11-7 6.2% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 6.1
10-8 10.5% 0.3% 0.3% 12.1 0.0 0.0 10.5
9-9 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 15.1
8-10 18.1% 0.0% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 18.1
7-11 17.4% 0.0% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 17.4
6-12 13.6% 13.6
5-13 8.4% 8.4
4-14 4.4% 4.4
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%