Loyola Marymount
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +2.3 #122
Expected Predictive Rating +2.0 #137
Pace 67.7 #226
Improvement +0.5 #153

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #196 C+ C- C F C-
Defense #83 A- C C C+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #286 1.16 #174 -2.3 #260
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #138 0.80 #116 +1.1 #115
Three Pointers 43% #140 1.08 #90 +2.8 #99
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #134 +1.6 #133
Freethrows 13.1 #340 63% #356 8.3 #357
Second Chance 28.8% #241 1.04 #195 0.30 #225
Turnovers 16.9% #201
Total Offense -1.0 #196

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #171 0.98 #21 +3.0 #81
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #35 0.71 #127 -1.9 #311
Three Pointers 34% #339 0.96 #119 +4.5 #31
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #39 +5.6 #39
Freethrows 15.7 #104 74% #234 11.6 #247
Second Chance 30.9% #191 1.02 #166 0.32 #174
Turnovers 17.1% #149
Total Defense +3.3 #83

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.0% #251 -1.5% #64
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 4.2% #120 -9.7% #36
Possession Length 17.8 #224 16.7 #88
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #208 0.12 #33
Improvement +2.4 #44 -1.9 #297

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.6% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 11.7 12.3
.500 or above 86.2% 95.7% 84.1%
.500 or above in Conference 62.1% 81.5% 57.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.1% 1.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.6% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Away) - 18.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 38 - 59 - 12
Quad 49 - 218 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 255 Eastern Washington W 70 - 62 84%  +1  1 - 0 -0 -10 F A- C- +10 A- A+ C+
 Sat, Nov 8 327 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94 - 72 92%  +9  2 - 0 +9 +12 A+ F A+ -4 D+ B- C
 Tue, Nov 11 244 @UTEP W 71 - 58 65%  +3  3 - 0 +11 +6 A+ A+ F +7 A- A+ F
 Fri, Nov 14 137 Troy W 74 - 63 65%  +3  4 - 0 +9 +2 A+ F B- +8 B+ B- A+
 Mon, Nov 17 181 @UC Santa Barbara W 78 - 74 OT 53%  -3  5 - 0 +6 -1 C F D- +6 A+ D+ F
 Mon, Nov 24 106 Florida Atlantic L 65 - 76 42%  -7  5 - 1 -7 -0 D+ D B -7 D C B+
 Tue, Nov 25 170 Ohio W 70 - 58 63%  +4  6 - 1 +11 -5 D- D F +16 A+ B- A+
 Fri, Nov 28 276 Stony Brook L 68 - 71 87%  -6  6 - 2 -13 -6 D B+ F -7 C- D+ D
 Tue, Dec 2 29 Saint Louis L 70 - 91 20%  -12  6 - 3 -10 -4 C C D- -4 A- F A+
 Tue, Dec 16 108 UC San Diego L 57 - 67 54%  -3  6 - 4 -9 -17 C F F +8 A- C A+
 Fri, Dec 19 293 North Alabama W 91 - 57 88%  +22  7 - 4 +24 +15 A+ A+ C+ +9 A+ B F
 Tue, Dec 23 362 Morgan St. W 83 - 56 97%  +16  8 - 4 +8 +1 B D+ F +7 A+ F A
 Sun, Dec 28 41 St. Mary's L 73 - 78 25%  -1  8 - 5 0 - 1 +4 +18 A+ A+ A+ -14 D+ F F
 Tue, Dec 30 144 Pacific W 80 - 71 67%  -1  9 - 5 1 - 1 +7 +6 A+ F B- +1 A+ D+ D+
 Fri, Jan 2 145 @Washington St. L 76 - 78 44%  +1  9 - 6 1 - 2 +2 +6 C D+ A- -4 F A+ C
 Sun, Jan 4 10 @Gonzaga L 47 - 82 4%  -15  9 - 7 1 - 3 -12 -15 F D- C+ +3 B C D
 Thu, Jan 8 100 San Francisco W 84 - 82 2OT 51%  +1  10 - 7 2 - 3 +4 +2 C+ D A+ +2 A+ D- C+
 Sat, Jan 10 61 @Santa Clara L 69 - 79 18% 
 Wed, Jan 14 182 @Oregon St. W 69 - 68 53% 
 Sat, Jan 17 238 Portland W 77 - 67 81% 
 Wed, Jan 21 120 @Seattle L 66 - 69 38% 
 Wed, Jan 28 182 Oregon St. W 72 - 65 75% 
 Sat, Jan 31 61 Santa Clara L 72 - 76 38% 
 Tue, Feb 3 100 @San Francisco L 66 - 72 30% 
 Sat, Feb 7 222 San Diego W 78 - 69 79% 
 Wed, Feb 11 144 @Pacific L 69 - 71 44% 
 Sat, Feb 14 274 @Pepperdine W 71 - 65 71% 
 Sat, Feb 21 222 @San Diego W 75 - 72 60% 
 Wed, Feb 25 145 Washington St. W 73 - 69 66% 
 Sat, Feb 28 120 Seattle W 69 - 66 60% 
Totals 17 - 13 9 - 9 +2 -1 C+ C- C +3 A- C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.7 4.6 2.0 0.3 0.0 11.6 3rd
4th 0.2 3.0 9.9 8.3 2.7 0.2 24.3 4th
5th 0.0 2.0 8.8 6.6 0.9 0.0 18.3 5th
6th 0.7 6.8 6.4 1.0 0.0 14.9 6th
7th 0.1 3.3 6.5 1.2 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 5.0 1.8 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.3 2.9 2.2 0.1 5.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.3 1.5 0.2 3.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.3 6.0 11.2 17.4 19.5 18.4 13.1 7.6 2.8 0.7 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 6.3% 0.0    0.0
14-4 0.7% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.2% 0.0    0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.1
14-4 0.7% 3.5% 3.5% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
13-5 2.8% 2.4% 2.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
12-6 7.6% 0.9% 0.9% 11.8 0.0 0.1 7.5
11-7 13.1% 0.9% 0.9% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.0
10-8 18.4% 0.4% 0.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 18.4
9-9 19.5% 0.2% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.5
8-10 17.4% 0.2% 0.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 17.4
7-11 11.2% 11.2
6-12 6.0% 6.0
5-13 2.3% 2.3
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 12.1 99.6 0.0%